ChainCatcher news, Tangent co-founder Jason Choi expressed the view that "in the absence of specific reasons (such as expectations for ETFs or Trump), the trends of mainstream cryptocurrencies (mainly Bitcoin) will generally be linked to the performance of the U.S. stock market. As a speculator primarily focused on cryptocurrencies, my fundamental view is that aggressive positions should not be taken based on macroeconomic factors, but an understanding of the macroeconomy should provide a reference for existing aggressive positions."

ChainCatcher news, Matrixport released today's chart indicating that the slowdown in stablecoin inflows is driving the crypto market into a consolidation phase, which may suggest that caution is needed for Bitcoin's future price movements. Data shows that the stablecoin minting metrics are highly correlated with Bitcoin's price trends; if this metric fails to rebound, any upward movement in Bitcoin will be difficult to sustain.Analysts believe that the current slowdown in stablecoin inflows may stem from two factors: stablecoin issuers have already built up sufficient inventory in advance, or overall market demand is declining. Regardless of the specific reason, the current crypto market has not yet seen a large-scale influx of new capital, which is a key factor in Bitcoin's consolidation.Additionally, this trend may be related to the hawkish tone of the Federal Reserve meeting in December 2024, which is expected to make institutional investors more cautious.

ChainCatcher news, Federal Reserve mouthpiece Nick Timiraos published an article in the Wall Street Journal stating that over the past year, U.S. economic policymakers have focused on achieving a so-called soft landing, which means reducing inflation without causing an economic recession. Now, a group of "new pilots" is considering changing course, and they themselves admit that this could lead the economy toward a hard landing.In recent days, President Trump and his senior advisors have shown indifference to the rising risks of trade uncertainty hampering private sector investment. They believe that a detox may be needed in terms of spending and hiring, that falling stock values are not concerning, and that inflation may rise in the short term. Some analysts warn that Trump's messaging may reflect a strategic effort to improve the country's bargaining position with trade partners, leaving bond investors and the Federal Reserve stunned, thereby maintaining a tendency to cut interest rates.Trump's impulsive behavior has prompted European authorities to take measures to increase economic stimulus and defense spending. Analysts say that the situation over the past two weeks indicates that Trump is unlikely to change course due to a market downturn, which will help reset Wall Street's expectations. Andy Laperriere, head of U.S. policy research at Piper Sandler, said: "Everything he is doing tells us he is not joking. He fundamentally believes this on tariffs."

ChainCatcher news, economists at Wall Street investment bank JPMorgan have raised the risk of an economic recession this year from 30% in early 2025 to 40%.The Wall Street Journal reported that analysts wrote, "Due to extreme policies in the U.S., we believe the risk of the U.S. falling into recession this year is significant."Previous news, Morgan Stanley economists downgraded their economic growth expectations last week and raised their inflation expectations. The bank predicts that the GDP growth rate will be only 1.5% in 2025 and will drop to 1.2% in 2026. Goldman Sachs economists also raised the probability of a recession in the next 12 months from 15% to 20%.

ChainCatcher message, as concerns about a U.S. economic recession grow, most safe-haven assets such as U.S. Treasuries and the yen rose in early Asian trading.Tapas Strickland, head of market economics at the National Australia Bank, said: "Headlines about rising recession risks (from low levels) are everywhere. It's no surprise that U.S. Treasury yields are falling." Market pricing for a Federal Reserve rate cut has increased, with the market pricing a cut of 81.6 basis points by the end of 2025, up from 70.7 basis points last Friday.

ChainCatcher news, POLYMARKET predicts that the likelihood of an economic recession in 2025 has soared, with the probability of a recession in the U.S. in 2025 skyrocketing to 38%------almost doubling in a short period.

According to ChainCatcher news, the latest version of the "Guidance and Establishment of the U.S. Stablecoin Innovation Act" (GENIUS Act 2025) released by the U.S. Senate specifically expands the "Reciprocity for Payment Stablecoins Issued in Overseas Jurisdictions." The U.S. Secretary of the Treasury is required to reach bilateral agreements with countries that have similar stablecoin regulatory frameworks to ensure the coordination of reserve requirements, oversight, anti-money laundering and anti-terrorism measures, sanctions compliance standards, liquidity requirements, and risk management standards. This reciprocity arrangement must be completed within two years of the bill's enactment to facilitate international transactions and enhance the interoperability of overseas payment stablecoins denominated in U.S. dollars.In addition, the bill explicitly excludes licensed payment stablecoin issuers from the definition of "commodities" under the Commodity Exchange Act, further clarifying regulatory responsibilities.

ChainCatcher news, institutional analysis indicates that the Federal Reserve will not lower interest rates at next week's policy meeting, but if concerns about an economic recession triggered by the trade war worsen and materialize, a series of rapid rate cuts may begin in June. At least in the futures market, an increasing number of contracts are betting that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points in June, July, and October. This trend emerged after U.S. President Trump’s comments about a "transition period" over the weekend, as he expressed concerns about tariffs imposed by multiple countries. Due to fears that his remarks signal an impending economic recession, U.S. stocks and Treasury yields also fell on Monday."Although it appears calm on the surface, if the labor or financial markets begin to slide before the Federal Reserve has a chance to assess the tariffs and the overall impact of Trump's agenda on inflation, (Federal Reserve policymakers) are increasingly concerned about the rising risks of a dual mandate and their ability to withstand pressure from President Trump to cut rates," wrote Tim Duy, Chief U.S. Economist at SGH Macro Advisors, in a note. "A slow-reacting Federal Reserve will incur the wrath of the Trump administration."

ChainCatcher news, according to TheBlock, analysts pointed out that last Friday's disappointing U.S. February employment report reinforced expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut, which could boost risk appetite and lift the stock market and crypto assets. However, ongoing inflation risks driven by tariffs and supply chain issues still constrain a policy shift. Last week, the U.S. Labor Department's seasonally adjusted data showed that non-farm employment added only 151,000 jobs from January to February, marking the weakest February growth since 2019 and falling short of the 170,000 expected by economists surveyed by Dow Jones. Government layoffs, federal funding cuts, tariff uncertainties, and tightening immigration policies will weigh on job growth in the coming months. These factors may lead to a slowdown in hiring, suppress economic momentum, and reinforce deflationary trends. The Federal Reserve is facing a complex policy environment: weak employment supports rate cuts, but supply-side constraints and inflation concerns from geopolitical risks make it cautious. Uncertainty may continue to suppress the crypto market.Wincent Senior Director Paul Howard stated that the disappointing employment report underscores the necessity of rate cuts to stimulate the economy, and reducing deficit costs may be a government priority, which would benefit risk assets like crypto; CoinPanel trading automation expert Kirill Kretov pointed out that rising unemployment could improve Bitcoin and DeFi liquidity by raising rate cut expectations. Slowing wage growth suggests easing inflation pressures, making it more likely for the Federal Reserve to pivot sooner. The CME FedWatch tool shows that 55.3% of rate traders believe the June FOMC meeting is the earliest point for a rate cut this year, while the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model has downgraded U.S. first-quarter economic growth to a contraction of 2.4%, which, if realized, would mark the first deflation since the first quarter of 2022, intensifying recession fears.Analysts indicate that global economic uncertainty has prompted an increase in bearish positions in the derivatives market, with the risk reversal indicator over the past 24 hours leaning more towards put options, reflecting market concerns about increased selling pressure. Options flow suggests that bullish sentiment may need to wait until the third quarter. Although $80,000 remains a key short-term support level for Bitcoin, the upside potential is limited. Before a new narrative emerges, the correlation between Bitcoin and the stock market may strengthen. Tariff risks persist, and volatility may increase ahead of the release of U.S. CPI and PPI data this week.

ChainCatcher news, a certain crypto KOL analyzed: "The price trend of Bitcoin is closely related to economic indicators. If a recession occurs, Bitcoin may drop to around $50,000; if there is no recession, the expected bottom price range is between $70,000 and $75,000."In response, Binance co-founder Zhao Changpeng stated on platform X: "I believe this analysis only applies to the short term."

ChainCatcher, a certain crypto KOL, analyzed: "The price trend of Bitcoin is closely related to economic indicators. If a recession occurs, Bitcoin could drop to around $50,000; if no recession happens, the expected bottom price range is between $70,000 and $75,000."In response, Binance co-founder Zhao Changpeng stated on the X platform: "I believe this analysis only applies to the short term."

ChainCatcher news, BNB Chain today launched the second round of the $4.4 million permanent liquidity program, expanding from the first round's Meme track to all outstanding native project tokens on BSC (BNB Smart Chain). The aim is to strengthen the long-term development of the BNB Chain ecosystem by providing long-term liquidity support for high-potential projects.This round of competition will take place from March 13 to March 20, 2025, and will include daily and weekly contests to identify the most promising assets based on key performance indicators. The daily competition will be divided into two categories: the "Potential Explosion Zone" for assets with a market cap below $20 million and the "Mature Zone" for assets with a market cap of at least $20 million. The daily competition will last for seven days, with one winning project selected from each zone each day. Rankings will be determined based on a comprehensive performance of trading volume, market cap, and price increase within 24 hours.The weekly competition will evaluate project tokens based on their trading volume, market cap, and price increase over the seven days. Any asset that meets the participation criteria is eligible to participate in the weekly competition, regardless of whether it wins in the daily competition.Eligibility to participate in the competition: Assets must be natively launched on BSC, launched after January 1, 2024, with a market cap of at least $50,000 and a 24-hour trading volume of no less than $10,000.Please note that Binance-pegged tokens, gas fee tokens, stablecoins, cross-chain wrapped tokens, liquidity re-staking tokens, and winners from the first round of the Meme liquidity competition will not be eligible to participate in this round.Conditions for project victory: A market cap of no less than $1 million, an active holder count of at least 2,000 for the daily competition, at least 5,000 for the weekly competition winners, and the top 10 external holding wallets (EOA) must be less than 10% of the total supply; the project must be verified on BscScan or pass a security audit.For more competition rules and ranking formulas, please refer to the source link.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi, U.S. White House economic advisor Hassett expressed optimism about the U.S. economy, stating that the first quarter's growth is related to the legacy issues of former U.S. President Biden's administration and the timing of tariffs under President Trump.Trump's trade policies are beginning to yield expected results, bringing manufacturing and jobs back to the U.S. Discussions about a recession should be approached with caution, as the first quarter is expected to barely enter positive growth territory. The uncertainty surrounding trade policies is expected to be resolved in early April.

ChainCatcher news, according to official sources, the Thai Securities and Exchange Commission has recognized the Tether stablecoin USDT as an approved cryptocurrency. This move marks a key moment in the development of digital assets in the region and is an important step in clarifying and strengthening Thailand's regulatory framework, providing investors with greater flexibility and choice while fostering a more vibrant and resilient industry. By enabling the seamless integration of USDT, this decision supports the diversification and modernization of Thailand's financial landscape.

ChainCatcher message, according to Lookonchain monitoring, in the past 7 days, stablecoins (USDT and USDC) on Ethereum have increased by approximately 1.3 billion dollars, while stablecoins (USDT and USDC) on HyperLiquid have decreased by about 77 million dollars.