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first_img Palantir executives say AI researchers have started smoking, betting that AI will cure cancer

Palantir's Chief Technology Officer Shyam Sankar stated in an interview on CBS News' "Face the Nation" that many AI researchers have started smoking to demonstrate their confidence in AI to other researchers. He quoted the attitude of such researchers saying, "I truly believe in AI; it will cure cancer, so I’m showing you that I’m all in." Sankar did not name any specific researcher nor cite survey data; this statement was made in passing when host Margaret Brennan pressed him on why he was so focused on the topic.In the interview, Sankar referred to effective altruism as a "millennial-style doomsday cult" and mentioned FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried as the most well-known representative of the movement. He also cited Pascal's idea that everyone has a "God-shaped hole" in their heart, claiming that some researchers are trying to fill this hole with a machine god called AGI.Medical data contrasts with this claim. The U.S. CDC states that smoking causes about one-third of cancer deaths in the U.S., and cigarette smoke contains at least 69 known carcinogenic chemicals, with smokers being about 25 times more likely to develop lung cancer than non-smokers. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei stated in August that the promise of AI curing cancer is "more of a cliché than inspiring," and that only a true cure for cancer can win public trust. CBS polling shows that 50% of Americans believe the problems created by AI outweigh the problems it solves, and 45% want the government to limit the use and development of AI.

first_img The Bitcoin supply on the exchange has dropped to 2.67 million coins, and a CryptoQuant researcher claims it may drive up prices

On-chain data company CryptoQuant researcher Rei Researcher pointed out in a report released on Monday that as the Bitcoin supply on exchanges continues to shrink, the price of Bitcoin may see an upward trend. The report shows that the Bitcoin held by exchanges has decreased from 2.8 million in February to 2.67 million. The recent price of Bitcoin is around $83,485, remaining stable over the past 24 hours but rising 8% over the past 30 days, following the best-performing quarter in years.The report states, "If buying demand continues to improve while exchange supply remains low, Bitcoin could benefit from a supply-demand imbalance, creating favorable conditions for a longer-term upward trend." The report adds, "More importantly, Bitcoin has rebounded from its lows in recent weeks, while exchange reserves continue to decline. This is a notable development, indicating that even as the market recovers, the supply available for trading is still decreasing." The report also notes that investors may be transferring Bitcoin out of exchanges and into cold wallets.In the first half of 2026, Bitcoin traded below $65,000 for most of the time. After reaching an all-time high of $126,080 in October 2025, the cryptocurrency has been in a bear market for most of this year. However, the situation changed in August when the U.S. Treasury doubled the scale of liquidity support repurchase operations, weakening the dollar while boosting non-yielding assets like Bitcoin. Analysts say that the so-called "devaluation trade" has heated up again, benefiting Bitcoin as it did in 2024 and 2025. Currently, the price of Bitcoin is still over 30% lower than its historical record.

first_img MegaETH ecosystem MNX launched, introducing futures for private AI companies such as OpenAI

According to CoinDesk, the cryptocurrency exchange MNX, developed by the prediction market platform Manifold Markets, officially launched on Tuesday, offering futures contracts linked to the valuations of private AI companies such as OpenAI, Anthropic, DeepSeek, and Moonshot. The platform is built on the MegaETH blockchain and completed a $6.4 million funding round in June, led by Village Global.Compared to existing products from OKX and Bitget, MNX's contracts expire at the end of 2027 and do not charge periodic funding rates; the perpetual contracts offered by Bitget and OKX have no expiration date. Max Killberg from Village Global stated that AI is driving one of the largest investment cycles in history, but the financial infrastructure surrounding it remains quite underdeveloped. The organization hopes to build financial markets around AI rather than just betting on another prediction market.Stephen Gruggett, co-founder of Manifold Markets, indicated that MNX's model is better suited for private companies like OpenAI and Anthropic, which have infrequent equity trades and are difficult to price. Traders can use up to three times leverage, with prices determined by trading activity on the MNX platform rather than external price sources.If the company is still not publicly listed when the contracts expire, the exchange will use public valuations from funding rounds, investment funds, or secondary markets; MNX currently does not serve U.S. customers but plans to obtain the necessary licenses and intends to launch markets covering a broader range of the AI economy, including company revenue, employment, housing, AI supply chains, and computing power.

IMF: The market size of tokenized RWA is approximately 65 billion USD, which may become a new channel for leverage accumulation and liquidity risk

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) released the October "Global Financial Stability Report," which for the first time discusses the tokenized market in a dedicated chapter. The report shows that as of the end of July, the public market size of tokenized Real World Assets (RWA), excluding repos and stablecoins, is approximately $65 billion, with credit accounting for about $30.4 billion, money market funds about $17.5 billion, and stocks about $2.3 billion. The average daily trading volume of tokenized repos over 30 days reached $303 billion.The report states that the issuance of tokenized stocks is highly concentrated, with Ondo Finance and Backed Finance (xStocks) together accounting for over 70%. More than 50% of trades occur outside regular trading hours for U.S. stocks, with about 80% of trade sizes being less than one share, volatility being about 1.5 times that of traditional markets, and liquidity being significantly lower.The IMF believes that while the scale of tokenized assets is small, it may bring efficiency improvements in multiple areas, but it could also create new channels for leverage accumulation and liquidity and maturity mismatches, exacerbating technological and infrastructure risks, with current systemic risks remaining limited. The IMF also pointed out that in the absence of interoperable central bank currencies, stablecoins and tokenized deposits may become the main settlement tools in the tokenized capital market, leading to issuer credit risk and concentration risk.

first_img DRW and Marex completed the first on-chain bond index swap on the Canton network

According to The Defiant, trading firm DRW executed a total return swap with Marex on the Canton network through Derivnex, referencing the on-chain corporate bond benchmark from S&P Dow Jones Indices. S&P Dow Jones Indices announced this transaction with Kaiko on October 13.The swap was provided by Marex, with DRW as the counterparty, referencing the iBoxx USD Liquid Investment Grade Index, which tracks investment-grade corporate bonds that are dollar-denominated and have good liquidity. The swap provides both parties with exposure to the index without holding the underlying bonds. The transaction will synchronize events such as valuations during the contract's duration between both parties, and plans to migrate margin, collateral, and contract payments to the same infrastructure will be advanced in subsequent phases.Kaiko's tokens combine benchmark data with access permissions and usage rules, retaining the authorized control of S&P Dow Jones Indices, and distributing signed official index values for Derivnex to use for valuation. Derivnex expresses the transaction terms in the form of Canton smart contracts and introduces a universal domain model standard for derivatives trading. DRW founder and CEO Don Wilson stated that both parties can "work off the same record, thereby simplifying the process," and noted that once cash and collateral flows are integrated, more transactions are expected to achieve greater efficiency.
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