ChainCatcher News, the U.S. March Core PCE Price Index year-on-year is 2.6%, expected 2.60%, previous value revised from 2.80% to 3%.The U.S. March Core PCE Price Index year-on-year hits a new low since June 2024. The U.S. March Core PCE Price Index month-on-month recorded 0%, a new low since April 2020, below the expected 0.1%.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, important events and data forecasts for next week:Tuesday: U.S. March JOLTs job openings;Wednesday: U.S. Q1 real GDP, core PCE price index annualized quarterly rate preliminary, U.S. March core PCE price index monthly rate;Thursday: Bank of Japan announces interest rate decision, Governor Kazuo Ueda will hold a monetary policy press conference;Friday: U.S. April seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate.

ChainCatcher news, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that for the 12-month period ending in March, PCE is expected to grow by 2.3%, and core PCE is expected to grow by 2.6%. The labor market is solid, overall remaining balanced, and is currently not putting pressure on inflation. (Jin Shi)

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi Data, Saira Malik, head of Nuveen Equities and Fixed Income, stated that the overall impact of the tariffs announced so far this year on U.S. real GDP growth could be around negative 1.7%.In a report, Malik mentioned that the tariffs will also cause core PCE to rise by 2.0% this year, a data point favored by the Federal Reserve as an inflation gauge. The latest data for February was 2.8%. Given that the tariffs announced so far have exceeded expectations, Nuveen believes the risks lean towards further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.Malik stated, "Our probability-weighted guidance has increased from four rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2025 and 2026 to 6.6 rate cuts, while our fair value assessment for the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has decreased from 4.5% to 4.0%."

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the U.S. core PCE price index for February is 2.8% year-on-year, expected to be 2.7%.

ChainCatcher news, according to 4E monitoring, Trump announced a 25% tariff on all non-American made cars and warned that if Canada and the EU retaliate together, they will face harsher tariff reprisals. This tough stance has heightened market panic, overshadowing better-than-expected GDP data and escalating trade war concerns. U.S. stocks fell for the second consecutive day, with the S&P 500 down 0.33%, the Dow down 0.37%, and the Nasdaq down 0.53%.The cryptocurrency market generally declined, with Bitcoin dropping below $86,000 due to the weak opening of U.S. stocks, but later narrowed its losses as U.S. stocks rebounded, closing at $87,216, down 0.4% in 24 hours. Other major tokens also saw slight declines, with Ethereum fluctuating around $2,000. Overall market sentiment is low, and until Trump's tariff actions become clearer, the short-term upward potential of the market may still be limited.In the forex commodities sector, the U.S. dollar index fluctuated down 0.25%; a significant decline in U.S. inventories supported rising oil prices, but tariff policies dampened demand expectations, leading to a weakening of the oil price rally; heightened risk aversion pushed spot gold up 1.23%, breaking through $3,060, reaching a historic high.The market is focused on the PCE inflation data for February, which will be released tonight at 20:30. The market expects the year-on-year PCE inflation to be around 2.5%, with core PCE possibly rising to 2.7%. If the data remains strong, it may delay the market's expectations for interest rate cuts. Additionally, as April 2 approaches, the final determination of Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" policy is also under close scrutiny.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jin10, the final year-on-year value of the U.S. fourth quarter core PCE price index is 2.8%, the previous value was 2.8%.The final annualized real GDP for the U.S. fourth quarter is 23,542.3 billion USD, the previous value was 23,536.3 billion USD.

ChainCatcher news, QCP Capital published an analysis stating that one of the fastest declines in the U.S. stock market may have passed, with JPMorgan and an increasing number of strategists telling their clients that improved market sentiment and historically favorable seasonal factors are working together.Boosted by Trump's comments on tariff exemptions, BTC briefly broke through $88,000, leading to a short-term market rebound. Although the second quarter is typically one of the strongest periods for risk assets, the options market remains cautious, with bullish skew expected to become evident only in June. Investors are focused on this Friday's quarterly options expiration and the upcoming PCE inflation data, which may become the next key catalyst.

ChainCatcher news reports that, according to 4E monitoring, last week the Federal Reserve's dovish remarks and Trump's statements about flexibility in the reciprocal tariff plan alternately boosted confidence in the U.S. stock market. After significant fluctuations, the three major indices collectively closed higher for the week: the Dow Jones increased by 1.2%, marking the largest weekly gain in over two months; the S&P 500 rose by 0.51%, ending a four-week losing streak; the Nasdaq slightly increased by 0.17%, halting a previous four-week decline. However, large tech stocks generally closed lower for the week, with Nvidia down 3.26%, Tesla down 0.53%, marking its ninth consecutive week of decline.The cryptocurrency market experienced fluctuations but overall showed a mild upward trend. Bitcoin rebounded after dipping near $81,000 on Tuesday, and on Thursday, driven by the Federal Reserve's dovish remarks, it surged above $87,000, reaching a new high in half a month, before oscillating mainly in the $84,000 range. This morning saw another wave of rapid increases, reporting $85,721 before the deadline, up 3.18% over the past seven days. Other major tokens mostly showed slight increases, with Ethereum striving to stabilize above $2,000, and the meme craze on the BNB chain continuing to attract attention. Signs of market recovery are gradually emerging, and investor sentiment has improved.In the forex and commodities sector, the dollar index rose by 0.34% for the week, marking its first weekly increase this month. The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and the situation in the Middle East continue to escalate, with crude oil rising over 2% for two consecutive weeks. Spot gold increased by 1.31% last week, marking three consecutive weeks of gains.Last week, the Federal Reserve maintained interest rates, in line with market expectations, with guidance for two rate cuts remaining for the year, and Powell's remarks provided some comfort to the market. This week, attention will focus on the PCE price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation indicator, to be released on Friday. Additionally, as the "tariff deadline" on April 2 approaches, uncertainty keeps the market cautious. However, once the tariff outlook becomes clearer, the prolonged market turbulence may subside.

ChainCatcher message, the important macro data to be released in the U.S. next week is as follows:March 25, 21:05, FOMC permanent voter, New York Fed President Williams will deliver opening remarks at an event;March 27, 01:10, FOMC voter, St. Louis Fed President Bullard will give a speech;March 27, 20:30, U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending March 22 (in ten thousand), expected 22.5, previous value 22.3;March 27, 20:30, U.S. Q4 real GDP annualized quarterly rate final value, expected 2.3%, previous value 2.3%;March 28, 20:30, U.S. February core PCE price index year-on-year, expected 2.70%, previous value 2.60%;March 28, 22:00, U.S. March University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index final value, expected 57.9, previous value 57.9.

ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, with the release of PCE data, Bitcoin prices have rebounded, and optimism is growing regarding a potential easing of macroeconomic conditions next month.Julien Bittel, head of macro research at Global Macro Investor, stated that the macro environment could have a positive impact on Bitcoin, bringing good news for bulls. He said, "When financial conditions tighten, liquidity dries up, and economic surprises begin to slow down. The 'panic' affecting the market will not last long, and everything will reverse next month."In the past two months, financial conditions have rapidly improved—USD has fallen, bond yields have decreased, and oil prices have dropped—laying the foundation for a recovery in the cryptocurrency market.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, futures contract traders continue to bet that the Federal Reserve will restart rate cuts in June, as data shows that January inflation rose as expected.They still believe that the likelihood of a second rate cut in September is greater than that of no rate cut. Data shows that the year-on-year Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index fell from 2.6% in December to 2.5% last month, while the core PCE index decreased to 2.6%.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the U.S. January core PCE price index year-on-year recorded 2.6%, hitting a new low since June 2024, in line with expectations.The U.S. January core PCE price index month-on-month recorded 0.3%, in line with expectations, reaching a new high since October 2024.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jin10, the U.S. January core PCE price index month-on-month is 0.3%, expected 0.30%, previous value 0.20%.The U.S. January core PCE price index year-on-year is 2.6%, expected 2.60%, previous value revised from 2.80% to 2.9%.

ChainCatcher news, according to Theblock, Bitcoin has experienced a turbulent week, dropping 21% from its historical high of $110,000. 21Shares cryptocurrency research strategist Matt Mena believes that some positive catalysts may emerge in the future. He pointed out that Nvidia's strong earnings report released on Wednesday and potential signs of further inflation cooling in Friday's core PCE data are key events that could drive Bitcoin prices higher.Matt Mena stated, "Positive regulatory tailwinds, combined with Nvidia's strong earnings (which indicate sustained demand driven by artificial intelligence and boost overall risk sentiment), along with positive growth in this Friday's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data, could create a perfect macro environment for Bitcoin, allowing it not only to recover previous highs but also potentially break through $150,000 as institutional and retail confidence surges."Matt Mena also emphasized that regulatory clarity could change the game for Bitcoin, especially in attracting institutional capital. He added, "If the U.S. provides clear guidance on stablecoins and broader digital asset regulation, we could see a significant influx of institutional funds into the space."

ChainCatcher news, next week, several important Federal Reserve officials will give speeches, as follows:Tuesday 17:20, 2026 FOMC voter, Dallas Fed President Logan will speak;Wednesday 00:45, Federal Reserve Governor Barr will speak;Thursday, 2025 FOMC voter, Kansas Fed President Schmidt will speak on economic issues;Friday 02:15, 2026 FOMC voter, Cleveland Fed President Mester will speak on financial stability;Friday 04:15, 2026 FOMC voter, Philadelphia Fed President Harker will speak on economic outlook.In addition, significant U.S. macroeconomic data such as PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index) will also be released next week, as follows:Tuesday 23:00, U.S. February Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, February Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index;Wednesday after U.S. stock market close, Nvidia will release its earnings report;Thursday 21:30, U.S. Q4 real GDP annualized quarterly rate revision, Q4 GDP price index revision, January durable goods orders month-on-month, U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending February 22;Friday 21:30, U.S. January PCE data, January personal spending month-on-month.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, in a foreign exchange and interest rate sentiment survey conducted by American Bank in February, the majority of respondents (58%) believe that if the U.S. PCE inflation rate exceeds 3%, it could prompt the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. The PCE index is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure.The survey also showed that 12% of respondents believe that if the 5-year/5-year inflation breakeven (based on market inflation expectations) is above 3%, it could become a trigger for interest rate hikes.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, "the Fed's mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos stated that due to the weak performance of the PPI components that make up the PCE index (financial and medical services sub-items) in January, the month-on-month core PCE index is expected to be far lower than the significant increase in yesterday's CPI month-on-month rate.If the core PCE in January rises by 0.27% month-on-month, it will reduce the core PCE annual rate from 2.8% to 2.6%.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, Ameriprise Financial Chief Economist Russell Price expects a month-on-month increase of 0.3% in overall PCE for December, and a month-on-month increase of 0.2% in core PCE, which is in line with market expectations.Economists generally expect core PCE to continue to decline in the coming months, although sticky service prices still pose upward pressure on the index. Russell Price added in his analysis: "Maintaining a pause is a very rational and reasonable viewpoint, and it is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the June meeting."