Government bonds

Analysis: The volatility index of the U.S. Treasury bond market has rebounded from a low, while risk assets such as Bitcoin may continue to face pressure

ChainCatcher news, according to CoinDesk, the MOVE index (Merrill Option Volatility Expectation) for U.S. Treasury market volatility has continued to rise since hitting a low of 82 points in mid-December, reaching 102.78 points on January 8. As the world's second-largest financial market, increased volatility in the Treasury market often signals a tightening financial environment, which may trigger risk aversion across various financial markets.Latest data shows that manufacturing performance has exceeded expectations, suggesting strong economic resilience and persistent inflationary pressures, driving U.S. Treasury yields higher across the board. Among them, the 30-year Treasury yield rose to 4.92% (the highest since November 23), while the 10-year yield climbed to 4.68% (the highest level since May).Since Trump won the election on November 5, the MOVE index had significantly dropped, leading to a broad rally in risk assets. However, this upward momentum began to weaken when the MOVE index hit its low in mid-December. On January 8, Bitcoin fell 5% to $96,900, and the S&P 500 dropped over 1%. Analysts point out that the bond market is currently dominating broader market trends, making it difficult for risk assets to regain upward momentum before the Treasury market stabilizes.

Monetary economist: Selling the Federal Reserve's gold to buy BTC is equivalent to the government's "backdoor loan."

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis's previously proposed funding plan for Bitcoin purchases partially relies on the large gold heritage owned by the United States—these gold reserves were left over from the era when the dollar was pegged to precious metals, allowing dollar holders to exchange dollars for gold at a fixed price.Although the dollar has not been convertible to gold since the early 1970s, the Treasury and the Federal Reserve still hold about 8,100 tons of gold. The government values this gold at $42 per ounce, which is far below the current market price of $2,650.Cynthia Lummis hopes the Treasury can reassess this gold at current market prices and use the paper profits to fund Bitcoin purchases without raising taxes or issuing new national debt. However, critics point out that this operation is not a free lunch; it would require the Federal Reserve to cover the difference between the gold certificates held by the Treasury and the new valuation through a combination of printing money and asset sales.Monetary economist George Selgin argues that this operation amounts to a "backdoor loan" from the government, bypassing the regular appropriation process to avoid new debt and obscuring the truth. Lummis's bill relies heavily on gilded magic, and George Selgin said, "What better way to win public support than to make people believe this plan won't cost a dime?"
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