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1confirmation Partner: has participated in multiple rounds of financing for Polymarket and will continue to increase investment, optimistic about the information value of prediction markets

Nick Tomaino, a partner at 1confirmation, stated that 1confirmation has participated in all rounds of financing for Polymarket to date and has decided to increase its investment again. Although the fund focuses on seed-stage investments and typically does not participate in later-stage financing, it believes that Polymarket is worth breaking this investment convention.Nick Tomaino mentioned that there has been a demand for prediction markets for over a century, as users wish to place bets on events in politics, culture, and more. In the age of AI, one of the biggest challenges faced by young people is discerning the truth of information, and prediction markets can transform users' trading and investment enthusiasm into more accurate information.He emphasized that the long-term value of Polymarket is not just in sports betting, but in providing a more effective information discovery mechanism for political, geopolitical, and cultural events. Currently, while the U.S. market is primarily focused on sports trading, the accuracy of information is what gives prediction markets their more enduring value.Additionally, he believes that Polymarket's business is continuously upgrading, with the current management team performing excellently, and the products in the U.S. market are at an industry-leading level, with revenue consistently reaching new highs. Regarding the token program, he stated that while he did not fully agree with some of the related promotional methods previously, it is unreasonable to assert that the token program has lost its potential.Finally, Nick Tomaino stated that Polymarket founder Shayne has a strong desire for success and is one of the most direct and transparent people he knows.

first_img The New York Times: Suspicious bets appeared on Polymarket before the poll was released

According to a report by The New York Times, researchers at Vanderbilt University found that a Polymarket user bet nearly $200,000 on October 31, believing that Nebraska Senator Pete Ricketts would win re-election. About an hour later, a poll released jointly by The New York Times and Siena College showed Ricketts in the lead. The report stated that it is currently unclear whether the user had insider information, but their profit exceeded $77,000.The report also mentioned that the user made similar large bets in other markets, including Kalshi. Brett Goldstein from Vanderbilt University's National Security Research Institute stated that this series of events is difficult to consider as random occurrences and requires further investigation. Polymarket stated that it has identified related transactions and is investigating, while Kalshi declined to comment.In April of this year, Cointelegraph reported that a U.S. Army soldier was sued for profiting over $400,000 from bets in a prediction market, allegedly using non-public information related to U.S. actions against Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. The U.S. Department of Justice stated that Sergeant Gannon Ken Van Dyke was involved in the planning and execution of "Operation Absolute Resolve," which captured Maduro at a residence in Caracas, Venezuela, in January of this year. He is accused of using that information to buy "yes" shares of related Polymarket contracts, including "Maduro will resign before January 31."
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