US stock market

4E: The uncertain outlook on tariffs keeps the market on alert, with a slight rebound in the US stock and cryptocurrency markets

ChainCatcher news reports that, according to 4E monitoring, the U.S. government has temporarily suspended tariffs on electronic products, boosting market sentiment. However, Trump stated that there are no "exemptions" from tariffs, and related products have merely been shifted to another tariff category. This erratic policy signal has led to fluctuations in market sentiment. The U.S. stock market opened higher on Monday but closed lower, with all three major indices briefly turning negative during the day, but ultimately ended up collectively. By the close, the Dow Jones rose 0.78%, the S&P 500 index rose 0.79%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.64%. The index of the seven tech giants closed up 0.18%.The cryptocurrency market followed the U.S. stock market with a moderate rise, with Bitcoin fluctuating around $85,000. Strategy announced last week that it purchased 3,459 Bitcoins for $286 million (average price of $82,618), which somewhat boosted market sentiment. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was priced at $85,031, up 1.12% in 24 hours. Altcoins showed mixed performance, with gains and losses alternating, resulting in structural volatility in the market as investors sought a balance between optimism and caution.In the forex market, the U.S. dollar index fell over 0.4%, trading below the psychological level of 100 points; oil prices fluctuated due to weakened demand expectations, ultimately rising slightly; spot gold spent most of the day in a downward trend, falling 0.83% after hitting a historical intraday high for three consecutive days.Trump's fluctuating tariff policy keeps the market on alert. On Monday, Trump was "quiet" for a day; for the current market, no news from Trump is good news. Investors are concerned that without clear flexibility and progress in negotiations, the market may face further volatility in the short term. Investors are looking forward to a clearer stance from the White House on tariff issues in the coming weeks to reduce uncertainty in global supply chains and the economy.

4E: The escalation of the trade war threatens to overwhelm the benefits of slowing inflation, leading to declines in both the US stock market and the cryptocurrency market

ChainCatcher news reports that, according to 4E monitoring, the threat of an escalation in the China-U.S. tariff war has overshadowed the positive effects of slowing inflation. Investor concerns have taken precedence, and U.S. stocks failed to maintain Wednesday's significant rebound. On Thursday, the three major indices at one point dropped by at least 5%, although the decline narrowed towards the end of trading. By the close, the S&P 500 index fell by 3.5%, having at one point dropped by 6.3%, nearing the 7% first-level circuit breaker, marking the largest intraday drop since March 2020; the Nasdaq fell by 4.31%, and the Dow Jones by 2.5%. Major tech stocks collectively declined, with the seven giants index dropping by 6.67%.In the cryptocurrency market, the strong rebound from the previous day reversed sharply last night alongside the U.S. stock market. Bitcoin fell from $82,000 to a low of $78,464, nearly erasing all gains from the previous day. As of the time of writing, it is reported at $80,258, down 2.67%. Among the top ten mainstream coins, Ethereum performed the weakest, influenced by whale sell-offs and the decoupling of sUSD, briefly falling below $1,500. Before the deadline, it is reported at $1,541, down 6% in nearly 24 hours.In the forex commodities sector, the U.S. dollar index fell by 1.89%, marking the largest single-day drop since 2022. Oil prices dropped over 3% due to weak supply and demand expectations. Risk aversion surged, with gold reaching $3,220, setting a new historical high.Latest data shows that the U.S. March CPI fell short of expectations across the board, but the impact of tariffs has yet to be fully realized, which may soothe investors in the future. As Trump's chaotic tariff policies continue to disrupt the market, expectations of a tightening global supply chain have intensified, raising broader concerns about an economic recession. The market remains skeptical about whether the 90-day tariff delay can lead to substantial negotiation outcomes.

4E: Trump suspends tariffs for 90 days, U.S. stocks and crypto markets rebound strongly

ChainCatcher news reports that, according to 4E monitoring, after Trump announced a 90-day tariff suspension on countries that do not retaliate, investor panic sentiment significantly reversed, leading to a sharp rise in U.S. stocks during the trading session, with all three major indices closing with substantial gains. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 7.87%, marking the largest single-day increase since March 25, 2020; the S&P 500 surged by 9.52%, achieving its best single-day performance since 2008; the Nasdaq rose over 12%, recording the second-largest single-day gain in history. Tech stocks performed exceptionally well, with the seven giants index soaring by 14.00%, and a total market value increase of $1.85 trillion in one day.The cryptocurrency market also experienced a collective surge, with Bitcoin continuing to climb from yesterday's low of $74,000, hovering around $83,000 before the deadline, a 24-hour increase of over 8.7%. Ethereum rebounded from a low of $1,385, reporting $1,660 before the deadline, with a nearly 14.6% increase in 24 hours. Other altcoins also saw significant rises, with the total crypto market cap increasing by 8.4% in 24 hours. However, market sentiment has not yet clearly recovered, indicating strong uncertainty regarding the recent tariff war.In the forex and commodities market, the trade dispute continues, with the dollar index failing to rebound and falling by 0.10%; crude oil rebounded strongly, averaging over a 5% increase during the midday session; spot gold fluctuated upward throughout the day, rising by 3.27% in New York's late trading.Recently, the market has reacted strongly to tariff news. Although some positive news has emerged, alleviating part of the market sentiment, the "suspended sentence" policy has not completely eliminated uncertainty and may instead bring more chaos.

4E: Weak consumer confidence reignites economic concerns, US stock market gains slow down, cryptocurrency market fluctuates upward

ChainCatcher news reports that, according to 4E monitoring, Trump may ease tariff plans, somewhat alleviating market anxiety over a full-blown trade war, supporting the continued rebound of U.S. stocks. On Tuesday, the three major U.S. stock indices rose slightly, continuing Monday's gains. The S&P 500 rose by 0.16%, the Dow Jones increased by 0.01%, and the Nasdaq gained 0.46%. Most large tech stocks were up, with Tesla rising over 3% for five consecutive days, accumulating a total increase of 28%.The cryptocurrency market is fluctuating upward, with Bitcoin retreating after reaching a high of $88,765 on Monday, and last night it broke through $88,000 again, showing strong upward momentum. As of the time of writing, it has slightly retreated, hovering above $87,000, with a 24-hour increase narrowing to 0.8%. Most sectors in the market are rising, with the Meme sector continuing to perform strongly. Current market sentiment is optimistic; historically, risk assets tend to perform best in the second quarter, especially in April each year.In the forex and commodities sector, the latest economic data showed weakness, causing the dollar index to turn down after reaching a nearly three-week high, ending a four-day winning streak; oil prices fell slightly due to the impact of the Russia-Ukraine agreement; with a poor economic outlook, spot gold rose by 0.31%, reversing a trend of three consecutive days of decline.The U.S. Consumer Confidence Index for March, released last night, fell below expectations, dropping to its lowest level in four years, reflecting consumer concerns about the economic outlook. The disappointing data significantly slowed the upward momentum of U.S. stocks, with the three major indices narrowly maintaining their gains. As the April 2 effective date for reciprocal tariffs approaches, the market is closely watching how related policies will affect economic growth and inflation.

4E: Trump's stance on "reciprocal tariffs" softens, U.S. stocks and cryptocurrency markets rise

ChainCatcher news, Trump plans to take a more targeted approach to the "reciprocal tariffs" set to launch on April 2, alleviating market concerns that the escalation of his trade war could worsen inflation and drag down the economy. Meanwhile, the U.S. services PMI rebounded, driving an overall improvement in PMI. The positive news boosted U.S. stocks across the board, with the S&P 500 rising 1.76%, the Dow up 1.42%, and the Nasdaq climbing 2.27%. Major tech stocks generally strengthened, with Tesla soaring over 11.9%, marking the largest single-day gain since the day after the election.The recent trend in the cryptocurrency market has aligned with U.S. stocks. Strategy boosted market confidence by purchasing 6,911 bitcoins for $584.1 million last week. Bitcoin surged yesterday, reaching as high as $88,765 after the U.S. stock market opened, and has slightly retreated to $87,030 at the time of writing, with a 24-hour increase of 1.7%. Among the top ten mainstream coins, SOL showed even stronger gains, currently reported at $140 with a rise of 5.17%. Most sectors in the market rose, with the Meme sector leading with a 7% increase.In the forex and commodities sector, investor concerns over Trump's tariff plan on April 2 have eased, with the dollar index up 0.25% and U.S. oil rising 1.2%; the strengthening dollar, combined with gold prices at historical highs, led investors to take profits, resulting in a 0.30% drop in spot gold.Trump will soften his aggressive stance on imposing tariffs on trade partners, while other macroeconomic indicators have also pointed in a more favorable direction over the past few days, lifting market optimism. Investors are currently closely monitoring Trump's latest "reciprocal tariffs" plan to assess its potential impact on economic growth and inflation.

4E: The Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged, slows down balance sheet reduction to release liquidity, and both the US stock market and cryptocurrency market rise collectively

ChainCatcher news, the Federal Reserve decided to keep the policy interest rate unchanged, in line with market expectations. At the same time, it announced a significant slowdown in the pace of balance sheet reduction (QT), easing market liquidity pressures. Powell reassured investors that the risk of recession is low, the U.S. economy remains strong, and the job market is still solid.According to 4E monitoring, the Fed's dovish stance boosted risk assets, with all three major U.S. stock indices rising on Wednesday: the S&P 500 up 1.08%, the Dow up 0.92%, and the Nasdaq up 1.41%. Tech stocks led the gains, with Tesla rising 4.68% and Nvidia up 1.81%.The cryptocurrency market rebounded significantly, with Bitcoin continuing to rise to $87,453 driven by tech stocks, before slightly retreating to $85,866 at the time of writing, a 24-hour increase of 3.6%. Other major tokens also rose collectively, with Ethereum returning above $2,000, while XRP surged over 11% due to the SEC dropping its appeal against Ripple.In the forex commodities sector, the U.S. dollar index soared, but the increase quickly narrowed to 0.21% after the Fed announced its decision to hold steady; U.S. oil closed up 0.39%; spot gold prices hit a historic high during trading for two consecutive days, approaching $3,052 during Powell's press conference.Powell acknowledged at the press conference that Trump's economic policies have brought significant uncertainty to the U.S. economy, but reiterated that the Fed is not in a hurry to adjust monetary policy. The updated dot plot indicates that the Fed will cut interest rates twice this year, consistent with the forecast from December last year. At the same time, the Fed downgraded its economic growth forecast while raising its inflation expectations, showing characteristics of "stagflation."
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