Proposal

"Trump deal" loses steam as investors question the feasibility of tariff proposals

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi Data, some asset class investors are gradually reducing their enthusiasm for the "Trump trade" as they question whether Trump will push his ambitious tariff proposals after becoming President of the United States. As of Thursday's close, the dollar has erased most of its post-election gains, and after two days of intense volatility, U.S. Treasury yields have returned to recent ranges. These moves indicate that as investors weigh whether Trump's policies align with his campaign promises, the market may experience fluctuations. As market turbulence settles, the focus is shifting to other significant events.Vishnu Varathan, the head of economics and strategy at Mizuho Bank Singapore, stated, "Even the most fervent 'Trump trade' investors are stepping back now and considering whether the stakes are too high at this point. Traders are thinking about the execution and how some of his policies will effectively disseminate." A key question for investors is how much of Trump's tariff measures will become a reality. Some are also taking profits, including bullish dollar and bearish Treasury trades, which performed well earlier this week due to expectations that Trump's policies would stimulate inflation and keep interest rates elevated.Alvin Tan, the head of Asia FX strategy at Royal Bank of Canada, said, "People are skeptical about whether Trump will really implement the policies he proposed, especially the tariff policies; however, this sentiment may be temporary, as the market underestimates Trump's influence on trade policy— the U.S. President has broad powers to impose import tariffs."
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