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first_img After the Federal Reserve raised interest rates, the price of Bitcoin fluctuated and stabilized, dropping nearly 4% over the week

After the Federal Reserve announced an interest rate hike, the price of Bitcoin initially fell and then stabilized, remaining basically flat within 24 hours. According to Bitcoin Magazine, the Federal Reserve raised the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75% to 4%, marking the first interest rate hike since 2023. Bitcoin briefly dropped to $75,355 within an hour of the announcement, before rebounding to nearly $75,813.Over the past 7 days, Bitcoin has cumulatively fallen nearly 4%. Traders had previously bet on a greater than 90% probability of an interest rate hike at the Federal Reserve's September meeting, which is why most Bitcoin trading occurred before the announcement on Wednesday. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh stated that price stability is the Federal Reserve's top priority, and noted, "Inflation is too high and has lasted too long; the inflation data this summer does not indicate that the underlying trend has improved significantly."Warsh has publicly praised Bitcoin, and during his first major speech since taking office as Federal Reserve Chairman last month, he also emphasized that inflation is too high and must be reduced. The new chairman's stance contrasts with that of Trump, who has repeatedly called for interest rate cuts and threatened to fire former Federal Reserve Chairman who refused to cut rates. Last week, Trump posted on Truth Social, "We should have the lowest interest rates in the world." Bitcoin typically performs better in a low-interest-rate environment, as there is more liquidity in the market to buy the asset.

Huobi HTX Chief Analyst Cloud: The rejection of the clear bill is a one-time shock to the price and a continuous pressure on the valuation

Huobi HTX Chief Analyst Cloud stated that after the clear bill was blocked in the Senate procedural vote, Bitcoin fell from the $77,800 level to $74,910. This round of selling pressure is event-driven, and historically similar shocks are usually digested within 5 to 10 trading days. The actual cost of the bill's failure falls in terms of timing: Congress is on recess this month, the midterm elections in November, effectively pushing the legislative window to 2027, with institutional incremental businesses such as bank custody, brokerage distribution, and tokenized securities collectively postponed by a year. The target of this pressure is valuation, and the price response is one-time.Among the factors affecting the single-day decline, the bill accounts for about 60% to 70%, while macro factors account for 30% to 40%; when viewed on the scale of the entire correction, the ratio reverses to 70% macro and 30% bill. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield stands at 5.005%, oil prices surged to $105, and interest rate hike expectations have reignited, forming the main pricing line for this week, with the bill merely pushing the already accumulated selling pressure. The bill is the fuse, while interest rates are the explosives. Coinbase fell by 10%, Circle dropped by 11%, significantly higher than Bitcoin's decline, indicating that the market does not believe the bill's failure has harmed Bitcoin's value storage attribute, and ETF funds and institutional allocations are still providing support.What is under pressure is the legislative premium for compliant business operations: the excessive gains of crypto stocks over the past few months largely hinged on the anticipated surge in trading volume, institutional custody, and stablecoin adoption after the bill's passage, and this premium has now been liquidated. Crypto stocks are essentially high-duration, high-leverage derivatives of Bitcoin; a 3% fluctuation in Bitcoin is amplified layer by layer through trading volume, fees, and reserve earnings, ultimately reflecting as a 10% decline in stock prices.

first_img Analyst: PCB prices are expected to rise again in the third quarter, optimistic about Taiguang Electric and Nandian's future market

According to the Economic Daily, in the past six months, CCL manufacturers have raised product prices by about 20% to 30% due to the overall increase in upstream material prices. Most PCB manufacturers have not been able to pass on these costs quickly enough, resulting in a time lag of 2 to 3 months, which has eroded profit margins. Institutional investors indicate that starting from the third quarter of this year, some PCB manufacturers will increase prices, and the benefits are expected to drive a rebound in the profitability of related manufacturers.Analysts state that in terms of substrates, electronic fiberglass cloth led by T glass and copper foil drilling needles are still in short supply, with T glass experiencing the most severe shortage, with some manufacturers facing a gap of up to 20%. This gap is expected to continue into next year. It is anticipated that in the second half of this year, substrate manufacturers will enter a supply-demand imbalance driven by the high demand for AI GPUs and ASIC high-performance computing, as well as the continued tightness of key raw materials. Substrate manufacturers will continue to adopt rolling price adjustments, with prices still having double-digit upward potential.Additionally, due to the sustained high demand related to AI and the specification upgrades driven by new generation products, there is continued optimism that CCL manufacturers will benefit from both price and volume increases. With raw material prices remaining tight and the delivery times for high-end CCL continuing to extend, the trend of price increases remains unchanged. There is continued optimism for the future development of Taiwanese CCL manufacturers such as Taiflex and Taisil. Meanwhile, as the substrate gap gradually widens, it benefits the bargaining power of substrate manufacturers, and the trend of price increases will continue, maintaining a positive outlook on the future performance of Taiwanese substrate manufacturers, including Nanya Technology and other supply chain partners.
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