ChainCatcher news, the encrypted market maker Wintermute released a market research report indicating that recently, driven by ETF fund outflows, concerns over SOL unlocks, and liquidity issues following the Bybiy hack, the cryptocurrency market accelerated its decline when Trump announced new tariff policies, exacerbating trade war fears. Market risk aversion began to intensify, with nearly $3 billion in long leveraged positions being liquidated.The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has recently significantly reduced its enforcement actions against cryptocurrency companies, including:Agreeing to withdraw its lawsuit against Coinbase;Ending the investigation into OpenSea;Concluding the investigation related to Robinhood's cryptocurrency listings;Suspending the investigation into Uniswap's facilitation of unregistered securities;Ending the nearly two-year investigation into Gemini's yield program;This regulatory thaw marks a significant reversal from the previous administration's approach, with the SEC seemingly reassessing its stance toward the cryptocurrency industry.Bitcoin ETF net outflows hit a record, with $2.5 billion flowing out last week, including a single-day outflow of $1 billion, bringing the total outflow for February to $3.3 billion (compared to the previous record of $343 million set in April 2024). The CME futures basis dropped from 22% in December to a low of 4% last week, significantly reducing the profitability of basis trading strategies. Futures indicators reflect this shift: open interest fell to $13 billion, and monthly trading volume dropped to $247 billion, with both sides at their lowest levels since October 2024.The significant market reversal following Trump's announcement of a "cryptocurrency strategic reserve" on Sunday reveals that the cryptocurrency market is now highly sensitive to administrative signals. The market's reaction exceeded the actual content of the announcement, which largely reiterated the executive order from January. The unwinding of Bitcoin ETF arbitrage strategies highlights the increasingly tight integration between traditional markets and the cryptocurrency market, with both sides now responding quickly to each other's movements. As institutional cryptocurrency products and platform services expand, these cross-market dynamics and competitive user activities may intensify.

ChainCatcher message, encrypted KOL Ansem's post analysis states, "It seems that Bitcoin has broken below the support level and has breached the trading range of the higher time frame.The key price level maintaining the bearish view on the higher time frame is around $96,500. It is worth noting that there has not yet been any bearish range breakout on the higher time frame during this cycle; currently, there is only a downward divergence, so let's wait and see.I believe the main issue right now is whether the cryptocurrency market is leading to indicate the overall market's risk-averse sentiment. If stock indices also decline in the coming weeks, this is more likely to be the beginning of a downtrend rather than a small setback in an uptrend."

ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, contributor J. A. Maartunn from the cryptocurrency data analysis platform CryptoQuant stated that the "Bitcoin Inter-exchange Flow Pulse" indicator is turning bearish, indicating that market risk appetite is declining, which may signal the beginning of a bearish phase.

ChainCatcher message, DWF Labs partner Andrei Grachev posted that they are "slowly buying in," but then reminded investors: "We need to wait a few more hours to observe the reaction of the U.S. stock market. Everything is currently full of risks, please act cautiously and do your own research (DYOR)."

ChainCatcher news, according to CoinDesk, analyst Omkar Godbole pointed out that although Bitcoin has quickly rebounded from below $90,000, the stagnation of stablecoin supply may indicate market risks. Glassnode data shows that the total supply of the four major stablecoins—USDT, USDC, BUSD, and DAI—remains at $189 billion, with a net change of only 0.37% over the past 30 days, indicating a lack of new capital inflow into the market.Analysts believe that if the upcoming U.S. CPI data exceeds expectations, combined with last Friday's strong employment report, it may exacerbate market concerns about the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts being less than expected, potentially triggering significant downward volatility.

ChainCatcher message, Placeholder partner Chris Burniske posted on the X platform: "Although BTC is playing with fire, ETHBTC, SOLETH, and SOLBTC are still performing well. This makes me think that it is not a sign of reduced market risk appetite, but rather influenced by year-end liquidity factors, as people are organizing their books for 2024."

ChainCatcher message, according to the SoSoValue macro sector display, on December 18th, at the interest rate meeting, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, bringing the target range for the federal funds rate down to 4.25%-4.50%. For the rate cut pace next year, the Federal Reserve adjusted its expectations from "four rate cuts" to "two" through the latest dot plot. In addition, the Federal Reserve raised its expectations for future core PCE inflation and GDP growth, which is consistent with Powell's remarks, all conveying a more "hawkish" signal than the market expected. Data shows that the market risk sentiment VIX index rose to its highest point since early August (when the Bank of Japan raised interest rates).SoSoValue analysts stated that the FOMC proposed an unexpectedly aggressive rate cut plan, coupled with Powell's "hawkish" remarks, led to a shift in market sentiment towards panic, with U.S. Treasuries even overreacting. The U.S. stock market subsequently corrected, while the dollar strengthened. Overall, all risk assets reacted strongly to the FOMC's latest signals. Based on macro data, we believe that the fundamentals of the U.S. economy remain unchanged, the dollar remains strong, and consensus-driven assets such as cryptocurrencies continue to be a destination for capital inflows. Each market correction driven by sentiment in the game is a good entry point, and we recommend maintaining risk exposure at this time.

ChainCatcher news, Citigroup analysts released a report stating that the tariffs proposed by Trump could reduce the earnings of the S&P 500 index by several percentage points.They emphasized that the market has not fully absorbed this risk, especially regarding the new tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico. Industries with higher trade risks, including Canada's energy exports, are expected to be affected.Tariffs could lower the earnings of the S&P 500 index by 2025 and significantly impact gross margins. However, past tariff reductions suggest that there may be leniency, and the market is now shifting its focus from the elections to policy uncertainty.

ChainCatcher news, Mohannad Aama, portfolio manager at Beam Capital Management, stated that the current higher bond yields can be said to increase market risk.However, both stocks and Bitcoin have not succumbed to the pressure brought by rising borrowing costs, but have been capitalizing on investors' enthusiasm for the "Trump trade." The "downside" is that this will lead to a more perfect pricing of both Bitcoin and stocks.If corporate earnings do not meet investors' expectations, or if Trump fails to deliver on his promise to establish a national Bitcoin reserve, both markets could face difficulties.

ChainCatcher news, according to 4E monitoring, as the U.S. election enters its final countdown, the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively fell on Monday while most investors remained on the sidelines. The S&P 500 index closed down 0.28%, the Dow fell 0.61%, and the Nasdaq dropped 0.33%. Given the tight race between Trump and Harris, supporters on both sides were eager to "place another bet" before Monday. After three consecutive days of double-digit declines, Trump's media technology group, which at one point fell 5% on Monday, ultimately closed up 12.37%. Meanwhile, bets favoring Harris's victory also increased, with solar and clean energy stocks collectively rising on Monday.The cryptocurrency market continued to decline under the weakening influence of the "Trump trade." As of the time of writing, Bitcoin was priced at $67,939, down 1.4%, and Ethereum was at $2,407, down 2.32%.In the forex and commodities sector, the "Trump trade" was scaled back, coupled with expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve on Thursday, leading the dollar index to drop over 0.4% to below 104, hitting a two-week low and marking the largest decline in over a month, with non-dollar currencies rising broadly. Oil prices were supported by OPEC+'s announcement to delay production increases, with intraday gains exceeding nearly 3%. Gold prices were boosted by safe-haven demand due to the uncertainty of the U.S. election, expectations of a Fed rate cut, and the dollar index reaching a two-week low, with spot gold closing up 0.05% at the end of U.S. trading.In recent days, a series of polls have shown the gap in winning probabilities between Trump and Harris rapidly narrowing, with both sides' vote counts now very close. The market is concerned that controversial vote counting results may delay the election outcome by several days. Additionally, if Trump loses the election, his supporters may cite these data to "prove" election fraud, potentially inciting unrest. Another catalyst for safe-haven sentiment is the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Thursday, along with Powell's remarks at the press conference.As the two storms approach this week, market volatility has intensified, and demand for safe havens has increased. eeee.com is a financial trading platform that supports assets such as cryptocurrencies, stock indices, commodities like gold, and forex. Recently, it launched a USDT stablecoin financial product with an annualized return of 5.5%, providing investors with a potential safe-haven option. 4E reminds you to be aware of market volatility risks and to allocate assets wisely.

ChainCatcher news, according to 4E monitoring, as the U.S. election enters its final countdown, the three major U.S. stock indices collectively fell on Monday while most investors remained on the sidelines. The S&P 500 index fell by 0.28%, the Dow Jones dropped by 0.61%, and the Nasdaq decreased by 0.33%. Given the tight race between Trump and Harris, supporters on both sides were eager to "place another bet" before Monday. After three consecutive days of double-digit declines, Trump's media technology group, which at one point fell by 5% on Monday, ultimately rose by 12.37%. Meanwhile, bets favoring Harris's victory also increased, with solar and clean energy concept stocks collectively rising on Monday.The cryptocurrency market experienced a broad decline due to the continued weakening of the "Trump trade." As of the time of writing, Bitcoin was priced at $67,939, down 1.4%, and Ethereum was at $2,407, down 2.32%.In the forex and commodities sector, the "Trump trade" was scaled back, coupled with expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve on Thursday, causing the dollar index to drop over 0.4% to below 104, reaching a two-week low and marking the largest decline in over a month, with non-U.S. currencies rising broadly. Oil prices were supported by OPEC+'s announcement to delay production increases, with intraday gains of nearly 3%. Gold prices were boosted by safe-haven demand triggered by the uncertainty of the U.S. election, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, and the dollar index hitting a two-week low, with spot gold closing up 0.05% at the end of U.S. trading.In recent days, a series of polls have shown that the gap in winning probabilities between Trump and Harris is rapidly narrowing, with both sides' vote counts now very close. The market is concerned that disputed vote counts could delay the election results by several days. Additionally, if Trump loses the election, his supporters may cite these data to "prove" election fraud, potentially inciting unrest. Another catalyst for safe-haven sentiment is the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Thursday, along with Powell's remarks at the press conference.As two storms approach this week, market volatility has increased, and demand for safe havens has risen. eeee.com is a financial trading platform that supports assets such as cryptocurrencies, stock indices, commodities like gold, and forex. It recently launched a USDT stablecoin financial product with an annualized yield of 5.5%, providing investors with potential hedging options. 4E reminds you to be aware of market volatility risks and to allocate assets wisely.

ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph citing on-chain analysis platform CryptoQuant, in the past 30 days, the number of small Bitcoin transactions (under $10,000) has increased by 13%, reflecting that retail investors are gradually returning to the market, in line with the upward trend in Bitcoin prices.CryptoQuant analyst Cauê Oliveira pointed out: "Retail demand has increased by about 13% in the past 30 days, a phenomenon that only occurred in March this year when Bitcoin was nearing its historical high. In the past 4 months, the activity of small investors has declined, while large holders have maintained high-frequency trading and accumulation." Data shows that in the 30 days before October 20, Bitcoin prices rose nearly 10%.

ChainCatcher News: The U.S. Department of Commerce announced yesterday that September retail sales exceeded expectations with a month-on-month increase of 0.4%, highlighting the resilience of U.S. consumer spending, which continues to provide strong momentum for the U.S. economy. A series of robust economic data recently has reinforced market expectations for only a 25 basis point rate cut.According to 4E monitoring, after the data release, U.S. stocks opened higher but then fell, with the S&P reaching a new intraday high before turning down, and the Nasdaq also nearly erasing its early gains. However, the Dow Jones reached new intraday and closing highs, marking two consecutive days of gains. By the close, the S&P 500 was down 0.02%, the Nasdaq was up 0.04%, and the Dow was up 0.37%. The cryptocurrency market followed U.S. stocks with slight fluctuations; at the time of writing, Bitcoin was at 67,972, up 0.8%, and Ethereum was at 2,632, up 0.43%.In the forex and commodities sector, positive economic data pushed the U.S. dollar index to an 11-week high, rebounding 3.34% since October. The European Central Bank is expected to cut rates on Thursday, causing the euro to decline for four consecutive days to an 11-week low. Last week, U.S. EIA crude oil inventories unexpectedly decreased, indicating strong demand, which led to a rise of about 0.40% in international oil prices, halting a four-day decline and moving away from two-week lows. Spot gold benefited from uncertainties surrounding the U.S. elections and expectations of more monetary policy easing, approaching 2,700 dollars, setting a new historical high, with an increase of over 30% this year.Recent data shows that retail sales continue to grow, with better-than-expected non-farm payroll data, a stronger-than-expected unemployment rate, and a recent cooling trend in initial jobless claims. Coupled with the steady decline in U.S. inflation and the upward revision of long-term GDP growth rates beyond expectations, this provides strong support for the "soft landing" logic of the U.S. economy. Meanwhile, a new round of global rate cuts is accelerating, significantly improving financial market sentiment and generally increasing investors' risk appetite. eeee.com is a financial trading platform that supports assets such as cryptocurrencies, stock indices, commodities like gold, and forex. It recently launched a USDT stablecoin financial product with an annualized yield of 5.5%, providing investors with potential hedging options. 4E reminds you to pay attention to market volatility risks and to allocate assets wisely.

ChainCatcher news, according to Coindesk, 10x Research believes that if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) on September 18, the originally bullish liquidity easing cycle may have adverse effects on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.It is reported that a 50 basis point adjustment typically indicates an urgency to control inflation and triggers a risk-averse sentiment in financial markets. A 50 basis point rate cut next week may signal heightened concerns about the economy or a feeling of lagging in addressing the impending economic slowdown, leading investors to reduce their exposure to risk assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and stocks.Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, stated: "While a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve may indicate greater market concerns, the Fed's primary focus will be on mitigating economic risks rather than managing market reactions."

According to official news, Gauntlet has published a blog post about the market risks of LRT (Liquidity Re-staking Tokens) as part of its collaboration with EigenLayer. The article points out that the overall TVL of LRT has significantly increased this year, rising from $300 million in January to over $10 billion in May.The article provides a framework for assessing LRT market risks, focusing on four main risk attributes:External liquidity;Withdrawals and withdrawal queues;LRT volatility;DeFi risks.In the coming days, Gauntlet will launch a dashboard to provide users with data and a UI to apply this framework to their token analysis.