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According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "Ethereum August Price Prediction" on Polymarket, the probability of the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Drops Below 2,400" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation, soaring from 53% an hour ago to the current 75.5% (a fluctuation of 22.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to the Financial Associated Press, Nvidia will announce its Q2 2027 financial report after the US stock market closes on August 26. Goldman Sachs expects strong performance with potential upward revisions in guidance, but notes that the stock price has already surged since August, with an increase of over 12% in the past two weeks, suggesting that the good news may have already been priced in, making it difficult for excellent performance to boost the stock price. Goldman Sachs' EPS forecasts for Nvidia in Q2 and Q3 are 6% and 12% higher than Wall Street's consensus expectations, respectively, with a target price of $285, which is still slightly below the market average.Goldman Sachs believes there is room for revaluation in the valuation, provided that the profitability of large-scale cloud vendors improves to support capital expenditures, Nvidia maintains caution on its customer financing platform to alleviate concerns about supplier circular financing, and continues to advance large-scale buybacks and dividends. Investors will focus on details of the customer financing platform in the earnings call, progress on the Vera Rubin platform, gross margins and raw material costs, CPU demand driven by AI agents, and the competitive landscape in the industry.Goldman Sachs points out that while GPU demand is strong, there is still a risk of a pullback, and the difficulty of "exceeding expectations and raising guidance" increases each quarter, raising doubts about whether cloud vendors can continue to ramp up capital expenditures. Earlier this month, Nvidia, in collaboration with Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Goldman Sachs, KKR, and others, established a financing platform for AI computing infrastructure, aiming to leverage over $500 billion in third-party capital; concerns about circular financing are rising in the market, and the company needs to release more substantial new information, or else the stock price is more likely to decline rather than surge after the earnings report.

According to the latest ranking of stock derivatives exchanges published by RootData, the three exchanges with the largest spreads among the listed exchanges are HTX, Crypto.com, and OrangeX, with spreads of 0.904%, 0.452%, and 0.357% respectively.Among them, HTX ranks first with a spread of 0.904%, which is about 90 times that of the exchange with the smallest spread on the list. Currently, the exchanges with the smallest spreads on the list are Binance, Gate, and OKX, all with a spread of 0.01%.It is reported that this spread is the 24h transaction volume weighted spread, and a higher value typically indicates higher trading costs.

According to Nikkei Chinese News, the American company Meta has announced that it has begun offering code generation AI for programming, including the AI agent "Muse Code" and the new version of the AI model "Muse Spark" for software development. Its performance is not as good as Anthropic's high-end models, but compared to Anthropic's Claude Opus 5, the unit token usage fee is about 80% cheaper, aiming to attract enterprises looking to control costs.If Meta is provided with AI usage data for development, the costs will be reduced by more than 90%, bringing usage costs down to levels comparable to products from emerging Chinese companies like DeepSeek. Meta stated that its internal technical staff had previously used Anthropic's code generation AI extensively and listed "utilization of other companies' AI" as a reason for the decline in operating profit from April to June 2026; recently, it has encouraged employees to use its own developed AI more to control expenses.Meta also disclosed that during performance testing of Muse Spark, there were instances of the AI breaching external systems on the internet.

As the market awaits U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen to announce a new round of sanctions against Iran, international oil prices fell on Monday. WTI crude futures dropped about 1.3%, settling at $85.93 per barrel; Brent crude fell 1.24%, to $93.22 per barrel.Yellen previously stated that the U.S. would launch "the largest financial offensive in history" against Iran, urging allies and other countries to sever economic ties with Iran. Iran, on the other hand, has claimed it is capable of coping with the sanctions and maintaining its foreign economic relations. Commonwealth Bank of Australia predicts that if U.S. actions to isolate Iran are effective, the risk of Iran taking more aggressive actions may rise, further exacerbating volatility in the energy market.

According to the Economic Daily, semiconductor silicon wafers have seen a significant price increase for the first time since the COVID-19 pandemic, covering the full range of specifications including 6-inch, 8-inch, and 12-inch, with an increase starting at 10%. Industry insiders believe this is the first price adjustment in over three years, and major Taiwanese silicon wafer suppliers such as GlobalWafers, TSMC, and Hejian are expected to see improvements in revenue and profitability.GlobalWafers stated that recent demand in some end markets has gradually improved, inventory adjustments in the supply chain are healthier than in the past, and market signals are more positive than last year, but prices still depend on the product, specifications, and customer situations. TSMC mentioned that under cost pressures and demand support, they have begun communicating price adjustments with customers, and operations in the second half of the year are expected to outperform the first half. Hejian indicated that they are actively negotiating price adjustments with customers and continuing to promote advanced packaging and related products.Industry analysis suggests that this round of price increases mainly reflects the rebound in chip demand driven by AI, with increased usage in advanced and mature processes, allowing the upstream silicon wafer industry to gradually feel the recovery. Currently, the negotiation progress varies among factories and customers, with some 12-inch polished wafers already subject to new quotes with double-digit percentage increases, and discussions for 8-inch and 6-inch products are also moving in a similar upward direction.

According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, the TRUMP token team address (BDNB...mx66) transferred 3.837 million tokens to OKX yesterday, worth 9.33 million USD.Since early this morning, the address has sold another 1.1 million tokens by adding unilateral liquidity, exchanging for 2.94 million USDC, with an average selling price of 2.68 USD.

Data released by HODL15Capital shows that sell orders for Bitcoin around the price of $80,000 mainly come from the Binance trading platform. Among them, Binance has approximately $31.98 million in sell orders near $79,945, about $13.2 million in sell orders near $80,000, and around $33.27 million in sell orders near $82,500; Coinbase has about $38.74 million in sell orders near $80,000.HODL15Capital analysis indicates that some of these sell orders have been posted for a long time, for example, the sell orders near $80,000 on Binance have been around for about 99 days, and the sell orders near $82,500 have been around for about 108 days. Therefore, it is believed that the current sell wall may not be as strong as it appears, and it will be necessary to wait until BTC gets closer to $80,000 to confirm whether these orders are genuinely intended for sale or if they will continue to move the sell orders higher.

The founder of the Liebit mining pool, Jiang Zhuoer, stated that last week, Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs recorded inflows of approximately $1.92 billion and $700 million, respectively, with the inflow scale of the Ethereum ETF being about 36.4% of Bitcoin's. Meanwhile, the total market capitalization of ETH is currently about 18.8% of BTC, and its ETF inflow proportion is significantly higher than the market value ratio of the two.Jiang Zhuoer indicated that stronger relative capital inflows may be one of the factors for ETH's recent price increase outpacing BTC, with ETH's maximum increase this round being approximately 35.9%, higher than BTC's 26.6%. Additionally, as the United States promotes legislative structures for the crypto market and asset tokenization, the development of RWA may further enhance market attention on smart contract public chains.

Bitcoin Hashprice has risen by 20.41% in the past 4 days, from $31.8 per PH/s to $38.29 per PH/s. Hashprice is used to measure the mining revenue corresponding to specific computing power, and this increase has boosted miner income. As of now, there are a total of 133 large, medium, and small mining pools and individual mining operations contributing computing power to the Bitcoin network. The mining pool Foundry USA leads with 214.73 EH/s, followed by Antpool and F2pool at 156.17 EH/s and 110.62 EH/s respectively, and ViaBTC at 91.02 EH/s.The total computing power of the Bitcoin network has risen to approximately 922 EH/s, nearing 1 ZH/s. Miners in August are currently earning $682.69 million from block subsidies and transaction fees, of which transaction fee revenue is $5.14 million, down from $875 million in July. The average block interval for the Bitcoin network is 10 minutes and 5 seconds, and current data indicates that the difficulty adjustment is expected to decrease by about 1% for the day. Based on an electricity cost of $0.1 per kilowatt-hour, the Bitmain Antminer S23 Hydro 3U is expected to earn $17.86 daily.

Grayscale's research director Zach Pandl stated that investors are generally advised against trying to time the market, but from the perspectives of structural adoption trends, market cycles, and macro risks, the current Bitcoin price may provide a favorable entry point for long-term investors. Grayscale believes that the continued growth of government debt, the expansion of blockchain technology applications in the financial services sector, and intergenerational changes in portfolio construction indicate that the long-term adoption trend of Bitcoin remains solid.Currently, this round of Bitcoin bear market has lasted about 10 months, while previous bear markets typically lasted 11 to 12 months, suggesting that the market may have entered the later stages of the bear market. The macro environment remains the main source of uncertainty. If the Federal Reserve raises interest rates in the near future, Bitcoin may decline further; if there are no rate hikes, the market may have already reached its bottom. Grayscale stated that structural adoption, cyclical positioning, and the overall macro outlook are currently relatively favorable, but future performance remains uncertain.

Kendrick stated that this round of increase is mainly driven by short covering, while the current open interest remains at a low level. As prices rise, it may leave room for more investors to re-enter the market.

According to informed sources, some major customers of Nvidia have been notified that the prices of servers equipped with its artificial intelligence chips will increase by more than 15% in most cases. This price increase will take effect early next year, affecting systems that include models equipped with the Vera Rubin and Grace Blackwell flagship chips.

According to a post by Watcher.Guru, the price of Bitcoin was $586 ten years ago today.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the "XRP August Price Prediction" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the submarket "↑ 1.8" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 39.2% an hour ago to the current 20.45% (a fluctuation of 18.75%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to News.bitcoin, the Financial Supervisory Service of South Korea has launched a real-time artificial intelligence platform to detect cryptocurrency price manipulation. One of the core functions of this system is its ability to identify short-term price manipulation by referencing a historical database of known market abuse strategies.The Financial Supervisory Service of South Korea will next expand this system to track cross-exchange capital flows and on-chain blockchain activities.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the "Ethereum August Price Prediction" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "2,600 USD" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 75.2% an hour ago to the current 56.45% (a fluctuation of 18.75%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "XRP August Price Prediction" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "↑ 1.6" experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 48.55% an hour ago to the current 67.5% (a fluctuation of 18.95%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the "Bitcoin August Price Prediction" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "↑ 87,500" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, plummeting from 50% an hour ago to the current 28.5% (a fluctuation of 21.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.