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According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "The U.S. announces a new Iran agreement or ceasefire extension" on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of the "Yes" option in the sub-market "June 15" has experienced significant fluctuations, soaring from 46% an hour ago to the current 61.5% (a fluctuation of 15.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $51,593.99 in a single transaction on "June 13" in response to the event of "the U.S. announcing a new agreement or ceasefire extension with Iran." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding win rate for this target is 88.86%.

According to Coinglass data, if ETH falls below $1,594, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $587 million. Conversely, if ETH breaks above $1,758, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $557 million.

According to Coinglass data, if BTC falls below $60,878, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $1.094 billion. Conversely, if BTC breaks above $66,908, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $1.019 billion.

Next week, the market focus will be on the interest rate decisions of several major central banks, including the Federal Reserve. Since taking office as the new chairman of the Federal Reserve, Waller has remained silent, and the press conference following the June interest rate decision will be a key validation of his monetary policy stance. The market also expects him to send clear signals regarding communication mechanism reforms. Here are the key points the market will focus on in the new week (all times are in Beijing time):Monday 15:15, European Central Bank President Lagarde will deliver a speech;Tuesday TBD, the Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision; 14:30, Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Uchida Shinichi will hold a monetary policy press conference;Tuesday 20:15, U.S. ADP employment change for the week ending May 30;Thursday 2:00, the Federal Reserve FOMC will announce its interest rate decision and economic projections summary; 2:30, Federal Reserve Chairman Waller will hold a monetary policy press conference;Thursday 20:30, U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending June 13, U.S. June Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index.In terms of policy signals, the market is focused on whether three hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve will materialize: first, whether the wording "the next step is likely to be a rate cut" will be removed from the original policy statement. If this wording is removed, it means the Federal Reserve officially ends its previous easing bias and shifts to a policy tone centered on combating inflation. Second, changes in the dot plot; the March dot plot indicated one more rate cut within the year, but this dot plot is likely to shift to show stable rates, and there may even be a situation where a majority of officials expect rate hikes. Finally, there is a tilt in risk preference. If officials' concerns about inflation significantly increase and worries about the labor market diminish, it may pave the way for subsequent rate hikes.On Friday (June 19), due to the Juneteenth holiday, the New York Stock Exchange will be closed for one day. Trading in precious metals, energy, foreign exchange, stock index, and U.S. Treasury futures contracts on the CME will end early at 01:00 Beijing time on the 20th, and trading in Brent crude oil futures contracts on the Intercontinental Exchange will end early at 01:30 Beijing time on the 20th.

According to Bitcoin Magazine, El Salvador is continuously optimizing its immigration system to attract high-net-worth foreign talent and capital (including families). According to Decree No. 531, effective March 31, 2026, the residency requirement for temporary residents has been reduced from a mandatory stay of 9 months per year to a cumulative or continuous stay of only 90 days per year. This adjustment is primarily aimed at entrepreneurs, investors, and remote workers who need to frequently cross borders.El Salvador offers one of the most attractive tax systems in Latin America for individuals with foreign-source income. The country implements a territorial tax system, meaning that only income generated within El Salvador is subject to taxation. A significant income tax reform in 2024 further clarifies that both residents and non-residents can be exempt from income tax on their foreign-source income. This means freelancers, remote workers (such as content creators, developers, and entrepreneurs with foreign income) can enjoy a 0% income tax rate in El Salvador on their overseas income, with no limits on the amount.Additionally, under the country's laws, capital gains related to Bitcoin are not taxed, and the country does not impose wealth tax, inheritance tax, or gift tax. The real focus is whether the individual's country of origin recognizes this arrangement; because most countries typically do not easily relinquish their taxing rights over their tax residents and often conduct strict scrutiny and recovery on tax residency issues.

According to CoinDesk, Ripple is attempting to introduce XRP along with its stablecoin Ripple USD into the AI agent payment market, aiming to penetrate the on-chain micropayment system currently dominated by the USD stablecoin USD Coin. It has released the "XRPL AI Starter Kit," providing developers with a toolkit to build AI Agent payment capabilities, enabling agents to complete payments, check balances, and perform wallet operations on the XRP Ledger, and supporting automated payment processes based on the x402 protocol.However, Ripple has not yet disclosed any scaled landing customers or real production-level AI Agent payment transaction data; the solution is still in the early exploratory stage of infrastructure and developer ecosystem.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "The U.S. announces a new Iran agreement or ceasefire extension" on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of the "Yes" option in the sub-market "June 15" has experienced significant fluctuations, soaring from 32.5% an hour ago to the current 58.5% (a fluctuation of 26%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to official news, AvoDex is set to launch a prediction market segment.It is reported that this segment will allow users to trade on-chain based on real-world events, further expanding AvoDex's product boundaries. Currently, the related features are under development, and the official launch time and detailed rules will be announced soon through official channels.

According to Coinglass data, if ETH falls below $1,591, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $590 million. Conversely, if ETH breaks above $1,756, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $575 million.

According to Coinglass data, if BTC falls below $60,593, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $1.07 billion. Conversely, if BTC breaks above $66,929, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $1.064 billion.

The liquid staking protocol Stader Labs announced that it will gradually shut down its Polygon liquid staking token MaticX. As of today, MaticX has stopped accepting new deposits and has fully transitioned to a "claims-only" status.At the same time, the official application front end for MaticX will be officially taken offline on August 3, 2026. Before this date, users can still redeem instantly at a fixed exchange rate through the dApp; after the front end closes on August 3, users can continue to claim their MATIC assets directly through the Etherscan contract page for three years until August 3, 2029.

According to Reuters, citing two informed sources, South Korean memory chip manufacturer SK Hynix is planning to choose Nasdaq as its platform for listing in the United States. This leading global memory chip company aims to go public on a technology-focused trading platform, leveraging strong investor demand for artificial intelligence (AI)-related stocks.The listing could take place as early as August. Previously, SK Hynix's stock price has risen about 230% this year, pushing the company's market value to surpass $1 trillion in May. The U.S. listing is expected to further expand the company's investor base and enhance its visibility in the global capital markets.Sources said that SK Hynix ultimately chose Nasdaq over the New York Stock Exchange. As the relevant information has not yet been made public, the two sources requested anonymity. SK Hynix declined to comment on this matter. Nasdaq has not responded to requests for comment outside of business hours.

According to on-chain analyst @ai_9684xtpa, an address (0x157...eF5da) sold 3,000 ETH at a price of $1,658.68, worth $4,980,000, 10 hours ago.The ETH held by this address can be traced back to 3 years ago, having been mostly staked in DeFi protocols like Aave to earn yields.

According to Jinshi reports, ARK Invest, led by Cathie Wood, announced its trading records for June 12, 2026 (Friday), showing a significant shift in investment strategy. The most striking operation was the purchase of a total of 3,291,184 shares of SpaceX stock across several ETFs, with a total transaction amount reaching $444,309,840, indicating the fund's growing interest in the space technology sector.At the same time, ARK Invest significantly reduced its holdings in AMD (AMD.O), selling a total of 80,536 shares through the ARKQ, ARKW, and ARKX ETFs, with a total transaction value of $39,337,809, continuing the trend of reducing its position in AMD.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $72,800 in a single transaction on "June 13" in response to the event of "the U.S. announcing a new agreement or ceasefire extension with Iran." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding win rate for this subject is 91.07%.

The World Cup group stage continues. In today's two completed matches, Canada drew 1-1 with Bosnia and Herzegovina, earning their first point in this World Cup; the United States defeated Paraguay 4-1, achieving a strong start in the group stage.Base's native leverage prediction market OmenX data shows that as the host teams take the field, the trading activity in World Cup-related prediction markets continues to rise. Among them, the prediction market trading volume for the Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina match reached $2.4 million; the trading volume for the United States vs. Paraguay match reached $3.5 million.So far, the cumulative trading volume in World Cup-related prediction markets on OmenX has reached $80 million, with markets related to championship outcomes, single match results, and popular teams becoming the most active trading directions for users.OmenX has recently launched a new sports page and introduced related prediction markets and themed activities around the World Cup, supporting users in leveraged prediction trading regarding match results, championship outcomes, and popular sports events.

SpaceX, under Elon Musk, has officially gone public, disclosing in its S-1 filing submitted to the U.S. SEC during the IPO that it holds 18,712 BTC. Based on the current price of approximately $63,000, this portion of Bitcoin is valued at about $1.18 billion, making SpaceX the 8th largest publicly traded company holder of Bitcoin in the world.SpaceX's Bitcoin holdings have been on the balance sheet for some time, with an average purchase cost of around $35,000, resulting in significant potential gains. Another publicly traded company under Musk, Tesla, also holds 11,509 BTC. Together, SpaceX and Tesla hold a total of 30,221 BTC, and if the two companies were to merge, their Bitcoin holdings would rank 5th among publicly traded companies globally.The listing of SpaceX indirectly provides traditional investment portfolios with exposure to Bitcoin and also demonstrates that large strategic companies are increasingly accepting Bitcoin as a treasury asset.

According to Coinglass data, the cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index is currently at 14, up 1 point from yesterday. The average over the past 7 days is 11, and the average over the past 30 days is 21.

Recently, the live broadcast "Feixiaohao × AtlasX: World Cup, Prediction Market, and Web3 Event Trading" jointly hosted by Feixiaohao and AtlasX Protocol successfully concluded on June 11, 2026. This live broadcast was the first AtlasX special live event following the launch of the Feixiaohao World Cup Carnival, and it completed the first round of concentrated warming up for the event's prize pool and payout rights, which is worth up to 1 million USDT. Review data shows that the event achieved over 90,000 online listeners, with a total of over 500,000 plays, and attracted participation from over 50 KOLs and exposure from over 50 media outlets, with content simultaneously covering 13 platforms including X, YouTube, TikTok, Telegram, Binance Square, Huobi Live, Gate Live, Hotcoin, Pumpkin, Sidekick, and more.As the title sponsor of the Feixiaohao World Cup Carnival, AtlasX Protocol completed the first round of concentrated market education for the World Cup prediction products through this live broadcast. The event, hosted by the AtlasX prediction platform, will facilitate interactive predictions during the World Cup from June 11, 2026, to July 20, 2026, covering various prediction topics such as World Cup champion, group winners, key matches, knockout stage advancement, and final results.In terms of communication effectiveness, the over 90,000 online listeners and over 500,000 total plays indicate that the World Cup prediction market has strong user attention and content dissemination capability. For AtlasX Protocol, the significance of this live broadcast is not just brand exposure, but leveraging the multi-platform live broadcast network of Feixiaohao Live100 to integrate prediction products into this global sports event, allowing users to understand the participatory value of the prediction market in real event scenarios.As the World Cup progresses, AtlasX Protocol will continue to update prediction topics based on the event's progress and will amplify the activity's reach through Feixiaohao (Feixiaohao.ai) live broadcasts, media, KOLs, and community resources.