ChainCatcher news, ARK Investment Management believes that technological innovation, particularly artificial intelligence and blockchain technology, could play a key role in revitalizing the global economy.As inflation shifts to deflation in multiple sectors, ARK Invest believes that robotics, energy storage, artificial intelligence, blockchain, and multi-OMIC (biological analysis) sequencing may have a significant impact on macroeconomic indicators in the next five to ten years. Catherine Wood stated that interest rates may be lower than expected, which could amplify the gains of certain stocks and enhance the demand for diversified artificial intelligence investments.

ChainCatcher message, according to a report released by Binance Research, in September 2024, driven by the positive development of the global economy, the cryptocurrency market grew by 8%. The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates to 4.75%-5%, improving investor sentiment. Additionally, the People's Bank of China injected 1 trillion yuan into the banking system to address deflationary pressures and boost consumer confidence. These measures supported the rise of the U.S. and Chinese stock markets, which in turn propelled the cryptocurrency market's increase in October.On September 27, in response to deflationary pressures and a sluggish real estate market, the People's Bank of China lowered the seven-day reverse repurchase rate by 20 basis points and reduced the reserve requirement ratio by 50 basis points. This move injected 1 trillion yuan (approximately 142.5 billion USD) into the banking system to boost consumer confidence. A favorable macroeconomic environment stimulated the rise of major stock markets in the U.S. and China, further supporting the increase of the cryptocurrency market in October. However, it remains crucial to closely monitor future economic reports and central bank actions.

ChainCatcher news, according to The Block, JPMorgan analysts have pointed out several key factors that may affect the cryptocurrency market in the coming months, mentioning technologies, geopolitical issues, and structural events that could drive price volatility. In a research report released on Monday, analysts discussed the seasonal "Uptober" trend, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, the approval of Bitcoin ETF options, and the upcoming Ethereum upgrade known as Pectra.One key conclusion of the report is that October has historically shown strong performance, often referred to as "Uptober," with over 70% of Octobers yielding positive returns for Bitcoin. The analysts wrote, "Although past performance is not indicative of future results, we believe the popularity of 'Uptober' could influence behavior and lead to positive Bitcoin performance this October." Despite the recent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, the analysts noted that the broader cryptocurrency market has yet to see the anticipated positive effects; while a rate-cutting environment typically supports risk assets, the correlation between total cryptocurrency market capitalization and the federal funds rate remains weak at 0.46. Since the Fed's rate cut on September 18, we have not seen a significant rise in cryptocurrency prices due to the cuts, and the market may be waiting for more sustained stability before making a decisive shift.Additionally, the analysts acknowledged that it is difficult to accurately predict how cryptocurrencies will respond to interest rate cycles due to a lack of historical data. Another potential catalyst is the recently approved spot Bitcoin ETF options trading. The analysts expect this could deepen market liquidity and attract new participants. This development could initiate a positive feedback loop, enhancing market structure and making digital assets more accessible to institutional investors. The upcoming Ethereum upgrade, referred to as "Pectra," is also seen as a significant development.The analysts stated, "While Pectra is expected to have a transformative impact on Ethereum's functionality, we believe this upgrade is more structural than a direct price catalyst. The long-term impact of Pectra will be to improve Ethereum's operational efficiency and adoption rates, but it is unlikely to trigger a short-term surge in Ether prices."The analysts concluded that the cryptocurrency market is currently in a wait-and-see mode, looking for clearer macroeconomic or structural catalysts to drive sustained growth. They stated, "We continue to see the crypto ecosystem becoming increasingly sensitive to macro factors, so we are waiting for the next major catalyst to drive the ecosystem's development and enhance retail participation for long-term growth."

ChainCatcher news, according to Bloomberg, correlation studies show that the correlation between digital assets and the U.S. stock market has nearly reached historical highs, indicating that the macroeconomic variables driving the stock market are also affecting the cryptocurrency market.Data compiled by Bloomberg shows that the correlation coefficient between an index measuring the 100 largest digital assets and the S&P 500 index is approximately 0.67 over a 40-day period, a level only surpassed in the second quarter of 2022 when it reached 0.72. A coefficient of 1 indicates that the assets move in perfect unison, while a coefficient of -1 indicates they move in completely opposite directions.This week's focus will be on comments from Federal Reserve officials and the release of the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE). Sean McNulty, trading director at liquidity provider Arbelos Markets, stated, "We believe that the speakers are more important than the PCE inflation data, as the market is currently trying to understand the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) reaction function."

ChainCatcher news, Greeks.live macro researcher Adam posted on social media that Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole global central bank conference clarified the Fed's interest rate cut in September. There is currently a consensus on a 25 basis point cut, but if economic data pressures are significant this month, a 50 basis point cut is also possible. The clear commitment to rate cuts has given the market great confidence, leading to a rebound in major cryptocurrencies, although the subsequent trend still carries a lot of uncertainty.This week, there are several important economic data releases, as well as speeches from several key figures, primarily focused on the Fed's rate cut in September. Additionally, Russia's cryptocurrency legislation is also worth paying attention to, as crypto begins to take center stage.ETH has remained sluggish since the Cancun upgrade, with Gas now below 0.8 Gwei. The significant reduction in ETH consumption has caused the deflationary flywheel to fail, and currently, there seems to be no opportunity for an ETH exchange rate rebound, making the bearish ratio a good value for money.Key Events This Week:8/27 Tuesday2024 FOMC voting member and San Francisco Fed President Daly speaks8/28 WednesdayFederal Reserve Governor Waller speaks8/29 ThursdayInitial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week2024 FOMC voting member and Atlanta Fed President Bostic speaks on economic outlook8/30 FridayU.S. July Core PCE Price Index Year-on-YearU.S. August University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Final2024 FOMC voting member and Atlanta Fed President Bostic speaks on monetary policy and economic outlookRussia will begin implementing the digital currency cross-border payment law and the legalization of cryptocurrency mining legislation