ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "FedWatch": The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in March is 97.0%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 3.0%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged until May is 67.0%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 32.1%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 0.9%.

ChainCatcher news, according to the official Huobi HTX website, Huobi HTX has updated the Merkle tree asset proof data for March 2025. The data shows that the reserve ratios of major mainstream assets have fully exceeded 100%, ensuring the long-term protection of user asset security.The specific updated reserve ratios are: BTC (101%), ETH (101%), TRX (105%), USDT (102%), HTX (105%), XRP (101%), DOGE (100%), SOL (101%).As one of the earliest platforms in the industry to adopt the Merkle tree verification mechanism, Huobi HTX has publicly disclosed reserve data for 29 consecutive months, continuously strengthening transparent management. Users can visit the "Assets - Reserve Proof Report" page on the Huobi HTX official website at any time to view the monthly updated reserve proof reports and understand the platform's financial status in real-time.By regularly disclosing reserve data, Huobi HTX continuously enhances transparency and security standards, solidifying the foundation of user trust while promoting the healthy and orderly development of the industry. The platform's financial strength is robust, consistently fulfilling its long-term commitment to safeguarding user asset security.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, there are 8 days left until the next FOMC meeting (interest rate decision to be announced on March 20 at 2 AM Beijing time). The probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points in March is 4%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 96%.The probability of the Fed cumulatively cutting rates by 50 basis points by May is 1.5%, the probability of a cumulative cut of 25 basis points is 38.3%, and the probability of maintaining the current rate is 60.2%.

ChainCatcher news, the on-chain data visualization platform Bubblemaps announced that it will launch its platform token BMT on March 11.

ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, despite the International Monetary Fund (IMF) pressuring El Salvador to stop accumulating decentralized value storage assets, the country has still purchased 13 bitcoins since March 1.According to the El Salvador Bitcoin Office, the country's Bitcoin reserve holds over 6,105 BTC, worth more than $527 million at current prices.In December 2024, El Salvador reached an agreement with the International Monetary Fund to obtain a $1.4 billion loan from the organization. As part of the agreement, the El Salvador government agreed to remove BTC's status as legal tender in the country and reduce public sector involvement in Bitcoin.

ChainCatcher news, BNB Chain will undergo a mainnet Pascal hard fork on March 20, 2025, enhancing EVM compatibility and becoming one of the first public chains to adopt EIP-7702. This upgrade will introduce features such as Gas abstraction, EOA wallet smart contract capabilities, and batch transactions, providing users with a smoother experience and offering developers greater flexibility.Through the EIP-7702 proposal, BNB Chain will allow externally owned accounts (EOA) to temporarily possess smart contract functionalities during transactions while maintaining account security. This upgrade will significantly lower the barrier for users to enter Web3. For example, Gas fee abstraction allows users to complete on-chain interactions without holding the native token for gas fees in their accounts; at the same time, it enables dApps to sponsor gas fees for users and supports batch transactions, enhancing the on-chain experience for users.Previously, the Pascal hard fork was completed on the testnet. For the upcoming mainnet upgrade, before March 20, node operators and validators need to update to v1.5.7 (BSC) or v0.5.2/v0.5.6 (opBNB); exchanges and infrastructure providers must ensure compatibility before the hard fork, and developers need to test and update dApps to support the new transaction types.According to BNB Chain's 2025 technical roadmap, the community plans to conduct the Lorentz hard fork in April and implement the Maxwell hard fork upgrade in June, increasing block production speed to 0.75 seconds. Currently, this proposal is open for community feedback.

ChainCatcher news, Binance released the proof of reserves for March 2025. As of March 1, the BTC reserve ratio on the Binance platform reached 100.77%, the ETH reserve ratio was 100.00%, the USDT reserve ratio reached 104.42%, and the BNB reserve ratio reached 110.92%.In addition, the proof of reserves from Binance has added the TRUMP token, with a reserve ratio of 100.38%. Currently, Binance's reserves cover a total of 35 tokens, all with reserve ratios exceeding 100%.

ChainCatcher message, Layer 1 blockchain Initia officially announced that Initia will close its wallet extension service on March 18 at 3:00 AM (UTC).Initia wallet users must complete the migration before this date, or they will not be able to access the data on the testnet, including the testnet Jennie and related data. Users can migrate their wallets through migration.initia.xyz.

ChainCatcher news, according to the official X account of Movement, the official promotional video has been released, seemingly teasing that the Movement mainnet will launch on March 10.

ChainCatcher news, according to Caixin, Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that not all tariffs will be passed on to consumers; the current policy of the Federal Reserve remains restrictive, and the Fed can lower interest rates for both positive and negative reasons, still believing that a good outlook for rate cuts exists.Waller stated that he does not see the need for a rate cut in March, and the Federal Reserve may lower rates after March; the median expectation for two rate cuts in 2025 remains reasonable.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending March 1 was 221,000, expected 235,000, previous value 242,000.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, options traders expect the S&P 500 index to fluctuate by 1.3% this Friday, which will be the largest fluctuation on a non-farm payroll data release day since the regional bank crisis in March 2023. Citigroup data shows that the S&P 500 index is expected to have a two-way fluctuation of 1.4% on Wednesday, marking the highest implied volatility since the day after the U.S. presidential election on November 6, 2023.The increase in market volatility is mainly influenced by two factors: the uncertainty of the Trump administration's tariff policy and the upcoming non-farm payroll report. Trump recently warned of potential future economic fluctuations and defended his plan to significantly raise tariffs, but U.S. Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo indicated that Trump is considering some tariff relief measures, which has slightly eased market sentiment.The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) is currently at its highest level since December of last year, breaking through the 20-point mark. Economists expect that U.S. employment will increase by 160,000 in February, the unemployment rate will remain at 4%, and average hourly earnings will rise by 4.1% year-on-year. UBS equity derivatives strategist Grinkov stated, "Macroeconomic factors are becoming more important; this is a higher volatility environment."

ChainCatcher news, Celo announced that the mainnet activation date for its transition to Ethereum L2 is March 26, 2025, at 11:00, with a hard fork block height of 31057000. After the upgrade, Celo L2 will reduce the block time from 5 seconds to just 1 second. Celo's complete history and block height remain unchanged, allowing users to look up past transactions.Previous news, Coinbase's announcement of not supporting the Celo blockchain migration has caused dissatisfaction in the community.

ChainCatcher news, according to the announcement from Huobi HTX, Huobi HTX has opened the deposit service for RED at 18:00 (GMT+8) on March 5. The RED/USDT spot trading will open at 21:00 (GMT+8) on March 6. The withdrawal service for RED will open at 21:00 (GMT+8) on March 7.It is reported that RedStone is currently the fastest-growing oracle, focusing on providing yield-generating collateral for the lending market, and has secured over $10 billion in assets. RedStone offers a wide range of highly demanded asset data, including LSTs, LRTs, Bitcoin LSTs, etc., bringing richer and safer options to the decentralized finance ecosystem.Previously, the investment department of the global cryptocurrency exchange Huobi HTX, HTX Ventures, made a strategic investment in RedStone Oracles to support the construction of modular DeFi infrastructure.

ChainCatcher message, Binance announced that its spot API will update the request weights of the following Rest and WebSocket (WS) API endpoints on March 10, 2025, at 20:00. Users can use the @aggTrade WebSocket stream to receive real-time data push of aggregated trades, and trading will not be affected by the updates.