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Viewpoint: Japan's core inflation higher than expected sparks discussions on interest rate hikes, which may pose a threat to the cryptocurrency market

ChainCatcher news, according to CoinDesk, Japan's latest core inflation data has exceeded market expectations, sparking discussions about the possibility of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raising interest rates, which could impact risk assets including cryptocurrencies. The data shows that Japan's core CPI rose 3% year-on-year in February, down from 3.2% in January but still above the market expectation of 2.9%. Meanwhile, Japan's overall CPI fell from 4% to 3.7%, but still far exceeds the BOJ's target inflation rate of 2%.Since November 2024, Japan's inflation rate has consistently been higher than that of the United States, currently exceeding by nearly 100 basis points, marking the largest gap since 2015. Coupled with the wage pressure from the "Shunto" spring labor negotiations, market expectations for a BOJ interest rate hike have intensified. The anticipation of a rate hike has strengthened the yen, but if the yen appreciates significantly, it may trigger market risk aversion, thereby putting pressure on risk assets like Bitcoin.As of the time of writing, the USD/JPY exchange rate is 149.22, having rebounded nearly 300 basis points since March 11, indicating a short-term weakening of the yen. However, the yield spread between U.S. and Japanese 10-year government bonds has narrowed, with Japanese 10-year bond yields maintaining above 1.5% and 30-year bond yields breaking 2.5%, both at multi-decade highs, which may support a stronger yen. The market is focused on the future direction of BOJ policy and its impact on global financial markets.

4E: The Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged, slows down balance sheet reduction to release liquidity, and both the US stock market and cryptocurrency market rise collectively

ChainCatcher news, the Federal Reserve decided to keep the policy interest rate unchanged, in line with market expectations. At the same time, it announced a significant slowdown in the pace of balance sheet reduction (QT), easing market liquidity pressures. Powell reassured investors that the risk of recession is low, the U.S. economy remains strong, and the job market is still solid.According to 4E monitoring, the Fed's dovish stance boosted risk assets, with all three major U.S. stock indices rising on Wednesday: the S&P 500 up 1.08%, the Dow up 0.92%, and the Nasdaq up 1.41%. Tech stocks led the gains, with Tesla rising 4.68% and Nvidia up 1.81%.The cryptocurrency market rebounded significantly, with Bitcoin continuing to rise to $87,453 driven by tech stocks, before slightly retreating to $85,866 at the time of writing, a 24-hour increase of 3.6%. Other major tokens also rose collectively, with Ethereum returning above $2,000, while XRP surged over 11% due to the SEC dropping its appeal against Ripple.In the forex commodities sector, the U.S. dollar index soared, but the increase quickly narrowed to 0.21% after the Fed announced its decision to hold steady; U.S. oil closed up 0.39%; spot gold prices hit a historic high during trading for two consecutive days, approaching $3,052 during Powell's press conference.Powell acknowledged at the press conference that Trump's economic policies have brought significant uncertainty to the U.S. economy, but reiterated that the Fed is not in a hurry to adjust monetary policy. The updated dot plot indicates that the Fed will cut interest rates twice this year, consistent with the forecast from December last year. At the same time, the Fed downgraded its economic growth forecast while raising its inflation expectations, showing characteristics of "stagflation."

“Hyperliquid 50x giant whale” achieved a 164% return through BTC long and short trading strategies before and after the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision announcement

According to ChainCatcher's message, monitored by on-chain analyst Yu Jin, the "Hyperliquid 50x Whale" made frenzied trades around the Federal Reserve interest rate announcement, turning 690,000 USDC into 1,826,000 USDC in just 3 hours, achieving a profit of 164%.The specific operations are as follows:At 2 AM, the Federal Reserve was set to announce the interest rate decision. He shorted 326 BTC (27.6 million USD) at a price of $84,566 at midnight, then closed the short position at a price of $83,927 just before the announcement (1:48), making a profit of $215,000;As soon as the interest rate was announced at 2 PM, he immediately shorted 256 BTC (21.6 million USD) at a price of $84,404 at 2:01, and quickly closed the position at $83,906 six minutes later, making a profit of $250,000;After closing the short position, he immediately went long, opening a long position of 518 BTC (43.8 million USD) at a price of $84,500 at 2:10, and then closed the position at $85,700 at 2:59, making a profit of $620,000;After closing the long position, he immediately shorted again: at 3:00, he shorted 384 BTC (32.9 million USD) at a price of $85,666, and closed the position just two minutes later at $85,146, making a profit of $106,000.
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