reciprocal tariffs

4E: "The extent of 'reciprocal tariffs' far exceeds expectations, leading to declines in U.S. stocks and Bitcoin."

ChainCatcher news, according to 4E monitoring, Trump announced last night the implementation of reciprocal tariffs, adopting a dual-track system that combines "benchmark tariffs" and "one country, one tax rate," with rates exceeding market expectations. The U.S. stock market was initially optimistic due to the 10% benchmark tariff being lower than expected, with major indices closing up. However, after the specific high tax rates were announced, investors became concerned about the escalating risks of a global trade war, which could drag the U.S. economy into recession, leading to panic selling after hours, with stock index futures plummeting. As of the time of writing, S&P 500 futures were down over 2.79%, Nasdaq futures fell over 2.65%, and Dow futures dropped more than 1.9%.The cryptocurrency market fell across the board. Initially buoyed by optimistic sentiment regarding tariffs, global risk assets generally rose, with Bitcoin briefly soaring to $88,500. However, as more details were released, market sentiment turned sharply negative, and Bitcoin plummeted to yesterday's low, returning to around $83,000, with a 24-hour decline of over 1.8%. Ethereum fell from $1,957 to below $1,800. Most sectors in the market declined, with the Meme sector experiencing significant losses.In the forex and commodities market, the dollar fell throughout the day, down 0.65%; during the U.S. trading session, oil and gas prices rose, but after the tariff announcement, crude oil futures prices dropped by 1.0%; safe-haven sentiment drove gold prices to new highs, with London spot gold reaching $3,157, up about 0.7%.After Trump announced comprehensive new tariffs on 185 countries, U.S. stock index futures and major cryptocurrencies plummeted, triggering turmoil in global markets and widespread risk aversion. The scale and unpredictability of the tariffs have quickly shifted investors' focus to macroeconomic headwinds, prompting the market to reassess inflation trajectories, growth risks, and policy responses for the second quarter.

4E: Tariffs and inflation squeeze, risk aversion rises, focus this week on Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" and non-farm data

ChainCatcher news reports that, according to 4E monitoring, the data released last week has heightened market concerns about the U.S. economic outlook. Increasing signs indicate that due to worries about tariffs driving up inflation, U.S. consumer confidence has significantly declined, spending has decreased, and long-term inflation expectations have risen. U.S. stocks fell sharply last week, ending the strong rebound from the previous week. The S&P 500 index fell by 1.53%, the Dow Jones by 0.96%, and the Nasdaq by 2.59%. The Magnificent 7 index of tech giants dropped by 2.95% last week.The cryptocurrency market followed the U.S. stock market's downward trend. Bitcoin started the week by rising close to $89,000, but then fell back under pressure from Trump's tariff news, with Friday's PCE data further exacerbating the decline. As of the deadline, it was reported at $81,884, down 4.46% over the past 7 days. Other major tokens generally fell, with Ethereum dropping below $1,800, nearing new lows. Market sentiment remains gloomy and may continue to be under pressure until Trump's tariff actions become clearer.In the forex market, the U.S. dollar index fluctuated and fell by 0.05% last week; risk assets were suppressed by safe-haven demand, while geopolitical tensions supported some bottoming out. Oil prices rose by about 2% last week, and gold has increased for four consecutive weeks, reaching a new historical high, with spot gold surpassing $3,100.Last week's weak data reignited economic concerns, leading to a comprehensive decline in financial markets. As Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" loom on April 2, market nerves are frayed, and safe-haven sentiment is rising. Additionally, the U.S. non-farm payroll report for March will be released this Friday evening, followed by a speech from Powell. The Federal Reserve held steady in March, and the market is looking forward to Powell's further insights on the U.S. economy, inflation, and the impact of Trump's tariff policies, seeking new clues for the direction of the Fed's monetary policy and more reliable guidance for the market direction in April.

4E: Trump's stance on "reciprocal tariffs" softens, U.S. stocks and cryptocurrency markets rise

ChainCatcher news, Trump plans to take a more targeted approach to the "reciprocal tariffs" set to launch on April 2, alleviating market concerns that the escalation of his trade war could worsen inflation and drag down the economy. Meanwhile, the U.S. services PMI rebounded, driving an overall improvement in PMI. The positive news boosted U.S. stocks across the board, with the S&P 500 rising 1.76%, the Dow up 1.42%, and the Nasdaq climbing 2.27%. Major tech stocks generally strengthened, with Tesla soaring over 11.9%, marking the largest single-day gain since the day after the election.The recent trend in the cryptocurrency market has aligned with U.S. stocks. Strategy boosted market confidence by purchasing 6,911 bitcoins for $584.1 million last week. Bitcoin surged yesterday, reaching as high as $88,765 after the U.S. stock market opened, and has slightly retreated to $87,030 at the time of writing, with a 24-hour increase of 1.7%. Among the top ten mainstream coins, SOL showed even stronger gains, currently reported at $140 with a rise of 5.17%. Most sectors in the market rose, with the Meme sector leading with a 7% increase.In the forex and commodities sector, investor concerns over Trump's tariff plan on April 2 have eased, with the dollar index up 0.25% and U.S. oil rising 1.2%; the strengthening dollar, combined with gold prices at historical highs, led investors to take profits, resulting in a 0.30% drop in spot gold.Trump will soften his aggressive stance on imposing tariffs on trade partners, while other macroeconomic indicators have also pointed in a more favorable direction over the past few days, lifting market optimism. Investors are currently closely monitoring Trump's latest "reciprocal tariffs" plan to assess its potential impact on economic growth and inflation.
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