Bitfinex latest report: Bitcoin is expected to enter a period of consolidation or slight correction
ChainCatcher news, Bitfinex Alpha's latest report states that Bitcoin is surging, despite a brief pullback and some strong resistance encountered mid-week. Today (July 29), it still broke through the $70,000 mark on Bitfinex. Bitcoin has rebounded over 30% since the low on July 5, which was previously predicted to be a local bottom. This upward momentum coincides with the 2024 Bitcoin Nashville conference. The implied volatility in the Bitcoin options market initially surged, but later receded as traders reduced risk. With a large number of options expiring on Friday, August 2, the return of some calm in the market may indicate that prices will enter a consolidation phase or a slight pullback.In fact, despite the resistance being broken above, there were clear signs of net selling in the market last week, as profit-taking put pressure on the market, while the gradual distribution of Bitcoin to Mt. Gox creditors also played a role. However, the market absorbed this well, indicating that stronger forces are intervening. Additionally, the current realized price for short-term holders is $65,700, which has provided solid support. The futures market also witnessed a surge in open interest, indicating that leverage is coming into play again. Although there has been selling in the spot market, leveraged longs have been supporting prices. Looking ahead, the next move in the market will be crucial. The recent decline in implied volatility and the increase in leveraged positions suggest that there may be stagnation or range trading in the short term. With key support levels holding and bullish momentum building, the upcoming week for Bitcoin will be interesting.In the second quarter of 2024, the U.S. economy showed stronger-than-expected growth, with Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growing at an annual rate of 2.8%, exceeding expectations. This growth was driven by significant consumer spending and business investment, highlighting the resilience of the economy. Inflation pressures have also eased, with moderate increases in commodity prices, as falling commodity costs offset rising service prices, further strengthening the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September. However, the real estate market remains a drag on economic growth, as median home prices hit record highs, and existing home sales fell more than expected. Nevertheless, the increase in supply and the decline in mortgage rates bring hope for a potential rebound. Overall, the economic outlook remains cautiously optimistic, with expectations for steady growth, easing inflation, and potential improvement in the real estate market.