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PPP market prediction tool monitoring shows that the probability of "ETH reaching $2700 during the remaining period of September" on Polymarket has risen to 66%, an increase of 38% in 24 hours. Additionally, the probability of reaching $2800 has risen to 40%, an increase of 24% in 24 hours.According to the settlement rules, if the highest price of any 1-minute K-line for Binance ETH/USDT reaches or exceeds the specified price within the designated month, the market will settle as "Yes"; otherwise, it will settle as "No". This market settlement is based solely on Binance ETH/USDT price data, and prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are not included.

Sandeep Nailwal, CEO of the Polygon Foundation, stated that Polygon is preparing to deploy a permissionless burn contract that allows anyone to permanently burn 100 million POL, which accounts for approximately 83% of the 121 million tokens held by the Polygon base fee collector. The contract is currently live on the testnet and will be deployed to the mainnet after the security committee completes the final signature.The first round of burns will permanently destroy 100 million POL, after which community members can trigger burns every quarter. Polygon's documentation indicates that the base fee is determined by the network and will be burned, with Nailwal stating that each base fee will inject POL into the collector. Based on the above data, approximately 21 million POL will remain in the collector after the initial burn.This burn represents about 1% of the initial supply of 10 billion POL, and based on a total supply of approximately 10.716 billion as shown by Blockscout, it accounts for about 0.93%. The burn will not set a hard cap on POL, which will continue to be issued, with an annual issuance rate of about 2% after June 2025. Nailwal also mentioned that POL has entered deflation starting January 2026, citing data from his "ChatGPT Analyst" that Polygon's revenue in 2026 will be $24.5 million, higher than Arbitrum's $8.41 million and Near's $5.6 million.

According to Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance has terminated its partnership with the prediction market Polymarket.It is reported that the two parties reached a cooperation agreement last November, and Polymarket had stated on social media that it had become Yahoo Finance's exclusive prediction market partner. The cooperation agreement included the establishment of a special section to display probability data related to "key economic, government, and market outcomes."

Polymarket announced the hiring of former Zora CEO Jacob Horne to lead product efforts, focusing on its DeFi business. Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan acknowledged that as the company scales, the performance of its on-chain products has "declined," with some long-term users believing that Polymarket has shifted its focus to the U.S. market. Coplan stated that the company is working to unify its products but did not disclose a specific launch timeline, nor did he mention adjustments regarding fees, liquidity, or routing.Polymarket plans to hold a DeFi community meeting "soon" to gather feedback and announce a roadmap; in the meantime, users can provide feedback directly to Horne or Coplan. This appointment gives Horne broad product responsibilities rather than a specific engineering role. An earlier diagnosis came from Polymarket DeFi Engineering Vice President Josh Stevens, who noted on August 31 that the existing Central Limit Order Book (CLOB) is "full of technical debt." Although the team has scaled it tenfold and increased speed threefold, the underlying architecture still has flaws, and fixing one issue may trigger another.Stevens stated that the existing codebase is "unsalvageable in the long run," and the matching engine is being rewritten from scratch in Rust, with the goal of completing it in the latter half of the fourth quarter. Early benchmarks show that the new system's p99 latency is 10 to 20 times faster than the current system, capable of processing 200,000 orders per second, approximately 15 times the existing capacity.

According to Front Office Sports, NBA superstar LeBron James' commercial contract with the prediction market platform Polymarket could be worth $15 million per year.Renowned basketball journalist Siegel pointed out that, based on the current understanding, commercial collaborations between NBA players and external companies do not necessarily violate the existing labor agreement. However, the issue arises if players in the future accept lower NBA contracts to create salary cap space for their teams in exchange for significant off-court income. Such arrangements could effectively resemble "salary cap circumvention." Even if they do not directly violate the rules in form, if there is a clear linkage between off-court income and team salaries, the NBA may pay closer attention to such operations in the future.

According to data submitted by the Korean National Police Agency to Democratic Party member Yoon Kyun-young's office, as of September 15, the Gangwon Provincial Police Agency's Cyber Investigation Team has initiated investigations into 26 Polymarket users, with 18 of them referred to the prosecution. The total betting amount involved is approximately 17.6 billion Korean won, with the highest individual bet being around 5.7 billion Korean won. The police believe that the trading activities on Polymarket clearly constitute illegal gambling.The Korean authorities identified and tracked these users by analyzing publicly available blockchain transaction records using open-source intelligence technology. The Korea Communications Standards Commission decided to block Polymarket on August 18. The KCSC determined that the platform's betting on uncontrollable events and its "winner takes all" profit model fostered a gambling mentality.

Polymarket Vice President of Engineering Josh Stevens tweeted that the team has built an indexing system using the open-source Rust tool rindexer, allowing on-chain events to be visible up to approximately 14 blocks (about 28 seconds) in advance, and completing indexing within 0-10 milliseconds after block broadcasting, approaching real-time.He stated that transaction, position, and balance refreshes will be faster. Goldsky continues to serve as data backup, and the main path has switched to self-built infrastructure.

Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan announced on X that Collin McKinney Hill has joined Polymarket as Vice President of Operations.Coplan introduced that Hill previously served as General Manager at DoorDash, overseeing one of the company's largest business units. Prior to that, he was Chief of Staff to Ray Dalio at Bridgewater Associates.

According to The Block, after Senate Republicans released the "final" version of the Clarity Act reflecting the amendments requested by Democrats, the probability of the bill passing on Polymarket in 2026 rose to 30%.

Polymarket data shows that traders expect a 64% probability that Bitcoin will reach $80,000 in September, and a 68.5% probability that it will drop to $75,000. Market pricing indicates a higher likelihood of a downward scenario. The market stipulates that if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute K-line highest price reaches or exceeds $80,000 before September 30, it will be determined as "Yes."The market was created on September 7, and prices before creation are not counted; Bitcoin reached $81,265 and $80,329 on September 4 and September 7, respectively. Polymarket data shows that the total trading volume for the September price event is $5.17 million, with liquidity of about $1.46 million; Bitcoin's intraday high reached $79,505, just $495 away from triggering conditions. The probabilities for $90,000 and $100,000 are 8.5% and 1.75%, respectively, while the probabilities for $72,500 and $70,000 are 40.5% and 22.5%.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has previously secretly approved at least three insider trading investigations related to Polymarket trading, involving contracts related to Biden's pardons, the Iran war, and Google-related events. The relevant investigation documents were obtained by WIRED through the Freedom of Information Act.Among them, CFTC Chairman Michael Selig approved an investigation into contracts related to Biden's pardons in May, after a trader had profited over $300,000 in the relevant market; in the same month, the CFTC also approved an investigation into Iran war contracts, after a group of suspicious accounts was reported to have profited $2.4 million with a win rate of about 98%. In July, the CFTC further initiated an investigation into Google-related Polymarket contracts, focusing on individuals who may have traded using non-public information regarding Google's 2025 search rankings. The Southern District Attorney's Office in New York is also conducting a parallel investigation.It is currently unclear whether the aforementioned accounts are connected to previously investigated individuals. Polymarket stated that the company would refer the relevant matters to law enforcement and cooperate with the investigation. As the prediction market rapidly expands, U.S. regulators are clearly intensifying their scrutiny of insider trading and market manipulation.

According to Bloomberg, Riot Games, a subsidiary of Tencent, is the developer of popular video games such as League of Legends and Valorant. According to informed sources, the company recently discussed esports sponsorship collaboration with two major prediction market operators, Kalshi and Polymarket.Riot Games spokesperson Joe Hixson stated in an email that prediction markets are an emerging field, and the company is evaluating them with a focus on maintaining the integrity of competitive events, the potential value to teams, the impact on fan experience, and alignment with the overall ecosystem goals.

The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) stated in its latest risk report that major prediction market platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi have not obtained the necessary authorization to provide event contract services in the EU, and some platforms only restrict users from certain EU countries. ESMA questioned the effectiveness of their geographical restrictions and VPN blocking measures.ESMA pointed out that event contracts may be classified as financial instruments based on their specific structure, fall under the MiCA framework, or be regulated by member states' betting regulations. If classified as financial instruments, their marketing, distribution, and sale to retail investors are generally subject to existing binary options restrictions.

ARK Invest crypto analyst Lorenzo Valente stated that stablecoins have a significant network effect. Although there are thousands of stablecoins in the market, as the market capitalization threshold increases, the number of tiers is rapidly leveling off. Currently, the stablecoins that are truly worth paying attention to are those with a market capitalization exceeding 10 billion dollars, gradually moving towards the 100 billion and 500 billion dollar levels.Data shows that the number of stablecoins with a market capitalization exceeding 1 billion dollars has only increased from single digits to the current 12 since 2021, while the number of stablecoins with a market capitalization exceeding 10 billion dollars has actually decreased from its peak in 2022, with only Tether and Circle's stablecoins remaining. Valente believes that entering the 10 billion dollar market capitalization club has become very difficult, and in the future, the 100 billion dollar level stablecoins may only have two competitors for a long time, while it may take more than two years for only one to reach the 500 billion dollar level.

According to Bloomberg, the prediction market platform Polymarket has appointed its first Chief Financial Officer (CFO) Warren Jenson, as the company seeks a new round of investment and attempts to regain growth momentum in competition with its main rival Kalshi.Jenson previously held senior financial positions at media research company Nielsen and marketing company LiveRamp, and officially joined Polymarket this week. Reports indicate that Polymarket has recently fallen behind Kalshi in market competition, and this CFO appointment is seen as an important move for the company to strengthen financial management and drive a new round of financing.

LayerZero announced the launch of Akita, calling it the first production-ready, lattice-based polynomial commitment scheme for post-quantum security.LayerZero stated that this is the first major step to achieve quantum security for Zero and will be implemented on the first day of Jolt's launch, thanks to collaboration with a16z crypto.

According to PR Newswire, the prediction market Polymarket announced today the launch of Squads, a brand new social feature within its U.S. version of the Polymarket app. Squads provides friends with a dedicated space for communication where users can discuss markets, share their prediction choices, and trade directly on Polymarket with friends.Squads brings market discussions that originally took place in group chats to the Polymarket platform, concentrating discussions and actual trading in one place, allowing friends to more easily participate and experience the prediction market together.

PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that the probability of "ETH reaching $2600 during the remaining period of September" on Polymarket has risen to 74%, up 10% in 24 hours. Additionally, the probability of reaching $2700 has risen to 51%, up 9% in 24 hours.According to the settlement rules, if the highest price of any 1-minute candlestick of Binance ETH/USDT reaches or exceeds the specified price within the designated month, the market will settle as "Yes"; otherwise, it will settle as "No". This market settlement is based solely on Binance ETH/USDT price data, and prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are not considered.

This set of posts seems to be the first public exposure of James's formal relationship with Polymarket. Polymarket, as well as representatives from James and the 76ers, did not immediately respond to The Block's request for comment. Previously, James's free agency decision generated approximately $273 million in related contract trading volume across major prediction platforms, according to Legal Sports Report, surpassing any single basketball game; data from Front Office Sports indicated that the related trading volume on Kalshi was about $226 million, while Polymarket's international platform exceeded $43 million.Most traders bet on the wrong outcome: before the official announcement, the odds of the 76ers winning were only about 9%, while the Heat were around 45%. James subsequently signed a two-year, $8 million contract with the 76ers, which includes a player option. Additionally, James had signed a multi-year talent ambassador agreement with DraftKings in 2024. Some fans expressed criticism of James's collaboration with prediction platforms in social media comments.