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According to Coinglass data, if ETH breaks through $1,786, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $610 million. Conversely, if ETH falls below $1,617, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $541 million.

According to Coinglass data, if BTC falls below $59,917, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $1.208 billion. Conversely, if BTC breaks above $65,880, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $975 million.

CryptoQuant data shows that Bitcoin network activity has risen to a level approximately 7% away from the historical peak in September 2024, and has broken through the long-term trend line for the first time since mid-2024, primarily driven by a large number of small transactions rather than traditional economic payment activities. The daily number of Bitcoin transactions in 2026 has exceeded 800,000, more than doubling from the low point in 2025, approaching the cycle peak from 2023 to 2025.CryptoQuant believes that this growth has structural characteristics rather than being a short-term fluctuation. Among these, small transactions below 0.01 BTC now account for about 80%, significantly higher than about 44% in 2023. This change is closely related to the usage of OP_RETURN, which is near historical highs. CryptoQuant points out that protocols such as Runes, Ordinals, BRC-20, and data timestamp services generate a large number of low-value transactions by writing data to the blockchain, with some transaction amounts as low as 546 satoshis.As inscription activities increase, the number of transactions in the Bitcoin mempool has risen to about 128,000, the highest level since February 2025. Although still below the extreme congestion levels of September 2023 and November 2024, the report suggests that non-financial use transactions are occupying an increasing amount of Bitcoin network throughput, and if this trend continues, it may drive up transaction fees for time-sensitive economic transactions.Meanwhile, the rise in on-chain activity contrasts with the flow of funds. There has been a net outflow of over $528 million from Bitcoin and Ethereum spot funds; however, institutional investors still view ETF fund flows as the core driving force of this cycle and maintain the benchmark expectation that Bitcoin will reach $150,000 by the end of the year.

According to Coinglass data, if Bitcoin breaks through $64,000, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $786 million. Conversely, if Bitcoin falls below $62,000, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $655 million.The liquidation chart does not display the exact number of contracts pending liquidation or the exact value of contracts being liquidated. The bars on the liquidation chart actually show the significance of each liquidation cluster relative to nearby liquidation clusters, that is, the intensity. Therefore, the liquidation chart illustrates the extent to which the underlying price reaching a certain position will be affected. A higher "liquidation bar" indicates that once the price reaches that point, there will be a stronger reaction due to liquidity waves.

Bitcoin, seen as the "rival" to the US Dollar Index (DXY), is facing ongoing pressure as the market focuses on the imminent breakout of the DXY from a 13-month trading range.Data shows that Bitcoin has weakened for the third consecutive trading day, hovering around $63,900, with the overall cryptocurrency market also under pressure. Meanwhile, the DXY rose 0.26% to 100.66, continuing the previous trading day's increase of 0.8%, and is nearing the edge of a key breakout range.Analysis indicates that if this structural breakout is confirmed, it will typically trigger trend-following funds to further boost the dollar's performance. Historical data shows a clear negative correlation between Bitcoin and the US Dollar Index; a stronger dollar usually suppresses risk assets priced in dollars. The market believes that the Fed's hawkish stance has reinforced the logic of dollar support and may further drive funds towards safe-haven assets and dollar-denominated assets.

Nansen CEO Alex Svanevik posted on platform X that, in hindsight, if Binance founder CZ had completed the acquisition of FTX back then, the potential asset structure could have changed significantly, possibly indirectly holding about 8% exposure in Anthropic, about 5% exposure in the AI programming tool Cursor, and some investment rights related to SpaceX.It is reported that CZ disclosed the intention to acquire in November 2022, but announced the abandonment due to issues discovered during due diligence that were beyond control, after which FTX filed for bankruptcy protection.

According to Coinglass data, if ETH breaks through $1,786, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $872 million. Conversely, if ETH falls below $1,617, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $730 million.

According to Coinglass data, if BTC falls below $60,034, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $1.488 billion. Conversely, if BTC breaks above $66,264, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $1.479 billion.

According to Jinshi reports, market pricing shows that bets on the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike have increased, fully absorbing the expectation of a 25 basis point rate hike in September.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event of "The location of the next diplomatic talks between the US and Iran" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "No talks before June 30" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 55.3% an hour ago to the current 35.15% (a fluctuation of 20.15%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Decrypt, two brothers from Texas, Isiah Garcia and Raymond Garcia, recently pleaded guilty in federal court in Minneapolis, admitting to a home invasion at a residence in Grant, Minnesota, in September 2025, where they held a family hostage for 8 hours and forced the homeowner to transfer over $8 million in cryptocurrency. During this time, the suspects also escorted the victims to their northern cabin to retrieve additional cold wallets for further transfers. After the victim's son reported to the police, the FBI tracked the suspects to the Houston area through evidence left at the scene and arrested them. Both face a maximum of 20 years in federal prison and have agreed to pay over $8 million in restitution.

According to Arkham monitoring, Morgan Stanley has recently "bought the dip," increasing its total holdings by 266.56 BTC through its spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund MSBT, worth 17.26 million USD. As of now, its total Bitcoin holdings have reached 4,348 BTC, valued at approximately 273.8 million USD.

"On-chain detective" ZachXBT published a case analysis stating that in a cryptocurrency asset case involving an Indian scam gang, the relevant individuals reported the case to law enforcement after their assets were frozen, drawing attention. The incident began when a user sought help, claiming that approximately 5.73 BTC (about $475,000) was frozen on Changelly in March 2025.Subsequent on-chain analysis revealed that these funds could be traced back to multiple social engineering attacks and theft cases related to Bitcoin ATMs targeting U.S. users, with a total amount involved exceeding $1 million and several elderly victims. The investigation showed that the individual provided multiple changing explanations for the source of the funds, including "loan," "boss transfer," and "investment from 2014-2015," and there were significant contradictions in the evidence chain.More concerning is that this user had previously filed a police report in India in December 2025, attempting to recover the frozen funds (case number 3207-P/2025). Subsequent on-chain evidence collection and email data analysis indicated that they might be a "mule" for transferring funds, with some bank documents inconsistent with their identity information. ZachXBT noted that such cases demonstrate that social engineering attacks and cross-border fund transfers continue to occur and remind users to avoid interacting with funds from suspicious sources to prevent triggering compliance freezes or legal risks.

According to Coinglass data, if ETH breaks through $1,772, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $863 million. Conversely, if ETH falls below $1,605, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $697 million.

According to Coinglass data, if BTC breaks through $65,567, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $1.73 billion. Conversely, if BTC falls below $59,825, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $1.239 billion.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes, 0x795d...5eA0) deposited 6,000 ETH into FalconX and Galaxy Digital, worth 10.14 million USD.

According to Coinglass data, the Coinbase Bitcoin premium index briefly turned positive this Monday but has now turned negative again, currently reported at -0.103%, indicating that purchasing power in the U.S. market continues to weaken.The Coinbase Bitcoin premium index is used to measure the difference between the Bitcoin price on Coinbase and the global market average price. A negative premium typically reflects significant selling pressure in the U.S. market, a decline in investor risk appetite, an increase in market risk aversion, or capital outflows.

According to South Korean media SBS Biz, South Korea is considering allowing various parties, including exchanges and fintech companies, to participate in the upcoming virtual asset overseas remittance business system. This system is expected to be implemented in December this year. Relevant individuals revealed that the government has recently begun drafting the implementation details of the partial amendment to the Foreign Exchange Transaction Act and is reviewing the registration requirements for virtual asset transfer businesses.The core content of the amendment is to include cross-border virtual asset transfers within the regulatory framework of the Foreign Exchange Transaction Act, defining it as "virtual asset transfer business." Companies intending to engage in virtual asset transfer business must register with the Office of the Minister of Economy and Finance of South Korea and report relevant information through the foreign exchange computer network of the Bank of Korea when cross-border transfer transactions occur. Previously, cross-border virtual asset transactions had been outside the foreign exchange regulatory framework, raising concerns that these transactions could be used for illegal foreign exchange trading or money laundering activities. This system improvement aims to incorporate virtual asset transfer transactions into the management and regulatory system.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event of "The location of the next diplomatic meeting between the US and Iran" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Switzerland" has experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 34.6% an hour ago to the current 13.5% (a fluctuation of 21.1%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to an analysis of the latest leaked data by WIRED, the secretive society Dialog, co-founded by Peter Thiel, has an extremely ruthless and biased "grading and elimination" mechanism.Dialog implements a secret rule of "rating upon entry." Although the club has thousands of members, only 192 personal profiles (including 130 formal members and some candidates) were leaked and reviewed by WIRED. They reveal the club's counterintuitive hierarchy of disdain: C-level is the highest VIP, B-level is the overwhelming majority of ordinary members, while the A-level, usually regarded as the best, is actually the least known bottom tier.This rating is directly tied to members' wallets. Only about 25% of VIP "C" level big shots are required to pay the full attendance fee, while among the bottom "A" level members, the proportion paying the full attendance fee of tens of thousands of dollars is as high as 70%.Ironically, the AI screening mechanism introduced by Dialog is extremely superstitious about so-called "national recognition." For example, actor Josh Brolin, who played "Thanos," has never attended but wins VIP "C" level status due to box office success and millions of fans; meanwhile, academic giant Tyler Cowen was deemed "not famous enough among ordinary people" by the AI and nearly classified into the ordinary tier, only barely promoted to C-level through human intervention.The "value-added points" serve as a scythe for eliminating "useless people," specifically measuring members' resource connections and intellectual contributions to other club giants. After each gathering, staff review members' performances like "code review," and those with too low value-added points, cultural mismatches, or declining visibility will be ruthlessly removed from the invitation list.Additionally, the leaked database also exposed its built-in social and dating matching system (10% of members join the singles pool), which has a "no-match list" while recommending pairings.This so-called objective assessment system is also filled with biases: women make up one-third of the members but only receive 18% of VIP seats; politically, it is even harder to escape differential treatment. Although more than half of the members identify as "left-leaning," the probability of "right-leaning" members obtaining VIP status is more than twice that of left-leaning members, and even the "left-leaning" label of an environmental leader was forcibly rewritten to "right-leaning" by staff in the background.