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According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the "Bitcoin October Price Prediction" event on the Polymarket market, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Below $80,000" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 70.5% an hour ago to the current 86% (a fluctuation of 15.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Gate market data, the stock price of the American semiconductor company Wolfspeed (WOLF.N) rose by 12.5% after the company received a $1.5 billion conditional loan commitment from the U.S. Department of Defense.

On Thursday during the European trading session, Dow Jones index futures fell by 0.56%, S&P 500 index futures fell by 0.28%, and Nasdaq 100 index futures fell by 0.44%.U.S. Treasury yields rose to multi-year highs, and high oil prices intensified inflation concerns. U.S.-Iran relations are tense, and the Strait of Hormuz is facing threats. The market is focused on speeches from Federal Reserve officials and a new batch of quarterly earnings reports.

Analyst Darkfost stated that the recent demand for Bitcoin in the market has significantly improved, especially as spot demand continues to rise. Currently, the total demand for Bitcoin has returned to positive territory, exceeding 14,000 BTC, while futures demand remains relatively stable, averaging about 32,000 BTC recently.Spot demand is currently around negative 17,000 BTC. Although it is still in negative territory, it has improved significantly from negative 207,000 BTC on September 20. Darkfost believes that while the current Bitcoin price is declining, market demand is gradually recovering, which is a positive market signal.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, a certain whale holds 98,089 ETH long positions worth 252.3 million dollars, with liquidation prices of 2446.48 dollars and 2424.47 dollars.

According to the market information platform Liquid247.xyz, Coinbase's spot BTC has approximately 71.7 buy orders at the price level of $82,928, nominally about $5.9463 million, which is a pullback of about 0.41% from the mid-price of approximately $83,273 at that time. The total buy orders at the near-end market are about $22.6663 million, while the sell orders are about $20.8999 million.This buy order is the most prominent support at the near-end of Coinbase's spot market, with a net buy of approximately $1.7664 million, accounting for 4.05% of the total depth.

According to Gate market data, the stock price of the American semiconductor company Wolfspeed rose 27% after hours, following the announcement of a $1.5 billion loan commitment.

U.S. President Trump stated that the entire nation of Iran will be completely destroyed, and this matter will come to an end soon, at which point oil prices will plummet.

The Federal Reserve meeting minutes show that some officials stated that raising interest rates would prevent the spread of price increases in certain industries.

U.S. Treasury bonds resumed their decline on Wednesday, with the 30-year Treasury yield rising to its highest level since 2002, reaching 5.72%. The increase in oil prices has raised market concerns about inflation and interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.The yield on the UK 30-year government bond rose to 6%, while the yield on the French government bond of the same duration increased by 14 basis points. Mizuho International strategists stated that the market is affected by the rise in oil prices.

According to the market intelligence platform Liquid247.xyz, Coinbase's spot BTC has approximately 70.96 sell orders at the price level of $85,902, with a nominal value of about $6.1 million, which is about 0.43% above the mid-price of approximately $85,537 at that time.The total buy orders at the near-end market amount to approximately $22.5864 million, while sell orders are about $26.7876 million, resulting in a net sell order surplus of approximately $4.2012 million, accounting for 8.51% of the total depth.

Google released its latest image generation and editing model, Nano Banana 2.1, on October 6, and it has been launched in the Gemini app, AI mode of Google Search, Google Ads, as well as developer tools like Google AI Studio, Flow, and Stitch. This model can generate images from text descriptions and edit existing photos.Google stated that this upgrade focuses on three aspects: visual design, mask-based editing (where only the marked area changes), and subject consistency, meaning that characters or objects retain their original features after multiple edits. In the overall preference test for text-to-image generation, Nano Banana 2.1 scored 1050 ELO points, higher than Nano Banana 2's 990 points and Nano Banana Pro's 935 points. The model can handle up to 14 reference images simultaneously, track 4 characters and 10 objects, and output up to 4K resolution with an aspect ratio of up to 8:1. Developers can also set the thinking time before generation and enable fact-checking based on Google Search and Google Image Search.When called through the Google Developer API, the standard 1K image is priced at $0.0336, about half of Nano Banana 2's $0.067; the 4K image is $0.0756, while the previous generation was $0.151, and bulk tasks can enjoy a 50% discount. The above performance data comes from Google's own testing.

On Tuesday, Coinbase added short-term up-and-down contracts to its prediction market, covering Bitcoin, Ethereum, and 8 other tokens, allowing for bets on crypto price direction at 15-minute and hourly intervals.These contracts are listed by the prediction market platform Kalshi, which previously operated the same 15-minute market on its own exchange.

According to Gate market data, Marvell Technology Group (MRVL.O) stock price rose by 10.4% as the company held an investor day event.

Wells Fargo raised the target price for Meta Platforms (META.O) from $796 to $1,000.

Gold prices rose slightly in early European trading as investors sought safe-haven assets. Analysts at Dutch International noted that high U.S. Treasury yields and a stronger dollar could limit the rise in gold prices. The CME "FedWatch" tool shows that traders expect only a 22% chance of a rate hike in October.

According to the market intelligence platform Liquid247.xyz, Coinbase's spot BTC has approximately 71.39 sell orders at the price level of $86,005, with a nominal value of about $6.14 million, which is about 0.44% above the mid-price of approximately $85,626 at that time. The total sell orders at the near end are about $25.92 million, while the buy orders are about $24.22 million.Currently, Coinbase's spot sell orders have a net long position of about $1.70 million, accounting for 3.39% of the total depth. The sell order at the price level of $86,005 is the most prominent resistance at the near end.

Grayscale's research director Zach Pandl stated that over the past three years, Bitcoin's cumulative return rate was approximately 225%, while the Nasdaq index's return rate was 109%. However, Bitcoin's rise was not evenly distributed, with a few of the strongest trading days contributing significantly to long-term returns, increasing the difficulty for investors to time their entry.Data shows that if the five best trading days for Bitcoin are excluded, its three-year cumulative return rate would drop from 225% to 95%; excluding the best ten trading days, the return rate falls to 27%; and if the best fifteen trading days are missed, the three-year return would turn into a loss of 11%. In contrast, the return distribution of the Nasdaq is more balanced; after excluding the best fifteen trading days, the cumulative return rate drops from 109% to 21%.Grayscale indicated that during this period, less than 0.5% of trading days contributed enough gains that, when excluded, would reduce Bitcoin's cumulative return by more than half. For assets with high return and high volatility characteristics, staying out also carries an opportunity cost; since the best trading days are difficult to predict reliably, waiting for volatility to decrease or for market prospects to become clearer may mean that some price re-evaluations have already been completed.

NVIDIA's stock price reached a new high for the first time in four months, closing at $237.58 on Monday, with a market capitalization of approximately $5.76 trillion.Wedbush analyst Matt Bryson stated that the market finds it hard to ignore the disconnect between its growth prospects and valuation. Societe Generale analyst Karl Ackerman raised the target price to $345 per share, indicating a 45% upside potential.