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PitchBook provided a valuation scenario for Kalshi, with a maximum of 42.1 billion USD

According to a 46-page report from financial investment data company PitchBook, the market platform Kalshi has a baseline scenario valuation of approximately $30.4 billion, a peak valuation of about $42.1 billion during strong market performance, and a pessimistic scenario of $22.8 billion. Kalshi completed a $1 billion Series F financing in May this year, with a post-money valuation of $22 billion.PitchBook expects Kalshi's revenue to reach $6.4 billion by 2030, with adjusted profits reaching $3.7 billion, and believes that partnerships with platforms and market makers such as Robinhood and Susquehanna will help consolidate market share. The report lists the regulatory risks of the sports prediction market as a key variable affecting valuation, with data showing that the sports market currently contributes about 69.9% of Kalshi's event fee revenue; if Exotics products such as multi-event combinations are included, the proportion rises to 82.4%.Several states in the U.S. and Native American tribes are suing over the legality of Kalshi's sports prediction products, and related cases have created discrepancies between federal appellate courts, with the Supreme Court expected to intervene next year. PitchBook believes that even if the final ruling is unfavorable to Kalshi, the company may still adjust its business model through state-level licensing and the development of non-sports prediction products, but a significant decline in sports revenue will still notably impact its growth expectations.

first_img Analysis: 1b DRAM unit area value exceeds TSMC 2 nanometers

Semiconductor analysis firm Kernel Insight: Demand for artificial intelligence drives DRAM prices to maintain historical highs, with the unit area sales value of the latest process DRAM exceeding the wafer prices of TSMC's N2 and N3. The firm estimates TSMC's 300mm N3 wafer price at $20,000 and N2 at $30,000, translating to nominal prices of approximately $0.283 per square millimeter and $0.424 per square millimeter, respectively, not accounting for edge losses, cutting losses, yield, and defects.Based on a price of $1.50 per Gb and generational bit density calculations, 1y DRAM is $0.329 per square millimeter, 1z is $0.410 per square millimeter, and 1b is $0.654 per square millimeter, more than 50% higher than N2. The 10nm process gradually shrinks in the order of 1y, 1z, 1a, and 1b. The above prices per Gb assume they are close to spot prices; DRAMeXchange data shows that on September 21, the average transaction price for 16Gb DDR5 eTT chips was $24.80, approximately $1.55 per Gb.There are differences in comparison metrics. TSMC's figures represent the wafer foundry prices paid by customers, while the DRAM figures represent the total sales potential of finished products and do not include advanced packaging costs; TSMC's actual supply prices will vary with order volumes and contracts. DRAM metrics are based on small spot prices, differing from the long-term contract prices of Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and Micron's revenue entities. Recently, non-public fixed trading prices have strengthened; if they have not yet fully reflected in spot prices, the leading margin of wafer unit prices for memory manufacturers may be even greater.

first_img Liu Xing, the head of Doubao Public Relations: The layoff news is false

On September 24, the trending topic "Doubao employees lament that Doubao has become a marginal product" topped Weibo's hot search. Previously, media reported that the Doubao General Session team had undergone personnel reductions. Following the dissemination of related content, statements such as "Doubao layoffs" and "half of the dialogue team cut" appeared online, with some claiming that internal employees lamented that Doubao was being marginalized.In response to the above statements, Doubao's public relations head Liu Xing posted a response stating: Some media reported that the Doubao Session team underwent organizational adjustments, and some self-media interpreted it as Doubao layoffs and cutting half of the Doubao dialogue team, which is inaccurate information; in fact, it is merely an organizational adjustment of responsibilities.According to Liu Xing, part of the functions of the Doubao General Session team has been split into the Doubao trading and Doubao work teams, with relevant personnel being transferred accordingly. Many employees are still engaged in dialogue experience-related work, such as optimizing the trading dialogue experience on the trading side. The team has fewer than 50 people, and the adjustment of responsibilities involves 11 individuals, of which 3 have left. He emphasized that statements in some self-media reports, such as "Doubao layoffs affecting 200 million users" and "half of the dialogue team cut," are inaccurate.

Galaxy Digital invested 100 million USD to purchase sUSDS, Forward Industries plans to raise 25 million USD to increase its holdings in SOL

According to BBX data, yesterday global publicly listed companies in the U.S. stock market announced their latest accounts regarding digital asset treasury allocation, targeted private placements, and stock repurchases at a discount. The core updates are as follows:Galaxy Digital (TSX: GLXY) invested $100 million to purchase sUSDS and increased its holdings in SKY tokens: The well-known cryptocurrency financial services firm Galaxy Digital announced that it has utilized $100 million of its own funds to officially incorporate the interest-bearing stablecoin sUSDS from Sky Protocol into its corporate treasury. At the same time, Galaxy has approved sUSDS as compliant collateral for its institutional trading business, allowing institutional clients to apply for loans by pledging sUSDS while continuing to enjoy Sky's savings interest rate benefits. Additionally, Greg Feibus, the global head of capital markets at Sky Frontier Foundation, confirmed that Galaxy also purchased an undisclosed amount of SKY tokens. The two parties have established a new tripartite lending arrangement and are discussing expanding the existing $500 million warehouse financing limit.Forward Industries (NASDAQ: $FWDI) plans to raise $25 million through a registered direct offering, fully allocated to increase its holdings in SOL: The publicly listed company Forward Industries, which is part of the Solana treasury, announced that it has signed a securities purchase agreement with institutional investors to sell 3.125 million shares of common stock at a price of $8 per share through a registered direct issuance, raising a total of approximately $25 million (expected to complete settlement around September 24). A.G.P./Alliance Global Partners is acting as the exclusive placement agent. Forward Industries clearly stated that the net proceeds from this offering will be fully used to increase its holdings in SOL in the secondary market, to expand its SOL treasury size and enhance the per-share fully diluted SOL content.Silvia (formerly ProCap Financial, NASDAQ: $SVIA) reduced its holdings by repurchasing 124 BTC, bringing total holdings down to 5,130 BTC: The Nasdaq-listed company Silvia, under cryptocurrency entrepreneur Anthony Pompliano, announced that since September 15, it has repurchased an additional 2.3% of its circulating common stock at a market discount below net asset value (NAV). Since the repurchase program began, the cumulative repurchase ratio has reached approximately 14.5%. As of the market close on September 22, the company's circulating shares have been reduced to 82,881,223 shares, with the treasury holding approximately 5,130 BTC (a decrease of about 124 BTC from approximately 5,254 BTC on September 15), and the NAV per share is approximately $4.27. The company reiterated its firm commitment to selling some assets to repurchase shares until the secondary market trading price is no longer below NAV.
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