Bitget Research

Bitget Research Institute: The election becomes a catalyst for the rise of the crypto market, with BTC aiming for 100,000 USD

ChainCatcher news, Bitget Research Institute stated that in the short term, Polymarket shows that the market believes the probability of Trump winning exceeds 90%, which is a significant deviation from the then poll results. Trump secured the crucial votes in Georgia, further increasing his winning probability, leading to a panic entry of cautious funds, pushing the BTC price to new highs. Bitget Research Institute reminds that attention should be paid to the risk of a pullback due to short-term profit-taking after the election.In the medium to long term, Trump's election is favorable for BTC, but his policy direction may push up inflation levels in the United States, and the medium to long-term U.S. interest rates may remain above 3.5%. The Republican Party may sweep Congress this time, which could promote a regulatory framework favorable to the crypto market, benefiting the crypto market in the medium to long term.Additionally, Bitget Research Institute pointed out that in the derivatives market, the IV of the options market has risen, and the open interest in the contract market has increased by 900 million USD in the short term, indicating that traders are betting on future volatility. Furthermore, after the market capitalization of stablecoins broke a new high, it has been fluctuating around 160 billion USD, providing significant leverage space for the market, and BTC may reach the level of 100,000 USD within 5 months.

The daily active users on the Solana network surged to 3 million in September, and analysts believe that SOL will rise to the range of 160-180 USD in October

ChainCatcher news, according to The Block, Bitget Research's chief analyst Ryan Lee stated that given the current market sentiment, increased activity, and the ongoing development of the Solana ecosystem, along with significant partnerships, he expects the bullish sentiment for Solana in October to outweigh the bearish sentiment, potentially rising to a price range of $160 to $180.Lee noted that Solana's $110 support level has shown resilience during market downturns, including the liquidation event in early August. He also emphasized that Solana has consistently been at the forefront during the recovery phase of high market cap tokens. Additionally, meme coins within the Solana ecosystem have demonstrated strong growth and have been one of the strongest sectors during the rebound.According to on-chain data, the number of daily active addresses on Solana saw a significant increase in September. Zeta Markets founder Tristan Frizza mentioned that compared to less than 1 million in previous months, Solana's average daily user count now exceeds 3 million. This increase in activity may be driven by a collective interest in Solana as a whole, trends like meme coins, and the involvement of celebrities and creators such as Iggy Azalea, which have attracted retail interest in the ecosystem.

Bitget Research Institute: The Bitcoin ecosystem is an important engine for the next bull market, and the wealth effect is not limited to the BRC20 series

ChainCatcher news, Bitget Research Institute released a deep analysis report on the Bitcoin ecosystem, exploring the macro and micro trends within the Bitcoin ecosystem. The report points out that with the market expectation consensus of the BTC spot ETF approval, the upcoming BTC halving event, and the triple benefits of the anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, a large influx of funds continues to pour into the Bitcoin ecosystem, creating a sustained wealth effect. Although the wealth effect began with the BRC20 of the Ordinals protocol, it will not be limited to this niche but will expand comprehensively to other innovative protocols and sectors. The continuous influx of wealth will further attract sustained capital inflow, making the Bitcoin ecosystem likely to become the new engine for the next bull market.The report also notes that, in addition to innovative asset issuance protocols like Ordinals and Atomicals, another current focus of the Bitcoin ecosystem is scaling solutions, including Lightning, Rootstock, Stacks, and RBG, which are thriving and will help enhance Bitcoin's performance to build a more prosperous ecosystem.Bitget Research Institute believes that the development of the Bitcoin ecosystem will also impact different participants in the industry. To this end, it analyzes the opportunities and challenges faced by various market participants from multiple perspectives, including individual investors, institutional investors, exchanges, miners, and project teams, and shares six major predictions for the Bitcoin ecosystem in 2024 at the end.
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