narrative

QCP Capital: As the cryptocurrency narrative thins, the stock market remains the main focus

ChainCatcher news, QCP Capital's latest analysis points out that over the weekend, a Bitcoin whale opened a short position of $400 million, with an average entry price of $84,000 and a liquidation price of about $86,000. This triggered market volatility on Sunday, as some trading groups attempted to force the liquidation of this highly leveraged 40x position, which only required a 2.5% price movement. Nevertheless, the position remains open and has incurred nearly $400,000 in funding fees.The report indicates that the Crypto Fear and Greed Index currently stands at 32% (in the fear range), reflecting a persistent risk-averse sentiment, especially considering the overall negative sentiment in the stock market. This further reinforces Bitcoin's role as a macro hedge tool. For instance, last Friday, the BTC-17MAR25-80k-P options were actively bought 300 times, clearly aimed at hedging against weekend volatility risks.Despite the ongoing market noise, Bitcoin remains stable above $80,000, showing stronger resilience compared to the stock market. In contrast, U.S. stock index futures opened lower this morning due to renewed concerns about an economic recession. This stems from comments made by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who stated that the possibility of a recession cannot be ruled out, echoing sentiments previously expressed by Trump. The market will focus on tonight's U.S. retail sales data to further clarify whether the 0.9% decline in January retail sales is the first signal of a slowdown in consumer spending or merely a pullback following a strong end to the 2024 holiday season.The report suggests that as the cryptocurrency narrative thins, the stock market remains the main focus. Last week's lower-than-expected U.S. CPI data provided temporary relief, but the Federal Reserve is unlikely to pivot to a dovish stance immediately. Given the ongoing tariff risks and inflation concerns, the outlook for interest rate cuts remains uncertain. Therefore, QCP Capital expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at this Wednesday's FOMC meeting. However, as the market seeks any clues about the Fed's next moves, especially amid uncertainties surrounding Trump's policy shifts, market volatility may remain elevated.

"Trends and Rhythm of the New Web3 Cycle" Roundtable Discussion: Memes Have a Longer Lifespan Than Most Narratives

ChainCatcher news, during the "Trends and Rhythms of the New Web3 Cycle" event held at Consensus HK, Kyle, partner of cooking.city & co-founder of EVG, 0xbing, investor at Paper Venture, crypto KOL YuYue, Vand Ni, founder of Asian on Chain, and Leo Li, Web3 product manager at OKX, held a roundtable discussion on the theme of "The Advanced Path of Meme and P Players."Regarding the trading skills that meme players are most concerned about, YuYue stated that, in addition to establishing their own methodology, it is fundamentally necessary to invest enough time and effort to potentially enter at lower price points. Vand Ni shared a similar view, noting that when only a few memes can emerge from a large volume of meme trading, players need time to cultivate their sensitivity and iterative skills. Leo Li believes it is necessary to reduce trading frequency, as high-frequency PVP poses too great a challenge for many ordinary players.On the impact of celebrities like Trump issuing coins on the meme market, Kyle believes it accelerates the attention of the outside market towards memes. As a primary investor, 0xbing feels that figures like Trump attract significant market attention, which has impacted primary investments to some extent. YuYue believes that the continued popularity of memes forces the market to rethink its valuation system, suggesting that memes may have a longer lifespan than most narratives.
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