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4E: Weak consumer confidence reignites economic concerns, US stock market gains slow down, cryptocurrency market fluctuates upward

ChainCatcher news reports that, according to 4E monitoring, Trump may ease tariff plans, somewhat alleviating market anxiety over a full-blown trade war, supporting the continued rebound of U.S. stocks. On Tuesday, the three major U.S. stock indices rose slightly, continuing Monday's gains. The S&P 500 rose by 0.16%, the Dow Jones increased by 0.01%, and the Nasdaq gained 0.46%. Most large tech stocks were up, with Tesla rising over 3% for five consecutive days, accumulating a total increase of 28%.The cryptocurrency market is fluctuating upward, with Bitcoin retreating after reaching a high of $88,765 on Monday, and last night it broke through $88,000 again, showing strong upward momentum. As of the time of writing, it has slightly retreated, hovering above $87,000, with a 24-hour increase narrowing to 0.8%. Most sectors in the market are rising, with the Meme sector continuing to perform strongly. Current market sentiment is optimistic; historically, risk assets tend to perform best in the second quarter, especially in April each year.In the forex and commodities sector, the latest economic data showed weakness, causing the dollar index to turn down after reaching a nearly three-week high, ending a four-day winning streak; oil prices fell slightly due to the impact of the Russia-Ukraine agreement; with a poor economic outlook, spot gold rose by 0.31%, reversing a trend of three consecutive days of decline.The U.S. Consumer Confidence Index for March, released last night, fell below expectations, dropping to its lowest level in four years, reflecting consumer concerns about the economic outlook. The disappointing data significantly slowed the upward momentum of U.S. stocks, with the three major indices narrowly maintaining their gains. As the April 2 effective date for reciprocal tariffs approaches, the market is closely watching how related policies will affect economic growth and inflation.

4E: Trump ignites recession panic, U.S. stocks and crypto markets plummet simultaneously

ChainCatcher news, Trump's remarks over the weekend about the U.S. economy facing a "transformation period" weakened investors' confidence in a policy shift amid the backdrop of a market crash, exacerbating economic concerns.According to 4E monitoring, on Monday, all three major U.S. stock indices plummeted, with the S&P 500 index falling 2.7%, marking a new closing low since September last year; the Dow Jones dropped 2.08%, erasing gains since the U.S. elections in November; the Nasdaq fell 4%, recording the largest daily drop since September 2022. Major tech stocks all declined, with Tesla closing down over 15%, the largest drop since September 2020, and its stock price halved from its historical high. The combined market value of the seven major tech companies evaporated by over $830 billion on Monday, setting a record for the highest single-day market value loss.The "Black Monday" in U.S. stocks crashed the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin hitting a low of $76,600, the lowest in nearly four months, essentially returning to the level when Trump won the election last year. At the time of writing, it has slightly rebounded to $79,125, with a 24-hour decline of about 3.5%. Mainstream altcoins, including ETH and SOL, were also severely affected, with Ethereum dropping below $1,800, marking the lowest since October 2023.In the foreign exchange market, risk aversion pushed the dollar index up slightly, while the oil market faced pressure, with international oil prices falling by 1.5%. Affected by profit-taking and a weakening stock market, spot gold dropped by 0.7%.In the past two months, the uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariff policy has intensified market fears of a U.S. economic recession. An increasing number of viewpoints suggest that to achieve long-term goals of tariffs and reducing government size, Trump may tolerate short-term economic and market difficulties. Currently, the Federal Reserve has entered a quiet period ahead of the March 19 FOMC meeting, and the market cannot gain new policy guidance from officials' statements.
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