Andrew Kang

Andrew Kang: The market has overly high expectations for Ethereum ETFs, and the upside potential for ETH is limited

ChainCatcher news, Andrew Kang, co-founder and partner of the crypto venture capital firm Mechanism Capital, published an in-depth analysis on social media regarding the impact of Ethereum ETFs. The article states, "Although the launch of Bitcoin ETFs has attracted a large number of investors, the impact of Ethereum ETFs remains unclear. Data shows that Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated assets under management of $50 billion, but net inflows are only $14.5 billion. In contrast, the estimated net inflow for Ethereum ETFs is only 10% of Bitcoin's, which is $0.5 billion.Andrew Kang points out that Ethereum's appeal as a tech asset is not as strong as Bitcoin's as a macro asset, and the differences in market positioning and holder base have led to this outcome. It is expected that the net buying volume for Ethereum ETFs will be far lower than that of Bitcoin ETFs, and the market's expectations for Ethereum ETFs may be overly optimistic.Before the ETF launch, Andrew Kang predicted that the price of Ethereum would be between $3,000 and $3,800, while after the launch it might be between $2,400 and $3,000. Despite the weaker holder base of Ethereum, there is still hope for the future, especially with improvements in financial infrastructure.Investors should be cautious about the market expectations for Ethereum ETFs to avoid investment risks caused by overly high expectations."

Andrew Kang: The approval of the spot Ethereum ETF is expected to be delayed by 1 to 2 quarters

ChainCatcher news, Mechanism Capital co-founder Andrew Kang posted on the X platform: "I believe the approval of a spot Ethereum (Ether) ETF may be delayed by one to two quarters. Some market views currently indicate that the timeline suggested by experts for seeking approval for the ETF to be added to wealth management platforms has been pushed back from the originally planned end of May to the fourth quarter.I believe the market structure is significantly different from previous cycles, with more DCA buyers creating higher bottoms and equilibrium points for Bitcoin, while the leverage of large momentum players (such as 3AC, Alameda, Celsius, etc.) is relatively small.For Ethereum, I predict its price may remain stable until the ETF is launched, but the upside potential this year is limited, expected to peak around $4000. However, if the capital flow performs disappointingly or there is a large sell-off of ETH, its price could drop to between $2000 and $3000. I have noticed that the promotion and familiarity of Ethereum in the market are exceptionally high, which has led investors to have slightly higher expectations for the ETF compared to ordinary buyers. Solana has performed well in this cycle, but it has also seen a reflexive demand for meme trading, which has impacted both directions. If meme trading pauses in the coming months, we are likely to see SOL's price approach $80 again."
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