Kaiko

Kaiko: The wave of liquidations in February has reduced the leverage of altcoins, potentially paving the way for a more sustained upward trend in the future

ChainCatcher news, according to a research report by Kaiko, the market slump in February triggered several waves of liquidations, significantly reducing the leverage levels of the top ten altcoins. Analysts believe that this position reset has created a healthier foundation for the cryptocurrency market, potentially paving the way for a more sustained upward trend in the coming weeks.The report notes that with the U.S. announcing the establishment of a strategic cryptocurrency reserve plan, although Bitcoin's reaction was relatively muted, overall market volatility surged, especially among altcoins. The intra-day volatility, which had been below 200% since the tariff sell-off in February, skyrocketed after the announcement, with ADA's volatility breaking 600%, marking the largest increase among major altcoins.Kaiko's analysis indicates that the inclusion of specific altcoins in the U.S. strategic reserve may accelerate the rotation of capital among altcoins, reinforcing the trend of concentrated gains in altcoins. Since last November, trading activity on U.S. exchanges has increasingly been dominated by large-cap assets. A year ago, the top ten altcoins accounted for 58% of altcoin trading volume on U.S. platforms, and 50% on offshore exchanges; as of last week, these shares have risen to 77% and 66%, respectively.

Kaiko: ETF options are the latest bullish signal for BTC

ChainCatcher news, Kaiko released a report stating that ETF options are the latest bullish signal for BTC. Last week, several BTC ETF options made their debut, with BlackRock's IBIT options reaching a notional trading volume of $1.9 billion on the first day, totaling 354,000 contracts. In comparison, BITO options had a trading volume of $360 million when they launched in 2021. This strong buying power highlights the robust demand for BTC-linked derivatives and bullish market sentiment.Notably, over 80% of the IBIT first-day options trading volume was in call options, reflecting a strong belief in the price increase of Bitcoin. Trading activity was primarily concentrated on options with near-term expirations, with contracts expiring in December 2024 dominating. The share of IBIT call options significantly exceeded that of the largest crypto-native options market, Deribit, where call options accounted for 64% of trades.The launch of BTC spot ETF options could further accelerate institutional adoption. These tools allow investors to hedge risks and devise complex strategies to profit from Bitcoin's volatility. Additionally, they could drive the creation of structured products, which offer customized investments with specific risk-return characteristics, often developed by large financial institutions. This could attract new capital and a new wave of experienced institutional traders.

Kaiko: Wash trading by DeFi issuers is still "widespread"

ChainCatcher news, according to Bloomberg, research firm Kaiko stated that the wash trading strategy used to enhance the value of the FBI-created token NexFundAI remains a common practice on decentralized exchanges (DEX) and can also be encountered on certain centralized exchanges.In a report on Thursday, Kaiko analysts indicated that their data shows that among over 200,000 assets on Ethereum DEX, many lack utility and are controlled by individuals; some token issuers are establishing short-term liquidity pools on the exchange Uniswap, controlling the liquidity in the pools and engaging in wash trading to attract other investors; once others enter, the issuers sell off the tokens, achieving returns of up to 22 times their initial Ethereum investment within about 10 days; this analysis reveals widespread fraudulent behavior among token issuers, extending beyond the scope of the FBI's NexFundAI investigation.Kaiko noted that certain centralized exchanges, such as HTX and Poloniex, also appear to have wash trading. According to Kaiko, these exchanges have the highest number of assets, with trading volume to liquidity ratios exceeding 100 times, which may be an indication of wash trading.Kaiko also stated, "We can also see that tokens such as meme coins, privacy coins, and low market cap altcoins often exhibit abnormally high trading volume to depth ratios." Taking the meme coin Pepe as an example, Kaiko found that "in 2024, there is a significant divergence in trading volume trends between HTX and other platforms. The PEPE trading volume on HTX remains high, even increasing in July, while the trading volume on most other exchanges has declined."
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