ChainCatcher news, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink stated, "The market's 20% drop in three days has impacted clients and could trigger a chain reaction. In the long run, this is more of a buying opportunity than a selling opportunity. There are concerns that the U.S. as a nation is not a stabilizing factor; we are currently undermining stability, and there are worries that actions from the White House could exacerbate inflation more than the market expects. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates four to five times this year is zero, and interest rates may rise."

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in May is 54.6%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 45.4%.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, U.S. President Trump stated that there is no inflation; reiterated that the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, expectations for an emergency rate cut by the Federal Reserve are rising as there are no signs that Trump will make concessions on tariffs. Swap trading shows that the likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points next week is about 40%, well ahead of the Fed's scheduled interest rate decision on May 7.Meanwhile, investors are rushing to sell off risk and buy bonds, leading to a sharp drop in yields. On Monday, the yield on the most interest-sensitive U.S. two-year Treasury note fell by 22 basis points to 3.43%, totaling a decline of about 50 basis points since Trump announced the tariffs.

ChainCatcher news, according to the Federal Reserve's official website, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System is expected to hold a closed meeting at 11:30 AM local time on April 7. After the meeting, a final announcement regarding the discussed matters will be published on the Board's website.It is reported that the Federal Reserve Board is the governing body of the Federal Reserve System, responsible for formulating monetary policy and supervising banks and financial institutions in the United States.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the team of strategists at Morgan Stanley led by Mike Wilson believes that unless the White House abandons its tariff plans or the Federal Reserve signals easing, investors should prepare for the S&P 500 index to drop another 7% - 8%. They stated in a report to clients earlier on Monday that the next support level for the index—where buyers are likely to step in—is currently at 4700 points. They added that at this level, valuations provide better support, as this point is close to the 200-week moving average, which is a long-term indicator of technical trends. Last Thursday, Morgan Stanley had set 5100 points as a key level, but the bank updated the support level on Monday, partly because stock futures indicated that the sell-off had not eased. S&P 500 futures suggest a decline of over 3%, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures plummeted by more than 1200 points.The Trump administration showed no signs of backing down in comments made last Sunday, while Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated last Friday that the Fed would take a wait-and-see approach due to the unclear economic impact of the tariffs.

ChainCatcher news, OKX Global Chief Business Officer Lennix was invited to attend the "2025 Hong Kong Web3 Carnival" summit and participated in the roundtable discussion on the theme "Bitcoin as the Next Global Reserve Asset."During the discussion, Lennix stated that as global trade wars and tariffs continue to change, especially under the impact of the tariff policies imposed by the United States on other countries, Bitcoin is gradually being viewed as a more transparent and reliable reserve asset. It can help address currency devaluation and other economic shocks caused by tariffs.In addition, Lennix also mentioned that if the U.S. government begins to actually incorporate Bitcoin into its strategic reserves, market participants worldwide may reassess Bitcoin's potential as a reserve asset, thereby accelerating Bitcoin's transition to the next generation of central bank reserve assets.

ChainCatcher news, DWF Labs partner Andrei Grachev stated on social media that if countries implement zero tariff policies against the United States and the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, it could lead to a significant rise in the stock and cryptocurrency markets. At the same time, if the Federal Reserve initiates an easing monetary policy (i.e., "printing money"), Bitcoin may be expected to reach a new all-time high. He predicts that these trends will become clearer in the next one to two weeks and advises investors to hold cash, believing that now is a good time to gradually buy in.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jin10 data reports, traders are now fully pricing in five rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2025.

ChainCatcher message, Goldman Sachs has adjusted its expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, believing that the risk of the Fed further easing policy is higher if a recession hits. Goldman now expects the Fed to begin a series of rate cuts in June, earlier than the previously predicted July, as part of a preventive easing cycle.Under the baseline assumption that the U.S. avoids recession, the Fed will cut rates three times by 25 basis points, bringing the federal funds rate down to a range of 3.5%-3.75%. However, Goldman expects that if the economy does fall into recession, the Fed will respond with more aggressive policy measures, cutting rates by about 200 basis points next year. Considering the increased likelihood of a recession, the firm's current weighted forecast shows a total rate cut of 130 basis points by 2025, up from the previous 105 basis points. As of last Friday's close, this outlook is largely in line with current market expectations.

ChainCatcher message, Arthur Hayes stated that investors who want to predict when the Federal Reserve will restart easing should pay attention to the bond market volatility indicator, the MOVE index. When the MOVE rises, traders financing the purchase of U.S. Treasuries or corporate bonds will face higher margin requirements and may be forced to liquidate their positions. He indicated that once the MOVE breaks 140, the Federal Reserve may intervene in the market.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in May is 33.3%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 66.7%.

ChainCatcher news, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes stated: "The era of U.S. Treasury bonds (and to a lesser extent, U.S. stocks) as global reserve assets is coming to an end. Since Nixon decoupled the dollar from gold in 1971, the total amount of U.S. Treasury bonds has increased by 85 times. The U.S. has had to create credit currency that matches global economic growth. This is a boon for some Americans and a bane for others. Trump's election was driven by those who felt they had not shared in the 'fruits of prosperity' over the past 50 years.Once the U.S. current account deficit is eliminated, foreigners will not have dollars to purchase U.S. bonds and stocks. If countries begin to shift towards 'national priority' policies to boost their own economies, they will sell off their holdings of U.S. Treasuries and stocks to gain liquidity in their own currencies. Even if Trump later softened his stance on tariffs, no Treasury Secretary or head of state would dare to bet that he wouldn't flip-flop again. Therefore, the world cannot return to the way it was before. Every country must fight for itself.Gold will return as a neutral reserve asset. The dollar will still be the global reserve currency, but countries will settle global trade by holding gold. Trump has hinted at this, as gold is tariff-free! In the new monetary system, gold must circulate freely and at low cost.Today, those who have benefited immensely from the old system are mostly still in denial, immersed in a fantasy: that everything will eventually return to 'normal.' Absurd to the extreme.Those who wish to adapt to a return to the global trade order before 1971 should buy gold, gold mining companies, and Bitcoin (BTC)."

ChainCatcher news, Nasdaq-listed Bitcoin mining company Hut 8 has released its operational update report for March. The mining output in March was 88 BTC, and the Bitcoin reserves increased to 10,264 BTC. The deployed hash rate increased by 102% from an average of 4.6 EH/s in February to 9.3 EH/s by the end of March.Hut 8 CEO Asher Genoot stated that the company has spun off nearly all of its ASIC miners to American Bitcoin, an independent mining entity and a majority-owned subsidiary of Hut 8, focusing on Bitcoin mining and strategic reserve building.

ChainCatcher message, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated in a keynote speech on the economic outlook: weak economic growth and rising inflation offset each other, which will lead the Federal Reserve to maintain its expectation of two rate cuts in 2025.Tariffs are very likely to cause prices to rise in the short term, and the impact on prices may also be more lasting. The Federal Reserve's responsibility is to ensure that long-term inflation expectations remain stable.

ChainCatcher news, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated in a speech that potential tariffs could have a lasting impact on inflation. The Federal Reserve is prepared to consider adjustments as needed. It is essential to ensure that price increases do not lead to sustained inflation.The impact of tariffs on the economy may be greater than expected. The Federal Reserve has an obligation to keep inflation expectations stable. Tariffs could elevate inflation in the coming quarters; sustained effects may also occur.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 56.7%, down from 60.1% before the non-farm payroll report. The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 43.3%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged until June is 0, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 52.1%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 44.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point rate cut is 3.5%.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the number of jobs added in the U.S. economy in March far exceeded expectations, but with declining business confidence and a stock market sell-off, Trump's tariff policy may test the resilience of the labor market in the coming months. Non-farm payrolls increased by 228,000 jobs in March. The unemployment rate rose from 4.1% in February to 4.2%.Economists expect the impact of reciprocal tariffs to become evident in the April employment report. As consumers curl up amid rising prices, retail employment is most likely to decline. Financial markets anticipate that the Federal Reserve will resume interest rate cuts before June after pausing its policy easing cycle in January.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi Data, before the non-farm payrolls announcement, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in May, according to CME's "Fed Watch," is 60.1%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 39.9%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 0, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 53.2%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 42.2%.

ChainCatcher news, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes stated that the global economic imbalance will be alleviated through money printing, which is favorable for the mid-term performance of Bitcoin and gold.Arthur Hayes pointed out that the dollar is weakening, foreign investors are selling U.S. tech stocks and reallocating funds back to their home countries, while suggesting that China respond to tariff pressures by loosening domestic credit flows overseas and allowing the yuan exchange rate to fall below 8.00.He predicts that the Federal Reserve may soon cut interest rates and restart quantitative easing to address economic impacts, while advising the Bank of Japan to expand QE through a weak yen policy, pushing the dollar-yen exchange rate above 160, and emphasizing the importance of maintaining patience, flexibility, and liquidity.