Many analysts on Wall Street expect the Federal Reserve to cautiously implement its first rate cut
ChainCatcher news, many analysts on Wall Street still expect that the Federal Reserve's first step towards interest rate cuts will be more cautious. "I hope they cut by 50 basis points, but I suspect they will cut by 25 basis points," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. "They have already completed the tasks of achieving full employment and returning inflation to target, and a fund rate around 5.5% is too high. Therefore, I think they need to quickly normalize rates and have plenty of room to do so.""Jeffries' U.S. economist Tom Simons said, "While the tightening policy seems effective, it hasn't worked out exactly as they imagined, so easing should be viewed as equally uncertain." "Therefore, if you're uncertain, you shouldn't rush." Former Dallas Fed President Kaplan stated, "I guess they have differing opinions." "From a risk management perspective, some committee members just want to be more cautious." Seema Shah, an analyst at Invesco, said that for the Federal Reserve, it ultimately comes down to deciding which risk is greater—if they cut by 50 basis points, it could reignite inflationary pressures, while cutting only by 25 basis points could lead to an economic recession. Criticized for being too slow to respond to the inflation crisis, the Federal Reserve may take a passive approach to the risk of recession rather than a proactive one. (Jin Shi)