ChainCatcher news, according to News.bitcoin, the cryptocurrency market has been as unpredictable as a U.S. government shutdown in recent days. There are reports that the U.S. government is about to close due to stalled spending negotiations, a situation that historically affects the market in various ways. Due to the disillusionment of market participants' short-term expectations, Arthur Hayes believes that the cryptocurrency market will experience a "dismal drop" around Trump's inauguration day. However, the crypto community is holding its breath, as Trump's inauguration may trigger a legendary "God Candle" movement (Note: "God Candle" refers to a significant price increase within a single day, overshadowing the surrounding activity on the price chart), which means the current market slump is just a temporary calm, a bear market phase in a larger bull market cycle. If the U.S. resolves the 2025 budget issue and Trump implements several Bitcoin-focused strategies to encourage the market, Bitcoin could see a massive recovery.Of course, the immediate price trend of Bitcoin remains unclear. Whether Trump's inauguration as U.S. President will bring the anticipated cryptocurrency market boom is still uncertain.

ChainCatcher news, according to The Block, at the Emergence conference in Prague, several cryptocurrency investors believe that the current bull market cycle is still in its early stages. Against the backdrop of Bitcoin breaking the historical high of $100,000, Rockaway X managing partner Viktor Fischer stated that although Twitter sentiment is bullish, U.S. politicians are beginning to support cryptocurrencies, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has referred to Bitcoin as digital gold, retail participation is far from the levels seen in 2021.Matthew Graham, founder of Ryze Labs, used a baseball metaphor to express that the current market is only in the fifth or sixth inning, and warned that "the best time to sell is when people start partying, dating supermodels, and buying yachts." Fischer recalled that in November 2021, when Solana reached $250, people were wearing LV and Off-White, which was the real time to sell.On the regulatory front, CMT Digital investment partner Charlie Sandor stated that the new Trump administration may be more friendly towards cryptocurrencies, which will drive innovation and adoption. In terms of investment trends, several VCs unanimously favor AI agents, believing this is the most important trend following DeFi. Ryze Labs has partnered with ai16z to launch a $5 million AICombinator program to support the development of the AI ecosystem.

ChainCatcher news, Bitcoin Magazine CEO David Bailey expressed his views on social media, suggesting that the current Bitcoin bull market cycle may be significantly extended, breaking traditional market cycle patterns.Bailey pointed out that historically, there is usually about an 18-month "NgU" (Number Go Up, price increase) phase after a Bitcoin halving. However, with the current halving having occurred 6 months ago, he believes that this influx of capital is unlikely to peak within 12 months. Instead, Bailey predicts that this bull market cycle may need to last for 3 to 4 years before a cooling period occurs.

ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, Ledger's Chief Experience Officer Ian Rogers emphasized the importance of maintaining security awareness during bull market cycles in an interview at the Token2049 conference in Singapore. Rogers stated, "In every bull market cycle, there are always people who find seemingly reasonable justifications to compromise on security or self-custody." He specifically mentioned that during periods of rapid market expansion, many cryptocurrency holders tend to store their assets on centralized exchanges rather than opting for self-custody.In response, Rogers emphasized, "If you are not doing self-custody, then what is the point of choosing cryptocurrency?" He warned investors against over-relying on centralized exchanges, especially during market downturns, and cited the now-defunct cryptocurrency exchange FTX as an example. "What they did was simply hand over funds to someone in the Bahamas and then add a column of data on a spreadsheet. That is not called cryptocurrency; that is called fraud."Beyond the cryptocurrency space, Rogers also pointed out the rising trend of global cybercrime. He predicted, "From now on, you can say every year that this year is the worst year for cybercrime, and that statement will always be accurate." To address this increasingly severe threat, Rogers suggested achieving secure self-custody of digital assets through hardware solutions and clear signature technology, ensuring that users fully understand the transactions they are authorizing.

ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, veteran trader Peter Brandt stated that the decline of Bitcoin since the halving in April 2024 has begun to resemble the market trends before the 2016 bull market.Brandt said, "The decline of Bitcoin since the halving is now similar to the 2015-2017 halving bull market cycle." He compared the depth of the market correction since the halving date, noting that the two are very similar.In 2016, the Bitcoin halving occurred on July 9, with the asset price at $650 on that day. During that cycle, the market fell to a subsequent low of $474, a drop of 27% within a month, before skyrocketing to a cycle high of $20,000 in December 2017. Similarly, Bitcoin recently fell below $50,000, down 26% from the post-halving $64,962.

ChainCatcher news, Robert Kiyosaki, the author of "Rich Dad Poor Dad," stated that technical charts indicate the largest crash in history is imminent, with prices of real estate, stocks, bonds, gold, silver, and Bitcoin set to plummet. However, this will be a great opportunity to buy cheap assets.Kiyosaki predicts that a long-term bull market cycle will begin by the end of 2025, with gold, silver, and Bitcoin prices experiencing years of increases. This bull market cycle is long-awaited by investors, and their patience will be rewarded. Kiyosaki pointed out that as the largest debtor nation in history, trust in "fake" currency is eroding, and history will repeat itself.After the crash, gold, silver, and Bitcoin will rise to new historical highs again, with gold potentially reaching $15,000 per ounce, silver possibly hitting $110 per ounce, and Bitcoin easily reaching $10 million per coin. He reminds investors to remain patient, as their time is coming.

ChainCatcher news, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju posted that Bitcoin is currently in the mid-stage of the current bull market cycle. He outlined a chart showing that Bitcoin's actual market value "is growing faster than its realized market value," which is a variant of market capitalization that values it based on the last movement price of each UTXO. This trend typically lasts for two years, indicating that the ongoing bull market will likely end in about 11 months.

ChainCatcher news, CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju posted on X that due to the flow of institutional capital, BTC has only experienced a slight adjustment in this bull market cycle so far.