ChainCatcher news, according to CoinDesk, the U.S. Department of Labor will release the January CPI data today at 21:30 (Beijing time). If the inflation data is lower than expected, it may boost market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, pushing down U.S. Treasury yields and weakening the dollar, which would be beneficial for risk assets like Bitcoin.However, data from Mott Capital Management shows that the two-year inflation swap rate has risen to 2.8%, a new high since the beginning of 2023, indicating that the market expects future inflation pressures may rise.Analysts from BlackRock and the Royal Bank of Canada believe that persistent inflation in the service sector and wage growth above the Federal Reserve's 2% target may force the Fed to maintain high interest rates. CME data shows that the market expects a 54% probability that the Federal Reserve will only cut rates once this year or remain on hold. Bitcoin is currently consolidating in the range of $90,000 to $110,000, with little likelihood of a breakout in the short term.

ChainCatcher news, Greeks.Live analyst Adam posted that Bitcoin has retraced after failing to breach the $100,000 mark, with ETF funds continuing to flow out. Trump is about to officially take office as President of the United States, but major speculative markets are filled with risk-averse sentiment, leading to significant declines in U.S. stocks. Next week (January 13 to 19), the market focus will be on the release of the U.S. CPI data on Wednesday. This will be the most important macro data before Trump's inauguration, and the market is now waiting for the various promises made by Trump to be fulfilled.In the options market, due to ample institutional margins, there is a large sell-off whenever there is an opportunity to sell, resulting in a noticeable decline in short- to medium-term implied volatility (IV). From the options trading perspective, large bullish options trades are active, mainly used to supplement institutional short positions, with January options being relatively undervalued and March options being relatively overvalued.In addition, new EU regulations require cryptocurrency exchanges to comply with travel rule guidelines and strengthen anti-money laundering measures, with exchanges like Deribit needing to improve KYC to operate normally. In the interest rate market, Bitfinex's interest rate market has recently performed steadily, and it is recommended to actively trade at appropriate rates, especially during market volatility.

ChainCatcher news shows that the U.S. November CPI accelerated both year-on-year and month-on-month, while the core CPI's year-on-year and month-on-month increases remained the same as in October. These data points are fully in line with expectations, and the market has almost completely priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December.According to 4E monitoring, U.S. stock indices showed mixed results on Wednesday, with the Dow Jones down 0.22%, the S&P 500 up 0.82%, and tech stocks and chip stocks rising collectively, pushing the Nasdaq up 1.77%, reaching a historic high and closing above the 20,000 point mark for the first time. Among large tech stocks, Tesla rose nearly 6%, leading Google, Meta, Amazon, and other tech giants to new highs. Tesla's six consecutive trading days of gains also made Musk the world's richest person with a net worth exceeding $400 billion. Cryptocurrency-related stocks surged collectively, with MicroStrategy up over 9% and Coinbase nearly 4%.With the U.S. CPI data meeting expectations, the overall cryptocurrency market has rebounded. Bitcoin rose 4.5% to regain the $100,000 mark, Ethereum broke through $3,800, and altcoins collectively rebounded, generally returning to the positions before yesterday's decline. Data shows that the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF saw a net inflow of $223 million yesterday, and over 970 million USDT flowed from Tether to CEX in the past 24 hours, indicating active market trading and strong bullish sentiment.In the forex commodities sector, the dollar experienced a V-shaped rebound, rising for four consecutive days to a two-week high, while non-U.S. currencies fell broadly; rate cut expectations boosted gold prices, with spot gold climbing 0.9% to test $2,720, reaching a five-week high; U.S. EIA crude oil inventories fell more than expected last week, and with global demand expected to recover, oil prices continued to strengthen under these dual positive factors.With the non-farm and CPI data released, a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week has almost become a certainty. However, given that the data itself has increased compared to previous values, it has somewhat compressed the Fed's room for rate cuts next year, and the market expects a lower probability of a rate cut in January. eeee.com is a financial trading platform that supports assets such as cryptocurrencies, stock indices, bulk gold, and forex, recently launching a USDT stablecoin financial product with an annualized return of 5.5%, providing investors with potential hedging options. 4E reminds you to pay attention to market volatility risks and to allocate assets reasonably.

ChainCatcher message, affected by the North American Daylight Saving Time, the U.S. October CPI data will be released tonight at 21:30. (Jin Shi)

ChainCatcher news, last Friday, the U.S. non-farm payrolls for September unexpectedly surged by 254,000, and the unemployment rate unexpectedly dropped to 4.1%, solidifying expectations for a healthy economic soft landing and prompting the market to retract bets on a significant interest rate cut in November.According to 4E observations, buoyed by expectations of an economic soft landing, U.S. stocks opened higher and closed up on Friday, with the S&P 500 rising 0.90%, gaining 0.22% for the week, the Nasdaq up 1.22%, with a weekly increase of 0.1%, and the Dow Jones up 0.81%, with a slight weekly gain of 0.09%. The China concept index rose over 3% and gained nearly 12% for the week. The cryptocurrency market followed the rise in U.S. stocks, with Bitcoin climbing back above $63,000, closing at 63,859, narrowing its weekly decline to 1.03%, while Ethereum reported 2,507, with a weekly decline narrowed to 4.18%. In the foreign exchange and commodities market, safe-haven demand and favorable economic data drove the dollar index to rise for five consecutive days this week, reaching a seven-week high, while non-U.S. currencies fell broadly, with the euro down 1.8% against the dollar for the week and the pound down 2%. The robust employment data eliminated expectations for a significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in November, leading to a rebound in the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields, which put continuous pressure on gold prices, with spot gold declining 0.5% for the week, ending a three-week streak of gains. The market continues to worry about the escalation of conflicts in the Middle East leading to supply disruptions, with oil prices rising for five consecutive days, and Brent crude increasing over 9% for the week.This week, the market focus is mainly on the release of the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes, the publication of U.S. inflation data for September, and earnings reports from major banks, which will provide important economic clues for the market. Additionally, attention should be paid to the developments in the Middle East situation. eeee.com is a financial trading platform that supports assets such as cryptocurrencies, stock indices, commodities like gold, and foreign exchange. Recently, it launched a USDT stablecoin wealth management product with an annualized yield of 5.5%, providing investors with a potential safe-haven option. 4E reminds you to pay attention to market volatility risks and to allocate assets wisely.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi, after the release of the U.S. CPI data, traders have lowered their expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut. Rate traders have reduced their bets on a 50 basis point cut at the Fed's September meeting, now expecting a cut of about 33 basis points, down from yesterday's expectation of 37 basis points.Analyst Chris Anstey noted that it is worth mentioning that the U.S. July CPI inflation rate has now fallen below 3%, the lowest level since inflation first ignited in the spring of 2021. The initial market volatility has been modest. The U.S. 2-year Treasury yield is currently up over 4 basis points, indicating that some are disappointed that the inflation data has not become more subdued.

ChainCatcher news, QCP Capital's latest report indicates that the Japanese stock market has rebounded to pre-crash levels today, but investors remain cautious ahead of the U.S. CPI data release this week. The market will focus on the inflation data to determine whether the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 50 basis points or 25 basis points in September, with both probabilities currently equal. In addition, the cumulative inflow of the ETH spot ETF has exceeded $901 million after a net inflow yesterday, and Grayscale has achieved zero outflows for the first time. This provides strong support for the ETH price and may act as a catalyst for ETH's recovery.

ChainCatcher news, 10x Research CEO Markus Thielen stated on the X platform that the U.S. CPI data will be released today at 20:30 Beijing time. If the CPI is 3.5%, Bitcoin will drop by 3%; if the CPI is 3.4%, Bitcoin will rise by 1%; if the CPI is 3.3%, Bitcoin will rise by 4%; if the CPI is 3.2%, Bitcoin will rise by 5%, and it is expected to rebound to $72,000 next week.

ChainCatcher news, QCP Capital stated that the U.S. CPI data triggered a breakthrough in risk assets, with BTC prices rising above $66,000. They expect this momentum could push prices back to the $74,000 high.In addition, they noted that institutional demand continues to grow, with large asset management firms Millenium and Schonfeld investing 3% and 2% of their assets under management into BTC spot ETFs, respectively. With significant adoption by sovereign and institutional investors, easing inflation, and the upcoming U.S. elections, this breakthrough may signal the return of a bull market.

ChainCatcher news, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics stated that the CPI data released on Wednesday was unexpectedly published 30 minutes early, as it inadvertently uploaded some documents to the website ahead of schedule. A comprehensive investigation is currently underway regarding the early release of the CPI data.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the U.S. April unadjusted CPI year-on-year is 3.4%, expected 3.40%, previous value 3.50%.The U.S. April unadjusted core CPI year-on-year is 3.6%, expected 3.60%, previous value 3.80%.

ChainCatcher news, according to monitoring data from Spot On Chain, on the eve of the release of the U.S. CPI data tonight, two whale addresses have collectively sold 231 WBTC (approximately 6.38 million USD).Whale 0xc554 exchanged 131.3 WBTC for 3.62 million USDC 3 hours ago, at an average price of 27,570 USD. Whale 0xEE5c exchanged 100 WBTC for 1.38 million USDC and 745.8 ETH in the past 13 hours, with a total value of 2.76 million USD. (source link)