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Analyst: Recent negative rumors about NAND have been exaggerated; SanDisk's low-priced LTA is a strategic choice rather than weak demand

Citrini analyst Jukan published a response to the recent market rumors regarding bearish notes on NAND and negative news about QLC price negotiations. It is not surprising that SanDisk accepted a price lower than the initial offer when signing a long-term agreement with Meta, as SanDisk is one of the most proactive NAND manufacturers in pursuing LTAs, planning to allocate over 50% of its total shipments to such agreements. Based on this strategy, it is naturally willing to accept LTA prices lower than the current quarterly contract price, and it cannot be inferred that "SanDisk cannot seamlessly resell all orders to higher-bidding North American customers."In response to rumors that Chinese module manufacturers were rejected by domestic CSPs when promoting eSSD, Jukan explained that Chinese CSPs have direct procurement channels with Yangtze Memory Technologies and that the issue is not a lack of demand. Regarding the claim that large-scale cloud providers are driving down prices for QLC eSSD, leading to some volumes not being sold, he believes that new cloud providers have sufficient demand to absorb these volumes.Jukan concluded by stating that negative headlines are more easily amplified when storage stocks perform poorly, but the fundamentals have not shown substantial deterioration. He reiterated that he remains bullish on storage. Previously, Jukan had stated that DRAM contract prices still have about a 40% upside potential until the end of 2027, and HBM supply continues to be tight. This clarification on the NAND side further solidifies his bullish stance on the entire storage sector.

hot_img Intel and AMD are seeking to sign long-term CPU supply agreements with Chinese server customers, with some product prices increasing by over 40% within the year

According to Reuters, citing informed sources, due to the surge in demand for AI data centers leading to a tight supply of server CPUs, Intel and AMD are negotiating long-term procurement commitments with Chinese server customers. Agreements typically lock in a year's supply, with some discussions extending to two years or longer. Driven by the construction of AI computing power, CPU demand has expanded from AI accelerators to mainstream processors, with some server CPU products in the Chinese market experiencing a cumulative price increase of over 40% this year, with month-on-month increases exceeding 10% at times.Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan stated in April that Xeon server CPU demand "continues to exceed supply," and the company has signed multiple long-term contracts in the first quarter, including a multi-year agreement with Google. AMD has raised its forecast for the server CPU market to exceed $120 billion by 2030. The report notes that China, as one of the largest server markets in the world, is intensifying competition for Intel and AMD processors due to the rapid construction of data centers and AI computing clusters, even as Chinese buyers face U.S. export restrictions on advanced AI GPUs. Intel is set to announce its quarterly results on Thursday, with the CPU shortage expected to become a market focus.
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