Bitfinex Report: With the slowdown in BTC spot market buying, it is expected to remain in a range-bound fluctuation in the short term

ChainCatcher news, Bitfinex released a report stating, "Despite the strong performance of Bitcoin, it has not yet broken through the key high of $65,200 from August 25. This is very important because if Bitcoin fails to break this level, it will confirm a pattern since the historical high of $73,666 set in March, where Bitcoin has not exceeded any previous highs and has formed new local bottoms, maintaining a downward trend. In other words, from a longer time frame perspective, Bitcoin has been in a downtrend since March.

Additionally, despite the recent price increase being optimistic, the growth of Bitcoin's open interest has outpaced the increase in Bitcoin's price itself, indicating that last week's movement came more from the futures and perpetual markets rather than the spot market.

Meanwhile, we have also seen some altcoins surge, with some well-known tokens rising over 100% since their lows in August and September. However, caution is warranted here, as the open interest in altcoins has also reached new highs, but the overall altcoin market has not seen corresponding price breakthroughs. The OTHERS index (which measures the performance of altcoins outside the top 10 by market cap) has continued to decline over the past month.

As buying pressure in the Bitcoin spot market slows down, the incremental volume of spot accumulation has stabilized as prices reached $63,500, and we expect Bitcoin to remain in a range-bound fluctuation in the short term.

Nevertheless, an important counterargument is that sustained ETF inflows could boost Bitcoin's price. Last week, the spot Bitcoin ETF recorded new inflows, increasing by $397.2 million. This suggests that if traditional financial markets like the S&P 500 continue to rise, Bitcoin still has the potential for further increases. If Bitcoin breaks through the key resistance level at the end of August, it could drive its price to new highs, especially with the end of the low liquidity period of summer. However, without sustained spot buying, Bitcoin is most likely to experience consolidation or a partial pullback."