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Analyst: The likelihood of Trump establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve has increased

According to ChainCatcher news, Ledn co-founder Mauricio di Bartolomeo stated that the possibility of the United States establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve has increased after a strategic Bitcoin reserve bill was proposed in one state.Last week, shortly after the introduction of the "Pennsylvania Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Bill," the price of Bitcoin saw an increase. The bill aims to allow the state to invest 10% of certain funds, including general funds, rainy day funds, and state investment funds, in Bitcoin. According to the state's 2023 Department of Treasury annual investment report, these funds manage approximately $51 billion in assets, so a 10% allocation would represent about $5.1 billion in Bitcoin investment.Previously, U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis proposed the "Bitcoin Bill," which suggests the creation of a Bitcoin strategic reserve in the U.S., requiring the purchase of up to 200,000 Bitcoins annually over five years. If these bills are passed into law, there could initially be $23.3 billion worth of Bitcoin acquired on the open market. Approval of either of the aforementioned bills would have a significant impact on other sovereign portfolios, sparking discussions among the world's largest asset management companies regarding Bitcoin allocation. In the coming months, the U.S. strategic reserve may be at the center of most Bitcoin-related topics.

JPMorgan: The Trump administration may see positive progress in cryptocurrency regulation, but the likelihood of approval for the strategic Bitcoin reserve is very low

ChainCatcher news, according to The Block, JPMorgan analysts outlined six key regulatory and market changes for the cryptocurrency industry under the Trump administration that could reshape the landscape of cryptocurrency in the U.S. under the leadership of Trump and the Republican-led Congress.JPMorgan analysts indicated that several stalled cryptocurrency bills may quickly gain approval. These bills include the "Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act" (FIT21), which could provide much-needed regulatory clarity for the crypto industry by clearly defining the regulatory responsibilities of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).They also stated that as the regulatory framework becomes clearer, the SEC's strategy of increasing enforcement may evolve into a more collaborative approach. High-profile lawsuits against companies like Coinbase may be eased, settled, or even dismissed. Regulatory notices sent to companies like Robinhood and Uniswap could be reconsidered, thereby reducing the litigation risk for the broader crypto industry. The SEC's "Staff Accounting Bulletin No. 121" (SAB 121), which restricts banks from holding digital assets, may be repealed.Additionally, JPMorgan analysts noted that the SEC may seek to resolve lawsuits concerning unregistered securities and require the launch of futures-based ETFs for these assets before approving spot ETFs. These factors could delay the approval of new ETFs or require re-filing. Clearer regulations may increase venture capital, mergers and acquisitions, and initial public offerings in the cryptocurrency space. Although strategic Bitcoin reserves would significantly enhance Bitcoin's legitimacy and could potentially drive up its price, the likelihood of this passing is low.
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