Matrixport

Matrixport: The shift in U.S. Treasury issuance strategy may affect Bitcoin's trend, focusing on multiple macro factors

ChainCatcher news, Matrixport's latest weekly report "How Liquidity and Macroeconomic Indicators Affect Bitcoin" shows that several macroeconomic and liquidity factors are influencing the price trend of Bitcoin. The report focuses on four key factors:First, the shift in U.S. debt issuance strategy. During Yellen's tenure, the U.S. Treasury preferred to issue short-term Treasury bills (T-bills) and issued fewer long-term bonds, which suppressed the rise in Treasury yields, reduced the attractiveness of fixed-income assets, and drove funds toward Bitcoin and stocks. However, the new Treasury Secretary Scot Bessent may increase the issuance of long-term Treasury bonds, which could push yields higher, tighten liquidity, and weaken demand for risk assets.Second, the trend of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). As an indicator of the strength of the dollar against a basket of foreign currencies, a stronger DXY often indicates tightening global liquidity, reducing the attractiveness of risk assets like Bitcoin.Third, the impact of inflation data. CPI and PCE are core indicators that the Federal Reserve focuses on, and a cooling of inflation may prompt the Fed to adopt a more hawkish stance, affecting market liquidity and risk appetite.Fourth, changes in global money supply (M2). The cessation of M2 contraction at the end of 2023 helped Bitcoin break through $40,000. The report suggests that a moderate growth of M2 and controlled inflation are most favorable for Bitcoin's performance, but if M2 grows too quickly, it may trigger rising inflation, forcing the Fed to tighten its policy.
ChainCatcher Building the Web3 world with innovators