ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, after the last Federal Reserve interest rate decision, President Trump has repeatedly urged the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. As concerns about Trump's trade agenda deepen, Trump is eager for the Federal Reserve to accelerate its rate cuts to alleviate economic pressure. In turn, the Federal Reserve is preparing for the price shocks that Trump's tariffs may trigger, which will delay any rate cuts even if the economy weakens.So far, Trump's anger towards the Federal Reserve has been relatively mild. Although he has been criticizing the Federal Reserve since it paused rate cuts last Thursday, he has not issued any direct threats.Trump has taken aggressive measures to strengthen his control over the government and reshape it according to his political will. A source close to the White House indicated that Trump may attempt to fire Powell. The source said, "I don't think Powell will leave voluntarily; Trump may try to fire him, but I also believe Powell is secure enough and impressive enough that he won't leave voluntarily."When asked whether the government believes it has the authority to fire Federal Reserve officials (after firing two Federal Trade Commission commissioners) and whether Trump still plans to let Powell complete his term, the White House stated that there was no new statement.

ChainCatcher message, Trump posted on social media, "Egg prices have dropped significantly compared to those caused by Biden." Grocery and gasoline prices have also decreased. Now, if the Federal Reserve can do the right thing and lower interest rates, that would be great."

ChainCatcher news, renowned Federal Reserve watcher and Chief Economist at Nationwide, Cathy Bostianchich, warns that caution is needed regarding bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts.She believes that investors are too eager to digest the impact of rate cuts, as concerns about a sharp economic slowdown grow, and they generally expect the Fed's protective policies (Fed put) to provide a buffer for economic activity. Even assuming that economic activity does not decline sharply, high persistent inflation, along with inflationary pressures from tariffs, may keep the Federal Reserve on the sidelines for a longer period than the market expects.

ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, crypto analyst Anthony Pompliano (Pomp) has proposed a bold theory: the Trump administration may intentionally be creating chaos in the stock market to force the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, in order to avoid refinancing about $7 trillion in U.S. debt.Pomp pointed out that the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has fallen from 4.8% in January to the current 4.21%, indicating that the strategy "is moving in the right direction." Trump previously stated on Fox News: "No one can get rich with high interest rates because people can't borrow money."The market expects the Federal Reserve to maintain the current interest rates at the March meeting, but the possibility of a rate cut in May is approaching 50%. In the game between Trump and Powell, the market continues to be under pressure, with Bitcoin having fallen 27.4% from its historical high, and the global crypto market cap evaporating by over $1.2 trillion.

ChainCatcher news: After the U.S. inflation data met expectations on Friday, the dollar held near a two-week high, and the argument between Trump and Zelensky also boosted the dollar's safe-haven appeal. U.S. Treasury bonds recorded their strongest start to a year since the COVID-19 crisis in early 2020, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, which approached 4.8% in January, now close to 4.2%, and the two-year Treasury yield dipped below 4% during the day for the first time in four months. U.S. stocks nearly erased their gains for 2025 but rebounded sharply on Friday, narrowing the losses for the second consecutive week. Here are the key points the market will focus on in the new week:Monday 22:45: U.S. February S&P Global Manufacturing PMI finalMonday 23:00: U.S. February ISM Manufacturing PMI, U.S. January Construction Spending MoMTuesday 21:50: 2025 FOMC voter, St. Louis Fed President Bullard speaksWednesday 3:20: FOMC permanent voter, New York Fed President Williams speaks at Bloomberg Investment ForumWednesday 21:15: U.S. February ADP Employment ChangeWednesday 22:45: U.S. February S&P Global Services PMI finalThursday 1:00: Federal Reserve releases Beige BookThursday 20:30: U.S. February Challenger Job CutsThursday 21:30: U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 1Friday 21:30: U.S. February Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings YoY and MoMFriday 23:45: FOMC permanent voter, New York Fed President Williams and Fed Governor Bowman participate in a panel discussion at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business organized U.S. Monetary Policy ForumU.S. February nonfarm payroll data will be released on Friday, which could be a key indicator affecting the direction of U.S. interest rates. Economists estimate that the U.S. economy added 133,000 jobs in February, down from 143,000 in January; the unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4%, while average hourly earnings are expected to increase by 0.3% month-over-month, down from 0.5% in January. The January PCE report is the last inflation data that Federal Reserve officials will receive before their next policy meeting on March 18-19. After cutting rates by 100 basis points in three consecutive meetings at the end of 2024, the Federal Reserve is almost certain to keep rates steady in this year's second consecutive meeting.

ChainCatcher message, traders increase bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts, expecting a 53 basis point cut by the end of the year.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, analysts at BNP Paribas Markets 360 expect that the Federal Reserve may not cut interest rates until mid-2026. They have held this view since early December last year.Their prediction is partly based on expectations regarding tariffs, but recent news suggests that they may have to raise their initial estimates on tariffs. This has made analysts more confident in their inflation expectations, which are already above market consensus. The money market currently expects the Federal Reserve to restart interest rate cuts in September.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, after the CPI data was released, traders adjusted the next Federal Reserve rate cut time from September to December.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, T. Rowe Price capital market strategist Tim Murray stated in a report that despite the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, U.S. Treasury yields have continued to rise in recent months, which is a concerning trend.Although the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has partially retreated from recent peaks, the overall trend remains upward. Equally concerning is that the stock market is also feeling the pain of high interest rates. Since mid-December of last year, the correlation between the U.S. bond market and the stock market has been increasing.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, traders are increasing bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, fully pricing in a 50 basis point cut this year.

ChainCatcher news, Pepperstone senior research strategist Michael Brown said in a report that the dollar weakened during the European trading session, but its good days are not over yet. He stated, "I still firmly believe in a bullish outlook for the dollar." The notion of "American exceptionalism" remains strong. Compared to other major central banks, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates is lower, which should continue to support the dollar. The weak phase provides investors with an opportunity to buy the dollar. (Jin Ten)

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, Platts analyst Tim Murray stated in a report that the tariff and immigration proposals of U.S. President-elect Trump could exacerbate inflation, which might force the Federal Reserve to halt interest rate cuts or even raise rates. This capital market strategist indicated that this could lead to significant market volatility.He stated, "The energy and financial sectors may benefit from a more favorable regulatory environment, while renewable energy companies could face pressure if parts of the Inflation Reduction Act are repealed." The tough trade policies of increasing tariffs could impact non-U.S. stocks and lead to volatility in the affected industries.

ChainCatcher news, according to CoinDesk, influenced by better-than-expected U.S. employment data, Goldman Sachs has lowered its expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, pushing the first rate cut expectation from March to June, and now expects only two rate cuts in 2025.Bank of America is more cautious, believing that the Federal Reserve may extend its pause on rate cuts, and there is even a risk of rate hikes. The market is focused on the CPI data set to be released on January 15, with a month-on-month increase of 0.3% for the fifth consecutive month potentially further strengthening hawkish expectations.Since the Federal Reserve's first rate cut in September 2023, Bitcoin has risen over 50%, once breaking through the historical high of $108,000. The market generally expects Bitcoin to test the support level of $92,000, which has consistently provided support since last November.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, Bank of America Global Research states that we believe the rate-cutting cycle has ended; our baseline assumption is that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged for an extended period; however, we believe the risk of the next move leans towards an interest rate hike.