ChainCatcher News, the summary of opinions from the Bank of Japan's December meeting shows that policymakers are divided into two camps: one favors taking more time to carefully study the data, while the other believes the conditions for raising interest rates are ripe. "Although there is still uncertainty in the overseas economy, the Japanese economy is in a position to adjust the degree of monetary easing," one committee member said. "The central bank may decide to raise the policy interest rate in the near future. But at this point, it is necessary to remain patient and monitor the uncertainties in the U.S. economy until these uncertainties dissipate," another committee member stated. (Jin Shi)

ChainCatcher news, according to CoinDesk, as much of the world celebrates Christmas, Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $93,000 on the eve of the holiday, before quietly returning to the $100,000 level. However, when the Asian markets opened on Thursday morning, the rally stalled just above $99,800, and within a few hours, it quickly dropped to around $95,000.Data shows that the price movements of the cryptocurrency over the past 48 hours have certainly occurred under very low trading volumes, and Bitcoin is still up more than double this year to date, but the drop in the past week may overlook one point: the tailwind of low interest rates may have turned into a headwind.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 8.6%, while the probability of keeping it unchanged is 91.4%.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, according to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in January next year is 91.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 8.6%.The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged by March next year is 52.1%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 44.2%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 3.7%.

ChainCatcher news, according to Yonhap News Agency, the Bank of Korea plans to further cut interest rates next year to address higher downside risks.

ChainCatcher news, according to the official announcement, Binance has added Usual (USUAL) as a lendable asset in Binance Lending (Flexible Rate). Users can check the latest interest rates and the complete list of lendable and collateral assets through the loan data. To place new Binance Lending (Flexible Rate) orders via the Binance App, please upgrade the App to iOS v2.78.0 or Android v2.78.0 and above. Older versions of the App no longer support the creation of new Binance Lending (Flexible Rate) orders.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the Federal Reserve's median forecast for the 2025 interest rate is only a 50 basis point cut, but the Bank of Canada (BCA) expects more rate cuts. BCA analysts stated in a report that inflation is likely to be lower than the Federal Reserve's 2025 forecast, while the unemployment rate may be higher than the Federal Reserve's 2025 forecast.They stated, "Therefore, a loosening policy of more than 50 basis points will be needed." The Federal Reserve predicts an unemployment rate of 4.3% by the end of 2025, "which requires a significant improvement in the momentum of the labor market, and we believe that such a trend reversal is unlikely to occur."

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the minutes of the Bank of Japan meeting indicate that the committee unanimously believes that if the economic and price trends meet expectations, the Bank of Japan will continue to raise interest rates.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "FedWatch," the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January next year is 91.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 8.6%. By March next year, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 54.9%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 41.7%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 3.4%.

ChainCatcher news, Shane Oliver, chief economist of AMP Financial Services in Australia, stated that the Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to start cutting interest rates in February. He indicated that the money market shows a 69% probability of a rate cut in February.Oliver mentioned that the Reserve Bank of Australia should start cutting rates by May at the latest, with at least three rate cuts expected by 2025. He stated, "It is important to note that while Trump's policies may raise inflation and interest rates in the U.S., these policies have ambiguous or even potentially negative effects on Australia's growth and inflation." Oliver added that the new committee is unlikely to change the interest rate path starting in March. (Jin Shi)

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is only 10.7%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 89.3%.

ChainCatcher news, HSBC stated that it still expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 75 basis points in 2025. (Jin Shi)

ChainCatcher message, Barclays Bank stated that one of the factors that may keep U.S. interest rates high is U.S. (inflation) policy. At the December meeting, some FOMC participants clearly began to reflect expectations regarding tariffs in their inflation forecasts. Furthermore, even among those who did not adjust their official forecasts, many now believe that the balance of inflation risks tends to lean upward.Although Powell did not explicitly answer to what extent the Federal Reserve tends to view price level increases related to tariffs, we believe that, given the expectation that tariffs will lead to intensified inflation in the second half of 2025, particularly against the backdrop of rising inflation rates in recent years, it will be a challenge for the Federal Reserve to continue cutting rates. We expect the Federal Reserve to pause rate cuts after June next year and to resume cutting rates around mid-2026 after the inflationary pressures caused by tariffs dissipate. In our baseline scenario, we anticipate two 25 basis point rate cuts in 2026, with a terminal rate of 3.25-3.50%.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "FedWatch," the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep the current interest rate unchanged in January next year is 91.4%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 8.6%.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve's Goolsbee stated, my prediction is that the interest rate path in 2025 will be slightly lower.Interest rates may decline significantly in the next 12 to 18 months.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the inflation indicator favored by the Federal Reserve showed moderate performance in November, marking a step in the right direction for policymakers seeking further interest rate cuts in 2025. This data should help alleviate the concerns of Federal Reserve officials regarding the inflation outlook.Federal Reserve officials released their latest forecasts this week, indicating that prices and interest rates will be higher in 2025. These new forecasts triggered a sell-off in U.S. stocks as investors had already priced in expectations of policy tightening. Details regarding prices show a general slowdown in inflation. Core service prices (a closely watched category excluding housing and energy) rose 0.2% month-on-month, the lowest level since August. Core goods prices (excluding food and energy) declined for the first time in three months.

ChainCatcher news, Deutsche Bank released a report on this week's FOMC meeting, stating that the Federal Reserve meeting reinforced our fundamental view that the skip (rate cut) in January may turn into an extended pause (rate cut) in 2025. We continue to believe that the nominal neutral rate is around 3.75%, and the committee needs to maintain a restrictive stance relative to that level. Therefore, we reiterate our view that the federal funds rate may remain above 4% next year, with the baseline being no further rate cuts. The report also noted that some Federal Reserve participants have begun to incorporate the potential economic impact of President-elect Trump's policies into their forecasts, which could lead to higher inflation projections for 2025 and 2026. Regarding the labor market, Powell described it as solid but pointed out that the current level of job creation is below what is needed to maintain a stable unemployment rate. (Jin Shi)

ChainCatcher news, according to CME "FedWatch": The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January next year is 91.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 8.6%. By March next year, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 53%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 43.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 3.6%.

ChainCatcher news, Mitsubishi UFJ analyst Lee Hardman stated in a report that the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate decision has increased the likelihood of further appreciation of the dollar in the first half of 2025. It is expected that U.S. interest rates will remain at a high level for a longer period, creating a greater policy divergence with other major central banks. The expectation of widening policy divergence, coupled with the imminent risk of higher tariffs at the beginning of Trump's second term, will continue to put upward pressure on the dollar next year. (Jin Ten)

ChainCatcher news, according to tradingview, IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong wrote in a report that the trajectory of future interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve may depend on the policies of the elected President Trump, which are still unclear at this stage.He stated that Trump's initial comments on tariffs indeed sounded quite aggressive. However, the extent of the implementation of these measures is uncertain. Yeap mentioned that as policies become clearer, the Federal Reserve may initially lean towards a shallower rate-cutting cycle. As traditional markets respond to inflation, Bitcoin will continue to solidify its position in the financial world.Analysts predict that, driven by favorable regulatory changes and increased corporate adoption, the price of Bitcoin could soar to over $200,000 by 2025.