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Bitfinex Alpha: Bitcoin needs to wait for CPI to catalyze a return to $84,500, with short-term attention on the support at $81,300

Bitfinex Alpha's latest report indicates that whether Bitcoin can regain the $84,500 level this week will depend on whether the U.S. CPI data changes market expectations for interest rates and yields, as well as whether spot market buying can follow up.This round of correction is similar to several adjustments during the previous recovery phase, with investors holding costs within the original trading range not showing significant sell-offs. However, spot market buying remains a weak link in the current market, with Bitcoin ETF investors' average holding cost around $84,340, and the current price is below this level, leading some investors to potentially sell when the rebound approaches their cost level.Analysts believe that if this week's core CPI month-over-month increase is 0.2% or lower, it may reduce market rate hike expectations and drive yields down, providing room for BTC to rise; if the core CPI reaches 0.3% or higher, it may continue to suppress the performance of risk assets. BTC may oscillate in the range of $81,300 to $84,500 in the short term. If the price breaks through and stabilizes above $84,500, while ETF fund flows are strong, the market may retest the $87,722 level from the beginning of the year; if it falls below $81,300 with continued fund outflows, it may further dip to around $77,400, which is the true market average level.
5 分钟前

first_img Australia's ASIC plans to extend CFD investor protection to crypto-settled derivatives

According to Cointelegraph, the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has proposed to expand the regulatory scope of Contracts for Difference (CFD) to include derivatives settled using digital assets.ASIC aims to add contracts settled through the transfer of digital assets to its definition of CFDs, rather than being limited to contracts settled in cash or offset transactions, provided that these contracts meet other identification criteria for CFDs. If the proposal is approved, Australian traders using crypto-settled CFDs will receive the same protections as cash-settled CFD traders.ASIC has made it clear that certain cryptocurrency futures and options with fixed expiration dates will remain outside this framework. CFDs allow traders to speculate on price fluctuations without holding the underlying asset. The current framework implemented in Australia since 2021 includes safeguards such as leverage limits, mandatory margin calls, and negative balance protection, which limits customer losses to the funds within their CFD trading accounts.ASIC is seeking feedback from the industry and stakeholders on the proposed expansion and revisions, with a deadline of November 9. This move comes as Australia strengthens its broader regulatory framework for digital assets.In April of this year, Australia legislated to include cryptocurrency exchanges and tokenized custody platforms within its financial services licensing framework, with the new system set to take effect on April 9, 2027. ASIC has also required crypto companies relying on temporary enforcement exemptions under existing financial services laws to apply for licenses or seek changes to existing licenses by September 30.
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