crypto

Viewpoint: Japan's core inflation higher than expected sparks discussions on interest rate hikes, which may pose a threat to the cryptocurrency market

ChainCatcher news, according to CoinDesk, Japan's latest core inflation data has exceeded market expectations, sparking discussions about the possibility of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raising interest rates, which could impact risk assets including cryptocurrencies. The data shows that Japan's core CPI rose 3% year-on-year in February, down from 3.2% in January but still above the market expectation of 2.9%. Meanwhile, Japan's overall CPI fell from 4% to 3.7%, but still far exceeds the BOJ's target inflation rate of 2%.Since November 2024, Japan's inflation rate has consistently been higher than that of the United States, currently exceeding by nearly 100 basis points, marking the largest gap since 2015. Coupled with the wage pressure from the "Shunto" spring labor negotiations, market expectations for a BOJ interest rate hike have intensified. The anticipation of a rate hike has strengthened the yen, but if the yen appreciates significantly, it may trigger market risk aversion, thereby putting pressure on risk assets like Bitcoin.As of the time of writing, the USD/JPY exchange rate is 149.22, having rebounded nearly 300 basis points since March 11, indicating a short-term weakening of the yen. However, the yield spread between U.S. and Japanese 10-year government bonds has narrowed, with Japanese 10-year bond yields maintaining above 1.5% and 30-year bond yields breaking 2.5%, both at multi-decade highs, which may support a stronger yen. The market is focused on the future direction of BOJ policy and its impact on global financial markets.

4E: The market digests the Federal Reserve's decision and refocuses on Trump's tariffs, leading to declines in the US stock and cryptocurrency markets

ChainCatcher news reports that, according to 4E monitoring, after the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting, the upward trend of U.S. stocks could not be sustained. Economic uncertainty and Trump's tariff plans cast a shadow, leading to a volatile decline in major U.S. stock indices on Thursday. The S&P 500 fell by 0.2%, the Dow Jones dropped by 0.1%, and the Nasdaq decreased by 0.3%. Large tech stocks saw more declines than gains, with Tesla slightly up by 0.1%.The cryptocurrency market showed volatility but overall presented a mild upward trend. Last night, influenced by the U.S. stock market, coupled with Trump's reiteration of old themes in his speech at the DAS summit without any substantial positive news, Bitcoin experienced a rapid decline. As of the time of writing, it has rebounded to $84,650, down 1.33% in the last 24 hours. Most other mainstream tokens have seen some pullback. BNB's on-chain performance has recovered, continuing to be a focus for investors.In the forex and commodities sector, risk aversion dominated the market, with the U.S. dollar index rising by 0.40%, extending Wednesday's gains; investors are paying attention to the Trump administration's sanctions on Iran, with international oil prices closing up over 1.6%; spot gold slightly retreated after reaching a historical high, with a cumulative increase of nearly 16% this year.The market is digesting the Federal Reserve's decision, but investors are concerned that Trump may impose more tariffs in April, questioning whether the potential inflation caused by tariffs will limit the Fed's expected significant rate cuts, leading to a clear risk-averse sentiment in the U.S. stock market.
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