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hot_img SpaceX will release its first quarterly report after going public on Tuesday after the market closes, with its stock price down nearly 50% from its peak, as the market focuses on Starlink, AI, and lock-up pressure

SpaceX will release its first earnings report since going public after the U.S. stock market closes on Tuesday, with the market focusing on the operational performance of its three major businesses: Starlink, Starship, and AI. Since its listing on June 12, SpaceX's stock price has continued to decline, closing at $114.53 on Monday, about 15% lower than the offering price of $135, and nearly 50% down from its historical high of $225.64, with a market value evaporating by over $500 billion. Visible Alpha estimates its Q2 revenue to be around $6.9 billion, primarily driven by Starlink. In terms of AI business, SpaceX previously acquired xAI and established computing power supply collaborations with Google, Anthropic, and others, with Q1 AI business revenue reaching $818 million. Additionally, the Starship's 13th test flight was recently completed, but the booster recovery experienced a hard landing.After this earnings report, SpaceX will face a lock-up period expiration on Thursday, with approximately 911 million shares (valued at about $100 billion) becoming tradable, raising market concerns about potential selling pressure. Data from S3 Partners shows that investors shorting SpaceX have realized gains of about $8.3 billion. Institutions like New Street and Yorkville Advisors believe that the pullback may provide an entry opportunity for long-term investors, with the ultimate trend depending on the strategic signals released by Musk during the conference call.

Morgan Stanley has upgraded the rating of the South Korean stock market to "overweight," with a target price of 9,000 points

Morgan Stanley has upgraded the rating of the South Korean stock market to "Overweight," with a target price of 9,000 points, implying a 36% upside from the current level.Morgan Stanley believes that the previous severe deleveraging is nearing its end, and the KOSPI valuation has fallen to historically low levels, providing investors with a more attractive entry point. Their data shows that hedge funds have completed about 75% of their deleveraging, leveraged ETFs have evaporated 70% from their peak, and the chip structure has significantly improved.Shawn Kim, head of Morgan Stanley's Asia Technology team, pointed out three recent catalysts for South Korean chip stocks in the report.First, capital expenditure. The capital management trends of Samsung Electronics and SK hynix are seen as the most important recent catalysts. The market is waiting for specific announcements from both companies regarding their "value enhancement" plans and capital returns, with the timing still unclear, but the expectations themselves have already formed a potential catalyst.Second, HBM4 pricing. Samsung Electronics recently stated that HBM4 will account for about 60% of its total HBM sales by the end of next year. If HBM4 prices reach the market expectation of over $3 per Gb, it will positively catalyze overall DRAM pricing from 2026 to 2027.Third, the iPhone 18 release cycle. The mobile segment still accounts for 30% to 40% of global DRAM demand and 25% to 30% of NAND demand. According to feedback from members of the Korean Apple supply chain (such as LG Innotek), Apple has a positive outlook on the iPhone 18 cycle, expecting a year-on-year shipment increase of 5% to 10%. The iPhone 18 will be released in September, with the first models being the Pro series (including Pro, Pro Max, and foldable), and if sales perform well, it will positively drive Samsung Electronics and SK hynix.
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