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BTC $73,849.89 +0.53%
ETH $2,023.87 +0.54%
BNB $723.45 +7.82%
XRP $1.34 -0.38%
SOL $82.71 +0.56%
TRX $0.3471 +1.48%
DOGE $0.1005 -0.51%
ADA $0.2369 +0.82%
BCH $306.63 +1.69%
LINK $9.23 +1.02%
HYPE $69.41 +5.24%
AAVE $82.98 +0.54%
SUI $0.9032 +0.35%
XLM $0.2307 -8.34%
ZEC $547.47 +5.37%

defi

Santiment: The Bitcoin long-short ratio surged to 2.23, reaching a new high for the year, which may indicate a short-term correction

The crypto sentiment platform Santiment published an analysis stating that the ratio of positive to negative comments about Ethereum has shifted from a strong FOMO sentiment in late April to a clear FUD sentiment now. Harvard University completely liquidated its $87 million Ethereum ETF one quarter after buying in; researchers from the Ethereum Foundation announced their resignations; and David Hoffman publicly stated his exit from the Ethereum project. The Santiment team interprets this trend as a mildly bullish signal, similar to the significant rise that followed the mid-2023 market sentiment low.Despite the panic sentiment, the number of non-bearish wallets for Ethereum remains as high as 192.92 million, more than three times Bitcoin's approximately 59 million. The activity in DeFi and staking trading surged at the beginning of the year and has since normalized, but the creation of new wallets continues to maintain a healthy growth rate. Fundamental data such as holders and activity do not support the claim that "the Ethereum network is dying." Additionally, the long-to-short ratio for Bitcoin has reached 2.23, the highest level since 2026. Previously, the highest daily long-to-short ratios often resulted in short-term price corrections, while extremely low short ratios indicate a local bottom. The current optimism stands in stark contrast to the outflow of short funds from ETFs, thus caution is warranted.

Analysis: As Ethereum falls below $2000, futures positions reach an all-time high, indicating a rise in bearish sentiment in the market

ETH has fallen below $2000 for the first time since March this year. Over the past 7 days, ETH has cumulatively dropped nearly 8%, with a decline of over 5% in the last 24 hours. Meanwhile, ETH futures open interest (OI) has risen for the third consecutive day, reaching a historic high of 16.39 million ETH, with a nominal value of approximately $3.25 billion. Analysts believe that the continuous rise in OI against the backdrop of falling spot prices indicates that the market is experiencing more aggressive leveraged short-selling behavior.Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, stated that more and more investors are beginning to abandon ETH, "ETH does not generate cash flow, and in the context of rising U.S. Treasury yields, the attractiveness of staking yields is declining." Additionally, U.S. spot ETH ETFs have seen a cumulative net outflow of $401 million this month, completely reversing the net inflow of $354 million in April. Market sentiment has also continued to deteriorate due to the departure of core members from the Ethereum Foundation.David Hoffman, co-founder of Bankless, previously stated that he has sold his ETH holdings, believing that the narrative of "ETH as currency" has been fully priced in. The Web3 research institution House of Chimera indicated that the market is questioning the advantages of the Ethereum ecosystem in DeFi, RWA, and tokenization, and whether it can truly reflect back to the ETH token itself.
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