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Goldman Sachs: Upgrades the forecast for U.S. data center construction spending, expected to reach 125 billion dollars by 2028

Despite the panic in the market caused by stricter regulations on data centers after the Democratic Party gained control of Congress, Goldman Sachs has raised its forecast for U.S. data center construction spending, increasing the 2026 expectation from $67 billion to $80 billion, and from $87 billion in 2027 to $100 billion, while also predicting for the first time that it will reach $125 billion in 2028.Goldman Sachs pointed out that there are currently about 86 GW of data center projects under construction in the U.S., with approximately $900 billion in high-confidence projects awaiting construction, indicating that the overall construction cycle remains resilient. The demand and backlog orders from hyperscale cloud service providers such as Microsoft, Amazon, and Google have not shown significant cooling, with H100 computing power rental prices rising 26% year-on-year and GB200 rental prices increasing by 50% since the beginning of the year.In response to the data center moratorium proposed by Texas Governor-elect Gina Hinojosa, Goldman Sachs believes that its impact is more about delaying project delivery rather than directly canceling construction plans, but it may lead to increased financing costs, reduced tax incentives, and some clients canceling contracts. Goldman Sachs also warned that the overall growth prospects of the industry need to be distinguished from the survival capabilities of individual developers, as highly leveraged data center developers may face severe financial pressure due to project delays and rising financing costs, with some companies potentially unable to last until their projects go into production.
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