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According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "WTI Crude Oil July 2026 Price Prediction" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Falls Below $85" has experienced severe fluctuations in winning probability, dropping from 82.5% an hour ago to the current 49.5% (a fluctuation of 33%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Benchmark has lowered its second-quarter performance expectations for Coinbase ahead of the earnings report next week, citing weak trading activity in the cryptocurrency market, but still maintains a "Buy" rating and a target price of $270. Based on Coinbase's stock price of about $172 on Wednesday, this target price corresponds to an upside potential of approximately 57%.Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer has revised Coinbase's second-quarter revenue expectation from $1.51 billion to $1.38 billion and has lowered the full-year revenue expectation for 2026 from $6.33 billion to $6 billion. The trading volume on centralized exchanges in the second quarter has decreased by about 28%, and the total market capitalization of the cryptocurrency market has dropped by about 13%. The firm expects Coinbase's trading revenue to decline by more than 5%.However, the market showed initial signs of stabilization in June, with spot trading volume exceeding $1 trillion for the first time since March, which may somewhat alleviate the weak performance in the second quarter.Benchmark believes that if the CLARITY Act is ultimately passed, it could become a more significant catalyst for the stock price than quarterly performance, with Coinbase potentially being one of the main beneficiaries of the act. Trump has previously agreed to the relevant ethical provisions, removing a key obstacle to the advancement of the bill.

According to the ranking data from RootData on stock derivatives exchanges, as of the time of writing, the top five exchanges with the largest spreads among the Top 15 are BitMart (3.39%), MEXC (0.465%), BingX (0.422%), Phemex (0.426%), and XT.COM (0.144%).It is reported that this spread is weighted by the 24-hour trading volume, and a higher value typically indicates higher trading costs.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "WTI Crude Oil July 2026 Price Prediction" on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of the "↑ $90" option in the sub-market has experienced significant fluctuations, soaring from 50.2% an hour ago to the current 65.65% (a fluctuation of 15.45%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to Jinshi reports, as the US-Iran conflict drives up oil prices, the dollar weakens but remains close to the one-week high reached overnight. Deutsche Bank analysts stated in a report that the rise in oil, natural gas, and other commodity prices has increased recent inflation expectations. Against this backdrop, investors have repriced their expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, and the market has begun to speculate again on the possibility of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve next week.

According to Gate market data, after falling for seven consecutive trading days, SpaceX's stock price rose by 7.6%.

According to a report by Nikkei Asia citing multiple informed sources, TSMC (TSM.N) plans to raise the foundry prices for advanced and mature process chips by up to 10% in 2027, in response to rising costs of materials, manufacturing equipment, and the construction of new overseas plants. TSMC has begun discussions with customers regarding the price increase, which involves 7-nanometer and more advanced processes. This segment contributed approximately 77% of TSMC's revenue in the quarter from April to June this year.Informed sources indicated that the basic price increase will range from 5% to 10%, depending on the customer and product. For new orders of high-performance computing (HPC) chips that exceed the customer's original forecast, TSMC plans to impose an additional premium of 10% to 15% on top of the basic price increase. As a result, the overall price increase for some advanced process chip orders may exceed 10%. In terms of mature processes (including 12-nanometer, 16-nanometer, 28-nanometer processes, and other traditional technologies), TSMC plans to raise prices by up to 10%, but some products will see increases below this level. The mature process business accounted for about 23% of the company's revenue in the last quarter. Informed sources stated that relevant negotiations began around June and were finalized in July, with the new prices set to take effect in early 2027.

Bitget launches a U.S. stock earnings report guessing event, which will run from July 21 to mid to late August. During the event, users can complete stock spot (rToken) or stock derivatives trading tasks to obtain guessing tickets and participate in the U.S. stock earnings report rise and fall guessing. The guessing results will be determined by comparing the "closing price on the first trading day after the earnings report is released" with the "closing price on the last trading day before the earnings report is released."The event will gradually open different guessing sessions based on the U.S. stock earnings report release times, with the first batch covering targets such as Tesla, Google, and Intel. The total prize pool for each session is 10,000 USDT, with the winning and losing prize pools split at a ratio of 70% to 30%, and an individual can win up to 1,000 USDT per session. For more details, please refer to the Bitget official platform.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the market prediction event "Bitcoin July Price Prediction" on Polymarket, the probability of the "Yes" option in the sub-market "67,500 USD" has experienced significant fluctuations, soaring from 38.5% an hour ago to the current 59.5% (a fluctuation of 21%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "WTI Crude Oil July 2026 Price Prediction" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "↑ $85" has experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 89.5% an hour ago to the current 72.5% (a fluctuation of 17%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to the ranking data from RootData on stock derivatives exchanges, as of the time of writing, MEXC has the largest spread among the top ten exchanges, reaching 1.35%.The current top three rankings are Binance, Bitget, and Bybit. Among them, Binance has a score of 92 and a spread of 0.021%; Bitget has a score of 90.6 and a spread of 0.053%; Bybit has a score of 90.3 and a spread of 0.124%.

According to Jinshi reports, as the conflict between the U.S. and Iran escalates over the weekend, the market bets that the Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates to curb inflation, leading to a decline in gold prices. Following a drop of more than 2% last week, gold is currently trading around $3,995 per ounce.Escalating hostilities in the Middle East, including an attack on a key oil facility in Kuwait, have caused oil prices to soar. Tehran has stated that the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran is effectively null and void, intensifying concerns about potential severe disruptions to critical energy supplies.

Ostium released an update on the attack incident. Its liquidity provider fund was attacked on July 15, resulting in a loss of 23,752,746 USDC. Preliminary investigations indicate that the attacker compromised the off-chain infrastructure that provides price data to the protocol and submitted disguised illegal price reports, extracting artificially generated profits from the fund by quickly opening and closing multiple large positions.Ostium stated that traders' collateral is stored in independently isolated smart contracts and was not affected by this incident, with all trading positions remaining open. The team paused trading and froze all trading contracts within 60 minutes after the first attack transaction occurred. Currently, Ostium is collaborating with Mandiant, zeroShadow, Collisionless, SEAL 911, and law enforcement agencies, coordinating with trading platforms, bridging contracts, and stablecoin issuers to advance the investigation. The engineering team is focused on repairing and strengthening the relevant infrastructure to support the secure resumption of trading.Ostium indicated that it will notify at least 24 hours in advance before unfreezing the trading contracts. After trading resumes, existing positions will be marked at the price at the time of reopening, unaffected by price fluctuations during the pause. Addressing the affected liquidity providers and securely resuming trading remains the current top priority.

According to Jinshi reports, gold prices have fallen below $4,000 per ounce and are expected to record a weekly decline of over 3%. The escalating hostilities between the United States and Iran have heightened market concerns, with rising energy prices potentially keeping inflation elevated and prompting the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.Soojin Kim, an analyst at Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, stated that recent price trends indicate that the market is placing greater emphasis on the possibility that U.S. interest rates will remain high for a longer period, rather than the traditional safe-haven demand for gold.

According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, "King of Liquidation" Huang Licheng's long position of 16,575 ETH is gradually being reduced, with the current holdings down to 9,600 ETH (approximately 17.76 million USD). The current price is only 16 dollars away from the liquidation price, which is very close.

According to Jinshi News, Bernstein has raised its gold price target for 2026 to $4,533 per ounce, citing that central banks around the world are diversifying their reserves and that the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates only once or twice in the next year at most.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve's Schmid said it is time to stop excluding food prices from the core inflation index.