turning point

Analysis: Bitcoin has formed a hammer candlestick pattern for two consecutive weeks, which may indicate a key turning point

According to ChainCatcher news reported by CoinDesk, Bitcoin has exhibited consecutive hammer candlestick patterns over the past two weeks, a situation that is extremely rare in Bitcoin's history. The hammer candlestick pattern defined by analyst Checkmate refers to a candlestick where the upper or lower shadow accounts for 90% of the total price range, leaving a small body and long shadows.Data shows that during the week of February 24, Bitcoin's price fluctuated between a low of $78,167 and a high of $96,515, with a range of 23%. In the following week starting March 3, the price fluctuated between a low of $81,444 and a high of $94,415, with a range of 16%. Both weeks formed an open-high-low-close candlestick pattern, with fluctuations reaching double-digit percentages.Checkmate's analysis indicates that the hammer candlestick pattern with 90% lower shadow on the weekly chart has only occurred in five periods in Bitcoin's history: during the 2017 bull market, near the peak of the bull market at $69,000 at the end of 2021, after the Silicon Valley Bank crisis in 2023, after the summer pullback in 2023, and during the summer slump in 2024.Although this data does not show a clear pattern in Bitcoin cycles, the adjustment during the 2017 bull market is particularly notable, suggesting that such patterns may indicate critical turning points in price trends.

QCP: The establishment of a new cryptocurrency working group by the U.S. SEC may become a turning point in the digital asset sector

ChainCatcher news, QCP released its daily market observation stating that the new leadership of the SEC has established a dedicated task force aimed at developing a regulatory framework for crypto assets. Led by "Crypto Mom" Hester Peirce, this is expected to be a turning point in the digital asset space.After the initial disappointment following Trump's inauguration gradually faded, Bitcoin has rebounded by 3.8%, stabilizing in the range of approximately $105,000. However, due to cautious market sentiment, concerns remain that Trump tends to overcommit and underdeliver on any crypto-related executive orders, limiting its upside potential. Meanwhile, Bitcoin futures continue to rise, with the current bullish bets being about 20 times the bearish ones.MicroStrategy shareholders have approved a significant increase in the authorized number of Class A common stock and preferred stock, raising the total authorized shares from 330 million to an astonishing 10.3 billion shares. This expansion greatly enhances the company's equity base, allowing MicroStrategy to surpass nearly all leading companies in the Nasdaq 100 index, excluding Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet, and Amazon.Planning to raise $42 billion through stock and convertible bond issuances by 2027, MicroStrategy still has $5.42 billion in equity issuance capacity, further increasing its investment in Bitcoin.

Syncracy: The returns of blockchain application projects surpass most infrastructures, a turning point may be approaching

ChainCatcher news, according to data compiled by the investment firm Syncracy, as of September 25, the returns of blockchain application projects have surpassed those of most infrastructure projects, marking a maturation of the blockchain ecosystem. While top infrastructure projects still lead, several application projects have outperformed long-tail infrastructure projects such as LDO, JUP, and AAVE. Some application projects have shown astonishing returns, such as ARB (401 times) and KMNO (454 times), far exceeding many infrastructure projects.Syncracy believes that the era of applications has arrived, with many applications surpassing infrastructure. On leading platforms like Ethereum and Solana, numerous applications have generated 8-9 figure revenues and are growing at a three-digit annual rate. The trading prices of applications are still much lower than those of infrastructure, with the average trading price of infrastructure being about 300 times higher than that of applications. While infrastructure assets at the center of smart contract ecosystems like ETH and SOL may retain a value storage premium, the trading multiples of non-monetary infrastructure assets like L2 tokens may compress over time. The market has yet to fully recognize this reality, and as capital flows out of non-monetary infrastructure, the prices of leading applications will rise again.Syncracy predicts that applications will capture a larger share of the global blockchain fee pool and that their returns will exceed those of most infrastructure, which could be a turning point on the horizon.
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