ChainCatcher news, according to Cryptoquant CEO Ki Young Ju on social media, the share of Bitcoin reserves held by U.S. entities has reached an all-time high, currently 65% higher than that of non-U.S. entities.

ChainCatcher news, according to the financial website Marketwatch, the Federal Reserve's December meeting minutes show that nearly all policymakers believe the upside risks to the inflation outlook have increased, after which U.S. stocks fluctuated between slight gains and losses.The latest meeting minutes indicate that Federal Reserve officials did not discuss the possibility of raising interest rates in December. Officials believe that if inflation remains high, the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged or ease monetary policy at a slower pace.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jin Shi reports, the Trump administration's radical tariff policy may lead to further inflation, but economic models indicate that this will be a one-time increase in price levels rather than a long-term inflationary spiral.Wells Fargo economist Jay Bryson said this might persuade the Federal Reserve to be more patient in addressing inflation caused by tariffs, especially in the context of a continuing slowdown in the labor market. His view supports Wells Fargo's baseline expectation that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates three more times this year, each by 25 basis points.However, Bryson warned that if the trade war becomes more protracted, such as through a series of tit-for-tat international reprisals, the Federal Reserve may have to take the inflationary consequences more seriously.

ChainCatcher news, Binance founder Zhao Changpeng commented on Bhutan's establishment of a cryptocurrency strategic reserve in Greypool City (GMC), stating that this is not only a Bitcoin reserve but also includes a cryptocurrency reserve that encompasses ETH and BNB, setting a precedent that will surely inspire more followers in the future. This decision showcases Bhutan's open-mindedness and welcoming attitude towards other cryptocurrencies, making it a wise move to attract crypto businesses, investments, and innovation.Zhao Changpeng emphasized that the Kingdom of Bhutan has been utilizing clean (surplus hydropower) energy for Bitcoin mining for many years, and has already accumulated a Bitcoin reserve.Zhao Changpeng stated that this serves as a validation for BNB and opens the door for BNB (and other cryptocurrencies) to be included in the national strategic reserves of other countries.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Governor Waller believes that interest rates will not return to the zero interest rate range anytime soon.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jin Shi reports, Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated on Wednesday that the inflation rate should continue to decline in 2025, allowing the Federal Reserve to further cut interest rates, although the pace remains uncertain.Waller noted that while inflation "seems to be indeed stagnating" above the Federal Reserve's 2% target in the last few months of 2024, the market-based inflation forecasts, along with one-month and shorter-term inflation readings, lead him to believe that inflation in the U.S. is continuing to ease.Waller said, "This minimal progress has led to calls for slowing or halting interest rate cuts. However, I believe that in the medium term, the inflation rate will continue to move towards the 2% target, and further rate cuts will be appropriate."Waller did not disclose how many times he thinks interest rates should be cut this year, but he pointed out that there is a wide range of views among Federal Reserve officials, from no cuts to as many as five cuts. "I still believe the foundations of the U.S. economy are solid," Waller stated, "and there are no signs in the data or forecasts indicating that the labor market will weaken significantly in the coming months."

According to ChainCatcher news, the official website of the Gleyph Mindfulness City (GMC) in Bhutan has announced that Bhutan's Gleyph Mindfulness City (GMC) will include BTC, ETH, and BNB in its city strategic reserve assets, becoming one of the first special administrative regions in the world to incorporate digital assets into its strategic reserves.According to the information on the official website, BNB was included in the reserve asset list due to its high market value, ample liquidity, and operation on a mature and secure blockchain. One of GMC's future economic focuses is to promote and support the application of blockchain technology. This move not only strengthens GMC's economic resilience but also demonstrates its commitment to advancing blockchain technology. In March 2025, GMC will hold a high-level meeting to discuss digital asset strategic reserves and establish an international advisory committee.

ChainCatcher news, according to Fidelity Digital Assets in its latest research report, it is expected that by 2025, more countries will incorporate Bitcoin into their national strategic reserves, which will drive significant growth in the cryptocurrency market.Fidelity Digital Assets research analyst Matt Hogan stated in a report titled "2025 Outlook" released on January 7: "We expect that more countries, central banks, sovereign wealth funds, and government finance departments will seek to establish strategic positions in Bitcoin." He added that these countries may look at the strategies adopted by Bhutan and El Salvador, "as well as the substantial returns they have gained from these positions in a relatively short period."Hogan indicated that not incorporating Bitcoin into strategic reserves may be riskier than including it, given challenges such as hyperinflation, currency devaluation, and worsening fiscal deficits. He also mentioned that if the U.S. continues to advance its Bitcoin strategic reserve plan, "other countries may begin to secretly accumulate Bitcoin," he said. "No country would have the motivation to publicly announce these plans, as doing so could attract more buyers and drive up prices."

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January is 95.2%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 4.8%.By March, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 60.9%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 37.3%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 1.7%. (Jin Ten)

ChainCatcher news, Pantheon macro analyst Samuel Tombs stated that the Federal Reserve will soon be concerned about "the oversupply of labor and weak wage growth." He noted that the increase in job vacancies in the November JOLTS report was unexpected, but there are signs that employment costs are cooling down. Tombs pointed out that the resignation rate dropped from 2.1% to 1.9%, "indicating a greater slowdown in (employment cost) growth." "Therefore, the average hourly wage has increased by 0.4% for two consecutive months, which seems like noise around a trend that is still slowing down." Tombs expects that the average hourly wage will slow down in the December non-farm payroll data to be released on Friday. (Jin Shi)

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, driven by significant growth in the business services sector, job vacancies in the U.S. rose to a six-month high in November, while demand for employees in other industries has become more complex.The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Tuesday showed that vacancies increased from a revised 7.8 million in October to 8.1 million, exceeding all analysts' expectations. The growth was almost entirely driven by professional and business services as well as finance and insurance.The latest job vacancy figures indicate a easing of the downward trend seen over the past three years. The labor market now appears to be more stable, while inflation has also shown stubbornness in recent months, reducing expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year.After the data was released, traders no longer fully digested bets that the Federal Reserve would cut rates before July.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, traders are no longer fully pricing in bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates before July.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve's Barkin stated that the Federal Reserve is highly committed to achieving the 2% inflation target, and businesses affected by tariff changes must respond flexibly.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jin Shi reports, former senior economist of the Obama administration and current Harvard University professor Jason Furman believes that if the labor market remains healthy, the Federal Reserve may only cut the benchmark interest rate once this year.Jason Furman stated that the Federal Reserve has entered a new phase of "needing a reason" to lower interest rates. Last year, the Federal Reserve thought "everything was fine, so why not cut rates," but if the labor market remains healthy, considering concerns about the inflation outlook and uncertainty about whether interest rates are already at the optimal level to slow demand, a 25 basis point cut this year is the most likely scenario.However, Jason Furman added that if circumstances change and the unemployment rate begins to rise, "the Federal Reserve will intervene" and ease policies.

ChainCatcher news, according to Bitcoin.com, old-school economists oppose allocating U.S. reserve funds to Bitcoin. Johns Hopkins University professor Steve Hanke stated that he believes transferring funds to Bitcoin could hinder economic growth and drag down the economy, as these savings are not invested in real capital assets.Steve Hanke emphasized the importance of increasing productivity for improving living standards and called the idea of Bitcoin reserves "the dumbest idea."

ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, Czech National Bank Governor Aleš Michl recently stated in an interview with CNN Prima News that he is considering including Bitcoin in the bank's foreign exchange reserve diversification strategy. If implemented, the Czech central bank would become the first European central bank to purchase Bitcoin.In the interview, Michl mentioned that he is considering buying "a small amount of Bitcoin" as part of the reserve diversification. While this would not be a significant investment, its symbolic meaning is substantial. The bank's advisor Janis Aliapulios confirmed that although there are currently no plans to purchase Bitcoin, discussions on the matter cannot be ruled out in the future. Any decision to purchase Bitcoin would need to be approved by the board of directors of the Czech central bank, which consists of 7 members.

ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, Czech National Bank Governor Aleš Michl recently stated in an interview with CNN Prima News that he is considering including Bitcoin in the bank's foreign exchange reserve diversification strategy.In the interview, Michl mentioned that he is considering purchasing "a small amount of Bitcoin" as part of the reserve diversification. While this would not be a significant investment, its symbolic meaning is substantial. The bank's advisor Janis Aliapulios confirmed that although there are currently no plans to purchase Bitcoin, discussions on this matter cannot be ruled out in the future. The Czech National Bank's board, composed of 7 members, needs to approve any decision to purchase Bitcoin.

ChainCatcher message, the prediction market Polymarket data shows that the probability of Trump establishing a Bitcoin strategic reserve within 100 days of taking office is 32%. The current market trading volume is reported at $1,831,660, with a deadline of April 29, 2025.