crisis

After SBF unexpectedly gave an interview to Tucker Carlson in prison, his crisis public relations manager resigned

ChainCatcher news, according to The Block citing Business Insider, after the unannounced release of an interview between FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) and Tucker Carlson on Thursday, SBF's crisis PR manager has resigned. Mark Botnick started representing SBF after the collapse of his cryptocurrency exchange FTX in November 2022, and he resigned on Thursday after learning about the interview. This is the second interview SBF has given since breaking his two-year public silence after being incarcerated. These interviews seem to be part of his attempt to seek a presidential pardon. In both interviews, SBF praised President Trump, criticized the previous Biden administration, and argued that he began to take the Republican Party more seriously after failing to engage with former SEC Chairman Gary Gensler.SBF was perhaps best known before his arrest as a billionaire practicing "effective altruism," having donated large sums to Democratic politicians. From the billions in funds collapsing at FTX to the year he faced court proceedings, SBF has given countless media interviews, sometimes getting himself into trouble. On one occasion, he even showed a reporter his ex-girlfriend's diary, which led to his imprisonment to prevent potential witness tampering. Botnick reportedly worked with SBF during this time. It is said that the PR manager was also caught off guard when SBF posted on X about the Trump administration's attempts to fire federal employees.

Traders expect the S&P 500 index to experience the largest volatility on a non-farm payroll day since the regional banking crisis in March 2023

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, options traders expect the S&P 500 index to fluctuate by 1.3% this Friday, which will be the largest fluctuation on a non-farm payroll data release day since the regional bank crisis in March 2023. Citigroup data shows that the S&P 500 index is expected to have a two-way fluctuation of 1.4% on Wednesday, marking the highest implied volatility since the day after the U.S. presidential election on November 6, 2023.The increase in market volatility is mainly influenced by two factors: the uncertainty of the Trump administration's tariff policy and the upcoming non-farm payroll report. Trump recently warned of potential future economic fluctuations and defended his plan to significantly raise tariffs, but U.S. Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo indicated that Trump is considering some tariff relief measures, which has slightly eased market sentiment.The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) is currently at its highest level since December of last year, breaking through the 20-point mark. Economists expect that U.S. employment will increase by 160,000 in February, the unemployment rate will remain at 4%, and average hourly earnings will rise by 4.1% year-on-year. UBS equity derivatives strategist Grinkov stated, "Macroeconomic factors are becoming more important; this is a higher volatility environment."

The bankruptcy rate of American companies has risen to the highest level since the financial crisis, with the number of bankruptcy filings reaching 686 in 2024

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, data from S&P Global Market Intelligence shows that the number of corporate bankruptcy filings in the United States will reach 686 in 2024, an increase of 8% year-on-year, marking the highest level since 2010 (828 filings). Among them, at least 30 companies have debts exceeding $1 billion at the time of bankruptcy, including well-known companies like Party City, Tupperware, and Red Lobster.Specific data shows that there were only 777 corporate bankruptcy filings in the United States from 2021 to 2022, which surged to 636 in 2023. Fitch Ratings data indicates that the ratio of out-of-court restructurings to bankruptcies in 2024 is about 2:1, with the recovery rate for senior loans of issuers with total debts exceeding $100 million dropping to the lowest level since 2016.Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY, pointed out that rising costs of goods and services continue to suppress consumer demand, leading to cautious spending across all income groups. Although the Federal Reserve has begun to cut interest rates, it plans to lower rates by only an additional 50 basis points by 2025. Experts at Academy Securities believe that the current corporate bankruptcies pose limited risks of a chain reaction to the overall economy and banking system, but it is necessary to continue monitoring corporate debt conditions in a high-interest-rate environment.
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