ChainCatcher news, Bitget wallet's official spokesperson KajiQ stated during the roundtable discussion on "2025 New Trends in Crypto" at the "Web3 Future Night" event that the approval of the Bitcoin spot ETF has brought short-term trading opportunities and is one of the important reasons driving BTC close to $100,000. However, it has also weakened the independence and speculative nature of the crypto market.She also pointed out that Trump has released many favorable signals, but the mid-term realization efficiency is insufficient, making it difficult to support a sustained upward trend. At the same time, altcoins have not significantly benefited under the macro favorable conditions.It is reported that the "Web3 Future Night" event is co-hosted by ChainCatcher and the digital asset platform CoinUp.io, and is a high-end social feast in the crypto field, bringing together ideas and business opportunities.

ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, Fidelity Digital Assets has questioned the view that "Bitcoin has reached a cycle peak" in its latest report, suggesting that Bitcoin may be on the brink of the next "acceleration phase."Fidelity analyst Zack Wainwright pointed out that a typical characteristic of Bitcoin's acceleration phase is "high volatility and high returns," similar to the market performance when BTC broke through $20,000 in December 2020. Although Bitcoin's year-to-date return is -11.44%, having retraced nearly 25% from its historical high, Wainwright believes that the recent performance aligns with the average retracement seen after acceleration phases in previous cycles.Wainwright believes that Bitcoin is currently still in the acceleration phase but is nearing the end of the cycle, having lasted 232 days as of March 3. Historical data shows that the acceleration phases in 2010-2011, 2015, and 2017 peaked on the 244th day, 261st day, and 280th day respectively, with each cycle lasting longer. However, historically, acceleration phases usually feature two major upward waves, with the first wave occurring after the election this time. If it can break through the previous high again, the starting point for the second major upward wave may be around $110,000.

ChainCatcher news reports that, according to 4E monitoring, Trump may ease tariff plans, somewhat alleviating market anxiety over a full-blown trade war, supporting the continued rebound of U.S. stocks. On Tuesday, the three major U.S. stock indices rose slightly, continuing Monday's gains. The S&P 500 rose by 0.16%, the Dow Jones increased by 0.01%, and the Nasdaq gained 0.46%. Most large tech stocks were up, with Tesla rising over 3% for five consecutive days, accumulating a total increase of 28%.The cryptocurrency market is fluctuating upward, with Bitcoin retreating after reaching a high of $88,765 on Monday, and last night it broke through $88,000 again, showing strong upward momentum. As of the time of writing, it has slightly retreated, hovering above $87,000, with a 24-hour increase narrowing to 0.8%. Most sectors in the market are rising, with the Meme sector continuing to perform strongly. Current market sentiment is optimistic; historically, risk assets tend to perform best in the second quarter, especially in April each year.In the forex and commodities sector, the latest economic data showed weakness, causing the dollar index to turn down after reaching a nearly three-week high, ending a four-day winning streak; oil prices fell slightly due to the impact of the Russia-Ukraine agreement; with a poor economic outlook, spot gold rose by 0.31%, reversing a trend of three consecutive days of decline.The U.S. Consumer Confidence Index for March, released last night, fell below expectations, dropping to its lowest level in four years, reflecting consumer concerns about the economic outlook. The disappointing data significantly slowed the upward momentum of U.S. stocks, with the three major indices narrowly maintaining their gains. As the April 2 effective date for reciprocal tariffs approaches, the market is closely watching how related policies will affect economic growth and inflation.

ChainCatcher news, QCP Capital's latest analysis points out that although the possibility of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve this Wednesday is extremely low, any dovish signals from Powell could act as a catalyst for Bitcoin's upward momentum. As the U.S. shifts from "fiscal dominance" (government spending driving growth) to deficit reduction pushed by Trump, the burden of policy has shifted back to monetary policy. While QCP does not expect an unexpected rate cut from the Federal Reserve, dovish signals could trigger upward momentum in the market.Macro volatility has eased slightly, with the VIX index retreating to around 20, and Bitcoin's volatility has also decreased, currently oscillating within the $80,000 to $85,000 range. In the absence of new tariff news, geopolitical issues have returned to focus. Gold prices have broken through $3,000, while Bitcoin continues to show a negative correlation.Historically, cryptocurrency prices tend to lag behind changes in global liquidity conditions. With the possible policy shift from the Federal Reserve and a new round of stimulus measures from Europe and China, Bitcoin may welcome a new round of upward trends after this adjustment.

ChainCatcher news, Cloverpool data shows that the Bitcoin mining difficulty experienced an adjustment at block height 887,040 (Beijing time 03-09 23:58:46), with a difficulty increase of 1.43% to 112.15 T, and an average hash rate of 821.98 EH/s, close to the historical high (114.17). The current network difficulty is 112.15 EH/s, and the next difficulty adjustment is predicted to be 112.58 T.Previous news, Bitcoin mining difficulty decreased by 3.15% to 110.57 T.

ChainCatcher news, according to a research report by Kaiko, the market slump in February triggered several waves of liquidations, significantly reducing the leverage levels of the top ten altcoins. Analysts believe that this position reset has created a healthier foundation for the cryptocurrency market, potentially paving the way for a more sustained upward trend in the coming weeks.The report notes that with the U.S. announcing the establishment of a strategic cryptocurrency reserve plan, although Bitcoin's reaction was relatively muted, overall market volatility surged, especially among altcoins. The intra-day volatility, which had been below 200% since the tariff sell-off in February, skyrocketed after the announcement, with ADA's volatility breaking 600%, marking the largest increase among major altcoins.Kaiko's analysis indicates that the inclusion of specific altcoins in the U.S. strategic reserve may accelerate the rotation of capital among altcoins, reinforcing the trend of concentrated gains in altcoins. Since last November, trading activity on U.S. exchanges has increasingly been dominated by large-cap assets. A year ago, the top ten altcoins accounted for 58% of altcoin trading volume on U.S. platforms, and 50% on offshore exchanges; as of last week, these shares have risen to 77% and 66%, respectively.

ChainCatcher news, according to on-chain analyst @ai_9684xtpa's monitoring, Amber Group is suspected of accumulating 11,000 ETH during the upward trend, worth 27.49 million USD.Affected by Trump's "call," ETH rose nearly 400 dollars overnight, currently priced at 2437 dollars; Amber proposed this portion of tokens seven hours ago at a price of 2499 dollars, but the actual buying point may be lower.

ChainCatcher news, according to Theblock, Bitcoin has experienced a turbulent week, dropping 21% from its historical high of $110,000. 21Shares cryptocurrency research strategist Matt Mena believes that some positive catalysts may emerge in the future. He pointed out that Nvidia's strong earnings report released on Wednesday and potential signs of further inflation cooling in Friday's core PCE data are key events that could drive Bitcoin prices higher.Matt Mena stated, "Positive regulatory tailwinds, combined with Nvidia's strong earnings (which indicate sustained demand driven by artificial intelligence and boost overall risk sentiment), along with positive growth in this Friday's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data, could create a perfect macro environment for Bitcoin, allowing it not only to recover previous highs but also potentially break through $150,000 as institutional and retail confidence surges."Matt Mena also emphasized that regulatory clarity could change the game for Bitcoin, especially in attracting institutional capital. He added, "If the U.S. provides clear guidance on stablecoins and broader digital asset regulation, we could see a significant influx of institutional funds into the space."

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, ECB Executive Board member Schnabel hinted that rate setters may have nearly completed the interest rate cuts in the eurozone.He warned that as interest rates decline significantly, inflation risks are increasingly tilted to the upside. There is a general belief that, given signs of weak economic growth, the ECB Governing Council will cut rates again when it meets in early March. However, the hawkish Schnabel stated that the ECB should now begin discussing "whether to pause or stop" the rate cuts. This statement highlights the growing tension within the ECB regarding the economic outlook and marks the strongest indication so far that some of the 26 members of the ECB Governing Council believe they may soon need to slow down the pace of rate cuts or even stop them altogether.

ChainCatcher news, QCP Capital's latest analysis points out that the term structure of the Ethereum options market has shown a significant distortion around the March expiration date, which may be related to the anticipated Pectra upgrade set to launch in early April.Looking back at history, the September 2022 merge upgrade followed the "buy the rumor, sell the news" pattern, with ETH surging before the upgrade and then retreating; while the initial performance of the Shanghai upgrade in April 2023 was pessimistic due to supply concerns, ETH rose 30% after selling pressure did not materialize. The current market may be positioning for the Pectra upgrade, with options volatility leaning bullish after March 28, indicating potential upward expectations.However, the weakness in the altcoin market poses a restraining factor, with the LIBRA collapse, SOL and ETH retreating to pre-election levels, and Bitcoin's market cap nearing historical highs. The continued recovery of altcoins relies on substantial progress in real applications and network development, rather than just speculative funding.

ChainCatcher news, QCP Capital's latest analysis points out that the term structure of the options market has shown a significant distortion around the March expiration date, particularly in Ethereum options. This may reflect the market's positioning for the Ethereum Pectra upgrade, which is currently in the testing phase and expected to go live in early April.Looking back at past upgrades, the September 2022 merge upgrade followed the typical "buy the rumor, sell the news" pattern—ETH fell back after rising over 100% from the June low post-upgrade. In contrast, the Shanghai upgrade in April 2023, which enabled staking withdrawals, faced pessimism due to market concerns about oversupply. However, once the market realized that the selling pressure did not materialize as expected, ETH rose by 30% in the following months.As expectations for the upgrade heat up, traders may be positioning for another volatility event, with options volatility skewed towards call options after March 28—this could lay the groundwork for the next thematic play in the crypto market following the Trump tariff turmoil.One dampening factor is the general weakness in the altcoin market—LIBRA's collapse, SOL and ETH retreating to pre-election levels, and Bitcoin's market cap share nearing historical highs. Beyond market catalysts, altcoins may need to achieve substantial progress in real-world applications and network development to sustain a recovery, rather than relying solely on speculative capital flows.

ChainCatcher news, Cactus Custody officially launches the Cactus mobile auditing tool, combining Passkey and PWA (Progressive Web App) to break free from device limitations.The Cactus mobile auditing tool supports Passkey + UKey, device fingerprint binding, and Face ID one-touch authorization, achieving efficient and secure mobile approvals. It features plug-and-play, minimalist binding, efficient approval, intelligent push notifications, and multi-account support.As one of Asia's trusted institutional-grade digital asset custodians, Cactus Custody has obtained ISO certification and holds a Hong Kong license (No. TC006789), while also receiving a temporary exemption from the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS). Cactus Custody strictly adheres to capital reserve standards and anti-money laundering and counter-terrorism financing regulations, simplifying digital asset management with professionalism and confidence, and always upholding the mission of "safety first, integrity-based," providing comprehensive protection for users' digital assets.

ChainCatcher news, according to an analysis by Glassnode co-founder Negentropic, during the recent market adjustment, the total market capitalization index of altcoins (Total 3) successfully held key support levels, with multiple altcoins showing signs of final sell-off.With Bitcoin's market cap reaching a 4-year high, the maintenance of the Total 3 index trend indicates that off-exchange funds are continuously accumulating, which may signal the altcoin market is about to enter a new round of upward momentum.

ChainCatcher message, on-chain analyst Ali posted on platform X stating: "The failure of this head and shoulders pattern in the chart indicates a potential upward target for BTC of $122,000."

ChainCatcher news, according to BusinessInsider, LMAX Group market strategist Joel Kruger stated: "Technically, Bitcoin is currently consolidating well after reaching a new all-time high this week. According to our chart analysis, Bitcoin is now ready for the next significant upward expansion towards $130,000."

ChainCatcher news, QCP Capital's latest analysis indicates that the global market is digesting the impact of the adjustment in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surged to its highest level since the end of 2023 at 4.8%, with the market not expecting any rate cuts until at least October. Stock index futures opened down 1.5%, causing Bitcoin to briefly drop below $90,000, before rebounding to above $95,000.QCP Capital expects that the upcoming PPI and CPI data may present upward risks. The market is adapting to the reality of a prolonged high-interest-rate environment, with some investors even considering the possibility of rate hikes. The Bitcoin options market shows cautious sentiment, with investors rolling over put options below the $90,000 support level, while near-month volatility and butterfly spreads remain elevated, and the VIX index stays at 18.68, suggesting that market volatility may persist into January.The report also notes that Trump may sign an executive order on his first day in office to address the issue of "de-banking" and repeal the controversial cryptocurrency accounting policy, which could bring positive catalysts to the market.

According to ChainCatcher news, CoinDesk reported that the Bitcoin network difficulty was adjusted to 110.45T (trillion) this morning, setting a new historical high, marking the 8th consecutive positive adjustment. Historical data indicates that when Bitcoin experiences such a series of consecutive difficulty adjustments, it often signals that the market cycle's top or bottom is approaching.Similar consecutive adjustments occurred during the 2018 bear market and the 2021 bull market. After 9 consecutive adjustments from July to November 2021, the Bitcoin price reached a high of $69,000; whereas in 2018, there were 17 consecutive adjustments, after which Bitcoin entered a bear market, dropping to a low of $3,000.The current 7-day moving average of Bitcoin's hash rate has reached 775 EH/s, and CoinDesk Research predicts it may reach 1 ZH/s before the next halving. In the face of increasing competition, some listed mining companies, such as MARA Holdings, have shifted towards high-performance computing and AI, optimizing revenue through methods such as issuing convertible bonds to purchase Bitcoin and lending Bitcoin for single-digit returns.

ChainCatcher message, on-chain analyst Ali shared Glassnode data on X, indicating that after a long distribution period, the number of independent wallets holding at least 1 BTC has shown an upward trend again.

ChainCatcher news, cryptocurrency analyst Satoshi Flipper posted on the X platform that once the price of Ethereum breaks through the psychological barrier of $3,500, there is potential for more upward momentum.He pointed out that the ETH price is currently trying to turn the $3,500 level from a resistance level to a support level. As expected, breaking through such a psychological number like $3,500 attracts more attention from retail investors, but if ETH cannot break through this barrier, investor sentiment may be negatively impacted.