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Data: In 18 instances of tracking resignations, the price of the currency dropped in 15 instances three months later

Based on RootData's character and X influence data, and combined with market samples from 28 projects that launched on Binance Spot in the past two years, the dynamics of individuals and project performance show a noteworthy accompanying relationship.In terms of onboarding, among the 24 projects where character and influence data can be matched, in the months where 77 projects recorded new member entries, 65 saw a month-on-month increase in X influence, accounting for 84.4%, which is higher than the 67.4% in months without recorded new members. The median month-on-month growth rates for the two groups were 3.4% and 1.6%, respectively. For example, Vana added three new positions for growth, ecology, and product directors in August 2024, and its average monthly X influence rose from 189.14 in August to 607.50 in November, an increase of 221.2%.In terms of departures, 7 projects formed 18 comparable three-month observation windows, of which 15 saw a decline in coin prices; among the 17 windows with market capitalization data, 14 experienced a decrease in circulating market capitalization. The head of AI agency business at BIO Protocol left in October 2025, and from the end of that month to the end of January 2026, the coin price and circulating market capitalization decreased by 60.1% and 46.7%, respectively.The above statistics reflect accompanying phenomena. Continuously updating information on personnel onboarding, departures, and position replacements can help users track team expansion, organizational adjustments, and core talent loss, providing more basis for interpreting changes in influence and valuation.

Analysis: Bitcoin prices are diverging from demand, with ETF inflows and trading platforms transferring out holdings providing short-term support

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost pointed out that although the price of Bitcoin is rising, sustained buying pressure is still difficult to rebuild, and market signals are mixed. The cumulative spot demand over the past 30 days is -180,000 BTC, still negative, while futures demand is +54,000 BTC, still positive but slightly declining. The total average demand improved from -188,000 BTC to -126,000 BTC, narrowing the gap but still remaining in negative territory. Recently, there has been a divergence between price and total demand; Bitcoin's price has risen, but total demand has not turned positive, indicating that the increase is more driven by reduced selling pressure rather than strong buying.Looking at different sectors, the demand recovery is not uniform. For institutions, the geopolitical and macro environment is poor, but the Coinbase Premium, weighted by trading volume, has briefly turned positive, indicating that U.S. spot prices occasionally have a premium over other markets, and institutional selling pressure has significantly eased. ETFs have seen the biggest change in this round, with demand completely reversing compared to this summer, having recently net purchased about 70,000 BTC. The cumulative net inflow for 2026 is still about -17,000 BTC, but it is close to turning positive. In terms of trading platforms, the entire month of September has been characterized by net outflows, leaning towards accumulation rather than distribution. Bitcoin leaving trading platforms usually means that short-term selling pressure is lighter. Analyst Darkfost summarized that the current price increase is not due to enhanced buying pressure, but rather because investors have not continued to increase selling pressure at higher price levels, and the market structure remains fragile.

first_img Bitcoin ETF holders return to profitability as the price approaches $87,000

Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) holders have returned to profitability. Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart posted on the X platform on Monday, stating that the rise in the New York market on Monday morning brought the average investor's cost basis for the ETF (approximately $81,700) back into the profit zone for the first time since January of this year. Despite last week's setback of key cryptocurrency legislation, the Clarity Act, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike, Bitcoin still broke through $86,000, reaching a daily high of $86,800, and is currently reported at approximately $86,800, but still over 30% lower than the historical high of $126,000 set last year.In terms of capital flows, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs managed by institutions such as BlackRock, Fidelity, Grayscale, and Morgan Stanley recorded a net inflow of over $6 million last week, with investors pouring nearly $593 million on Thursday and Friday alone. According to Coinglass data, these ETFs currently manage a total of $98.8 billion in assets.In the background, Bitcoin began to rise in August after the U.S. Treasury announced it would at least double the scale of long-term bond repurchases, achieving the best weekly performance since 2023. Subsequently, the price reached a historical high in October, but fell back at the end of the month due to the largest liquidation in cryptocurrency history (over $19 billion in positions were liquidated). Despite the Federal Reserve's hawkish turn, investors continued to flock to the so-called "currency devaluation trade," driving the price rebound.
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