ChainCatcher news, according to CoinDesk, the decentralized prediction market platform Polymarket has announced the suspension of access to its platform for users in France. This move comes weeks after the French National Gaming Authority (ANJ) launched a gambling compliance investigation into the platform.It is reported that the investigation stems from a large bet placed by a French trader on the platform regarding Trump's victory in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Although Polymarket has implemented IP bans, users can still access the platform via VPN, according to the French cryptocurrency news site The Big Whale.As of the time of publication, Polymarket's terms of service have not been updated with the relevant restrictions.

ChainCatcher news, according to relevant pages, the probability of predicting "Bitcoin will break the $100,000 mark today (this Friday)" on Polymarket is 71%.As of the time of writing, $1.425 million has participated in this prediction.

ChainCatcher news, according to the "Bitcoin Highest Price This Month" prediction on Polymarket, the probability of Bitcoin reaching $110,000 this month has risen to 15%, while the probability of reaching $105,000 has increased to 31%.As of the time of publication, there has been $27.27 million involved in trading for this prediction.

ChainCatcher message, the prediction market Polymarket data shows that in the prediction for "Binance's next spot listing project," POPCAT is currently in the lead with a 21% probability, followed by GOAT (17%) and MOODENG (15%).Among other candidate tokens, FWOG is at 7%, BITCOIN at 4%, NEIRO at 3%, and Mog at 2%. The "None of the above" option has a support rate of 36%.

ChainCatcher news, Polymarket data shows that the probability of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh being appointed as U.S. Treasury Secretary by Trump has risen to 46%, maintaining the top position; the probability of Scott Bessent being appointed has dropped to 27%, while Howard Lutnick's appointment probability has decreased to 9%.The total amount wagered on this event exceeds $2 million.

ChainCatcher news, the prediction market Polymarket has released data indicating that the success probability of tomorrow's "chopsticks" robotic arm successfully recovering the SpaceX Super Heavy rocket has risen to 78%.SpaceX CEO Elon Musk responded that this prediction roughly aligns with his estimates. He stated that with technological advancements, the success rate will eventually approach 100%, but it is still in the early stages.

ChainCatcher news, according to the predicted market Polymarket data, the possibility of Trump establishing a national BTC reserve in the United States is 32%, down 27% from November 7.Previously, Galaxy Digital CEO Michael Novogratz stated in an interview with Bloomberg that he believes the likelihood of the U.S. establishing a Bitcoin strategic reserve is very low.However, he predicts that if the U.S. does establish such a reserve, it would push the price of the largest digital token up to $500,000, as other countries would also feel the need to establish similar reserves.

ChainCatcher news, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong criticized the recent investigation by the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) into the cryptocurrency prediction market Polymarket.Armstrong expressed his dissatisfaction on social media, believing that the DOJ's actions are politically motivated and may inadvertently strengthen Polymarket's influence. It is understood that the ongoing investigation involves the search of electronic devices belonging to Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan.

ChainCatcher news, according to The New York Times, the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) searched the home of the founder of the Polymarket betting site. Three insiders stated that the search of Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan is part of a criminal investigation.Polymarket claims that the raid is retaliation against its users for overwhelmingly betting that Trump will win the election. The site showed a high probability of Trump winning before the election, while the likelihood of Harris winning was very low, which is inconsistent with most mainstream polling results.Previous report, the U.S. Department of Justice is investigating the cryptocurrency prediction platform Polymarket, accusing it of accepting trades from U.S. users.

ChainCatcher message, Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan responded on X regarding the platform's investigation by the U.S. Department of Justice: "It is frustrating that the current administration would make a last-ditch effort to go after companies they believe are associated with political opponents.We are firmly committed to a nonpartisan stance, and today is no exception, but the current administration should engage in some self-reflection and recognize that taking a more business-friendly and entrepreneurial approach could change the fate of this election for them.Polymarket has provided value to tens of millions of people during this election cycle, while harming no one. We take great pride in this. I can say with my head held high that the future of America, especially the future of American entrepreneurship, has never been brighter. In the face of adversity, we continue to build."

ChainCatcher news, sources revealed that the U.S. Department of Justice is investigating the cryptocurrency prediction platform Polymarket, accusing it of accepting trades from U.S. users. The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) issued a search warrant for Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan and confiscated his phone and electronic devices.According to an agreement reached with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in 2022, Polymarket will block U.S. traders from trading on the platform. Polymarket stated in a release that the company will "stand up for ourselves and our community," and accused the FBI's search of being politically motivated, "Polymarket is a fully transparent prediction market that helps ordinary people better understand the events that matter most to them, including elections."The company, led by Coplan, reached an enforcement settlement with the CFTC two years ago, agreeing not only to block U.S. users but also to pay a $1.4 million fine. The company has recently stated that it has taken additional measures to verify and block users suspected of being U.S. citizens or residents.