ChainCatcher news, the Matrixport weekly report points out that macroeconomic headwinds and changes in global liquidity may lead Bitcoin into a consolidation phase. Although ETF inflows remain stable, the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance may limit further gains.The report suggests that Bitcoin's upward momentum is more influenced by Federal Reserve policies rather than the launch of ETFs. Technical analysis shows that the "shooting star" candlestick pattern indicates that the mid-term upward trend may be nearing its end.In a context of low implied volatility, options are seen as effective risk management tools. Traders can capture upward opportunities through call options or protect profits with put options.

ChainCatcher news, according to Decrypt, Bitcoin is facing downward pressure in the short term due to macroeconomic changes and market sentiment. Despite breaking through the historical high of $108,000 in December last year, Bitcoin has recently retraced due to a stronger dollar, increased volatility, and cautious trader attitudes. Joe McCann, founder and CEO of Asymmetric, stated that market signals such as the Federal Reserve's hawkish press conference on December 18 and the significant rise in the volatility index (VIX) have increased the probability of short-term declines. He believes that while the short-term outlook is bearish, the long-term remains bullish.Additionally, the unexpected strength of the Dollar Index (DXY) has become a focal point. After the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, the DXY broke through long-standing resistance levels, reflecting market dynamics of global liquidity constraints and safe-haven demand. Singapore-based crypto trading firm QCP Capital noted in a report to investors that while favorable regulatory narratives support the spot market, the market environment at the beginning of January may be unstable, as structural risks such as the debt ceiling issue could trigger market volatility. Analysts believe that Bitcoin's performance will continue to be closely related to Federal Reserve policies and the dollar's performance. The short-term adjustment provides investors with a buying opportunity on dips, but market volatility may pose challenges for investors.

ChainCatcher news, ARK Investment Management believes that technological innovation, particularly artificial intelligence and blockchain technology, could play a key role in revitalizing the global economy.As inflation shifts to deflation in multiple sectors, ARK Invest believes that robotics, energy storage, artificial intelligence, blockchain, and multi-OMIC (biological analysis) sequencing may have a significant impact on macroeconomic indicators in the next five to ten years. Catherine Wood stated that interest rates may be lower than expected, which could amplify the gains of certain stocks and enhance the demand for diversified artificial intelligence investments.

ChainCatcher message, according to a report released by Binance Research, in September 2024, driven by the positive development of the global economy, the cryptocurrency market grew by 8%. The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates to 4.75%-5%, improving investor sentiment. Additionally, the People's Bank of China injected 1 trillion yuan into the banking system to address deflationary pressures and boost consumer confidence. These measures supported the rise of the U.S. and Chinese stock markets, which in turn propelled the cryptocurrency market's increase in October.On September 27, in response to deflationary pressures and a sluggish real estate market, the People's Bank of China lowered the seven-day reverse repurchase rate by 20 basis points and reduced the reserve requirement ratio by 50 basis points. This move injected 1 trillion yuan (approximately 142.5 billion USD) into the banking system to boost consumer confidence. A favorable macroeconomic environment stimulated the rise of major stock markets in the U.S. and China, further supporting the increase of the cryptocurrency market in October. However, it remains crucial to closely monitor future economic reports and central bank actions.

ChainCatcher news, according to The Block, JPMorgan analysts have pointed out several key factors that may affect the cryptocurrency market in the coming months, mentioning technologies, geopolitical issues, and structural events that could drive price volatility. In a research report released on Monday, analysts discussed the seasonal "Uptober" trend, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, the approval of Bitcoin ETF options, and the upcoming Ethereum upgrade known as Pectra.One key conclusion of the report is that October has historically shown strong performance, often referred to as "Uptober," with over 70% of Octobers yielding positive returns for Bitcoin. The analysts wrote, "Although past performance is not indicative of future results, we believe the popularity of 'Uptober' could influence behavior and lead to positive Bitcoin performance this October." Despite the recent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, the analysts noted that the broader cryptocurrency market has yet to see the anticipated positive effects; while a rate-cutting environment typically supports risk assets, the correlation between total cryptocurrency market capitalization and the federal funds rate remains weak at 0.46. Since the Fed's rate cut on September 18, we have not seen a significant rise in cryptocurrency prices due to the cuts, and the market may be waiting for more sustained stability before making a decisive shift.Additionally, the analysts acknowledged that it is difficult to accurately predict how cryptocurrencies will respond to interest rate cycles due to a lack of historical data. Another potential catalyst is the recently approved spot Bitcoin ETF options trading. The analysts expect this could deepen market liquidity and attract new participants. This development could initiate a positive feedback loop, enhancing market structure and making digital assets more accessible to institutional investors. The upcoming Ethereum upgrade, referred to as "Pectra," is also seen as a significant development.The analysts stated, "While Pectra is expected to have a transformative impact on Ethereum's functionality, we believe this upgrade is more structural than a direct price catalyst. The long-term impact of Pectra will be to improve Ethereum's operational efficiency and adoption rates, but it is unlikely to trigger a short-term surge in Ether prices."The analysts concluded that the cryptocurrency market is currently in a wait-and-see mode, looking for clearer macroeconomic or structural catalysts to drive sustained growth. They stated, "We continue to see the crypto ecosystem becoming increasingly sensitive to macro factors, so we are waiting for the next major catalyst to drive the ecosystem's development and enhance retail participation for long-term growth."