The RMB to USD spot exchange rate has risen above 6.98, and the RMB exchange rate is expected to maintain a stable two-way fluctuation pattern in January
On the first trading day of 2026, the RMB against the USD continued its appreciation trend. Today, the RMB against the USD reached a maximum of 6.977 during the trading session, once again hitting a new high since mid-May 2023. At 16:30, the closing price of the RMB against the USD was reported at 6.9806, an increase of 84 basis points from the previous trading day, marking a new high since May 17, 2023.Wen Bin, chief economist of China Minsheng Bank, expects that in January, supported by seasonal demand for foreign exchange settlement, the RMB may still have room for appreciation. However, the RMB against the USD midpoint has deviated towards depreciation compared to the closing price of the spot exchange rate, which may indicate a certain pro-cyclical behavior in the foreign exchange market recently.Overall, under the policy tone of regulatory authorities to maintain the RMB exchange rate basically stable at a reasonable and balanced level and to prevent excessive fluctuations in the exchange rate, although the RMB exchange rate may still operate on the strong side in January, it is expected that there will not be a significant appreciation, and it may fluctuate bidirectionally in the range of 6.9-7 for most of the time, Wen Bin pointed out.