加密市场

4E: The uncertain outlook on tariffs keeps the market on alert, with a slight rebound in the US stock and cryptocurrency markets

ChainCatcher news reports that, according to 4E monitoring, the U.S. government has temporarily suspended tariffs on electronic products, boosting market sentiment. However, Trump stated that there are no "exemptions" from tariffs, and related products have merely been shifted to another tariff category. This erratic policy signal has led to fluctuations in market sentiment. The U.S. stock market opened higher on Monday but closed lower, with all three major indices briefly turning negative during the day, but ultimately ended up collectively. By the close, the Dow Jones rose 0.78%, the S&P 500 index rose 0.79%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.64%. The index of the seven tech giants closed up 0.18%.The cryptocurrency market followed the U.S. stock market with a moderate rise, with Bitcoin fluctuating around $85,000. Strategy announced last week that it purchased 3,459 Bitcoins for $286 million (average price of $82,618), which somewhat boosted market sentiment. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was priced at $85,031, up 1.12% in 24 hours. Altcoins showed mixed performance, with gains and losses alternating, resulting in structural volatility in the market as investors sought a balance between optimism and caution.In the forex market, the U.S. dollar index fell over 0.4%, trading below the psychological level of 100 points; oil prices fluctuated due to weakened demand expectations, ultimately rising slightly; spot gold spent most of the day in a downward trend, falling 0.83% after hitting a historical intraday high for three consecutive days.Trump's fluctuating tariff policy keeps the market on alert. On Monday, Trump was "quiet" for a day; for the current market, no news from Trump is good news. Investors are concerned that without clear flexibility and progress in negotiations, the market may face further volatility in the short term. Investors are looking forward to a clearer stance from the White House on tariff issues in the coming weeks to reduce uncertainty in global supply chains and the economy.

QCP: The long-term sentiment in the cryptocurrency market is becoming more positive, and it is advisable to adopt a wait-and-see strategy regarding the tariff situation in the near term

ChainCatcher news, QCP released its daily market observation stating that after a week of tariff edge policies, risk assets have begun to stabilize, breaking free from barriers that could have dealt a heavy blow to Sino-U.S. trade. The U.S. has imposed tariffs as high as 145% on Chinese imports, while China retaliated with tariffs of 125%, escalating to a level where the market is no longer surprised by further intensification. The enormous scale of these tariffs makes them more symbolic than market-driven factors, contrasting sharply with the panic triggered in the early days of "Liberation Day."After Friday's close, the Trump administration quietly exempted the latest tariffs on smartphones, computers, and chips. Despite the ongoing stalemate, risk assets are pricing in optimistic sentiment, even as the U.S. seems to be negotiating not only with China but also with the bond market and itself.In the crypto market, Bitcoin's risk reversal remains biased towards bearish options until June, indicating that the market still appears somewhat cautious in the short term. However, long-term sentiment is becoming more positive. On Saturday, we observed aggressive buying of 800 contracts of BTC-27MAR26-100k-C. Bitcoin continues to consolidate in the $80,000 to $90,000 range, possibly continuing to trade sideways while adopting a "wait and see" strategy regarding the tariff situation.

4E: The escalation of the trade war threatens to overwhelm the benefits of slowing inflation, leading to declines in both the US stock market and the cryptocurrency market

ChainCatcher news reports that, according to 4E monitoring, the threat of an escalation in the China-U.S. tariff war has overshadowed the positive effects of slowing inflation. Investor concerns have taken precedence, and U.S. stocks failed to maintain Wednesday's significant rebound. On Thursday, the three major indices at one point dropped by at least 5%, although the decline narrowed towards the end of trading. By the close, the S&P 500 index fell by 3.5%, having at one point dropped by 6.3%, nearing the 7% first-level circuit breaker, marking the largest intraday drop since March 2020; the Nasdaq fell by 4.31%, and the Dow Jones by 2.5%. Major tech stocks collectively declined, with the seven giants index dropping by 6.67%.In the cryptocurrency market, the strong rebound from the previous day reversed sharply last night alongside the U.S. stock market. Bitcoin fell from $82,000 to a low of $78,464, nearly erasing all gains from the previous day. As of the time of writing, it is reported at $80,258, down 2.67%. Among the top ten mainstream coins, Ethereum performed the weakest, influenced by whale sell-offs and the decoupling of sUSD, briefly falling below $1,500. Before the deadline, it is reported at $1,541, down 6% in nearly 24 hours.In the forex commodities sector, the U.S. dollar index fell by 1.89%, marking the largest single-day drop since 2022. Oil prices dropped over 3% due to weak supply and demand expectations. Risk aversion surged, with gold reaching $3,220, setting a new historical high.Latest data shows that the U.S. March CPI fell short of expectations across the board, but the impact of tariffs has yet to be fully realized, which may soothe investors in the future. As Trump's chaotic tariff policies continue to disrupt the market, expectations of a tightening global supply chain have intensified, raising broader concerns about an economic recession. The market remains skeptical about whether the 90-day tariff delay can lead to substantial negotiation outcomes.

The cryptocurrency market generally experienced a pullback, with only the AI and DePIN sectors remaining relatively strong

ChainCatcher message indicates that, according to SoSoValue data, the cryptocurrency market sector is generally experiencing a pullback, with only the AI and DePIN sectors remaining relatively strong. The AI sector has risen by 0.66% in the last 24 hours, with Bittensor (TAO), Render (RENDER), and Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) increasing by 2.30%, 7.51%, and 7.94%, respectively. The DePIN sector has risen by 0.60%, with Helium (HNT) and Grass (GRASS) increasing by 2.47% and 3.82%, respectively.Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency sector indices reflecting historical market trends show that the ssiAI and ssiDePIN indices have increased by 1.72% and 1.19% in the last 24 hours, respectively, with the ssiAI index having a weekly return rate of 3.79%.Additionally, Bitcoin (BTC) has narrowed its decline to 2.47%, rebounding above $80,000. Ethereum (ETH) has dropped by 6.16% in the last 24 hours, falling below $1,600.In other sectors, the CeFi sector has decreased by 0.03%, but Hyperliquid (HYPE) has risen by 6.01%; the Meme sector has fallen by 0.85%, and the Layer1 sector has decreased by 0.99%, with Avalanche (AVAX) rising by 1.20% and Hedera (HBAR) increasing by 1.71%; the Layer2 sector has dropped by 1.09%, with Arbitrum (ARB) rising against the trend by 1.21%; the PayFi sector has decreased by 1.39%, and the DeFi sector has fallen by 1.45%.
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