ChainCatcher news, according to relevant page information, the probability of predicting "Ethereum will not reach a new all-time high this year" on Polymarket has risen to 87%. The probability of "Ethereum will reach an ATH this year" has fallen to only 13%.It is worth noting that on December 7, influenced by the market sentiment at that time, the probability of "Ethereum will reach an ATH this year" on Polymarket once soared to 41%.As of the time of publication, a total of $10,195,803 has participated in this prediction.

ChainCatcher message, according to the predicted market Polymarket data, the probability of "Ethereum not breaking its historical high before the end of 2024" is 81%, with the corresponding prediction contract's cumulative trading volume reaching 9.646 million dollars.

ChainCatcher news, according to Polymarket data, the probability of Trump winning Time's Person of the Year has risen to 81%, while Musk is currently ranked second on Polymarket with a support rate of 9%.

ChainCatcher news, according to DL News, after the murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson on December 4, the meme coin LUIGI related to suspect Luigi Mangione quickly gained popularity on the Solana chain, with its market cap soaring to $77 million before significantly dropping back to $17 million.Another token related to the case, "Deny. Defend. Depose" (derived from the text found on a shell casing at the crime scene), also reached a market cap of $3.4 million, which has now fallen to $836,000. There are 8 related betting markets on the prediction market Polymarket, with a total betting amount of nearly $500,000, including $56,000 on the question "What will Luigi Mangione say in his statement?"Industry insiders commented, "Solana meme coins once again prove to be the best source for news, with the Luigi Mangione-related token launched just minutes after the incident." However, such meme coins based on violent events have sparked discussions within the industry about ethical boundaries. Previously, platforms like pump.fun were banned in the UK for issuing meme coins with racist connotations.

ChainCatcher message, according to Polymarket data, the probability prediction for "Microsoft shareholders voting in favor of Bitcoin investment" is 12%. Currently, there is 2.99 million dollars participating in this prediction.

ChainCatcher message, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin stated on Warpcast: "The idea of developing applications for the sake of needing applications is fundamentally soulless; it completely abandons the notion that cryptocurrency is meant to bring about concrete changes in the world, making it more free, open, and collaborative. At the same time, ignoring applications and focusing on generality is also a short-term escape strategy.What we need are specific categories of applications that can truly make the world more free, open, and collaborative, and that can achieve organic usage. Polymarket is a good example, and anoncast is also a great opportunity to bring the best free speech to the forefront while avoiding the quagmire of spam and low-quality content."

ChainCatcher news, according to CoinDesk, the decentralized prediction market platform Polymarket has announced the suspension of access to its platform for users in France. This move comes weeks after the French National Gaming Authority (ANJ) launched a gambling compliance investigation into the platform.It is reported that the investigation stems from a large bet placed by a French trader on the platform regarding Trump's victory in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Although Polymarket has implemented IP bans, users can still access the platform via VPN, according to the French cryptocurrency news site The Big Whale.As of the time of publication, Polymarket's terms of service have not been updated with the relevant restrictions.

ChainCatcher news, according to relevant pages, the probability of predicting "Bitcoin will break the $100,000 mark today (this Friday)" on Polymarket is 71%.As of the time of writing, $1.425 million has participated in this prediction.

ChainCatcher news, according to the "Bitcoin Highest Price This Month" prediction on Polymarket, the probability of Bitcoin reaching $110,000 this month has risen to 15%, while the probability of reaching $105,000 has increased to 31%.As of the time of publication, there has been $27.27 million involved in trading for this prediction.

ChainCatcher message, the prediction market Polymarket data shows that in the prediction for "Binance's next spot listing project," POPCAT is currently in the lead with a 21% probability, followed by GOAT (17%) and MOODENG (15%).Among other candidate tokens, FWOG is at 7%, BITCOIN at 4%, NEIRO at 3%, and Mog at 2%. The "None of the above" option has a support rate of 36%.

ChainCatcher news, Polymarket data shows that the probability of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh being appointed as U.S. Treasury Secretary by Trump has risen to 46%, maintaining the top position; the probability of Scott Bessent being appointed has dropped to 27%, while Howard Lutnick's appointment probability has decreased to 9%.The total amount wagered on this event exceeds $2 million.

ChainCatcher news, the prediction market Polymarket has released data indicating that the success probability of tomorrow's "chopsticks" robotic arm successfully recovering the SpaceX Super Heavy rocket has risen to 78%.SpaceX CEO Elon Musk responded that this prediction roughly aligns with his estimates. He stated that with technological advancements, the success rate will eventually approach 100%, but it is still in the early stages.

ChainCatcher news, according to the predicted market Polymarket data, the possibility of Trump establishing a national BTC reserve in the United States is 32%, down 27% from November 7.Previously, Galaxy Digital CEO Michael Novogratz stated in an interview with Bloomberg that he believes the likelihood of the U.S. establishing a Bitcoin strategic reserve is very low.However, he predicts that if the U.S. does establish such a reserve, it would push the price of the largest digital token up to $500,000, as other countries would also feel the need to establish similar reserves.