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first_img Galaxy Research has lowered the probability of the "CLARITY Act" passing to 50%

According to Bitcoin Magazine, Galaxy Research has lowered the probability of the passage of the CLARITY Act in 2026 from 60% three weeks ago to 50%, due to the increasingly tight Senate schedule, the lack of a published merged text for the bill, no scheduled votes, and no public commitment from leadership. The bill has been listed as item 423 on the legislative calendar since it passed the Senate Banking Committee on May 14 with a vote of 15-9, but no motion to advance it has been scheduled to date.The report indicates that the Senate must announce a schedule by early July to complete voting before the August recess; otherwise, it will be postponed until September, when the upcoming midterm elections will make controversial votes harder to arrange. Priority legislation such as FISA Section 702 and the NDAA occupies a significant amount of time, and Trump's veto of the housing bill further exacerbates scheduling pressures.The substantive content of the bill has not yet been fully resolved, and ethical provisions remain a core controversy, with at least two Republican senators expected to vote against it, making Democratic support essential. The report suggests that if leadership clarifies a commitment to vote in July within the next two weeks, the probability of passage will rise to 60% or higher; if there is continued lack of progress, it will be further lowered.

Gate DEX World Cup Prophet page is live, real-time viewing of single match profit rankings

According to ChainCatch news, as per official information, on June 28, 2026, the Gate DEX "World Cup Oracle" event page officially launched, coinciding with the conclusion of the World Cup group stage and the full start of the knockout stage. In addition to daily prediction gameplay, the page also aggregates three major Gate exclusive data highlights.The first is the "Single Match Profit Ranking Live," which updates the top 3 profit addresses for each match in real-time after the game ends, clearly showing the principal, profit, and multiple. For example, on June 28, in the match where Croatia defeated Ghana 2-1, the top profit address reached +$137.61 million; matches like Colombia vs. Portugal and Panama vs. England also produced multiple high-profit addresses. The second is "Expert Prediction Holdings," where the platform selects "prediction experts" for each team in this World Cup—specifically, on-chain smart money addresses with more than 2 related match events, a win rate greater than 60%, and profits exceeding $5000—and displays their betting direction for the current match, allowing users to intuitively reference expert judgments. The third is "World Cup Smart Money Holdings," which compiles addresses that have continuously bet profitably during this World Cup, aggregating their betting situations for user reference.Users can connect directly with a Web3 wallet or Gate TEE quick wallet with one click, referencing the judgment ideas of on-chain smart money to participate in daily match predictions.

Robinhood's second-quarter revenue is expected to reach $123 million, potentially surpassing cryptocurrency trading income

According to Dr. Crossroads' analysis, Robinhood's event prediction market revenue is expected to surpass its traditional cryptocurrency trading revenue as early as the second quarter of this year. Data shows that as of June 25, Robinhood has recorded approximately 12.3 billion event contract trades in the second quarter. Based on the usual 1 cent per contract revenue share, this is expected to contribute at least $123 million in single-quarter revenue, pushing the annualized revenue rate (ARR) of this business to $500 million. In comparison, due to the decline in institutional trading volume, its cryptocurrency business revenue in the second quarter is expected to fall below the first quarter's $134 million.At the same time, Robinhood's newly launched prediction market platform Rothera has surpassed 900 million contracts traded in its first week, bringing nearly 60% of potential contract trading increment to the company. Through Rothera's full-stack self-research and vertical integration, Robinhood plans to change the current fixed model where users pay 2 cents per contract (with the company and partner exchanges each receiving 1 cent), reducing the new fee rate to a minimum of 0.6 cents. This move aims to sprint into the top three in the industry through core price advantages while retaining the economic benefits of trade execution entirely within its ecosystem while passing savings on to users.

first_img The expansion of the head encryption VC investment landscape extends to cutting-edge technology sectors such as AI and robotics

According to The Block, influenced by the maturation of the crypto market and the rapid development of emerging technologies, several leading crypto venture capital firms are shifting their investment focus from the pure crypto sector to a broader "frontier technology" track, involving AI, robotics, fintech, and biotechnology.It is reported that Framework Ventures and Haun Ventures have recently raised $400 million and $1 billion funds respectively to support cross-domain layouts; Paradigm is planning to raise up to $1.5 billion for a frontier technology fund; and the former Binance incubator YZi Labs has also ventured into the fields of AI and biotechnology.Industry investors analyze that the core reasons for this strategic shift are the demand for capital deployment brought about by the expansion of fund sizes, the decrease in high-quality pure crypto projects, and the increasing integration of adjacent technologies such as blockchain and AI. Some venture capitalists predict that as cryptocurrencies gradually integrate into a broader technology ecosystem, the exclusive label of "crypto VC" may gradually fade, and the market will ultimately differentiate into large multi-strategy investment funds and a few vertical investors focused on digital assets. However, some institutions like a16z Crypto and Dragonfly still insist on deepening their investment strategies in the pure crypto sector.

SBI Holdings acquires Bitbank for $289 million, creating Japan's largest cryptocurrency exchange; bipartisan U.S. senators urge CFTC to investigate Polymarket's "deceptive marketing."

According to BBX data, last weekend Japan's largest financial group completed the most important cryptocurrency acquisition, and U.S. bipartisan senators launched a new regulatory offensive against prediction market platforms. The core developments are as follows:SBI Holdings, Inc. (Tokyo Stock Exchange: 8473) announced the acquisition of the Japanese cryptocurrency exchange Bitbank (privately held) for approximately $289 million. After the transaction is completed, SBI's cryptocurrency business will surpass all competitors, creating Japan's largest cryptocurrency exchange. SBI Holdings is one of Japan's largest independent financial services groups, already owning cryptocurrency-friendly network bank SBI Shinsei Bank, cryptocurrency asset custodian SBI Digital Asset Holdings, and multiple Bitcoin mining and cryptocurrency venture capital investments. Bitbank is one of Japan's largest spot BTC exchanges and holds an official cryptocurrency exchange license from the Financial Services Agency (FSA) of Japan. This acquisition marks a shift for traditional Japanese financial institutions from "strategic trial" in the cryptocurrency sector to "scale acquisition dominance," alongside the joint stablecoin plan of the three major banks: Mitsubishi UFJ ($MUFG), Sumitomo Mitsui ($SMFG), and Mizuho ($MFG) (targeting March 2027), forming the most intensive wave of cryptocurrency layout in Japan's financial industry by 2026.U.S. Senators John Curtis (Republican, Utah) and Adam Schiff (Democrat, California) reported on June 28 that they jointly sent a letter to the CFTC, urging it to conduct a formal investigation into the prediction market platform Polymarket (privately held), citing a "concerning" investigative report regarding Polymarket's "deceptive marketing" practices, which accused it of systematic misleading in user acquisition and risk disclosure. This is the third regulatory offensive against prediction market platforms initiated by Congress this year (previously, the House Oversight Committee launched an insider trading investigation on May 22); the two senators come from different parties, which is significant. For Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: $HOOD), this investigation poses indirect pressure—Robinhood's prediction market/event contract business (which achieved a record daily trading volume in June) faces the same regulatory qualitative disputes as Polymarket; however, Robinhood's defensive advantage lies in its ongoing application for a CFTC Designated Contract Market (DCM) license, providing a clearer compliance path compared to Polymarket.
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