ChainCatcher news, 10x Research CEO Markus Thielen stated that despite widespread concerns among investors, Bitcoin may be poised to rebound above $90,000 due to easing worries about U.S. inflation. He added, "Given that prices are oversold, we can see some counter-trend rebounds, and the Federal Reserve is likely to take a moderately dovish stance, which is some fine-tuning by policymakers. This could keep BTC in a broader consolidation range, but it is entirely possible to return to $90,000."Nexo analyst Iliya Kalchev noted that traders and investors will be watching for any news regarding the end of the Federal Reserve's quantitative tightening (QT) plan, as this move could increase liquidity. The upcoming decision by the Fed may be a major catalyst for further momentum, and if Chairman Powell takes a dovish stance, Bitcoin could soar in a new bullish trend.

ChainCatcher news reports that according to 4E monitoring, U.S. stocks continued the rebound from last Friday on Monday, as investors sought to buy on dips after four consecutive weeks of market declines, pushing the indices higher. By the close, the Dow Jones rose 0.85%, the Nasdaq rose 0.31%, and the S&P 500 index rose 0.64%. Most large tech stocks fell, with Tesla leading the decline at 4.83%, down more than 40% this year.The cryptocurrency market fluctuated narrowly, showing overall lackluster performance, with Bitcoin hovering around $83,000, reported at $83,389 at press time, up 0.15% in 24 hours. Other major tokens mostly saw slight increases, with Ethereum striving to hold above $1,900, and BNB's meme market recovering strongly, rising nearly 18% in the past 7 days.In the forex commodities sector, the shadow of Trump's trade protectionism continues, with the dollar index falling 0.33% to a five-month low; influenced by geopolitical factors, oil prices rebounded over two days, with U.S. oil rising 0.59%; gold, driven by safe-haven sentiment, saw spot gold rise 0.57%, reaching a historical high for three consecutive days.Trump's tariff remarks have temporarily quieted, and the market is closely watching global central bank meetings. The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates on Wednesday, and Powell's comments after the meeting will be closely monitored, as he has previously stated he is "not in a hurry" to cut rates. Investors will look for any changes in his tone.

ChainCatcher news, according to CoinDesk, Coinbase Institutional's research director David Duong stated that the market almost universally expects the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates at its Federal Open Market Committee meeting this week, but investors should pay attention to any potential changes in the Fed's balance sheet reduction (i.e., quantitative tightening, QT) plan. He wrote in a report on Monday: "We believe the Fed may pause or end its quantitative tightening plan as bank reserve levels are nearing 10-11% of U.S. GDP, a level that is generally considered sufficient to maintain financial stability."He noted that the recent cryptocurrency sell-off was primarily due to macroeconomic concerns and deteriorating liquidity conditions, but these factors may improve in the next quarter, providing support for asset prices. "Cryptocurrency prices may bottom out in the coming weeks and then rebound to new highs later this year."

ChainCatcher news, analyst Timothy Peterson pointed out in a new chart report that Bitcoin is about to enter the traditionally strong months—April and October, forming the "golden window period." If historical seasonal patterns repeat, Bitcoin is expected to surge to $126,000 before June 1, representing an increase of over 50% from the current price of $82,967.He stated that Bitcoin's current price is close to the lower limit of its historical seasonal volatility range, and emphasized in his chart analysis that "the average duration of Bitcoin being below the trend line is only 4 months. The red dashed trend line points to the June 1 target of $126,000, which highly aligns with the explosive rhythm after historical bull market corrections. Data shows that since 2023, the current cycle has experienced five corrections of over 20%, but each correction has been followed by stronger rallies. The bull market is not over; it is currently just a short-term pullback."Market observers generally believe that Bitcoin's correlation with traditional financial assets has strengthened, and in the short term, it may be influenced by fluctuations in the U.S. stock market. However, its unique deflationary attributes and geopolitical safe-haven demand will likely lead it to perform independently before June.

ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, the chief researcher of the cryptocurrency research institution 10x Research, Markus Thielen, stated that Bitcoin may repeat its price trend in 2024, entering a long-term consolidation phase after reaching an all-time high at the beginning of the year.Thielen pointed out that the current Bitcoin chart is forming a "high-level tightening flag," which, although typically a bullish continuation pattern, currently shows signs of weakness, indicating "market indecision" rather than a clear bullish consolidation. Meanwhile, the spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) market has not shown a "buying the dip" mentality.Thielen believes there is a lack of evidence to support a strong price recovery for Bitcoin in the short term.

ChainCatcher news reports that on social media, on-chain data analyst Murphy published statistics stating that the cost basis for ETH accumulated from January to February 2025 is roughly between $3,200 and $3,500. A cluster of addresses has been intensively accumulating at $3,475, totaling 1.66 million ETH. This group did not sell during the drop of ETH to $1,900 and instead added to their positions, currently holding 1.94 million ETH with a reduced cost basis of $3,150.Additionally, the cost basis for the chips accumulated in mid-February 2025 is approximately between $2,600 and $2,800. This group started to cut losses as the ETH price fell below $2,300, and currently, only the chips at $2,800 and $2,630 remain unchanged, holding 1 million and 850,000 ETH respectively.As the price of the coin continues to decline, new demand for ETH has gradually weakened, especially after the price fell below $2,000, where data shows there is almost no new purchasing power.Murphy explains that the high-position trapped chips, after a series of self-rescue replenishments, now seem to have exhausted their purchasing power; the current price of $1,850 is the cost price for large holders who accumulated two years ago. When the price drops to this level, they start to replenish (buying back parts sold at high positions to average down costs), thus forming a support effect. If this price level cannot provide support, the decline may reach $1,600 and $1,250, which are the "remaining support levels from three years ago's accumulation."From the overall behavior of current investors, the most important factor is still the reconstruction of consensus on ETH's value. If an effective consensus cannot be formed, the currently trapped chips at high positions of $2,630 (850,000), $2,800 (1 million), and $3,150 (1.945 million) will all become significant obstacles on the path to recovery.

ChainCatcher message, Bitcoin has a poor start in 2025, especially as investors enter a risk-off mode, but it may soon ease, as Wall Street expects Bitcoin to make a strong rebound in the second quarter of this year after experiencing weakness in March.

ChainCatcher message indicates that, according to SoSoValue data, the encrypted sector has shown a downturn after a two-day rebound, with most sectors experiencing a decline of about 1% to 3% in the last 24 hours. Among them, Bitcoin (BTC) fell by 2.77%, and Ethereum (ETH) fell by 1.23%.It is worth noting that the SocialFi and CeFi sectors remain relatively strong, with the SocialFi sector increasing by 1.52% in the last 24 hours, where Toncoin (TON) rose by 2.34%; the CeFi sector increased by 0.48%, with Binance coin (BNB) rising by 1.49% due to factors such as the Abu Dhabi investment company MGX's investment in Binance. Meanwhile, the ssiSocialFi and ssiCeFi, which reflect the historical performance of the sectors, increased by 3.20% and 0.67% respectively in the last 24 hours, but their weekly returns were -5.66% and -3.22%.In other sectors, the PayFi sector rose by 0.40%, with XRP and Stellar (XLM) increasing by 1.61% and 3.87% respectively; the Layer1 sector fell by 0.66%, and the Meme sector fell by 1.44%, although OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) rose against the trend by 9.43%; the DeFi sector fell by 2.02%, and the Layer2 sector fell by 2.66%.

ChainCatcher news, analyst Benjamin Cowen stated in his latest report to subscribers that the current situation of ETH is similar to that of 2019, and a change in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy may be needed for the ETH/BTC exchange rate to bottom out and rebound.Cowen noted that in 2019, the price of ETH fell below its support level just before the Federal Reserve ended its quantitative tightening policy. People found it very difficult to make money during this cycle because the monetary policy had not changed. In the previous cycle, the market witnessed a shift in monetary policy a year before the halving. We are currently in the year following the halving, but the quantitative tightening policy has still not changed. The Federal Reserve has only slightly reduced the scale and slowed down the pace, but has never truly stopped.

ChainCatcher message, Glassnode released data on social media stating that the cost basis distribution of ETH shows potential locations for forming short-term support levels. Although the price of ETH briefly fell below the major accumulation area of $1880, addresses at this level have hardly responded during this decline, and a new accumulation range has appeared at $1900 (600,000 to 700,000 ETH).This suggests that if ETH consolidates at the current level, $1900 may become a support level. The upper level of $2200 (accumulating 465,000 ETH) is a potential next resistance level. The supply gap between $1900 and $2200 remains relatively small, making it reasonable for the ETH price to rise to the resistance level in the short term.

ChainCatcher news, according to The Block, Standard Chartered's Head of Digital Assets Research Geoff Kendrick stated that the recent decline in Bitcoin's price is primarily influenced by the pressure from broader risk assets, rather than issues within the cryptocurrency itself. "From a volatility-adjusted basis, Bitcoin's performance is highly correlated with the 'seven tech stocks plus Bitcoin' portfolio," Kendrick noted in an email on Tuesday, "Tesla performed the worst, while Meta and Apple performed the best, with the rest being similar to Bitcoin."Kendrick believes that Bitcoin's rebound will depend on two main catalysts: a recovery in risk assets overall or Bitcoin-specific positive news (such as sovereign purchases). He pointed out that clearer tariff policies or a rapid rate cut by the Federal Reserve would help boost the market, "the probability of a rate cut in the May meeting rising from the current 50% to 75% could trigger a rebound." Although Bitcoin may quickly test the $69,000 support level if it falls below $76,500 in the short term, he still maintains a target forecast of $200,000 by the end of 2025.Next week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision will be a significant test for Bitcoin. Rohit Jain, Managing Director of CoinDCX Ventures, stated that if the Federal Reserve maintains the current interest rates as expected, it could lead to Bitcoin testing the $70,000 support level.

ChainCatcher news, according to OKX market data, Bitcoin has rebounded and surpassed $80,000, currently reported at $80,024.7, with the intraday decline narrowing to 0.03%.

ChainCatcher news, ARK Invest founder Cathie Wood stated that the current market is digesting the final stages of a rolling recession, which will give the Trump administration and the Federal Reserve more room for policy adjustments than investors expect, potentially pushing the U.S. economy into a "deflationary boom" in the second half of this year. Cathie Wood believes that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy will become more flexible, and the market may be underestimating this potential economic rebound momentum.A rolling recession refers to an economic phenomenon where different industries and sectors experience recessions in turn, while the overall economy and job market remain relatively stable.

ChainCatcher news, crypto analyst Miles Deutscher posted on the X platform that the net asset premium rate of Strategy (MSTR) rebounded by 23% last week from a low point. This metric measures the premium level of MSTR's market value relative to its held Bitcoin assets. A higher premium means that Strategy can raise more funds to purchase Bitcoin.Miles Deutscher stated that Saylor may be preparing for another round of large-scale Bitcoin purchases next week.

ChainCatcher news, Trump adjusts tariff policy, postponing auto tariffs on Canada and Mexico by one month, and is willing to consider more requests for tariff exemptions. The trade tensions may ease, boosting market sentiment. According to 4E monitoring, U.S. stocks rebounded significantly on Wednesday, reversing the decline of the previous two days, with the technology and automotive sectors leading the gains. By the close, the S&P 500 index rose 1.12%, the Dow Jones increased by 1.14%, and the Nasdaq climbed 1.46%. Major tech stocks generally rose, with Microsoft leading at 3.19%.The cryptocurrency market rebounded across the board. Driven by the U.S. stock market and the upcoming White House crypto summit, the market expects that policies regarding Bitcoin reserve plans and other crypto regulations will become clearer. Bitcoin broke through the 90,000 mark, reaching a high of $91,903, up 4.8% in 24 hours, while Ethereum returned above $2,200, gaining 4.59% in 24 hours. Various sectors in the market generally rebounded, with increases typically around 2% to 8%, boosting market sentiment.In the forex and commodities sector, the risk of a U.S. recession is rising, leading to a third consecutive decline in the dollar index, which fell 1.3% to a six-week low. Due to unexpected increases in supply, oil prices fell for three consecutive days, with U.S. oil dropping to its lowest level in nearly two years; the weaker dollar pushed precious metals higher, with spot gold slightly up 0.04%.The Federal Reserve's Beige Book indicates that overall economic activity in the U.S. has slightly increased since mid-January, but consumer spending has generally decreased, further confirming the uncertainty of the U.S. economic outlook. Economic data is mixed, with rising recession risks, and the market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by more than 70 basis points before the end of the year.

ChainCatcher news, according to CoinDesk, the Fear and Greed Index has shown "extreme fear" readings for several consecutive days, which may indicate that Bitcoin prices are about to bottom out and rebound. Historically, similar situations have triggered a 200% increase in Bitcoin prices.Vincent Liu, Chief Investment Officer of trading firm Kronos Research, stated: "Bitcoin has fallen into the 'extreme fear' range, which is the first time since September 2024, when Bitcoin was trading at $53,000. In the three months following that, Bitcoin's value doubled, suggesting a potential buying opportunity for savvy investors."The Fear and Greed Index is a measure of investor sentiment, ranging from 0 (lowest sentiment) to 100 (highest sentiment). Recently, as Bitcoin prices fluctuated between $83,000 and $95,000, the index has remained in the "extreme fear" zone. This index is typically viewed as a short-term contrarian indicator, based on price volatility, momentum, social media sentiment, Google Trends data, and Bitcoin's overall market share.

ChainCatcher news, according to 4E monitoring, the U.S. tariff policy on its three major trading partners has been implemented, and investors' concerns about the escalation and expansion of the trade war have intensified. U.S. stocks opened lower across the board on Tuesday, with the three major indices at one point dropping nearly 2% in the early session. However, as the U.S. Secretary of Commerce hinted that Trump might lower tariffs on Canada and Mexico, coupled with investors betting again that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates due to recession risks, the decline in U.S. stocks eased. Ultimately, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 1.55%, the Nasdaq fell 0.35%, and the S&P 500 index dropped 1.22%. Large tech stocks initially fell collectively but turned to gains at midday, with some individual stocks closing higher.The cryptocurrency market followed the decline of U.S. stocks after their opening, with Bitcoin briefly dropping to a low of 81,500. However, as the decline in U.S. stocks narrowed, the market also began to rebound. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was reported at 87,500 USD, up 4.25% in 24 hours. Ethereum, after falling below 2,000 USD, returned above 2,100 USD, with a 24-hour increase of 5.8%. Over the past week, the cryptocurrency market has been significantly influenced by information, with high volatility, increased operational difficulty, light trading, and no significant changes in on-chain activity.In the forex and commodities sector, following Trump's implementation of tariffs on Canada and Mexico, the U.S. dollar index fell over 0.9% during the day, hitting a three-month low; crude oil has fallen for three consecutive days, with U.S. oil reaching a new low since December last year; rising safe-haven demand and a weaker dollar supported an increase of over 1.2% during the day.The escalation of trade tensions has heightened market concerns about the U.S. economic outlook. After the U.S. fulfilled its threat of tariffs on Canada and Mexico, investors increased their bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates three times this year, each by 25 basis points, for the first time since mid-December last year. Additionally, the U.S. Secretary of Commerce hinted that Trump might announce a grace period for tariffs on Canadian and Mexican goods as early as the 5th, and the market is closely watching whether this event will bring about a turnaround.

ChainCatcher news indicates that, according to SoSoValue data, the encrypted market sector has generally rebounded, with a 24-hour increase of approximately 2% to 11%. The PayFi sector leads with a rise of 10.29%, within which XRP increased by 11.25% and Stellar (XLM) rose by 7.40%. Additionally, Ethereum (ETH) increased by 6.67%, breaking through $2100, while Bitcoin (BTC) rose by 4.70%, surpassing $87000. Meanwhile, MAG7.ssi increased by 6.63%.In other sectors, the Layer1 sector rose by 7.92% in 24 hours, with Solana (SOL), Cardano (ADA), and Hedera (HBAR) increasing by 5.65%, 23.61%, and 10.59% respectively; the DeFi sector rose by 6.72%, with Aave (AAVE) increasing by 18.89%; the Meme sector rose by 6.01%, the CeFi sector rose by 5.60%, and the Layer2 sector rose by 3.06%.