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According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the market prediction on Polymarket for the event "Wimbledon Women's Singles Muchova vs. Noskova," the "Over" option for the sub-market "Total Games Exceeding 21.5" has experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 63% an hour ago to the current 26% (a fluctuation of 37%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market event "Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - XSE Professional League Playoffs" on Polymarket, the "PARIVISION" option in the sub-market "Map 2 Winner" has experienced significant fluctuations in win probability, soaring from 56% an hour ago to the current 97.5% (a fluctuation of 41.5%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

Real Vision's Chief Crypto Analyst Jamie Coutts stated that Bitcoin may be entering the later stages of this bear market. Although the bear market has not ended, the downward momentum has begun to weaken. The current BTC price has fallen about 50% from the historical high of $126,100 set in October 2025. Coutts referred to the current trend as a "typical bear market" and pointed out that Bitcoin's volatility has decreased by about 50% compared to the previous cycle, which suggests that this decline may not be as severe as the previous bear market. However, he cautioned that all current trend indicators are still clearly bearish, and the market will not mechanically replicate historical cycles.He noted that longer-term momentum indicators are beginning to show bullish divergence, indicating that negative momentum is slowing down, but this does not mean that Bitcoin has technically exited the bear market. In addition to the tightening of global liquidity, the deterioration of on-chain demand has also been a significant reason for Bitcoin's decline. Regarding long-term price predictions, Coutts is cautious about Bitcoin reaching $1 million by 2030. He prefers to predict that BTC will rise to between $200,000 and $250,000 in the next two to three years. He also warned that the Bitcoin community needs to more clearly address the potential threat of quantum computing before 2027, as significant protocol upgrades may take about five years.

According to Coinglass data, if BTC breaks through $67,047, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $750 million. Conversely, if BTC falls below $61,132, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $743 million.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, in the past 24 hours, 11 wallets associated with the same whale purchased 12.99 trillion PEPE, worth 3.58 million dollars.

Galaxy Research Director Alex Thorn posted on the X platform revealing that there has been a significant development in the case of abandoned bitcoins, where "Noah Doe" is attempting to obtain ownership of Satoshi Nakamoto's bitcoins through legal proceedings. The Bitcoin Policy Institute (BPI) has officially applied to intervene in the case as a defendant and seeks to push the court to dismiss all lawsuits.It is reported that BPI, represented by the law firm White & Case, has not only applied to intervene in the case but has also submitted a proposed defense document, 15 active defenses, and plans to file a motion to dismiss.Alex Thorn disclosed that BPI claims it is qualified to intervene because the organization has long self-custodied a portion of its bitcoin reserves intended for indefinite holding. The plaintiff's theory that "long-term inactivity constitutes abandonment" could potentially include similar assets in future lawsuits. If the legal logic of this case is ultimately supported by the court, it may set a precedent for depriving long-term self-custody users of asset ownership, making this lawsuit not only related to Satoshi Nakamoto's assets but also concerning the legal foundation of the entire bitcoin self-custody ecosystem.

According to PR Newswire, the US-listed Bitcoin treasury and AI data center company Hyperscale Data has disclosed that it has recently increased its BTC holdings again, and as of now, its Bitcoin reserves have surpassed 1,000 coins.The company's management revealed that it plans to use Bitcoin as a potential collateral for financing in the future, and to achieve balance sheet diversification alongside cash and other strategic assets.

According to Jinshi reports, the tensions between the U.S. and Iran escalated sharply this week, with mutual attacks leading to the collapse of a fragile ceasefire agreement that had lasted for about three weeks. The inflationary pressure driven by rising oil prices has reignited expectations for the Federal Reserve to tighten its policies. During the same period, U.S. stocks largely ignored geopolitical uncertainties, with the "AI trading" frenzy regaining momentum, as the S&P 500 index approached an all-time high, and both it and the Nasdaq recorded a consecutive weekly gain. SK Hynix's ADR surged 13% on its first day, with a fundraising amount of $26.5 billion, making it the highest fundraising foreign company IPO in U.S. stock market history.In the coming week, the U.S.-Iran situation, U.S. CPI and other economic data, and speeches from Federal Reserve officials will capture Wall Street's attention. There is particular anticipation for whether Federal Reserve Chairman Waller can provide more clues about the interest rate outlook under questioning in Congress, although his determination to cancel forward guidance leaves little room for optimism. The macro data events for next week are as follows:MondayFederal Reserve Governor Waller speaksTuesdayU.S. ADP employment change for the week ending June 27U.S. June CPI and core CPIFederal Reserve Chairman Waller attends the House Financial Services Committee "Federal Reserve Semiannual Monetary Policy Report" hearingWednesday2027 FOMC voter and Chicago Fed President Goolsbee participates in a fireside chatU.S. June PPI and core PPIFOMC permanent voter and New York Fed President Williams speaksFederal Reserve Chairman Waller attends the Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee "Federal Reserve Semiannual Monetary Policy Report" hearingFederal Reserve releases the Beige Book on economic conditionsThursdayU.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending July 11, U.S. June retail sales month-on-month, U.S. July Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index2026 FOMC voter and Dallas Fed President Logan speaksFederal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson speaks on the economy and monetary policy

According to Coinglass data, if ETH breaks through $1,882, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $647 million. Conversely, if ETH falls below $1,709, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $578 million.

Binance's official announcement shows that the total scale of stablecoins held by cryptocurrency exchanges has reached $93 billion, of which Binance holds approximately $53 billion, accounting for 57% of the market share, which is $42 billion higher than the stablecoin reserves of the second-ranked exchange platform.In addition, since the beginning of 2025, the stablecoin reserves of exchanges have cumulatively increased by 61%, adding approximately $35 billion, while Binance's market share has also risen from 54% to 57% during the same period.

According to on-chain data, 181,000 SOL held by a certain early investor (OG) in Solana, previously disclosed by on-chain detective ZachXBT, was stolen, valued at approximately $14.2 million at current prices.The attacker subsequently sold all 181,000 SOL and transferred the funds across chains to the Ethereum network, ultimately exchanging them for 7,918 ETH.Currently, the attacker has completed the asset transfer and exchange operation from Solana to Ethereum. The specific reasons for the incident and the method of fund theft have not yet been disclosed.

According to analyst Specter, the Hedera network is suspected to be under attack, with attackers transferring over $3.7 million to Ethereum via a cross-chain bridge.The stolen funds, after being cross-chained from the Hedera network through LayerZero, are currently being exchanged from WBTC to ETH.

Analyst jukan from Citrini posted on platform X that, according to WSJ, Apple has obtained a semiconductor tariff exemption after committing to use Intel's foundries. Apple will not only produce Mac chips at Intel but will also produce iPhone chips.

Vitalik posted on the X platform, stating that AI 2040 and its critics have incompatible worldviews regarding the speed and significance of AI progress. AI 2040 believes that unless strong measures are taken to completely prevent it, some form of superintelligence will emerge in various scenarios by 2040; critics argue that AI 2040 underestimates human coordination capabilities and threatens freedom, but do not view ASI itself as a risk of power concentration.He believes that if he were convinced that the current form of AI is just an ordinary technology, he would be closer to the critics' camp; if he were convinced that superintelligence would inevitably arrive by 2030, he would be closer to the AI 2040 camp. At the same time, due to significant uncertainty, he remains open to the idea of slowing down or pausing, and feels uncomfortable with the stance proposed by some large AI companies and intellectuals that "open source is detrimental, and the ideal outcome is to maintain global control dominance."Vitalik stated that an important reason he supports the d/acc platform is that directions such as formal verification, cryptography, secure and open hardware, pandemic resilience, defensive biotechnology, food and basic resource security, public cognitive systems, and non-concentrated power physical security are worth promoting under both worldviews. He also mentioned that the 2040 plan has increasingly supported open source and incorporated the idea of "mutual assured destruction of computational power," which is an improvement compared to allowing a few participants to selectively deprive their identified subjects of rights.There is no way to avoid trade-offs regarding whether to slow down or pause, and Vitalik believes that trigger conditions can be preset, allowing for a more open attitude towards slowing down or pausing when sufficient conditions are met within a specific timeframe.He also stated that if he were Elon Musk or Zuck, he would significantly transform Twitter into a platform that helps identify and facilitate such large win-win agreements, encouraging more people to participate in discussions, but he thinks this might also be naive. Currently, he does not see any non-naive ASI transition response plans, so he tends to show some tolerance towards those who are trying.

According to official news, Gate ETF will launch SKHY3L and SKHY3S (SK Hynix) on July 11 at 15:00 (UTC+8), supporting 3x long/short SKHY (SK Hynix). Gate ETF currently supports trading of 362 types of tokens.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a giant whale deposited approximately $500,000 into Hyperliquid and opened a short position of 6,914 ETH ($12.43 million) with 25x leverage, at an opening price of $1,790.36 and a liquidation price of $1,825.58. The current floating loss is about $50,700, just 1.55% away from the liquidation price.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a giant whale received approximately 25.1 million USDT and purchased 14,007 ETH at an average price of $1,798.

According to Coinglass data, the cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index is currently at 25, up 3 points from yesterday. The average over the past 7 days is 22, and the average over the past 30 days is 18.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a giant whale unstaked 440.822 BTC (approximately 28.27 million USD) from Core DAO and transferred it to a new wallet within 1 hour.