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ZEC $453.11 -28.05%
BTC $63,341.89 -1.55%
ETH $1,757.54 -3.33%
BNB $599.29 -3.55%
XRP $1.14 -3.36%
SOL $68.08 -5.02%
TRX $0.3317 -0.33%
DOGE $0.0876 -3.92%
ADA $0.1804 -9.94%
BCH $243.16 +1.22%
LINK $7.92 -4.89%
HYPE $63.51 -15.15%
AAVE $70.45 -5.34%
SUI $0.7641 -7.67%
XLM $0.1996 -4.76%
ZEC $453.11 -28.05%

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The decoupling of cryptocurrencies from U.S. stocks is intensifying, with the S&P 500 rising for nine consecutive weeks to a new high, while Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to decline on a weekly basis

Driven by optimistic expectations for an extended ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, the U.S. stock and oil markets continued to strengthen this week. The S&P 500 index rose for the ninth consecutive week, setting the longest winning streak since 2023; Brent crude oil stabilized around $92 per barrel. However, the cryptocurrency market failed to follow the rise of macro risk assets. Over the past week, Bitcoin fell 2.6% to $73,445, Ethereum dropped 2.5% to $2,011, Solana decreased by 2.2%, and TRX saw a decline of 5.6%, making it one of the weakest tokens among the top ten cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. Market analysts believe that the cooling inflow of funds into spot Bitcoin ETFs is putting pressure on coin prices.In contrast, some small and mid-cap tokens performed remarkably well. Among them, the native token of Hyperliquid, HYPE, surged 19.4% this week to around $65, becoming the biggest highlight in the market. Previously, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) CEO Jeffrey Sprecher referred to Hyperliquid as "a bigger opportunity than Nasdaq" at the Bernstein conference, further boosting market sentiment. Additionally, BNB rose 1.9% this week, XRP increased by 0.7%, and DOGE remained basically flat.On the macro level, U.S. President Trump stated that a final decision on the U.S.-Iran ceasefire memorandum is close, but he still insists on Iran abandoning its nuclear program, handing over its enriched uranium stockpile, and opening the Strait of Hormuz. Market participants believe that due to significant differences between the two sides on key issues, the current rebound in risk assets remains relatively fragile, and any negative news regarding the Iran negotiations could trigger a reversal in market sentiment.

US CFTC releases 24/7 trading supervision guidelines: Crypto derivatives are more suitable for around-the-clock trading

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has jointly issued staff guidance from its divisions of Market Oversight, Clearing, and Risk, addressing regulatory expectations and compliance requirements for the increasingly prevalent 24/7 trading, clearing, and settlement models, encouraging market innovation while ensuring compliance.The guidance emphasizes that regulated trading platforms, swap execution facilities, derivatives clearing organizations, and futures brokers must comply with the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA) and related regulatory rules when expanding around-the-clock trading, and must proactively assess risk management and operational arrangements.The CFTC points out that the adaptability of different asset classes to 24/7 trading varies, with derivatives related to crypto assets being more suitable for around-the-clock trading and clearing due to their digital infrastructure and global continuous trading characteristics; whereas traditional commodity derivatives like agricultural products may not be suitable for full 24/7 operation due to their regional and trading structure characteristics.CFTC staff stated that relevant institutions should ensure compliance with regulatory frameworks and risk control requirements while promoting the continuous evolution of the market to support "responsible market innovation."

Chainalysis: Compliance baseline in the cryptocurrency industry is tightening, and indirect risk monitoring remains a shortcoming

A recent report from blockchain analysis company Chainalysis points out that compliance standards in the cryptocurrency industry are tightening significantly, with about 47% of organizations entering the market in 2026 having pre-warning standards that can reach the strict levels of the top 10% of the industry in 2020. This indicates that the entire ecosystem is maturing rapidly, with newcomers equipped with more aggressive monitoring measures from the outset.The report shows that companies' "direct monitoring" of funds coming directly from known illegal sources has become consistent and strict, but there is still a significant gap in "indirect monitoring" of funds flowing through intermediary addresses. For example, the indirect risk warning thresholds for categories such as ransomware and fraudulent stores on cryptocurrency trading platforms are often 10 to 100 times higher than direct thresholds. The Chainalysis team points out that this gap between direct and indirect monitoring creates opportunities for illegal actors. Companies that can bridge this gap will not only enhance their regulatory defenses but also distinguish themselves as trustworthy counterparties.The report suggests that this indicates the industry is in a transitional period, having achieved specialization in direct risk management but not yet treating indirect risks with the same rigor. The elevation of industry compliance standards is a response to increasingly stringent regulations and ongoing threats from entities such as North Korean hacker groups. In 2025 alone, hackers linked to North Korea caused approximately $2 billion in cryptocurrency losses.
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