4E: The Federal Reserve is expected to continue cutting interest rates this week, the "Trump trade" is reversing, and election uncertainty is increasing
ChainCatcher news: The October non-farm data in the U.S. was far below expectations. Excluding the data distortions caused by two hurricanes and the Boeing strike, the labor market is gradually cooling down. Meanwhile, with the U.S. election results imminent, Trump's chances unexpectedly weakened, reversing the "Trump trade" and adding more uncertainty to the election.According to 4E monitoring, major tech giants released their earnings reports last week. On Friday, despite disappointing earnings from Apple, the weak October non-farm data boosted expectations for interest rate cuts. Coupled with positive earnings from Amazon and Intel, this lifted optimistic sentiment in tech stocks, with the Nasdaq rising 0.8%. However, looking at the week as a whole, U.S. stocks fell across the board, with the Nasdaq ending a seven-week rising trend, down 1.5% for the week, the S&P down 1.4%, and the Dow down 0.2%. The crypto market was affected by the weakening "Trump trade," and after approaching historical highs at the end of the month, risk aversion increased. As of the time of writing, Bitcoin was at $68,885, up 0.25%, with a 7-day increase dropping to 1.8%.In the forex and commodities sector, the dollar index experienced a V-shaped reversal on "non-farm day," breaking back above 104 and erasing the weekly decline, with a cumulative increase of 0.06% last week. The British pound was the only non-U.S. currency to rise, recovering from the previous two days' sell-off due to the budget proposal, but it has fallen for five consecutive weeks, marking the longest streak in six years. Spot gold saw a slight surge after the non-farm data on Friday, but as the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields remained strong, it subsequently fell back, ultimately closing down 0.32%, marking the largest weekly decline since August. Due to Iran's relatively restrained retaliation against Israel, U.S. crude oil production reached a new high, and combined with weak economic data such as non-farm payrolls raising demand concerns, international crude oil prices fell from high levels last Friday, with a cumulative drop of over 3% for the week.This week is set to be historic, as the U.S. election will commence final voting on November 5 (Tuesday), with results expected to be largely finalized by noon on the 6th Beijing time. Currently, the election situation is tense, with polls in swing states constantly flipping. The latest polls show no significant advantage between Trump and Harris, leading some investors to take profits on Trump-oriented positions, especially those related to Trump's policies and improvements in public opinion polls. The overall market sentiment is cautious, with increased uncertainty. eeee.com is a financial trading platform supporting assets such as cryptocurrencies, stock indices, precious metals, and forex, recently launching a USDT stablecoin wealth management product with an annualized yield of 5.5%, providing investors with potential hedging options. 4E reminds you to pay attention to market volatility risks and to allocate assets wisely.