4e Exchange

4E Exchange: The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 50 basis points, starting a easing cycle

ChainCatcher news, on the 18th, the Federal Reserve announced a 50 basis point cut to the target range for the federal funds rate, exceeding market expectations. This is the first rate cut by the Federal Reserve in four years and marks a shift from a tightening monetary policy cycle to an easing cycle. The dot plot indicates that the Federal Reserve expects to cut rates by another 50 basis points this year.According to 4E Exchange observations, after the interest rate decision was announced, U.S. stocks experienced a rollercoaster ride, with all three major indices pulling back after reaching highs, ultimately closing slightly lower. The Dow Jones and S&P 500 both hit record highs during the session. Non-U.S. currencies rose broadly, oil prices fell slightly, gold turned down after hitting a new high, and the cryptocurrency market saw widespread gains, with Bitcoin up 3.26% and Ethereum up 3.1% as of the time of writing.With the onset of the rate cut cycle and the continuous decline of the risk-free rate, institutional investors may increase their positions in the cryptocurrency market in search of higher returns. However, it is important to note that while rate cuts typically have a positive impact on risk assets, significant cuts have also raised questions in the market about the health of the U.S. economy, which can have a significant impact on prices. 4E reminds you to be aware of recent market volatility risks and to allocate assets wisely.

4E Exchange: Trump Faces Attack Again, Market Reaction Remains Calm

ChainCatcher news, on September 15 local time, Trump was attacked again, but fortunately, he was not injured. According to 4E Exchange observations, after the incident, U.S. stock index futures, the dollar, and the cryptocurrency market remained relatively stable. Polymarket data shows that Harris's probability of winning the presidential election slightly decreased by 1% to 50%, still slightly higher than Trump's 49%.The incident occurred during a low-volume weekend, and the market remained relatively calm, but it may trigger volatility in the foreign exchange market. The current focus of the market is still on the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting scheduled for September 17-18.According to the latest updates, the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut has risen to 45%, after briefly dropping to single digits earlier last week. U.S. stocks rose for five consecutive days last week, with the S&P 500 gaining a total of 4.02%, just 0.7% away from its all-time high; the Nasdaq rose a total of 5.95%; and the Dow Jones increased by 2.6%, just about 0.5% away from its previous high.4E Exchange is a financial trading platform that supports assets such as cryptocurrencies, stock indices, bulk gold, and foreign exchange, and is a platinum sponsor for Token2049 in 2024. With the Federal Reserve meeting approaching, 4E reminds you to pay attention to market volatility risks and to allocate assets wisely.

4E Exchange: US CPI declines for five consecutive months, but core inflation remains stubborn, expectations for interest rate cuts are hit

ChainCatcher news, according to 4E Exchange observations, the year-on-year growth rate of the U.S. CPI in August fell to 2.5%, marking a decline for the fifth consecutive month, but the core CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month, exceeding expectations. The market has lowered its expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week, with the likelihood of a 25 basis point cut rising to 85%.After the data was released, U.S. stocks experienced a V-shaped rebound following an initial drop at the open, with all three major indices closing higher. The Dow rose slightly by 0.31%, the Nasdaq gained 2.17%, and the S&P 500 index increased by 1.07%. Tech stocks led the rebound, with Nvidia rising over 8%. In the forex and commodities markets, the dollar index surged, putting pressure on non-dollar currencies, while gold experienced significant volatility.CPI data indicates that the Federal Reserve is approaching its 2% target, a change that will support future rate cuts, benefiting risk assets and supporting the long-term rise of U.S. stocks and cryptocurrency assets like Bitcoin. However, the Federal Reserve's focus on core inflation may lead to a more cautious monetary policy, limiting the short-term upside potential for the market.4E Exchange is a financial trading platform that supports assets such as cryptocurrencies, stock indices, commodity gold, and forex, and is a platinum sponsor for Token2049 in 2024. 4E reminds you to be aware of market volatility risks and to allocate assets wisely.
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