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According to Catcher Predict monitoring on-chain data, it predicts significant capital movements in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $71,255.42 in the event "Russian Parliamentary Election Seat Contest" targeting the "United Russia Party (ER)". Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 81.99%.

NASA awarded SpaceX three crewed missions to the International Space Station.

Coinbase posted on platform X that Coinbase Derivatives, LLC is a designated contract market registered with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.The risks of futures trading can be high, and each investor must assess whether this investment is suitable for themselves.

The founder of Liebit Mining Pool, Jiang Zhuoer, stated that the bStock token BNCB corresponding to BNB Treasury Company BNC had once fallen below 5 dollars, which is a rare high-profit certainty opportunity. 5.76 dollars is the starting point after CZ forwarded the BNC renaming vote post, and the possibility of falling below that is low.At the same time, at 5.76 dollars, mNAV=61%, and further decline would be equivalent to buying BNB at half price. Therefore, it is believed that 5.5~5.76 dollars is a good buying point. In addition, using leverage to buy small-cap stocks carries significant risks, so buying bstock spot, which is BNCB, is recommended. It is believed that CZ and Binance will promote the "Coin Stock Flywheel," and more related events are expected in the future.

SpaceX aims to launch the 14th flight mission of Starship as early as September 28 local time, pending regulatory approval.

On September 17, 2026, the Market Participants Division of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) announced that it has issued a no-action position to passive software providers, similar to Staff Letter 26-09, which is now broadly applicable to such providers.The letter states that, subject to several specified conditions, the Division will not recommend that the Commission take enforcement action against any such provider or its related persons for failing to register as a introducing broker or an introducing broker affiliate. This position only applies to those who provide and market software to users for trading with registered futures commission merchants, introducing brokers, and designated contract markets.This announcement came just hours after the sister agency, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), issued an innovation exemption.

Hester M. Peirce, a commissioner of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), stated that the U.S. stock market is gradually forming a trading model of "23 hours, 5 days a week" for extended trading hours. Although overnight trading currently accounts for less than 1% of the total trading volume of NMS stocks and is highly concentrated in a few stocks, both new and established trading venues have been actively extending their operating hours over the past two years, while raising six key questions:How should the U.S. stock market learn from the experiences of the long-established foreign exchange, cryptocurrency, and futures markets?How can brokers fulfill their best execution obligations and enhance retail investor protection when overnight liquidity is dispersed and spreads widen?When overnight liquidity is insufficient and execution costs are high, is it still a reasonable fiduciary decision for asset management institutions to choose not to engage in overnight trading?Will extending trading hours change the way listed companies release financial reports and significant information?Given that EDGAR filings submitted after 5:30 PM Eastern Time are typically processed on the next business day, does the SEC need to adjust the EDGAR system to ensure timely disclosure of significant information during the overnight trading period?Should the SEC provide relevant guidance or regulatory exemptions for listed companies, especially smaller ones?

Ethereum Institutional announces the relaunch of the Ethereum Institutional Forum, a curated series of closed-door events aimed at senior institutional participants and leading voices in the Ethereum ecosystem. The forum was initially launched during the Ethereum Foundation and has been held in Hong Kong and New York. It returns as a dedicated series designed to provide a trustworthy and neutral environment to understand the direction of Ethereum technology and its commercial implications.EIF III will be held on November 12 in London, bringing together banks, asset management companies, market infrastructure, and ecosystem leaders including Ethereum researcher Justin Drake. Topics include the Ethereum technology roadmap, post-quantum security, native issuance, and the role of Ethereum as on-chain financial infrastructure.

Commissioner Hester M. Peirce of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) made a statement regarding the committee's approval of the "innovation exemption."This exemption is a temporary, conditional arrangement that allows "tokenized securities venues" (TSV) to trade NMS "National Market System" stocks on-chain: TSV provides automated market maker liquidity pools and sets participant admission standards, and is exempt from the definition of "exchange" under the Securities Exchange Act; specific suppliers providing liquidity to TSV are exempt from the definition of "dealer." If issuers do not wish for their stocks to trade on TSV, they can choose to opt-out. The exemption is aimed at U.S. entities, and both existing institutions and new entrants can participate.Peirce emphasized that the committee does not presuppose that parties relying on this exemption necessarily fall under the definitions of "exchange" or "dealer," but rather hopes to first observe who is using it and how it is being used before making regulatory judgments.Peirce clearly delineated the boundaries of this order: it is not about decentralized finance. Systems that are driven by automated software and are truly decentralized do not raise fundamental concerns of securities regulation, namely that intermediaries trusted by investors may be foolish, careless, or compromised; investors using permissionless smart contracts for peer-to-peer transactions do not fundamentally require an exemption. TSV is merely one model of on-chain securities trading, and the committee is open to other models, as on-chain trading models that can comply with existing Securities Exchange Act requirements may not require an exemption at all.

According to Cointelegraph, CoinShares crypto researcher Luke Nolan stated on the Chain Reaction program that cryptocurrency adoption in Germany is making "very good progress" through family offices, wealth management institutions, and younger investors, while the UK is "still very behind," mainly due to regulatory lag. Nolan pointed out that the UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) only lifted the ban on crypto exchange-traded products less than a year ago, and its digital asset market is still in the "nascent" stage.In terms of relevant data, Germany currently has 89 licensed crypto asset service providers, accounting for 25.5% of the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) MiCA registered companies; in June this year, Germany also ranked first in the EU with 57 authorized crypto companies.Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank stated on Wednesday that it is awaiting regulatory approval to launch crypto custody services for institutional clients in Europe, expecting to obtain a license in October; Landesbank Baden-Württemberg is also set to provide crypto custody services in April 2024 through a partnership with Bitpanda.In contrast, the FCA released final guidance on Wednesday clarifying when crypto activities need to be authorized and plans to open license applications on September 30, with the new system set to take effect on October 25, 2027.Additionally, the FCA issued stop notices on Thursday to three London locations suspected of assisting illegal peer-to-peer crypto trading; the UK Parliament approved regulations in February to bring digital assets under FCA regulation and finalized a package of rules in June.

On September 16, local time, the United States International Trade Commission (ITC) announced that it has launched a patent infringement investigation into certain electronic devices equipped with specific audio technology. The subjects of the investigation include Samsung Electronics and its U.S. subsidiaries, Apple Inc., and Google LLC. The initiation of the investigation itself does not constitute a determination of patent infringement.The investigation is based on a complaint submitted by BoomCloud 360 Inc. on August 14 and supplemented on August 31. The complainant alleges that the relevant devices infringe its patents when imported into and sold in the United States, violating Section 337 of the Tariff Act of 1930, and requests that the ITC issue a limited exclusion order and a cease-and-desist order.The case will be assigned to an administrative law judge for a hearing on the evidence, which will make a preliminary determination on whether Section 337 has been violated, followed by a final decision after review by the ITC. The ITC will set a target date for completing the investigation within 45 days of the filing. The relief order will take effect immediately and become a final order after 60 days, unless the U.S. Trade Representative disapproves it for policy reasons within 60 days.

The U.S. Congress passed a bill authorizing President Trump to impose tariffs on countries purchasing Russian oil products. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun stated that China conducts economic and trade cooperation on the basis of equality and mutual benefit, opposing extraterritorial jurisdiction not authorized by the United Nations Security Council.

India warns that the U.S. sanctions bill against buyers of Russian oil could harm U.S.-India relations and disrupt the global energy market. The bill has passed in the U.S. Congress, granting Trump new powers to impose tariffs on countries purchasing Russian oil products. India is the largest buyer of Russian seaborne crude oil and is seeking to diversify its supply.

Recently, Ethereum Classic experienced a social engineering incident involving the Core-Geth client. The unreviewed ethereumclassic/core-geth v1.13.0 was released on September 14 and was promoted as a security update. A few mining pool nodes temporarily switched to this version but have since reverted to the long-term maintained etclabscore/core-geth v1.12.23.This unreviewed version modified key logic such as chain selection and node discovery, posing a potential risk of network split; the incident did not result in block loss, chain reorganization, fund loss, or service interruption.

Corpay Chief Market Strategist Karl Schamotta stated that the Federal Reserve's decisive interest rate hike received support from all FOMC members and raised interest rate expectations, which will help restore market confidence in the Federal Reserve's determination to combat inflation and eliminate a major obstacle that has suppressed the performance of the dollar.

According to The Block, JPMorgan analysts stated that the Clarity Act is "not completely dead" after failing the procedural vote in the Senate, but the window for passing it before the end of this congressional session is "extremely narrow."Analysts expect the focus to shift to the rule-making of the SEC and CFTC, noting that the durability of institutional rules is not as strong as laws passed by Congress.

Jiang Zhuoer, the founder of Liebit Mining Pool (B.TOP), posted on platform X that at 2 AM Beijing time on September 17, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision. According to the 30-day federal funds futures prices, the current probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is about 92%. He expects the Federal Reserve to raise the target interest rate range from 3.50% to 3.75% to 3.75% to 4.00%, believing that this outcome is basically a foregone conclusion.After the interest rate decision is announced, the Federal Reserve will also release the dot plot. Jiang Zhuoer stated that attention should be focused on the median of the interest rate forecast and the central trend range after excluding the highest and lowest three points each. He expects the dot plot to show two rate hikes in total by 2026, meaning there will be one more rate hike within this year after the current hike, and the related expectations may lead to a short-term market decline.Jiang Zhuoer believes that the speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, starting at 2:30 AM, is the biggest variable and expects it may release dovish signals. Therefore, he judges that the most likely market path is "falling first and then rising": a decline after the interest rate decision and dot plot announcement, followed by a rebound after Warsh's speech. He expects Bitcoin may drop below $75,000 before rebounding to $83,000 to $84,000, followed by a significant adjustment.

According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin Core 32 entered its final testing phase on September 14, with the first candidate version marked, and the official release is expected on October 10. This version will not change Bitcoin's consensus rules but will mainly optimize fee estimation, accelerate block processing, and fix several security vulnerabilities.In terms of fee estimation, Bitcoin Core 32 introduces a new estimator based on unconfirmed transactions, which can quickly lower the recommended fee rate when network congestion eases, compared to the original estimator based on historical block fees. Regarding block processing, nodes can now use multiple threads to fetch transaction data from the database simultaneously, with a default of 8 threads, reducing the waiting time for nodes to catch up with the blockchain.For security fixes, developers have addressed a command execution vulnerability that has existed in non-Windows systems since Bitcoin Core 24. This vulnerability could allow authenticated users to execute commands on the node host through specially crafted wallet names when the walletnotify feature is enabled. Additionally, four commands used to create partially signed transactions will default to using PSBT version 2 format; the new web server was found to have a memory exhaustion flaw during auditing, where 16 unauthenticated REST connections could raise the node's memory from 46 MB to about 3 GB in approximately one minute, and this issue has been fixed before the official release.

According to a survey by the Financial Times, the Polish state-owned energy company Orlen had prepaid $230 million to the Dubai trader Hannon International for the purchase of approximately 6 million barrels of Venezuelan crude oil, but ultimately received only about 500,000 barrels of fuel oil. During the transaction, part of the funds was converted into USDT and delivered to the Venezuelan side through intermediaries.Hannon stated that at least $132 million in USDT was given to two intermediaries, after which the two intermediaries went missing. After accounting for expenses such as tanker leasing and legal fees, the Polish government estimates that Orlen's total loss amounts to at least $424 million. Orlen is currently seeking to recover the advance payment through arbitration.