interest

According to the latest weekly report from Binance Research, since August 31, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury has risen by 47 basis points, of which 43 basis points came from an increase in real yields, while the inflation breakeven rate only rose by 4 basis points. The 10-year real yield once reached 2.95%, the highest since 2008.The weekly report also pointed out that since the interest rate hike in September, BTC has risen by 9.3%, ETH by 2.7%, and Layer 2, RWA, and AI tokens have increased by approximately 32%, 29%, and 29%, respectively, while meme and payment tokens have performed relatively poorly.Binance Research stated that the current high real interest rates still exert a suppressive effect on a wide range of risk assets, and future attention should focus on CPI, long-term U.S. Treasury yields, and BTC ETF fund flows.

In the past three weeks, investors have withdrawn from U.S. mortgage bond funds at a historically rare pace, with the outflow ranking among the seven most severe since early 2021. As interest rates soared, the mortgage-backed securities index recorded its second worst monthly performance on record in September.Strategist Erica Adelberg stated that the Federal Reserve's tightening of monetary policy may weaken banks' demand for MBS, and MBS supply is expected to decline before the end of the year.

According to Polymarket data, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in October has dropped to 17%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate has risen to 84%. The trading volume for the related prediction event has reached 32 million dollars.

Crypto trader Ansem posted about one of the biggest lessons learned from years of trading cryptocurrencies.He stated that catching the right rotation in trading is just the first step; what truly determines whether you can keep the profits is whether you can take profits in a timely manner and compound them. In 2017, he made a lot of money trading altcoins, but much of it was through rotation trading, giving back profits and returning to square one.From 2020 to 2021, he showed significant improvement, being able to identify narratives earlier, rotating between SOL, LUNA, and AVAX, and compounding profits from different trades. Recognizing opportunities early and knowing when to take profits are equally important skills.

Bitcoin News posted on the X platform that Strike has launched the Stacks Bitcoin savings envelope system, allowing users to divide their holdings into up to 5 custom-named buckets, each supporting fee-free regular purchases. Transfers between Stacks and the main balance are fee-free and unlimited, but funds must be transferred back to the main balance before withdrawal.Strike has added an interest of 3.6% on USD cash balances, with interest paid in Bitcoin, and the related assets remain stored in Strike's multi-signature cold storage.

According to official social media news, Huobi HTX will hold a themed live broadcast today at 20:00 titled "Market Betting on December Rate Hike: Can BTC Withstand This Round of Impact?" At that time, crypto KOLs such as Sister Mao, AlanSun, Aiden, and Crypto.0824 will engage in an in-depth discussion on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy expectations, changes in macro liquidity, and recent market trends of BTC. The focus will be on analyzing the potential impact of the rising expectations for a rate hike in December on the crypto market, as well as BTC's key support levels, long and short positions under macro pressure, and the subsequent evolution of market trends, providing investors with multi-dimensional references for market trend analysis.

Federal Reserve's Musalem stated that interest rates should be raised in the next 6 to 9 months.

According to TASS, Kirill Tsarev, the First Deputy Chairman of the Executive Board of Sberbank, stated that the bank has noticed a significant interest from a large number of customers in cryptocurrencies, which have become an indispensable part of the global market.

Infrastructure Capital Advisors is optimistic about the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond, expecting the Federal Reserve will only raise interest rates once more. The agency's CEO pointed out that a single rate hike aligns with the Federal Reserve's "dot plot," which is less than market expectations. It is anticipated that the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond will stabilize around 5%.

The Federal Reserve meeting minutes show that some officials stated that raising interest rates would prevent the spread of price increases in certain industries.

The Federal Reserve meeting minutes show that officials stated future data will determine the direction of interest rates.

Startale Japan Co. Ltd. announced the launch of a digital corporate bond, with both interest and principal paid in the Japanese yen stablecoin JPYSC. This bond is aimed at individual and corporate investors in Japan and is not issued to overseas investors.JPYSC is issued by SBI Shinsei Trust Bank, which manages the trust assets, pegged 1:1 to the Japanese yen, and is classified as a Type III electronic payment instrument under Japan's Payment Services Act. SBI VC Trade acts as the issuing trustee and is responsible for issuance and distribution, while Startale Group provides the underlying technology. Startale Group CEO Sota Watanabe stated that this bond will test the application of JPYSC in actual interest and principal payments. The announcement did not disclose the bond issuance scale, coupon rate, maturity date, or individual investment limits.

Chief Investment Officer Greg Taylor of PenderFund Capital Management stated that the September non-farm report is favorable for the market and essentially rules out the possibility of a Federal Reserve rate hike in October.There may still be expectations for a rate hike in December, but it has already been priced in by the market and will not have a significant impact on the market.

Market traders cut bets on the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike in October.

Cryptocurrency analyst @AxelAdlerJr stated that the buying pressure indicator in the Bitcoin futures market has risen to 4.9, the highest since August 19; the contract open interest has increased by nearly 9,000 BTC within 24 hours.This indicator reading means that the accumulated buying pressure over the past 12 hours is nearly five standard deviations higher than the average level of the past week. @AxelAdlerJr indicated that if the Bitcoin price remains above $85,000 while the upward momentum weakens, the upward trend is likely to continue; if the price falls below $83,000, the liquidation of newly established long positions may accelerate the decline.

Federal Reserve's Logan stated that the policy stance has been off track, and the Federal Open Market Committee should raise interest rates, targeting at least an increase of 50 basis points. Without higher rates, inflation cannot reach the Federal Reserve's 2% target.