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CITIC Construction Investment Research Report points out that the following factors will determine the trend of the third quarter market: In terms of fundamentals, AI computing power remains at a high level of prosperity, with mid-year performance and overseas financial reports worth paying attention to. At the same time, since April, under pressure from the macro economy, the economic measures from the Politburo meeting in July are quite important; In terms of liquidity, external disturbances have increased, while internal conditions remain neutral; In terms of risk appetite, geopolitical events and the listing of industry giants will cause short-term fluctuations in the market. Considering the global tech stock correlation effect, major overseas computing powers such as Japan, South Korea, and the United States also need to be continuously monitored.In terms of industry allocation, although the logic of AI computing power remains unchanged, volatility has intensified. It is recommended to be cautious about chasing highs and to position during pullbacks; lithium batteries are expected to welcome a peak season, and energy storage demand continues to warm up, while new energy presents opportunities for phased valuation recovery; dividends are expected to rebound from oversold conditions, with relatively high cost-performance ratios. Key areas to focus on: banks, coal, public utilities, AI, optical modules, storage, chips, industrial metals, lithium battery materials (VC), etc.

According to on-chain analyst @ai_9684xtpa, a certain whale purchased 5.455 million USD worth of SK Hynix (SKHYNIX) on Binance.Market data shows that the SKHYNIX contract price on Binance briefly rose to 1830 USD and has now fallen back to 1786 USD.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "Bitcoin June Price Prediction" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of the "Yes" option in the sub-market "57,500 USD" has experienced drastic fluctuations, plummeting from 69.2% an hour ago to the current 44.8% (a fluctuation of 24.4%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Cryptobriefing, Nasdaq-listed company Solmate (formerly Brera Holdings) has seen its stock price plummet over 98% since completing a $300 million financing to transform into a Solana treasury company. The company has previously received investments from institutions such as ARK Invest, Pulsar Group, RockawayX, and Solana Foundation, and currently holds approximately 2 million SOL, but SOL has dropped about 50% in the past year, making the company's financial situation highly dependent on SOL's price and liquidity.Earlier reports indicated that Solmate's largest shareholder has sued the board of directors, accusing them of information disclosure violations and self-dealing.

According to The New York Times, informed sources revealed that due to the recent significant drop in stock prices following the SpaceX IPO and the overall sluggishness of the tech stock market, OpenAI is inclined to postpone its public listing plan from later this year to 2027.It is reported that OpenAI CEO Sam Altman insists on seeking a listing valuation of up to $1 trillion and has rejected advisors' suggestions to "accept a lower valuation to expedite the listing process." Earlier, OpenAI had secretly submitted IPO application documents to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) earlier this month, but did not specify a concrete timeline. Currently, OpenAI's latest valuation is $852 billion, with revenue of approximately $13 billion last year and a net loss of $21 billion.

According to The Block, Strategy's perpetual preferred stock STRC fell to a historic low of $74 on Thursday, a 26% discount from its par value of $100, and then slightly rebounded to $75.69; MSTR dropped below $87, the lowest since February 2024, with a decline of over 50% in the past month. STRC is the main financing tool for Strategy's recent Bitcoin accumulation. Strive's perpetual preferred stock SATA fell to nearly $84, approaching a historic low on Thursday.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve's Williams stated that the inflation level is "undoubtedly high and far exceeds" the target, reflecting the impact of tariffs, energy prices, and the demand for technology products related to artificial intelligence (AI).

According to Gate market data, Apple's (AAPL.O) stock price fell by 6%, marking the largest decline since April 2025.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the market prediction event "Bitcoin June Price Prediction" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Below $57,500" experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 24.2% an hour ago to the current 72.2% (a fluctuation of 48%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Gate market data, Nvidia (NVDA.O) stock price decline rapidly expanded to 3%.

According to Bloomberg, Apple has raised the starting prices of several Mac and iPad models to offset the rising costs caused by shortages of memory and storage chips.The company's official website shows that the starting price of the MacBook Neo has been raised from $599 to $699, the MacBook Air from $1,099 to $1,299, and the MacBook Pro, iPad Air, and iPad Pro have also seen price increases. This move will not affect Apple's main source of profit—iPhone.

According to Jinshi, the final value of the GDP price index for the United States in the first quarter is 3.6%, higher than the market expectation of 3.5% and the previous value of 3.5%.

According to Business Insider, Worldcoin developer Tools For Humanity previously hired two law firms to investigate internal financial irregularities, employee classification, and whether there were violations of the U.S. Foreign Corrupt Practices Act in its operations in Thailand.The report also stated that the investigation involves allegations of senior management approving large payments to foreign companies to boost the performance of Worldcoin tokens. The company stated that after the investigation, it has terminated its relationships with Thai partners and strengthened internal compliance policies and due diligence processes, and currently has not found sufficient evidence to prove that the company or its employees violated relevant anti-bribery laws.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that Strategy's preferred stock MSTR has fallen 78% from its peak, while Bitcoin has dropped 51% from its peak. The average cost basis for Strategy's 847,363 BTC holdings is $75,651, with a total cost of $64.1 billion. The current BTC price has fallen below this cost line for the first time since the bear market of 2022. The additional decline of MSTR relative to BTC has reached about 28 percentage points, approaching the upper end of the historical range, but has not yet touched the extreme of an 89% retracement from the 2022 low.Meanwhile, Strategy's purchasing strategy has clearly shifted to a defensive stance: the weekly BTC purchase volume has been cut by about two-thirds, with less than 11% of the $335.5 million raised through stock issuance used to buy BTC, and the remainder transferred to dollar reserves. At the end of May, Strategy also conducted its first net sell since 2022, selling 32 BTC to pay STRC dividends. Adler pointed out that the main risk currently lies in BTC remaining below the treasury cost line of $75,000, which would block the financing channel for ATM issuance by compressing the MSTR premium. However, nearly all of Strategy's debt is in convertible bonds, with no additional margin risk; the baseline scenario is the loss of marginal buyers rather than cascading liquidations. The real pressure point lies in the company's transition from selling stock to systematically selling BTC itself to pay preferred stock dividends and debt interest.

According to Jinshi reports, Mohit Kumar of Jefferies Group stated in a report that despite the decline in oil prices, the interest rate market has not quickly incorporated the expectations of falling oil prices into pricing. He pointed out that as the market focuses on the increase in traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, the drop in oil prices has exceeded expectations. Jefferies believes that one of the main impacts of the US-Iran agreement is that major global central banks no longer need to raise interest rates, maintaining the view that the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates this year, and that the Fed's next move will be to cut rates rather than raise them.

Data shows that on October 11, insider whale Garrett Jin still holds a 5x leveraged long position of 1,270 BTC. This position was opened in May this year at a price of $76,117 and has been held for nearly 2 months. Currently, this trade has an unrealized loss of over $18.55 million, with a margin size of $15.6 million, and the liquidation price is temporarily reported at $16,964.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "Bitcoin June 25 Price Prediction" event on the Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "62,000" experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, soaring from 9.5% an hour ago to the current 35.5% (a fluctuation of 26%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Gate market data, gold prices have plummeted significantly, continuing the decline from the previous trading day, closing at $3,990.3 per ounce, marking the lowest closing price since November of last year. The strengthening dollar and the market's increasing expectation that the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates later this year have dampened investor sentiment. Gold futures prices in the New York market fell by 3.4%, and prices of other precious metals also declined.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "Bitcoin June Price Prediction" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Below $57,500" experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, soaring from 30.6% an hour ago to the current 55.05% (a fluctuation of 24.45%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.