BULL

Analysis: The decline in the OAS indicator shows a short-term bullish outlook for Bitcoin and Nasdaq

ChainCatcher news, according to CoinDesk, as a key indicator of economic sentiment and corporate credit health, the ICE/BofA US High Yield Index Option-Adjusted Spread (OAS) has retreated from recent highs, supporting a rebound in risk appetite for cryptocurrencies and the stock market, but analysts believe this relief may be short-lived.The OAS metric measures the average yield spread between dollar-denominated high-yield corporate bonds and U.S. Treasuries, adjusted for embedded options in the bonds. This metric is widely regarded as a barometer of credit risk, with widening spreads typically indicating increased investor concerns about corporate defaults or economic weakness.Currently, the OAS has decreased from a six-month high of 3.4% earlier this month to 3.2%, a decline that supports the resurgence of Bitcoin (BTC) and the Nasdaq. Previously, the spread had surged by 100 basis points over four weeks to mid-March, as concerns over economic recession triggered by Trump's tariff policies caused Bitcoin to drop below $80,000 and the Nasdaq to suffer significant losses.However, analysts expect that as the negative effects of Trump's tariff policies gradually become apparent, the OAS spread will widen further in the coming weeks. Hans Mikkelsen, Managing Director of Credit Strategy at TD Securities, stated in a recent client report, "We believe this is just the beginning, and things will get worse before they get better."From a technical analysis perspective, the OAS has broken through a three-year downtrend line, which is a highly cautionary signal for investors in risk assets.

Analysis: The tug-of-war between bulls and bears intensifies, and the options market still bets on the $100,000 target by the end of June

ChainCatcher news, according to CoinDesk, the cryptocurrency market experienced a brief euphoria following the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting, only to fall back into profit-taking. Bitcoin retreated from a high of $86,000 to below $84,000, with a 24-hour decline of over 3%, while Ethereum fell below the psychological level of $2,000. Despite the overall pressure on the market, options traders remain optimistic about the mid-term outlook, with the probability of Bitcoin breaking $100,000 by the end of June rising from 20% to nearly 30% within 24 hours.The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates and announced a reduction in quantitative tightening (QT) in April, interpreted as a signal of de facto easing, which pushed Bitcoin to briefly surpass $85,000. BNB rose 8% during the week, showing strength against the trend, while XRP's weekly increase narrowed to 4.8%. The options market showed divergence, with Ethereum call options accounting for 60%, indicating a rise in bottom-fishing sentiment; 34% of Bitcoin options volume was used for downside protection, intensifying the long-short battle. After a brief euphoria, the market returned to rationality, with $80,000 becoming a key short-term support level for Bitcoin, focusing the new round of long-short contention. The optimistic expectations in the options market and the cautious sentiment in the spot market create a delicate balance, with a breakout from the moving average pressure potentially becoming the key to a trend reversal.
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