Federal Reserve interest rate cuts

4E: CPI fully met expectations, easing market concerns about a slowdown in the pace of interest rate cuts

ChainCatcher news, the U.S. October CPI data released last night fully met market expectations, causing little stir in the market. However, the data performance has increased market confidence that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates again next month, with the probability of a 25 basis point cut in December rising from about 58% earlier on Wednesday to around 80%.According to 4E monitoring, U.S. stocks showed volatility on Wednesday, with the three major indices collectively turning negative at the start, then rebounding to rise, but significantly narrowing gains by the end of the day, with the Nasdaq closing down 0.26%, the S&P 500 slightly up 0.02%, and the Dow Jones up 0.11%. The "Tech Seven Sisters" had mixed performances, and most cryptocurrency concept stocks retreated.The cryptocurrency market regained momentum after a brief pullback. Bitcoin broke through the important $90,000 mark last night, reaching a high of $93,265, then retreated after hitting a new historical high, and as of the time of writing, it was at $89,586. Bitcoin's market capitalization has now surpassed Saudi Aramco, making it the seventh largest asset in the world. Meme coins continue to rise, leading various sectors and becoming the focus of investors' attention.In the forex and commodities sector, after the CPI release, the dollar index initially fell and then rose, reaching a 13-month high since October last year, putting pressure on other currencies, with the offshore yuan falling below 7.25 yuan. Oil prices rebounded on Wednesday, closing up over 0.45%, lingering at two-week lows. The rise in the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields pressured gold prices to decline for the fourth consecutive trading day, hitting a near two-month low.The CPI data, which was in line with expectations, increased the probability of another rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December and helped to some extent alleviate market concerns about inflation prospects following a potential Trump victory. Currently, the market is focused on Thursday's PPI and weekly initial jobless claims, Friday's retail sales data, and comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and other Fed officials. eeee.com is a financial trading platform that supports assets such as cryptocurrencies, stock indices, commodities like gold, and forex, recently launching a USDT stablecoin financial product with an annualized yield of 5.5%, providing investors with potential hedging options. 4E reminds you to pay attention to market volatility risks and to allocate assets wisely.

Analysis: The outstanding performance of Bitcoin and gold is related to the increase in global liquidity, the expansion of global central bank balance sheets, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts

ChainCatcher news, according to CoinDesk, Bitcoin has risen by 7% in the past five days, breaking the $64,000 mark for the first time since August 26. Meanwhile, gold has set new all-time highs over 30 times this year, surpassing $2,600 per ounce. Charlie Bilello, Chief Market Strategist at investment management and financial planning firm Creative Planning, stated that this is the first time since Bitcoin's inception in 2009 that both Bitcoin and gold have become the best-performing assets of the year.Analyst James Van Straten noted that the outstanding performance of Bitcoin and gold is related to the increase in global liquidity, the expansion of global central bank balance sheets, and the recent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which stimulate investment and economic activity. The current balance sheet of the Federal Reserve stands at $7.1 trillion, and although quantitative tightening is still underway, the pace has slowed. The reduction in reverse repo balances, now just above $300 billion, has released liquidity back into the financial system. This has a stimulating effect, increasing the availability of funds for loans, investments, and overall economic activity.From a broader perspective, the total balance sheet of the world's 15 largest central banks (including the U.S., EU, Japan, and China) is approaching $31 trillion. While this figure itself is not the focus, the trend shows a global recovery of central bank balance sheets since July, rising from about $30 trillion. This increase in liquidity is particularly stimulating for Bitcoin, as its price movements often correspond with liquidity trends. Additionally, the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut further supported the rise of both Bitcoin and gold.

Bloomberg: The outlook for monetary policy has become the main factor driving Bitcoin's short-term trends

ChainCatcher news reports that Bitcoin has fallen below the $60,000 mark ahead of widespread expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later this week. The upcoming policy adjustments from the Fed have left global markets on edge.The first interest rate cut in over four years in the U.S. signals a more accommodative financial environment, which is typically a positive backdrop for riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. However, investors are uncertain about the magnitude of the rate hike on Wednesday, as well as how the market will react to the latest forecasts from Fed officials (the so-called dot plot) and Fed Chair Powell's briefing.Bitcoin's price rose 10% in the seven days leading up to last Sunday, marking the largest weekly gain since July, which may reflect a resurgence in bets on a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed.Caroline Mauron, co-founder of digital asset derivatives trading liquidity provider Orbit Markets, stated that in the Bitcoin options market, traders are "pricing in a weight that is significantly greater than what we've seen recently" regarding the Fed meeting.It can be said that the outlook for monetary policy has become the main driver of Bitcoin's short-term movements, overshadowing (at least for now) the impact of the U.S. presidential election. (Bloomberg)
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