Crypto market

JPMorgan: The crypto market is in a wait-and-see mode, awaiting clearer macroeconomic or structural catalysts

ChainCatcher news, according to The Block, JPMorgan analysts have pointed out several key factors that may affect the cryptocurrency market in the coming months, mentioning technologies, geopolitical issues, and structural events that could drive price volatility. In a research report released on Monday, analysts discussed the seasonal "Uptober" trend, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, the approval of Bitcoin ETF options, and the upcoming Ethereum upgrade known as Pectra.One key conclusion of the report is that October has historically shown strong performance, often referred to as "Uptober," with over 70% of Octobers yielding positive returns for Bitcoin. The analysts wrote, "Although past performance is not indicative of future results, we believe the popularity of 'Uptober' could influence behavior and lead to positive Bitcoin performance this October." Despite the recent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, the analysts noted that the broader cryptocurrency market has yet to see the anticipated positive effects; while a rate-cutting environment typically supports risk assets, the correlation between total cryptocurrency market capitalization and the federal funds rate remains weak at 0.46. Since the Fed's rate cut on September 18, we have not seen a significant rise in cryptocurrency prices due to the cuts, and the market may be waiting for more sustained stability before making a decisive shift.Additionally, the analysts acknowledged that it is difficult to accurately predict how cryptocurrencies will respond to interest rate cycles due to a lack of historical data. Another potential catalyst is the recently approved spot Bitcoin ETF options trading. The analysts expect this could deepen market liquidity and attract new participants. This development could initiate a positive feedback loop, enhancing market structure and making digital assets more accessible to institutional investors. The upcoming Ethereum upgrade, referred to as "Pectra," is also seen as a significant development.The analysts stated, "While Pectra is expected to have a transformative impact on Ethereum's functionality, we believe this upgrade is more structural than a direct price catalyst. The long-term impact of Pectra will be to improve Ethereum's operational efficiency and adoption rates, but it is unlikely to trigger a short-term surge in Ether prices."The analysts concluded that the cryptocurrency market is currently in a wait-and-see mode, looking for clearer macroeconomic or structural catalysts to drive sustained growth. They stated, "We continue to see the crypto ecosystem becoming increasingly sensitive to macro factors, so we are waiting for the next major catalyst to drive the ecosystem's development and enhance retail participation for long-term growth."

Cryptoquant CEO expects the crypto market to soar with the return of Zhao Changpeng

ChainCatcher news, according to Bitcoin.com, the CEO of blockchain analytics firm Cryptoquant, Ki Young Ju, shared his predictions for the crypto market on the social media platform X on Friday. Ki Young Ju believes that the return of Binance founder and former CEO Changpeng Zhao after serving his sentence will have a ripple effect on the cryptocurrency market. Before Zhao was released from U.S. custody on Friday local time, he wrote: "Changpeng Zhao (CZ) is out early today------there's a bullish atmosphere everywhere. I don't know why, but I have this feeling too. He just needs to post 'I'm back' and the market will soar."In another post on X, Ki Young Ju discussed Zhao's influence in the cryptocurrency space, emphasizing that "outstanding figures like Zhao often become scapegoats when the industry fails to meet expectations." He commented, "Society always views the most influential figures as the culprits," while acknowledging that the industry's challenges are caused by multiple factors. He further pointed out that although the crypto market has absorbed massive capital, its intrinsic value has not increased correspondingly, attributing this disconnect largely to challenges such as crime and industry immaturity.Earlier news reported that former Binance leader and co-founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) has been released, two days earlier than originally planned.

HashKey Jeffrey: The darkness before dawn has passed, and interest rate cuts lead the crypto market into a new upward cycle

ChainCatcher news, the Federal Reserve announced after the FOMC meeting that the target range for the federal funds rate has been lowered from 5.25% to 5.50% to 4.75% to 5.0%, a decrease of 50 basis points.In response, HashKey Group Chief Analyst Jeffrey Ding stated: The darkness before dawn has passed, and a new wave of market momentum has begun. The Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut signifies its clear concerns about the current economic environment, necessitating a more substantial initiation of the rate-cutting cycle. Recently, the global economy has faced liquidity challenges, and this rate cut decision has injected new vitality into the global financial markets.Bitcoin, as the "digital gold" of the new era, has performed strongly against this backdrop, briefly breaking above $62,000. However, it is not just Bitcoin that benefits; the entire cryptocurrency market is expected to experience a new wave of momentum under the loose monetary policy. It is important to note that, unlike traditional markets, Bitcoin's performance is more influenced by the liquidity of the dollar rather than changes in the U.S. economic outlook. This means that in the future loose monetary environment, Bitcoin may continue to be the preferred asset for investors seeking to hedge against inflation and seek safe havens.As the rate-cutting cycle continues, the cryptocurrency market may enter a longer period of upward momentum. Market volatility still exists, but this round of cryptocurrency trends may attract more funds and innovation into the field, pushing the entire crypto ecosystem into a new stage of development.
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