Reflecting on the current bull market cycle: Which stage are we in?
Original Title: "How to catch every pump in this bull market."
Author: AlΞx Wacy, Crypto Researcher
Compiled by: Felix, PANews
In previous bull markets, all altcoins did not surge simultaneously. This refers not to a 10-30% increase, but to surges of 300-700% or even higher. These rotating surges constitute the entire bull market cycle.
Funds continuously flow between different tokens, which is why altcoin seasons last not just for a week, but for several months. The previous flow of funds was as follows:
BTC > ETH > High Market Cap Tokens > Low Market Cap Tokens > BTC……
But now this model is outdated, and the current flow of funds is more subtle. Each stage will be discussed in detail below.
Stage One
BTC continues to lead as always. Market giants drive the crypto trend, but once BTC stops rising (or its rise slows), other tokens will "take over."
Stage Two
SOL, as a standout among altcoins in this cycle, is beginning to rise. Additionally, some major altcoins may follow suit but perform weaker (currently in this stage).
Stage Three
The following tokens may "take over" the rise from SOL:
- Mainstream memecoins: DOGE, SHIB, PEPE, WIF, BONK, POPCAT
- Mainstream altcoins: RENDER, SUI, APT, LTC, etc.
Some tokens may perform poorly or surge late.
Stage Four
The most popular narratives dominate this stage. Memecoins, AI, RWA, and some combinations of these narratives, such as AI memes and AI x DePIN, etc.
Some narratives may be skipped, and players may get stuck. Therefore, choose wisely.
Stage Five
In this stage, low market cap tokens begin to rise rapidly, even increasing hourly. This stage is the best trading opportunity for solid memecoins and fundamentally strong projects. Choose the best-performing tokens, as market surges and drops often occur.
Stage Six
Funds flow back to BTC. As the market matures, these cycles become increasingly difficult to predict. Don’t waste this bull market; you still have time to make life-changing money in the next 5-9 months.
But remember one important thing: you can accumulate wealth in two ways:
- Holding tokens that can appreciate in value for the long term
- Trading with tokens that rise faster
Historically, less than 1% of those who try the second method achieve long-term success.
Therefore, most of your funds should still be held in long-term positions, and if you want to catch every pump opportunity, you should use spare funds (small positions).