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Flash

first_img Kioxia's stock price fell by 15% at one point, and the quarterly profit guidance was below expectations

Japanese NAND flash memory manufacturer Kioxia Holdings saw its stock price drop by 15% on Monday. The company provided a guidance for operating profit of 2 trillion yen (approximately 12.7 billion USD) for the December quarter last Friday, which is below the consensus expectation of analysts at 2.35 trillion yen and only slightly higher than the 1.99 trillion yen recorded in the September quarter. In previous quarters, Kioxia's operating profit surged due to the procurement of high-speed NAND storage by artificial intelligence data centers.Kioxia attributed the slowdown in growth mainly to the timing of shipments rather than a weakening demand. Some orders originally scheduled for delivery this quarter were moved to the September quarter at the request of customers, while others were postponed to the March quarter next year due to an increase in the proportion of enterprise storage and longer production and delivery cycles. Chief Financial Officer Yoshihiko Kawamura stated in a conference call last week that the company expects to see a rapid recovery in growth in the March quarter, with demand from artificial intelligence data center operators remaining strong.Kawamura also mentioned that the company's planned production capacity for next year is already sold out, and more than half of the production for the following year has also been allocated. Some major customers have begun negotiations for contracts covering 2029 and beyond. Kioxia competes with Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and Micron Technology, focusing primarily on NAND, while its South Korean counterparts also sell DRAM needed for artificial intelligence computing.

After the release of Google's financial report, its market value evaporated by nearly 500 billion dollars, and analysts expect the stock price to maintain a range-bound fluctuation in the short term

According to CNBC, after the release of Alphabet's third-quarter financial report, the stock price fell more than 12% to $285, with a market value shrinking by nearly $500 billion. Despite Google Cloud's revenue growing 103% year-over-year, the market is still focused on earnings per share falling short of expectations and the negative free cash flow amid ongoing investments in AI infrastructure.Mike Khouw stated in a CNBC column that the fundamentals of Alphabet's core business remain intact, but a short-term rapid rebound faces two obstacles. First, multiple institutions have downgraded ratings, target prices, or future earnings forecasts. He pointed out that historically, stocks that have experienced concentrated downgrades tend to underperform the market or trade sideways in the following 30 days, and institutional rebalancing can also limit upward momentum. Second, the gap down after the earnings report further damaged the technical pattern.In terms of technical indicators, Alphabet's RSI has dropped to just over 20, and the MACD sell signal has strengthened. However, Khouw believes that with the stock price close to the 52-week low of $270.70, combined with an extremely oversold condition, further declines may be limited.In terms of trading strategy, Khouw suggested using a sell wide strangle options strategy to cope with the anticipated range-bound fluctuations. He believes that continued selling in the overall market poses the main downside risk, while unexpected positive news driving the stock price up rapidly could threaten the bullish call option selling side of the strategy.
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