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Polygon CEO Marc Boiron stated on the X platform that the company is in the final stages of completing the acquisition of Coinme, and will subsequently integrate the relevant teams into Polygon Labs. As part of achieving the profitability goal for 2027, the company has initiated layoffs and is advancing broader mergers and organizational adjustments.Marc Boiron mentioned that Polygon Labs is transitioning from a blockchain foundation-type organization to a blockchain payment company, with the relevant adjustments primarily focusing on organizational structure and talent needs. He also stated that the company's current revenue performance is strong, with stablecoin business volume continuously breaking records, and that compensation and support will be provided to affected employees.

Polygon Foundation CEO Sandeep disclosed that about one-third of the Polygon team paused their daily work last week to participate in a three-day internal AI innovation challenge, with a total reward pool of $15,000 set up by the team.During the three days, 13 projects were produced, of which 6 have officially launched, and 1 has completed real transaction settlement on 5 mainnet chains. Sandeep stated that for the payment sector, the landscape of the next decade will be dominated by teams that truly integrate AI into their daily workflows, and he expressed that this experiment has given him more confidence in the team.

According to Bloomberg, researchers at Stanford University have found signs of manipulation in the Polymarket five-minute Bitcoin betting market. The study analyzed contract data over approximately two months and discovered repeated one-way trading pulses on the Binance exchange that briefly affected Bitcoin prices just seconds before the betting ended, benefiting those with aligned positions. The researchers referred to this pattern as "temporary manipulation to drive up spot prices" and pointed out that such contracts have structural vulnerabilities—participants can influence the outcome by trading the underlying asset itself that determines win or loss.A Polymarket spokesperson stated that the platform uses multiple independent price oracles to ensure accuracy and plans to transition some markets to a settlement method using longer time windows next year to enhance market integrity. The study estimates that suspected manipulators profited about $8.2 million over two months, primarily from losses incurred by retail traders. Similar patterns are not evident in the 15-minute market, where longer time windows make it more difficult to influence outcomes.

According to the latest data from Polymarket Builders, on July 14, Gate's prediction market ranked first in daily trading volume among all channels on Polymarket. With the World Cup semi-finals underway, trading related to the events remains active, and Gate's prediction market maintains its leading advantage. In addition, Gate's prediction market not only ranks first in daily trading volume but also leads in weekly and monthly trading volumes across all channels on Polymarket, continuously demonstrating strong performance and showcasing the platform's user activity and trading enthusiasm in the sports event prediction market.Currently, Gate is launching the "Gate Prediction Market × World Cup Semi-Final Focus Event" campaign, with a total prize pool of 50,000 USDT. During the event, users can sign up and participate in the specified focus event predictions for the World Cup semi-finals on Gate Polymarket. Meeting the event requirements will qualify users for rewards, with no need to predict correctly, allowing them to share the 50,000 USDT prize pool. Additionally, Gate has launched the "World Cup Final Sprint Gift" campaign. During this period, users participating in predictions related to the quarter-finals, semi-finals, or finals in the World Cup section of Gate Polymarket have the chance to receive an 88 yuan JD.com gift card, with a total of 10,000 rewards to be distributed, accompanying users in witnessing the birth of the World Cup champion.As the first centralized trading platform to integrate with Polymarket, Gate has become an important entry point for users to participate in the prediction market. Users can directly access the prediction market through the Gate App, entering the Polymarket page from the Alpha section on the homepage, and conveniently participate in various event predictions using USDT in their accounts. Users can also utilize the "Smart Money" feature to track the positions and market judgments of high-win-rate traders, gaining more reference for event predictions. Gate is continuously expanding the application scenarios of the prediction market, providing users with a diversified experience from event judgment to trading participation.

According to Bitcoin News, the Czech Ministry of Finance officially listed the decentralized prediction market platform Polymarket on the "Unauthorized Online Gambling List" on July 13. The Czech gambling regulator requires internet service providers (ISPs) to complete access blocking for the platform within 15 days.The Czech regulator stated that Polymarket lacks necessary oversight, its operations essentially fall under gambling products, and due to its decentralized nature and unlicensed operation, it bypasses local gambling legal frameworks, posing risks such as market manipulation using insider information and lack of risk control. Recently, several European regulators have continued to tighten control over Polymarket, with Italy re-adding it to the ban list and the Netherlands also rejecting the platform's appeal.

According to DeFiLlama data, Polymarket's revenue reached $11.46 million in the week from July 6 to 12, setting a new high since 2026. Currently, its total value locked (TVL) is approximately $374 million, with an annualized revenue of about $188 million and a trading volume of approximately $4.936 billion in the last 30 days.

According to Bloomberg, the prediction market platform Polymarket is seeking regulatory approval in the United States to conduct margin trading operations in compliance.The company submitted a futures commission merchant (FCM) operating application to the National Futures Association (NFA) through its subsidiary Coming Home GBA LLC on July 3. This move will allow users to participate in event betting with less capital and is expected to attract more professional traders to the market.

PPP market prediction tool monitoring shows that the "Anthropic highest valuation this year" prediction event data on Polymarket indicates that the probability of Anthropic reaching a valuation of $1.5 trillion by the end of 2026 has risen to 78%, up 47% in 24 hours; the probability of reaching $2 trillion has risen to 37%, up 19% in 24 hours.On June 1, Anthropic secretly submitted an S-1 registration statement draft to the U.S. SEC, officially starting the IPO process in the U.S. Recently, research institution SemiAnalysis released a report stating that Anthropic is expected to achieve $1 billion in GAAP operating profit in the third quarter of 2026, with an operating profit margin of 6%.

According to official news, Paxos announced that PayPal USD (PYUSD) is officially natively issued on the Polygon chain and provides services to the market through the Polygon "Open Money Stack."This move aims to provide on-chain dollar settlement solutions for institutions and enterprises under federal regulation, covering deposit, withdrawal, and compliance functions. The Polygon chain currently has a daily average stablecoin settlement amount exceeding $2.5 billion, with a total settlement amount exceeding $2.6 trillion. PYUSD is issued by Paxos, a national trust chartered institution regulated by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC).

The official interface shows that Polymarket has launched Perp trading functionality, currently supporting 10 assets including BTC, ETH, SOL, HYPE, as well as gold, silver, SP500, NAS100, WTIOIL, SPCX, with a maximum leverage of 20 times.

The prediction market platform Polymarket announced support for instant, self-custodied deposits via the Bitcoin Lightning Network, powered by the Spark protocol. Compared to the previous on-chain deposit method that required waiting for 3 to 6 block confirmations, taking about 10 to 60 minutes, the new solution allows for deposits to be credited in seconds, while lowering the deposit threshold and transaction costs.According to the introduction, Spark can complete checks for double-spending risk, fees, and Replace-by-Fee (RBF) at the time of transaction broadcasting, achieving "zero-confirmation" crediting. It also supports on-chain, Lightning Network, and stablecoin payment channels without the platform needing to operate Lightning Network nodes itself. Polymarket stated that this move will further enhance the capital efficiency for Bitcoin users and strengthen its competitiveness against rival Kalshi.

Court documents from New York State show that William Wood and Thomas Bush have sued entities related to Polymarket and CEO Shayne Coplan, accusing them of incorrect settlement in the "Will Strategy sell Bitcoin before May 31, 2026?" market.The lawsuit states that the 8-K filing submitted by Strategy to the SEC disclosed the sale of 32 BTC during the relevant period, sufficient to prove that the market should settle as "Yes," but Polymarket ultimately determined it to be "No," and was accused of subsequently issuing a "clarification" that changed the criteria for judgment.

According to The Block, South Korean media regulators will give Polymarket an opportunity to respond before deciding whether to take corrective action against its prediction market platform.Regulators are reviewing whether Polymarket's services constitute illegal gambling activities prohibited by South Korean law.

Polygon founder Sandeep announced on the X platform that from 2026 to the present, Polygon has minted approximately 105.2 million POL, while approximately 107.7 million POL has been destroyed through the base fee mechanism, resulting in a destruction amount that exceeds the newly issued amount, officially achieving annual net deflation for the Polygon network.Sandeep further stated that the reduction in POL supply is mainly due to the base fee destruction brought by Polygon serving as a payment chain with high transaction volume. In May, Polygon's transaction volume surpassed that of other public chains, with a monthly transaction count reaching 198 million.

According to The Block, the combined trading volume of Kalshi, Polymarket, and Polymarket US in June reached $44.8 billion, a 75% increase from May's $25.66 billion.Among them, Kalshi performed the best, with a trading volume of $31.5 billion in June, a month-over-month increase of 87.4%; the main platform of Polymarket had a trading volume of $10.26 billion, a month-over-month increase of 45%; and the Polymarket US platform had a trading volume of $3.04 billion.The report pointed out that the surge in trading volume was mainly due to the opening of the 2026 World Cup on June 11. Kalshi's World Cup champion prediction market has attracted over $832 million in bets.

Investigative journalist Whitney Webb released a series of investigations about the origins and ambitions of Polymarket.She stated that the claim in Polymarket's official narrative that "Shayne Coplan founded the company alone in 2020 and started it in a bathroom" is not true; the origins of Polymarket can be traced back to the earlier company TokenBnk and has connections to Israeli-related crypto projects.Webb said that the first part of the series will outline Polymarket's early history and discuss its potential connections with Peter Thiel-related forces and DARPA's early prediction market projects.

According to BBX data, the prediction market faced a dual attack yesterday, with traditional exchange infrastructure accelerating its on-chain transition. The core dynamics are as follows:The prediction market/event contract ecosystem where Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: $HOOD) operates suffered a dual regulatory blow yesterday: first, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has launched a comprehensive investigation into Polymarket (privately held), covering its social media activities and suspected wash trading behaviors; second, a Michigan court ruled to prohibit Kalshi (privately held) from offering sports betting services to residents in Michigan. Although these two incidents directly target Polymarket and Kalshi, their strategic importance to Robinhood cannot be ignored—Robinhood provides event contract products linked to KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC through its subsidiary Robinhood Derivatives LLC, making it the largest distribution channel for prediction markets among regulated brokers in the U.S. The CFTC's escalation of enforcement investigations into similar platforms will directly impact Robinhood's event contract business compliance framework and product expansion speed; in June, the average daily trading volume in this sector reached a historic record.Nasdaq, Inc. (NASDAQ: $NDAQ) announced yesterday that it has chosen Pyth Network (on-chain price oracle protocol) as its on-chain distribution partner for TotalView (Nasdaq's full market depth data product), marking the first time Nasdaq has integrated its core institutional-level market data into a blockchain network—TotalView provides full-level buy and sell quotes and transaction data for the U.S. stock market, historically only available to traditional financial institutions (subscription-based); on-chain distribution means that DeFi protocols, decentralized exchanges, and smart contracts can now access Nasdaq-level real-time equity market data as an on-chain pricing basis for the first time. The Pyth Network token (PYTH) subsequently rose by over 6%, with the market interpreting this as a historic fusion point between traditional securities market infrastructure and decentralized finance.

According to Bloomberg, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is conducting a broad investigation into the prediction market platform Polymarket, covering its business activities including social media operations.Previously, The Wall Street Journal reported that Polymarket hired dozens of social media creators, primarily of college age, to create fake trading videos to attract users. This investigation encompasses other aspects of the company's business. The CFTC and the Department of Justice concluded an investigation last year into whether Polymarket violated the ban on U.S. users, but some U.S. users still access its main platform by circumventing the ban through VPNs and other means.Since reaching a settlement with the CFTC in 2022, Polymarket has technically prohibited U.S. users from using its main platform, but the company is taking steps to reintroduce its main exchange to the U.S. and is cooperating with the CFTC to lift the ban. Senators Adam Schiff and John Curtis sent a letter to the CFTC last Thursday, requesting confirmation of whether an investigation into Polymarket's advertising practices is ongoing and inquiring how the agency has prevented Polymarket from attracting U.S. users since the 2022 action.

According to BBX data, last weekend Japan's largest financial group completed the most important cryptocurrency acquisition, and U.S. bipartisan senators launched a new regulatory offensive against prediction market platforms. The core developments are as follows:SBI Holdings, Inc. (Tokyo Stock Exchange: 8473) announced the acquisition of the Japanese cryptocurrency exchange Bitbank (privately held) for approximately $289 million. After the transaction is completed, SBI's cryptocurrency business will surpass all competitors, creating Japan's largest cryptocurrency exchange. SBI Holdings is one of Japan's largest independent financial services groups, already owning cryptocurrency-friendly network bank SBI Shinsei Bank, cryptocurrency asset custodian SBI Digital Asset Holdings, and multiple Bitcoin mining and cryptocurrency venture capital investments. Bitbank is one of Japan's largest spot BTC exchanges and holds an official cryptocurrency exchange license from the Financial Services Agency (FSA) of Japan. This acquisition marks a shift for traditional Japanese financial institutions from "strategic trial" in the cryptocurrency sector to "scale acquisition dominance," alongside the joint stablecoin plan of the three major banks: Mitsubishi UFJ ($MUFG), Sumitomo Mitsui ($SMFG), and Mizuho ($MFG) (targeting March 2027), forming the most intensive wave of cryptocurrency layout in Japan's financial industry by 2026.U.S. Senators John Curtis (Republican, Utah) and Adam Schiff (Democrat, California) reported on June 28 that they jointly sent a letter to the CFTC, urging it to conduct a formal investigation into the prediction market platform Polymarket (privately held), citing a "concerning" investigative report regarding Polymarket's "deceptive marketing" practices, which accused it of systematic misleading in user acquisition and risk disclosure. This is the third regulatory offensive against prediction market platforms initiated by Congress this year (previously, the House Oversight Committee launched an insider trading investigation on May 22); the two senators come from different parties, which is significant. For Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: $HOOD), this investigation poses indirect pressure—Robinhood's prediction market/event contract business (which achieved a record daily trading volume in June) faces the same regulatory qualitative disputes as Polymarket; however, Robinhood's defensive advantage lies in its ongoing application for a CFTC Designated Contract Market (DCM) license, providing a clearer compliance path compared to Polymarket.