ChainCatcher news, the prediction market platform Polymarket announced on social media that its platform has demonstrated accuracy that surpasses traditional polls, media reports, and expert analyses in predicting the U.S. presidential election. Polymarket claims that its highly liquid prediction market model successfully predicted election outcomes in advance, once again proving the potential of decentralized prediction markets.Polymarket stated that the platform provides global users with high-quality, transparent data and offers accurate predictions before other information sources. The company believes this is just the beginning of building a revolutionary platform capable of revealing significant global events.

ChainCatcher news, according to Edison Research: Preliminary results from Michigan's exit polls show that Trump won 45% of female voters (up 2% from 2020), while Harris won 53%; Trump won 53% of white voters (down 2% from 2020), while Harris won 44%; Trump won 50% of voters under 45 (up 5% from 2020), while Harris won 47%; Trump won 48% of voters aged 45 and over (down 1% from 2020), while Harris won 50%; Trump won 43% of voters aged 65 and over (down 6% from 2020), while Harris won 55%.

ChainCatcher news, according to a report by Jiefang Daily, a poll released by National Public Radio (NPR), Public Broadcasting Service (PBS), and Marist Poll shows that U.S. Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Harris leads Republican presidential candidate Trump by 4 percentage points in national support.Harris received support from 51% of likely voters, while Trump's support was at 47%, just exceeding the margin of error of 3.5%. This result is very similar to four years ago, when the 2020 poll showed Biden's support at 51% and Trump's support at 47%, with Trump also trailing by 4 percentage points.

ChainCatcher News: The voting for the U.S. presidential election officially began at 13:00 Beijing time on November 5. Forexlive analyst Justin Low pointed out that during this period, the first exit poll for the U.S. election will conclude at 07:00 Beijing time on the 6th, and the final exit poll will end at 14:00 Beijing time on the 6th. You can pay attention to the exit polls to get an early understanding of the U.S. election results.

ChainCatcher News, the United States will hold its presidential election on Tuesday. Foreign exchange analysts at Deutsche Bank stated in a report that the dollar is indifferent to the poor non-farm payroll numbers but is influenced by election polls. A poll shows that Democrat Harris is leading Republican Trump in traditionally Republican-leaning Iowa, increasing the uncertainty of the election outcome.

ChainCatcher news, less than 48 hours before the U.S. election, over 77.6 million votes have been cast, and new polls show Harris leading in early voting in key states. The Democratic candidate is ahead by 8% among those who have voted, while her opponent Trump has an advantage among "very likely voters who have not yet voted."According to polls from The New York Times and Siena College, Harris has a slight lead in three swing states, Trump is leading in one state, and three other states are too close to call.

ChainCatcher news, according to the United Morning News, the latest poll shows that U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Harris currently has a slight lead in Nevada, North Carolina, and Wisconsin, while Republican presidential candidate Trump is leading in Arizona.The latest poll released by the New York Times and Siena College on Sunday (November 3) shows that, in addition to the aforementioned four swing states, Harris and Trump are tied in Michigan, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, making the competition very fierce.The poll results from these seven states are within the margin of error, meaning neither candidate has achieved an absolute lead in any state.Since Harris entered the race, she has consistently led by four percentage points in Pennsylvania polls, but Trump's support has been steadily rising, making both sides evenly matched now. The competition in Pennsylvania is intensifying, which could impact the election outcome.

ChainCatcher message, a poll from the New York Post shows that both Trump and Harris have a support rate of 49%. Compared to previous polls, Harris's support rate has decreased by 2%.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the United States will begin the 2024 presidential election next Tuesday (November 5). Many major polls still show that Trump and Harris are neck and neck. Data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) indicates that hedge funds and managers have accumulated $18 billion in long positions in dollars ahead of the U.S. election vote. Currently, Wall Street strategists generally believe that Trump's promise to impose tariffs will support the dollar at least in the short term. Hedge funds and other speculative traders expect that the potential impact of the election on demand for safe-haven assets and the direction of tariffs will further boost the dollar.The market generally believes that Trump's proposal to lower corporate taxes will benefit corporate profits, so if he wins, it will boost U.S. stocks. On the other hand, Harris's potential tax increase policies are seen as relatively bearish for the stock market. However, Bank of America and Citigroup recently presented opposing views. Analyst Marc Chandler stated, "Many of the positive possibilities for next week have already been priced in, so the risks tend to be on the downside. Gold recently hit an all-time high but failed to break through $2800. Notably, when the U.S. stock market fell on October 31, gold also experienced significant selling, almost as if it was being liquidated to meet margin requirements."

ChainCatcher news, a highly anticipated poll released on Saturday shows that Vice President Harris has a slight lead over former President Trump in Iowa. Analysts believe that Iowa is a very solid red state, and neither candidate has focused on it in the final campaign, with forecasters predicting that there is almost no chance of a reversal in Iowa.However, the latest poll released on Saturday, just three days before Election Day, shows Harris leading Trump with a support rate of 47% to 44%, which is an unexpected result, as Trump had previously led in the Iowa polls in mid-September.

ChainCatcher news, a Reuters/Ipsos poll on Tuesday showed that in the final stages of the U.S. presidential campaign, Harris's lead over Trump has further narrowed to just one percentage point, at 44% to 43%. (Jin Ten)

ChainCatcher news, CNN's final poll shows that former U.S. President Trump and U.S. Vice President Harris have equal support rates, both at 47%.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi Data, the latest poll shows that Trump is leading Harris, with 52% of voters supporting Trump for President of the United States.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi Data, the latest poll from Reuters/Ipsos shows that U.S. Democratic Vice President Harris leads former Republican President Trump by a narrow margin of 46% to 43%. This six-day poll concluded on Monday, and Harris's lead is not much different from the Reuters/Ipsos poll results a week ago (45% to 42%), further proving that with only two weeks left until the election on November 5, the race is exceptionally tight.

ChainCatcher news, Trump held a roundtable meeting with leaders of the Latino community, during which he stated that he would address some issues of fake news, and also mentioned that he has raised a lot of funds, with polls showing everything is very optimistic.