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4E: The escalation of the trade war threatens to overwhelm the benefits of slowing inflation, leading to declines in both the US stock market and the cryptocurrency market

ChainCatcher news reports that, according to 4E monitoring, the threat of an escalation in the China-U.S. tariff war has overshadowed the positive effects of slowing inflation. Investor concerns have taken precedence, and U.S. stocks failed to maintain Wednesday's significant rebound. On Thursday, the three major indices at one point dropped by at least 5%, although the decline narrowed towards the end of trading. By the close, the S&P 500 index fell by 3.5%, having at one point dropped by 6.3%, nearing the 7% first-level circuit breaker, marking the largest intraday drop since March 2020; the Nasdaq fell by 4.31%, and the Dow Jones by 2.5%. Major tech stocks collectively declined, with the seven giants index dropping by 6.67%.In the cryptocurrency market, the strong rebound from the previous day reversed sharply last night alongside the U.S. stock market. Bitcoin fell from $82,000 to a low of $78,464, nearly erasing all gains from the previous day. As of the time of writing, it is reported at $80,258, down 2.67%. Among the top ten mainstream coins, Ethereum performed the weakest, influenced by whale sell-offs and the decoupling of sUSD, briefly falling below $1,500. Before the deadline, it is reported at $1,541, down 6% in nearly 24 hours.In the forex commodities sector, the U.S. dollar index fell by 1.89%, marking the largest single-day drop since 2022. Oil prices dropped over 3% due to weak supply and demand expectations. Risk aversion surged, with gold reaching $3,220, setting a new historical high.Latest data shows that the U.S. March CPI fell short of expectations across the board, but the impact of tariffs has yet to be fully realized, which may soothe investors in the future. As Trump's chaotic tariff policies continue to disrupt the market, expectations of a tightening global supply chain have intensified, raising broader concerns about an economic recession. The market remains skeptical about whether the 90-day tariff delay can lead to substantial negotiation outcomes.

4E: Tariff escalation triggers a new round of sell-offs, U.S. stocks and cryptocurrency markets decline

ChainCatcher news reports that according to 4E monitoring, as the "peer tariff" policy approaches its effective date, Trump signed the latest executive order on Tuesday, raising tariffs on China to 104%, causing global markets to plunge into a panic sell-off once again.The three major U.S. stock indexes surged in early trading due to optimistic expectations for trade negotiations, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 both rising over 4%. However, following the tariff news, market sentiment reversed, and gains quickly evaporated, turning into declines. By the close, the Nasdaq fell 2.15%, the Dow dropped 0.84%, and the S&P 500 decreased by 1.57%. The index of the seven tech giants fell over 2.3%, oscillating downward throughout the day, with losses narrowing towards the end.The cryptocurrency market followed the U.S. stock market down again, with Bitcoin dropping from last night's high of 80,000 to a low of 74,620, nearing a new low, and reporting at 76,053 before the deadline, down 5.8% in 24 hours. The altcoin market generally suffered heavy losses, particularly in the meme and AI sectors, with the market in a state of extreme panic.In the forex commodities sector, the U.S. dollar index halted its two-day winning streak, falling about 0.3%, while safe-haven demand drove the yen and Swiss franc higher; crude oil fell for four consecutive days, hitting a new low in four years; spot gold showed a trend of rising and then falling throughout the day, retreating above the psychological level of 3,000 dollars.The market generally believes that the extremely high tariff of 104% has escalated the U.S.-China trade war to an unprecedented level of intensity. The market is closely watching the subsequent actions of both the U.S. and China, as well as whether other countries will be drawn into a broader trade conflict. In the short term, the market may continue to be shrouded in high uncertainty.

Trader Eugene: The recent structural decline of active developers is concerning, and the crypto market is陷入 a self-reinforcing cycle in the short term

ChainCatcher news, trader Eugene posted, "The introduction of global trade tariffs marks a change in the world order that has not been seen in over 50 years. Free trade has always been a key factor driving productivity and economic growth, contributing to the largest long-term bull market in history. The shift from openness to a protectionist stance will have profound effects, which will take years to gradually manifest, unless Trump completely abandons his tariff plans. I think the likelihood of that is very low. This will pose significant long-term resistance to global risk assets.In terms of cryptocurrency, the recent structural decline in active developers may be the most concerning thing. In the last cycle, we could observe developer activity and feel reassured because we knew our industry was still benefiting from long-term tailwinds. Fast forward 2-3 years later, and we have not produced anything particularly interesting or important, and the outlook for the future is even worse than it was then.In the last cycle, we looked forward to the launch of ETFs and a better regulatory environment under government support for cryptocurrencies as a light at the end of the tunnel. Now that these have been realized, but (once again) have failed to meet expectations, I see no future that can free cryptocurrency from its inherent 'Ouroboros' (self-circling, self-consuming dilemma).In the coming weeks to months, I hope to reduce operations in the cryptocurrency space, whether bullish or bearish, as I believe this is the wisest choice. Being a believer waiting for a new bull market is no longer contrarian thinking. However, starting to explore new greenfields (undeveloped areas) is indeed contrarian.For me, the only bright spot is that the use cases and global acceptance of Bitcoin are stronger than ever, which may encourage believers to continue hoarding Bitcoin and achieve decent returns (I hope so). The idea of Bitcoin reaching $1 million per coin by 2035 is not a fantasy in my view."

Data: The cryptocurrency market rebounded after a decline, with the AI sector leading with a 7.62% increase, and BTC briefly surpassed $81,000

ChainCatcher message indicates that, according to SoSoValue data, the crypto market has generally rebounded after a decline yesterday, with the AI sector leading the way with a rise of 7.62%. Within this sector, Render (RENDER), Bittensor (TAO), and Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) have increased by 9.39%, 12.85%, and 27.69% respectively over the past 24 hours.Additionally, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced significant volatility, dropping below $75,000 before briefly rising above $81,000, with a 24-hour increase of 1.97%. Ethereum (ETH) rose by 0.32%, returning above $1,600.In other sectors, the SocialFi sector increased by 6.96% over the past 24 hours, with:Toncoin (TON) rising by 7.77%;The DeFi sector rising by 4.07%, with Chainlink (LINK), Ondo Finance (ONDO), and Sky (SKY) increasing by 5.05%, 5.22%, and 10.03% respectively;The Layer2 sector rising by 3.44%, with ex-MATIC (POL) and Celestia (TIA) increasing by 5.48% and 6.44% respectively;The Meme sector rising by 2.78%, with Dogecoin (DOGE) and Pepe (PEPE) increasing by 3.22% and 4.94% respectively;The Layer1 sector rising by 2.47%, with Solana (SOL) increasing by 5.54% and Hyperliquid (HYPE) rising by 17.21%;The CeFi sector rising by 0.81%, and the PayFi sector rising by 0.17%.Meanwhile, the crypto sector indices reflecting historical market trends show that the ssiAI, ssiSocialFi, and ssiRWA indices have increased by 8.38%, 6.82%, and 5.38% respectively over the past 24 hours.
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