ChainCatcher news, according to Trader T's monitoring, the U.S. stock market's cryptocurrency sector is up before the market opens today:MICROSTRATEGY: +0.4%ISHARES BITCOIN TRUST: +1.4%COINBASE GLOBAL: +1.7%RIOT PLATFORMS: +1.9%CLEANSPARK: +1.9%MARA HOLDINGS: +1.3%

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, Goldman Sachs strategists indicate that due to the latest round of tariffs from the Trump administration affecting profit forecasts, the U.S. stock market could potentially decline by 5% in the coming months.Goldman Sachs strategist David Kostin wrote in a report: "These statements have shocked many investors, who expected tariffs to be imposed only in the event of a failure in trade negotiations. Our economists believe the outlook is uncertain, but they think the tariffs on Canada and Mexico are likely to be temporary."Kostin stated that if the latest tariffs persist, he would lower his profit forecasts for S&P 500 constituent companies by about 2% to 3%, not accounting for the impact of further tightening financial conditions or changes in consumer and business behavior. He also warned that due to the dual impact on profits and stock valuations, the fair value of the S&P 500 index could decline by about 5% in the short term.

ChainCatcher message, DWF Labs partner Andrei Grachev posted that they are "slowly buying in," but then reminded investors: "We need to wait a few more hours to observe the reaction of the U.S. stock market. Everything is currently full of risks, please act cautiously and do your own research (DYOR)."

ChainCatcher news, WhaleWire founder Jacob King posted on social media that the main reason for the sharp decline in stock futures is that yen arbitrage traders have to sell off assets, and this week could be very bloody.Jacob explained that in August 2024, Japan raised interest rates from 0.1% to 0.25%, leading to a flash crash. Now, Japan has raised interest rates to 0.5%, with a 2-year yield of 0.71%. Japan's higher interest rates are ending yen arbitrage trading, where investors borrow cheap yen to invest in other assets. Now, borrowing costs are rising, which means they have to sell assets to repay loans.

ChainCatcher news, according to Trader T's monitoring, the U.S. stock market's cryptocurrency sector is up before the market opens today:MICROSTRATEGY: +0.36%ISHARES BITCOIN TRUST: +0.6%COINBASE GLOBAL: +0.2%RIOT PLATFORMS: +0.6%CLEANSPARK: +0.1%MARA HOLDINGS: +0.5%

ChainCatcher message, Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas stated that the biggest risk for Bitcoin is the downward trend of the stock market (also known as the "baby boomer market"), which has both advantages and disadvantages. The good news is that Trump may go all out to keep the stock market rising, so individuals are not too worried about these short-term pullbacks.

ChainCatcher news, according to Trader T's monitoring, today's pre-market performance of the U.S. stock crypto sector is mixed:MICROSTRATEGY: +1.4%ISHARES BITCOIN TRUST: +1.1%COINBASE GLOBAL: -0.1%RIOT PLATFORMS: +0.2%CLEANSPARK: +0.6%MARA HOLDINGS: +0.2%

ChainCatcher news, according to Trader T's monitoring, the pre-market overview of Bitcoin is as follows:BTC/USD 98,900MICROSTRATEGY +1.9%ISHARES BITCOIN TRUST +0.6%COINBASE GLOBAL +2%RIOT PLATFORMS +1.9%CLEANSPARK +1.2%MARA HOLDINGS +1.8%T-Rex 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF +4.1%

ChainCatcher news, according to Caixin, 2024 is a year of dual bull markets for Chinese stocks and bonds. Virtual currencies and U.S. tech stocks have performed remarkably well among global assets. A strong dollar has generally put pressure on global exchange rates.In terms of global market performance in 2024, the first tier mainly consists of scarce assets: cocoa (NYBOT futures price) rose by 169.36% throughout the year, Bitcoin (BTC) increased by 133.83%, and FAAMNG (the six major U.S. tech giants: Facebook; Amazon; Apple; Microsoft; Netflix; Google) rose by 60.77%.Additionally, Ethereum rose by 53.41% over the year, NYMEX natural gas had an annual increase of 45.49%, and the Nasdaq index achieved a rise of 30.78%, with all these assets having annual increases exceeding 30%.

ChainCatcher news, according to Trader T's monitoring, the U.S. stock market's crypto sector is experiencing a pre-market rally today:MICROSTRATEGY: +3.9%ISHARES BITCOIN TRUST: +3.8%COINBASE GLOBAL: +3.9%RIOT PLATFORMS: +4%CLEANSPARK: +3.2%MARA HOLDINGS: +4.3%

ChainCatcher news, U.S. stock market opens, Dow Jones down 1.04%, S&P 500 down 1.13%, Nasdaq down 1.33%.The "seven giants" of U.S. stocks all fell, with Tesla (TSLA.O) opening down 3.1%, Apple (AAPL.O) down 1.07%, and Nvidia (NVDA.O) down 1.42%.Boeing (BA.N) opened down 3.21%, as the company has recently experienced frequent safety incidents with its 737-800 aircraft. (Jin Shi)

ChainCatcher news, according to Trader T's monitoring, today's pre-market performance of the US stock crypto sector is mixed:MICROSTRATEGY: -0.3%SHARES BITCOIN TRUST: +1.2%COINBASE GLOBAL: -0.26%RIOT PLATFORMS: +0.5%CLEANSPARK: +0.3%MARA HOLDINGS: -0.5%

ChainCatcher news, according to CoinDesk, the stock of the U.S.-listed medical device manufacturer Semler Scientific is now available for options trading. Although no official announcement has been made, information checks on brokerage accounts indicate that its options are available for trading.Additionally, according to a second prospectus supplement filed by Semler Scientific under its S-3 Shelf, the company has raised an additional $50 million, expanding its original ATM fundraising plan to a total of $150 million.So far, Semler Scientific has purchased 2,084 BTC at a price of $168.6 million, averaging about $81,000 per Bitcoin. Based on the recent Bitcoin price of approximately $106,500, these assets are valued at around $222 million.

ChainCatcher News, a recent survey of global fund managers by Bank of America shows that the US dollar is expected to be the best-performing currency by 2025. 40% of investors anticipate that the dollar will outperform the market in 2025, up from 31% in November. Long positions in the dollar are considered the second hottest trade after bullish bets on the "Big Seven" US stocks. In December, the proportion of investors who believe the dollar is overvalued rose to 59%, up from 51% in November, the highest level since January 2023. (Jin Ten)

ChainCatcher news, Thomas Peterffy, the founder and chairman of Interactive Brokers, known as the "father of high-frequency trading," stated in an interview with Bloomberg that a potential Bitcoin crash is one of the biggest risks that could lead to a decline in the stock market in 2025. The high leverage levels in the entire system are the main reason for his concern about a possible drop in U.S. stocks in 2025.He explained, "The risk of an economic downturn is very high because margin balances are growing very, very quickly. I am very concerned that people are overextending their financial capabilities... One area where margin risk has increased significantly is Bitcoin, thanks to the low fees charged by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) for Bitcoin futures."

ChainCatcher news, Greeks.live macro researcher Adam posted on the X platform that next week is a macro big week, with a number of central banks led by the Federal Reserve about to announce interest rate decisions. Currently, the futures market shows a 99% expectation of a 25bp rate cut by the Federal Reserve.Other important data this week is also worth paying attention to, as the next interest rate meeting will enter the Trump cycle. During this period, it is also worth noting whether there will be significant fluctuations in the U.S. stock market. Currently, ETF inflows are strong, and a strong U.S. stock market is also beneficial for cryptocurrencies. Last week, the cryptocurrency market was relatively quiet, although market capital inflows remained strong. As Christmas approaches, the market is undergoing year-end position adjustments. The options market is relatively stable, and large trades and market interest rates are worth monitoring. Currently, the implied volatility (IV) for major maturities is at a relatively low level, with short-term IV showing a significant decline. Additionally, in the cryptocurrency interest rate market, the Bitfinex interest rate market has been relatively stable recently.