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Huobi HTX Chief Analyst: The Fed's hawkish rate hikes reshape policy credibility

Regarding the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates by 25 basis points as expected in the September meeting, Huobi HTX Chief Analyst Andy pointed out that what truly deserves attention is the comprehensive hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve's stance. All 12 officials rarely supported the decision unanimously, and the dot plot clearly indicates another rate hike within the year, with tightening becoming a consensus.The core message conveyed by the meeting is that the Federal Reserve is determined to rebuild its credibility against inflation at all costs. The economic forecast summary raised growth expectations and lowered the unemployment rate, reflecting confidence in a soft landing; however, the path for core inflation to decline has been significantly delayed, indicating that the higher-ups have accepted the reality of "higher for longer." Chairman Waller's statement is particularly crucial, placing anti-inflation efforts as an absolute priority. Even though the current economic fundamentals are robust and oil price fluctuations are supply-side factors, the Fed still chooses to respond with a tightening stance. This "better to be too tight than too loose" position has temporarily pushed up U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar, while suppressing gold.For the cryptocurrency market, uncertainty has actually decreased. A clearer policy path helps compress risk premiums, which is not a bad thing for risk assets in the medium to long term. The key going forward lies in data validation: if employment and growth remain strong, rate hikes may continue but at a slower pace; if the economy shows cracks, there is still room for a policy shift. Overall, the Federal Reserve is trading short-term pain for long-term policy credibility.

Galaxy Research: In the second quarter, total cryptocurrency VC investment rose to 5.6 billion USD, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 31%

Galaxy Research's latest report shows that after a cooling period in the first quarter, cryptocurrency venture capital activity rebounded in the second quarter of 2026. Venture capital firms invested approximately $5.6 billion in unlisted cryptocurrency and blockchain-related companies, involving 384 transactions. The total investment amount increased by 31% quarter-on-quarter, and the number of transactions grew by 10%, with the funding growth mainly driven by later-stage financing.Raising new funds remains challenging, with only 5 new cryptocurrency venture capital funds raising about $3.9 billion in the second quarter, marking the lowest number of newly established funds since the fourth quarter of 2019. Based on the investment pace in the first half of 2026, the total annual investment is estimated to be around $20.037 billion; this figure is slightly lower than the $20.3 billion for the entire year of 2025 but higher than most periods during the market downturn from 2023 to 2024.In terms of investment fund allocation, later-stage transactions accounted for about 77% of the share, early-stage transactions accounted for 15%, while seed and pre-seed transactions made up the remaining 7%. Startups based in the United States received 73.5% of the investment funds and accounted for 39.1% of all 384 transactions. Transaction, exchange, investment, and lending companies led with approximately $3.523 billion, comprising a total of 51 transactions.
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