Federal Reserve interest rate cuts

Analysis: The outstanding performance of Bitcoin and gold is related to the increase in global liquidity, the expansion of global central bank balance sheets, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts

ChainCatcher news, according to CoinDesk, Bitcoin has risen by 7% in the past five days, breaking the $64,000 mark for the first time since August 26. Meanwhile, gold has set new all-time highs over 30 times this year, surpassing $2,600 per ounce. Charlie Bilello, Chief Market Strategist at investment management and financial planning firm Creative Planning, stated that this is the first time since Bitcoin's inception in 2009 that both Bitcoin and gold have become the best-performing assets of the year.Analyst James Van Straten noted that the outstanding performance of Bitcoin and gold is related to the increase in global liquidity, the expansion of global central bank balance sheets, and the recent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which stimulate investment and economic activity. The current balance sheet of the Federal Reserve stands at $7.1 trillion, and although quantitative tightening is still underway, the pace has slowed. The reduction in reverse repo balances, now just above $300 billion, has released liquidity back into the financial system. This has a stimulating effect, increasing the availability of funds for loans, investments, and overall economic activity.From a broader perspective, the total balance sheet of the world's 15 largest central banks (including the U.S., EU, Japan, and China) is approaching $31 trillion. While this figure itself is not the focus, the trend shows a global recovery of central bank balance sheets since July, rising from about $30 trillion. This increase in liquidity is particularly stimulating for Bitcoin, as its price movements often correspond with liquidity trends. Additionally, the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut further supported the rise of both Bitcoin and gold.

Bloomberg: The outlook for monetary policy has become the main factor driving Bitcoin's short-term trends

ChainCatcher news reports that Bitcoin has fallen below the $60,000 mark ahead of widespread expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later this week. The upcoming policy adjustments from the Fed have left global markets on edge.The first interest rate cut in over four years in the U.S. signals a more accommodative financial environment, which is typically a positive backdrop for riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. However, investors are uncertain about the magnitude of the rate hike on Wednesday, as well as how the market will react to the latest forecasts from Fed officials (the so-called dot plot) and Fed Chair Powell's briefing.Bitcoin's price rose 10% in the seven days leading up to last Sunday, marking the largest weekly gain since July, which may reflect a resurgence in bets on a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed.Caroline Mauron, co-founder of digital asset derivatives trading liquidity provider Orbit Markets, stated that in the Bitcoin options market, traders are "pricing in a weight that is significantly greater than what we've seen recently" regarding the Fed meeting.It can be said that the outlook for monetary policy has become the main driver of Bitcoin's short-term movements, overshadowing (at least for now) the impact of the U.S. presidential election. (Bloomberg)
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