ETH ETF

Greeks.live: This week is a macro big week, and the SEC is likely to respond to the ETH ETF

ChainCatcher news, Greeks.live macro researcher Adam posted on the X platform stating that this week is a macro big week, with the core focus being on Friday's U.S. unemployment rate and non-farm data. After a period of silence, the macro market is making a comeback, with important macro events occurring every weekday.In terms of cryptocurrency, the SEC is likely to respond to the ETH ETF this week. Although the chances of direct approval are low, positive news is highly probable. The quarterly settlement has just ended, and implied volatility (IV) across major maturities is quite low, making it a good opportunity to build positions.Regarding the outlook for the cryptocurrency market, the cryptocurrency market has experienced a tough month. Since entering a correction in mid-March this year, BTC and ETH have mostly been in a downward oscillation, and the crypto market is relatively sluggish. Currently, overall IV is at a low level, and the margin released from the quarterly settlement will gradually return to the market.As for the cryptocurrency interest rate market, the Bitfinex interest rate market is relatively quiet, with occasional good interest rate orders. Suitable interest rate orders can be actively executed.Key events this week:7/1 MondayU.S. June ISM Manufacturing PMI7/2 TuesdayFederal Reserve Chairman Powell, European Central Bank President Lagarde, and Brazilian Central Bank President Neto will speak at the central bank forum held by the European Central Bank.Reserve Bank of Australia releases minutes from the June monetary policy meeting.7/3 WednesdayU.S. June ADP Employment ChangeU.S. Initial Jobless Claims for the week7/4 ThursdayFederal Reserve releases minutes from the monetary policy meeting.General election in the UK.European Central Bank releases minutes from the June monetary policy meeting.U.S. SEC may approve the Ethereum spot ETF as early as today.7/5 FridayU.S. June Unemployment RateU.S. June Non-Farm Payrolls

Greeks.live: The volatility brought by the ETH ETF has completely subsided, and the market's volatility expectations are low

ChainCatcher news, Greeks.live macro researcher Adam posted on the X platform that the key macro events to focus on this week are the U.S. unemployment rate and non-farm data on Friday. The approval of the ETH ETF is expected to happen as early as the end of this month, and investors need to pay attention to related news. Currently, the implied volatility (IV) is rapidly declining, indicating lower expected volatility, but once news of the ETF approval is revealed, off-market funds will quickly drive up the ETH price.The volatility brought by the ETH ETF has completely subsided, and the market has returned to a sideways trend, with ETH still leading the entire cryptocurrency market. The market's volatility expectations are low, and the IV for major terms continues to decline, with only the current month's ETH IV slightly higher, mainly due to the expectation of ETF approval at the end of this month.In the crypto interest rate market, Bitfinex spot whales have begun to consistently bottom-fish, and the green leaf interest rate market often encounters orders with an annualized rate of 20%.Key events this week:6/5 WednesdayU.S. ADP employment change for MayBank of Canada interest rate decisionFTX creditors' committee: assessing the restructuring plan and disclosure statement, objections to the disclosure statement must be submitted by June 56/6 ThursdayEurozone European Central Bank main refinancing rateU.S. initial jobless claims for the week6/7 FridayU.S. unemployment rate for MayU.S. seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls for May

Greeks.live: The volatility of the cryptocurrency market has recently decreased rapidly, and the IV has dropped quickly

ChainCatcher message, Greeks.live macro researcher Adam posted on the X platform stating that there are few macro events this week that do not affect the macro market. In the crypto space, the main focus is on the approval of the ETH ETF, but the likelihood of it being directly listed is low, with expected volatility being small. Recently, the volatility in the crypto market has rapidly decreased, with IV declining quickly, and the funding and block trading data for ETFs are still worth paying attention to.Crypto market outlook: The meme craze in the US stock market has faded, while Bitcoin ETFs continue to see inflows. ETH is leading the entire cryptocurrency market, ending May with gains driven by ETH, while April was the month with the deepest correction in nearly a year. Market volatility expectations are low, with IVs for major terms retreating.In the crypto interest rate market, Bitfinex spot whales have started to consistently bottom-fish, and the green leaf interest rate market often encounters orders with annualized rates of 20%.Key events this week:5/28 Tuesday *The US stock trading settlement cycle changes from T+2 to T+1The London Stock Exchange accepts listing applications for Bitcoin and Ethereum ETNs5/29 Wednesday *The US SEC will announce its decision on the listing of spot Bitcoin ETF options5/30 Thursday *The Federal Reserve will release the Beige Book on economic conditionsInitial jobless claims in the US for the week5/31 Friday *US Core PCE Price Index for AprilOKX HK withdraws VASP license application, supporting only Hong Kong users for withdrawals after May 31
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