slowdown

4E: CPI fully met expectations, easing market concerns about a slowdown in the pace of interest rate cuts

ChainCatcher news, the U.S. October CPI data released last night fully met market expectations, causing little stir in the market. However, the data performance has increased market confidence that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates again next month, with the probability of a 25 basis point cut in December rising from about 58% earlier on Wednesday to around 80%.According to 4E monitoring, U.S. stocks showed volatility on Wednesday, with the three major indices collectively turning negative at the start, then rebounding to rise, but significantly narrowing gains by the end of the day, with the Nasdaq closing down 0.26%, the S&P 500 slightly up 0.02%, and the Dow Jones up 0.11%. The "Tech Seven Sisters" had mixed performances, and most cryptocurrency concept stocks retreated.The cryptocurrency market regained momentum after a brief pullback. Bitcoin broke through the important $90,000 mark last night, reaching a high of $93,265, then retreated after hitting a new historical high, and as of the time of writing, it was at $89,586. Bitcoin's market capitalization has now surpassed Saudi Aramco, making it the seventh largest asset in the world. Meme coins continue to rise, leading various sectors and becoming the focus of investors' attention.In the forex and commodities sector, after the CPI release, the dollar index initially fell and then rose, reaching a 13-month high since October last year, putting pressure on other currencies, with the offshore yuan falling below 7.25 yuan. Oil prices rebounded on Wednesday, closing up over 0.45%, lingering at two-week lows. The rise in the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields pressured gold prices to decline for the fourth consecutive trading day, hitting a near two-month low.The CPI data, which was in line with expectations, increased the probability of another rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December and helped to some extent alleviate market concerns about inflation prospects following a potential Trump victory. Currently, the market is focused on Thursday's PPI and weekly initial jobless claims, Friday's retail sales data, and comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and other Fed officials. eeee.com is a financial trading platform that supports assets such as cryptocurrencies, stock indices, commodities like gold, and forex, recently launching a USDT stablecoin financial product with an annualized yield of 5.5%, providing investors with potential hedging options. 4E reminds you to pay attention to market volatility risks and to allocate assets wisely.

Bitfinex Report: With the slowdown in BTC spot market buying, it is expected to remain in a range-bound fluctuation in the short term

ChainCatcher news, Bitfinex released a report stating, "Despite the strong performance of Bitcoin, it has not yet broken through the key high of $65,200 from August 25. This is very important because if Bitcoin fails to break this level, it will confirm a pattern since the historical high of $73,666 set in March, where Bitcoin has not exceeded any previous highs and has formed new local bottoms, maintaining a downward trend. In other words, from a longer time frame perspective, Bitcoin has been in a downtrend since March.Additionally, despite the recent price increase being optimistic, the growth of Bitcoin's open interest has outpaced the increase in Bitcoin's price itself, indicating that last week's movement came more from the futures and perpetual markets rather than the spot market.Meanwhile, we have also seen some altcoins surge, with some well-known tokens rising over 100% since their lows in August and September. However, caution is warranted here, as the open interest in altcoins has also reached new highs, but the overall altcoin market has not seen corresponding price breakthroughs. The OTHERS index (which measures the performance of altcoins outside the top 10 by market cap) has continued to decline over the past month.As buying pressure in the Bitcoin spot market slows down, the incremental volume of spot accumulation has stabilized as prices reached $63,500, and we expect Bitcoin to remain in a range-bound fluctuation in the short term.Nevertheless, an important counterargument is that sustained ETF inflows could boost Bitcoin's price. Last week, the spot Bitcoin ETF recorded new inflows, increasing by $397.2 million. This suggests that if traditional financial markets like the S&P 500 continue to rise, Bitcoin still has the potential for further increases. If Bitcoin breaks through the key resistance level at the end of August, it could drive its price to new highs, especially with the end of the low liquidity period of summer. However, without sustained spot buying, Bitcoin is most likely to experience consolidation or a partial pullback."
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